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Marine Weather and Tides Carolina Beach, NC Version 3.4

NOTICE 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 7:04AM

Sunset 5:03PM

Monday December 9, 2019 3:19 AM EST (08:19 UTC)

Moonrise 3:33PM

Moonset 4:20AM

Illumination 93%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carolina Beach, NC

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Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC

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FXUS62 KILM 090720 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 220 AM EST Mon Dec 9 2019

SYNOPSIS. A coastal warm front will move onshore tonight bringing numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms followed by a significant warm-up well above normal Monday and Tuesday. A cold front will cross the coast late Tuesday and early on Wednesday, bringing additional rain. Brief clearing and drying Thursday, before a wet Gulf system dumps rain on the area Friday through Saturday morning.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/. Afternoon stratiform rain to transition to showers and isolated TSTMs into evening, but it doesn't appear a strong westward or inland push of the coastal front will occur, compared to the northward exit of this boundary tonight. As a result, impacts will mainly be observed across coastal SE NC in convective rainfall. Briefly this evening, rain could be periodically heavy, or cause ponding on highways between 630 PM and 930 PM.

Night-time temperature curves atypical and on the rise overnight, thus it looks like min-T values for the overnight period will occur early. Boundary lifts to the Outer banks Monday morning, with the onset of strong warm air advection, temperatures to surge into the 60s area wide Monday, and a few 70+ readings likely, favored over the NE SC interior. Low to silent pops Monday with little forcing to trigger, but max-T 9-12 degrees above normal about the region. By the beaches cooler because of current SSTs in the 50s.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. Deep layer southwesterly flow will be strong enough Tuesday to push afternoon temperatures well into the 70s, some 15 degrees above climatology. Some guidance is even warmer than our forecast but given that it may end up being a rather cloudy day these numbers seem a little out of reach. This may hold especially true along the coast where sea fog or stratus appears possible. Rain will spread west-to-east across the area Tuesday night along and behind a cold front. Models have been quite consistent in showing the FROPA being a low QPF event.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Impressive inversion sets up Wednesday as the area is plunged back into more seasonable airmass. The surface wedge weakens some on Thursday, possibly leading to the area's best chance at seeing some breaks of sunshine through the long term. Moisture returns Thursday night as isentropic upglide ramps up. Precip should hold off until Friday however, sparing the area from any P-type issues Thursday night. Model consistency over the weekend hasn't been great, the southern branch feature seemingly what they are struggling with. The GFS seems to lose it this run and now has a clean FROPA Friday driven by the northern branch. The EC has the low but oddly shoves it into the Yucatan peninsula. Regardless some prefrontal warm advection over the weekend should bring both warmth and rain chances.

AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Precip has shifted offshore, but IFR/LIFR conditions will linger along with the potential for some -DZ. Not expecting conditions to improve until generally after 13Z as winds increase some helping to improve VSBYs, and a gradual improvements in CIGs. Expecting VFR conditions to develop mid/late morning all terminals.

Extended Outlook . MVFR conditions possible Tuesday as the next cold front approaches and toward the end of the week as low pressure may impact the area.

MARINE. Advisories were dropped for the NE SC waters, but do expect 5 foot seas offshore and occasional gusts to 20 kt tonight, warranting a healthy dose of caution. Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for SE NC waters for 4-7 ft seas, highest offshore. Marine visibility will be reduced to less than a mile in heavy rain at times this evening, pulling farther offshore and to the north after midnight. Wave direction to become ESE-SE overnight, 4-7 feet, highest SE NC waters and offshore, this regime holding into Monday. The advisory mainly for sea heights, as 'sustained' winds most everywhere will hold below 20 kt.

Prefrontal southwesterly flow will not weaken quickly enough for advisory-worthy 6 ft seas to drop out of all zones on Tuesday. This may happen Tuesday night but advisory will likely remain as the post- frontal northerly flow will ramp up into criteria. Adverse conditions will remain for the rest of the forecast period as the gradient over the waters remains pinched on the eastern periphery of the wedge of high pressure over the landmass.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until midnight EST tonight for AMZ250-252.

SYNOPSIS . ILM NEAR TERM . CRM SHORT TERM . RGZ LONG TERM . RGZ AVIATION . CRM MARINE . RGZ/CRM

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC	12 mi	71 min	NNW 12 G 23	51°F	57°F		1022 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC	12 mi	39 min			57°F	7 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC	14 mi	49 min	NW 8 G 11	50°F	55°F		1021.6 hPa
WLON7	14 mi	49 min		48°F	51°F		1022.4 hPa
41108	22 mi	49 min			56°F	4 ft
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC	29 mi	71 min	SSW 9.7 G 16	67°F	65°F		1020.4 hPa
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2)	33 mi	71 min	NNE 7.8 G 9.7	48°F	55°F		1023.2 hPa
41119	34 mi	119 min			55°F	3 ft
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy	42 mi	29 min	WNW 7.8 G 14	59°F	74°F	6 ft	1022 hPa	57°F

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC

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N11 G14

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N14 G17

N14 G17

N10 G14

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N11 G15

NW11 G14

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NW6 G13

NW4 G7

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1 day ago

N2

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NE25

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N17 G21

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2 days ago

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NE1

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N5

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N4 G7

N2

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Brunswick County Airport, NC	11 mi	24 min	N 0	0.50 mi	Fog	48°F	47°F	98%	1022.7 hPa
Wilmington International Airport, NC	17 mi	26 min	NNW 4	0.50 mi	Fog	49°F	48°F	97%	1022.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUT

Wind History from SUT (wind in knots)

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N8

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N10 G14

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N11 G14

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NE5

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1 day ago

Calm

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N4

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NE8 G14

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SW5

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N7

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Calm

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Tide / Current Tables for Wilmington Beach, North Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for Campbell Island, North Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (3,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC

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