Saturday, January23, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Wrightsville Beach, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 5:34PM Saturday January 23, 2021 2:29 AM EST (07:29 UTC) Moonrise 1:16PMMoonset 2:44AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 1224 Am Est Sat Jan 23 2021
Rest of tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Sat night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Showers.
Mon night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..W winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers through the day, then showers likely through the night.
AMZ200 1224 Am Est Sat Jan 23 2021
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Gusty N winds this morning in wake of a cold front, will see easing trends this afternoon, while tending to ne. A system passing to our north Monday into Tuesday will likely bring advisory seas offshore in excess of 6 feet. Improving marine conditions are expected Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wrightsville Beach, NC
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location: 34.21, -77.79     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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FXUS62 KILM 230530 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 1230 AM EST Sat Jan 23 2021

SYNOPSIS. Building high pressure will bring a drying and cooling trend this weekend. Another low pressure system will bring clouds and occasional rain on Monday into Tuesday, followed by another system Thursday into Friday.

UPDATE.

No edits of note required this update.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/. Forecast soundings show a drying in the low to mid levels through evening but cirrus level moisture lingering until 00z. Thereafter deeper layer drying occurs as surface boundary sinks off to our south in zonal flow for completely clear sky for much of the night. CAA ongoing but in a very tempered fashion resulting in fairly seasonable lows. Cloudless sky to continue Saturday but with slightly bolstered CAA behind a weak shortwave. Pair this with weak mixing and temperatures take a chilly turn to the tune of about a category/5 degrees. Good but not idealized radiational cooling Saturday night (possibly a few knots of wind as well as a few predawn clouds AOA 3 km) should support low temperatures that are 5 degrees cooler than tonight's lows.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. Considerable changes from the beginning of the short term period, early Sunday morning, to the end of the period, later Monday. Initially cold high pressure will be overhead providing ideal radiational conditions for a cold start, below freezing for most areas. The high will drift offshore as a complex frontal system takes shape to the southwest and moves across Monday afternoon. Guidance has shifted ever so slightly to the main forcing and precipitation shield southward so pops have been incrementally increased. Highs will go from the lower 50s Sunday to the lower to middle 60s Monday with lows Monday morning in the lower 40s or so.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Changeable conditions for the extended period as well as a cold front associated with the system Monday moves across late Tuesday. Before this a very warm day is in store Tuesday with most if not all areas seeing highs in the 70s. Even the laggard SuperBlend guidance is on board now but grudgingly still cooler than the guidance from the global models. Temperatures Wednesday and Thursday revert quickly to near or below normal. Finally a system with varying solutions moves across Thursday. Maintained the chance pops for this time.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. VFR with primarily SKC. Gusty N-NNE winds this morning and early afternoon, up to 21 kt, easing after 22z to 8 kt or less. Light wind and clear skies tonight.

Extended Outlook . VFR through Sunday. Worsening flight conditions expected Monday with rain, low clouds, and occasionally reduced visibility. Another system will impact the area with challenging flight conditions thursday and Friday.

MARINE. Through Saturday Night . A N to NW cold advection regime tonight, something that can often be supportive of advisory-worthy conditions in the cool season. And while a small portion of the forecast zones may deteriorate that far late tonight/Saturday morning it appears to be quite a bit less than over half of the 20nm zones, meaning no flags at this time. The evening/overnight crew can certainly reassess. Interestingly later Saturday despite a stronger sense of cool advection the overall gradient weakens allowing for a continuation of sub-advisory conditions, though less experienced mariners may well wait for a quieter day. The gradient and resulting winds will already commence an abating trend Saturday night. Sunday through Wednesday . A northeast flow initially will quickly transition to a return/onshore flow later Sunday as high pressure moves offshore. Later Monday into the day Tuesday a more significant southwest flow develops. This flow could see speeds in a 20-25 knot range for a period of time. This will allow seas to possibly build into headline criteria as well. By midweek an offshore flow is back in place which serves to dampen the seas also.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . None.



UPDATE . Colby NEAR TERM . Bacon SHORT TERM . Keebler LONG TERM . SHK AVIATION . 8 MARINE . mbB/SHK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 0 mi60 min W 7 G 9.9 47°F 52°F1015.3 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 6 mi82 min WNW 7.8 G 9.7 47°F 54°F1015.4 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 6 mi53 min 54°F1 ft
MBIN7 9 mi36 min NW 8.9 G 13 45°F 1015 hPa
WLON7 9 mi60 min 39°F 47°F1016.1 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 27 mi82 min 54°F 56°F
41108 36 mi60 min 54°F2 ft
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 45 mi82 min NW 7.8 G 9.7 44°F 53°F1016 hPa
41064 45 mi82 min WNW 14 G 18 57°F 62°F1015.2 hPa
41159 45 mi64 min 62°F3 ft

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wilmington International Airport, NC8 mi37 minWSW 310.00 miFair39°F34°F82%1016.3 hPa
Brunswick County Airport, NC24 mi35 minNW 410.00 miFair44°F40°F87%1016.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KILM

Wind History from ILM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW7NW7NW5NW6NW4NW4CalmW3CalmS4W7W4NW5SW5SW6S4SW5SW3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmSW3
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS6SW9SW11SW12SW12W8SW17W16
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Tide / Current Tables for Wrightsville Beach, North Carolina
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Wrightsville Beach
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:44 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 03:11 AM EST     3.52 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:43 AM EST     0.43 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:15 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:32 PM EST     2.69 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:32 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 09:32 PM EST     0.22 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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22.83.33.53.432.41.710.50.40.71.31.92.42.72.72.41.91.30.70.30.30.7

Tide / Current Tables for Wilmington, North Carolina
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Wilmington
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:45 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:31 AM EST     3.87 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:15 PM EST     0.27 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:16 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:33 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:58 PM EST     3.58 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.81.92.93.53.83.83.32.61.81.20.70.30.51.22.12.93.43.63.32.51.50.80.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station




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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.