Wednesday, August21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kure Beach, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 7:53PM Wednesday August 21, 2019 12:34 PM EDT (16:34 UTC) Moonrise 10:24PMMoonset 10:57AM Illumination 65% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 1218 Pm Edt Wed Aug 21 2019
This afternoon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 3 ft. Isolated showers and tstms.
Tonight..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Isolated showers and tstms in the evening.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Thu night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat..SW winds 10 kt, becoming e. Seas 2 ft. Showers and tstms likely.
Sun..NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Showers and tstms likely through the day, then a chance of showers and tstms through the night. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 1218 Pm Edt Wed Aug 21 2019
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Bermuda high pressure ridging will extend wsw toward the southeast u.s. Coast thruout this period. Over land, a trof across the central carolinas will drift toward the coast by the end of this week. A cold front will drop southward and stall in the vicinity of the area waters the upcoming weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kure Beach, NC
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location: 33.96, -77.94     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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Fxus62 kilm 211321
afdilm
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington nc
921 am edt Wed aug 21 2019

Synopsis
Bermuda high pressure, the piedmont trough and the daily
sea breeze will combine and aid the daily scattered showers
and thunderstorms each afternoon and evening thru fri. A front
will drop south into the area late Friday then stall thru the
upcoming weekend into early next week.

Update
Forecast updated to lower 30-40% pops today to 20%, as
convection should mainly be isolated.

Near term through Thursday
The ilm CWA will continue to remain in a weak area aloft,
basically sandwiched between the 2 upper highs, bermuda to
the east and ridging across the western u.S. An upper trof will
lie between the 2 highs with it's trof axis remaining west of
the fa thru this period. The trof not as amplified will still
result in continued moisture from the gulf of mexico, just not
entirely thru the atm column, as pws remain between 1.75 and 2
inches. At the sfc, each day will feature the piedmont trof
across the central carolinas and the formation and inland
progressing sea breeze. The 2 boundaries will be the source of
lift for convection to ignite. During thu, a weak S W trof or
vort aloft could further aid convection development with pops
slightly hier Thu than today. Temperatures will run slightly
above normal for MAX temps each day and likely a good 5 degrees
higher than climo for tonights lows.

Short term Thursday night through Friday night
As is typical of summer, expected isolated to scattered
diurnally driven thunderstorms thought there could be a little
greater cover Friday afternoon and evening as a front approaches
from the north. Lows each night will be in the low to mid 70s
with highs Friday in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday
Model guidance suggests that the front will pass of the coast
Saturday into Saturday night and linger near the area into early
next week. The stalled front and upper level support will allow
for multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms Sat and sun
with showers and storms becoming more scattered in nature early
next week. Temperatures should be slightly below normal through
the period.

Aviation 13z Wednesday through Sunday
PredominantlyVFR through tomorrow. Early morning showers
inland and along the coast are quickly diminishing. MVFR
ceilings at kflo should dissipate soon, followed by scattered to
broken high clouds for most of TAF period and scattered diurnal
cumulus today. Slight chance for thunderstorms this afternoon,
with sea breeze and piedmont trough as areas of interest.

However, recent hi-res models keep most of our area dry this
afternoon, so anything that does develop should be isolated.

South-southwest winds through tomorrow around 5-10 kts, with
10-15 kts along the coast this afternoon.

Extended... MainlyVFR thru Fri with brief MVFR ifr periods each
day due to aftn evening convection and fog and or stratus
around daybreak. A cold front will drop south and stall across
the region late Fri thru sun. This will lead to an increase in
tsra coverage with MVFR ifr conditions possible at any time of
the day or night.

Marine
Today thru thu:
sfc ridging extending from the center of bermuda high pressure
well offshore, will drop slight southward this period, extending
onshore near the ga-fl state border. A sfc trof will persist
across the central carolinas thruout this period. Between the 2
features, a slow tightening of the sfc pg will occur thru the
period. Wind directions will remain sw, except ssw nearshore due
to the daily sea breeze. Speeds 10-15 kt except increasing to 15
to occasionally 20 kt across the ilm nc waters. Significant seas
thru the period will run around 3 ft... Except 3 to as much as 5
ft across the ilm nc waters tonight thru thu. Convection will
remain widely scattered at best, and primarily occur early this
morning and the pre-dawn Thu hours.

Thu night thru sun:
bermuda high will linger off the coast into sat, maintaining 10
to 15 kt southwest flow. Speeds will be highest in the
afternoon and evening. A slow moving cold front will drops into
the area Sat and move off the coast Sat night, resulting in
winds becoming more E to NE around 10 kt by Sunday morning. Seas
3 to 4 ft Thu and Fri drop to 2 to 3 ft over the weekend.

Ilm watches warnings advisories
Sc... Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for scz054-
056.

Nc... Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz106-
108.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Dch
update... Mas
near term... Dch
short term... Ran
long term... Iii ran
aviation... Vao
marine... Dch ran


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 17 mi26 min SW 14 G 16 84°F 84°F1018.8 hPa
41108 17 mi34 min 84°F3 ft
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 17 mi24 min 84°F2 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 19 mi52 min SSW 12 G 15 87°F 84°F1018.6 hPa
WLON7 19 mi52 min 89°F 85°F1019.1 hPa
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 30 mi26 min SSW 12 G 18 83°F 85°F1019.4 hPa
41119 30 mi44 min 85°F2 ft
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 31 mi26 min WSW 12 G 19 79°F 84°F1019.6 hPa
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy 38 mi34 min SW 12 G 12 83°F 84°F1019.4 hPa (+0.0)77°F

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brunswick County Airport, NC7 mi79 minW 10 G 1410.00 miFair86°F73°F67%1019.6 hPa
Wilmington International Airport, NC22 mi1.7 hrsWSW 1010.00 miFair88°F71°F57%1019.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUT

Wind History from SUT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW7SW7SW6S8--SW6SW4--------------------CalmCalm--SW9--W10
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1 day agoSW8SW10S9SW9SW8SW8SW9SW7SW6----------------------W6SW7SW6SW7
2 days agoW8SW11SW10SW11SW10SW8SW8SW5SW7SW9
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------W8----W5W5NW3W5W5SW6S5S6

Tide / Current Tables for Reaves Point, North Carolina
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Reaves Point
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Wed -- 12:14 AM EDT     3.76 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:06 AM EDT     0.52 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:57 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 12:42 PM EDT     3.86 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:27 PM EDT     0.88 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:24 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.73.73.32.721.30.70.50.71.52.53.33.83.93.63.12.41.71.20.90.91.42.23

Tide / Current Tables for Fort Caswell, Cape Fear River, North Carolina
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Fort Caswell
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Wed -- 06:16 AM EDT     0.56 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:57 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 12:15 PM EDT     4.29 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:37 PM EDT     0.94 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:24 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.23.93.32.51.60.90.60.71.42.33.344.34.23.732.11.4111.42.233.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.