Tuesday, August4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Carolina Beach, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:24AMSunset 8:11PM Tuesday August 4, 2020 1:34 AM EDT (05:34 UTC) Moonrise 8:13PMMoonset 6:09AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 1259 Am Edt Tue Aug 4 2020
.hurricane warning in effect...
Rest of tonight..S winds 45 to 55 kt with gusts up to 65 kt, becoming sw 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 50 kt late. Seas 13 to 16 ft, subsiding to 11 to 14 ft late. Showers with a slight chance of tstms. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 35 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 9 ft, subsiding to 5 to 7 ft in the afternoon. A slight chance of tstms. A slight chance of showers.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat..SW winds 5 kt, increasing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 1259 Am Edt Tue Aug 4 2020
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Hurricane isaias will bring strong to destructive winds and hazardous seas tonight and lasting into early Tuesday. Diminishing winds and seas are anticipated during the mid to late week period as bermuda high pressure re-establishes itself across the area waters.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carolina Beach, NC
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location: 34.03, -77.9     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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FXUS62 KILM 040519 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 119 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020

SYNOPSIS. Tropical Storm Isaias will affect the region tonight and will continue into early Tuesday before the storm moves north of the area. Typical warm and humid weather will return with a chance of afternoon thunderstorms each day.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Main story for the next 24 hours is the onset of Isaias, which will bring wind, rain, some tornadoes, storm surge, and flooding. Anticipated rainfall has increased into the 2 to 6 inch range, while some areas could see increased amounts above 6 inches in locally heavier rainfall bands. Some tornadoes are possible, especially tonight into Tuesday morning with the approaching storm. Tropical storm force winds are possible starting this evening through Tuesday morning. High wind speed potential exists with locations seeing between 55 mph and 70 mph east of I-95 with gusts as high as 80 mph at times along the coast. For coastal locations, beach erosion and storm surge flooding is also possible with water reaching between 3 and 5 feet south of Cape Fear above ground level, and 2 to 4 feet north of Cape Fear. The storm will also bring high chances for dangerous rip currents through Tuesday for area beaches. The storm exits the region by Tuesday late morning, and conditions area wide should begin to improve with lessening winds, light rainfall, and improving conditions along the coast.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. High amplitude mid to upper trough, extending from the Great Lakes down into the Gulf will lift north as it slowly progresses eastward and gets squeezed out by 2 ridges to our south. Deep southerly flow will continue to keep a typical hot and humid summertime air mass in place. Looks like best shortwave energy will remain offshore, but weak perturbations will rotate around the trough over the central and eastern CONUS. Overall, expect the diurnal convection with focus along sea breeze boundary and trough inland, but should see some enhancement with convection at times due to shortwave energy.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Upper ridge over the Atlantic builds westward as mid to upper trough lifts slowly north and flattens out into the weekend. Overall expect typical diurnal convection each aftn with a weak southerly flow at the sfc and a more westerly flow aloft. Looks like potential for more widespread convection may come into the latter half of the weekend or early next week as a weak front drops south in NC, the Piedmont trough strengthens and better shortwave energy drops far enough south into our area.

AVIATION /05Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Western side of the area is starting to clear back into VFR at the 06Z TAF issuance. The eye of Isaias is currently located over Pender County, and will continue to move NNE out of the area. Conditions at KCRE, KMYR, and parts of the Cape Fear region are still in MVFR/IFR, but that will be improving over the next few hours as the last rain bands move through. Gusts should continue along the coast until the late morning hours. Sunny skies and scattered clouds will prevail from that point on, allowing for a more permanent VFR trend throughout the rest of the period.

Extended Outlook . A trough pattern enters the area and brings typical summertime conditions for the area midweek, including the chances for afternoon convection and flight restrictions.

MARINE. Isaias will bring seas 10 to 15 feet tonight between 8 and 10 seconds out to 20 NM and upwards of 20 feet beyond 20 NM Monday night into Tuesday, with marine conditions gradually improving Tuesday night into Wednesday. Note that waterspout potential will also increase Monday as Isaias nears.

Conditions over the coastal waters will continue to improve through mid week with seas 2 to 4 ft mid to late week. No significant swell likely.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . Hurricane Warning for SCZ054>056-058. Storm Surge Warning for SCZ054-056. High Surf Advisory until 5 AM EDT early this morning for SCZ054-056. Tropical Storm Warning for SCZ059. NC . Hurricane Warning for NCZ105>110. Flash Flood Watch through this afternoon for NCZ087-096-099- 105>110. High Rip Current Risk through this evening for NCZ106-108-110. Storm Surge Watch for NCZ106-108. High Surf Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for NCZ106-108- 110. Coastal Flood Warning until 4 AM EDT early this morning for NCZ107. Storm Surge Warning for NCZ110. Tropical Storm Warning for NCZ087-096-099. MARINE . Hurricane Warning for AMZ250-252-254-256.

SYNOPSIS . ILM UPDATE . TRA NEAR TERM . MCK SHORT TERM . RGZ LONG TERM . RGZ AVIATION . IGB MARINE . MCK/RGZ


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 12 mi42 min SSW 43 G 56 74°F 83°F998.3 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 12 mi28 min 83°F13 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 14 mi47 min S 58 G 69 77°F 82°F997 hPa
WLON7 14 mi47 min 74°F 85°F996.3 hPa
41108 22 mi35 min 81°F14 ft
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 29 mi27 min SW 37 G 51 77°F 82°F1006 hPa
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 33 mi42 min WNW 29 G 41 77°F 83°F1004.9 hPa
41119 34 mi78 min 82°F9 ft
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy 41 mi25 min SW 25 G 33 78°F 82°F1008.3 hPa75°F

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brunswick County Airport, NC11 mi40 minSW 28 G 434.00 miLight Rain and Windy75°F73°F94%1001.7 hPa
Wilmington International Airport, NC17 mi42 minS 32 G 511.50 miHeavy Rain Fog/Mist and Windy75°F73°F94%996.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUT

Wind History from SUT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSE3SE3SE3CalmS3N3N4NE3E7SE6E7E9E10
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Tide / Current Tables for Wilmington Beach, North Carolina
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Wilmington Beach
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:39 AM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:36 AM EDT     3.87 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:42 PM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:06 PM EDT     4.62 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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210.30.20.71.62.53.33.83.83.42.71.70.80.20.10.61.52.63.64.34.64.43.7

Tide / Current Tables for Campbell Island, North Carolina
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Campbell Island
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:49 AM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 10:11 AM EDT     3.82 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:52 PM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:41 PM EDT     4.43 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.62.92.11.30.40.10.71.82.83.53.83.632.31.610.40.10.61.833.84.34.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.