Sunrise 6:17 AM   Sunset 7:52 PM Moonrise 11:53 PM   Moonset 8:20 AM

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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 957 Am Edt Sun Apr 28 2024
Rest of today - S winds around 5 kt, increasing to 5 to 10 kt this afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft, except around 2 ft near shore. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 8 seconds and se 2 ft at 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat, increasing to light chop this afternoon. Tonight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 8 seconds and sw 2 ft at 3 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Mon - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 10 seconds and sw 2 ft at 3 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Mon night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 10 seconds and sw 2 ft at 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Tue - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 4 seconds and E 2 ft at 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. Tue night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 5 seconds and E 2 ft at 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Wed - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers in the morning. Wed night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Thu - NE winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Thu night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.

AMZ100 957 Am Edt Sun Apr 28 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - High pressure will remain anchored offshore through mid week. A cold front may impact the area late in the week.

FXUS62 KMHX 281729 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 129 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will remain anchored offshore through mid week. A cold front may then impact the area late in the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 1005 AM Sun...Aforementioned low cloud and fog bank has quickly dissipated as heating begins in earnest over eastern NC under high pressure anchored offshore while mid-level ridge and subsidence remains overhead. Temperatures are rising a touch faster than anticipated and made some modest near-term adjustments to capture trends, including raising forecast highs in OBX into the 70s. Sea breeze will kick off shortly, but aforementioned subsidence keep chances of any developing shower activity near zero.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM MONDAY/
As of 230 AM Sunday...

A light south to southwest flow plus warming thicknesses will support milder temperatures tonight, with lows around 60 degrees areawide. This is about 5 degrees, or so, warmer than normal for late April. Like this morning, there could be some patchy, shallow fog around, but widespread, impactful fog is not expected.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 330 AM Sunday...

KEY MESSAGES

- Low to mid 80s for the rest of the week

- Best rain chances Tuesday into Wednesday and then Saturday into Sunday next weekend.

FORECAST DETAILS

Monday...High pressure will be in control on Monday and weather will be quiet. No precipitation is expected. High temperatures will be in the low to mid 80s with mid to upper 70s along the immediate coast.

Above normal temperatures continue on Tuesday with highs reaching the low to mid 80s inland with mid to upper 70s along the coast. Dry weather will prevail through much of the day on Tuesday with a fairly unorganized disturbance beginning to approach from the west with rain chances holding off until overnight Tuesday night into Wednesday. Rain chances have been trending downward with this system so QPF will be fairly minimal.

The aforementioned weak disturbance will move across the area on Tuesday night or Wednesday and with it a chance for showers and thunderstorms. This does not look like a severe threat at this point. Thursday looks drier relative to Wednesday but another slight chance (20%) for showers and thunderstorms will be possible, mainly in the western counties. Despite this moving through the area, temperatures will remain high during this time topping out in the upper 80s inland to mid to upper 70s along the coast.

A little more moisture advection Saturday and Sunday with both the Bermuda High and an approaching frontal system from the west contributing to the increase in precipitable water. Low chances (25- 30 %) for showers and thunderstorms with a prefrontal trough on Saturday followed by slightly higher chances (30-35%) with the main front on Sunday. Temperatures slightly cooler both days but still well above normal for this time of year.

AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
SHORT TERM /through 18z Monday/...
As of 130 PM Sun...The probability of sub-VFR conditions over the next 24 hours is low - less than 10%.

High pressure sitting off the southeast coast continues to ridge into the southeastern CONUS this afternoon while broad mid-level ridge sits overhead. Much of the area is now seeing sct to bkn diurnal cu field development, but unlike yesterday no isolated shower activity is expected. Skies clear after sunset tonight and remain so through tomorrow as column continues to dry.

Steady southwesterly winds this afternoon (with a few isolated gusts to 15 kt) will subside overnight but still hover around 4-5 kt as weak front approaches from the north. This should inhibit any fog formation, but if decoupling occurs would not be surprised to see some reports of MIFG - most likely south of a line from EWN to DPL.

LONG TERM /Monday through Thursday/...
As of 330 AM Sunday...The expected synoptic weather pattern carries a high probability of VFR conditions through next week, with little to no aviation impacts. An approaching disturbance will bring some chances for precipitation Wednesday and Thursday afternoons.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through tonight/...
As of 630 AM Sunday...

A transient area of low clouds and reduced visibility (2-3 miles) has been noted recently across the waters north of Cape Hatteras. Based on satellite and local webcams, conditions are quickly improving from north to south, and the impact to mariners is expected to be minimal.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...The background northeasterly swell will continue through tonight, with a developing southwesterly wind swell late this afternoon into this evening. This will continue to support seas of 3-5 ft through tonight. Light south winds of 5-10kt this morning will increase to 10-20kt this afternoon, and become southwesterly. Modest southwesterly winds then continue into tonight. There may be just enough of a gradient to support a few gusts of 20-25kt, but the risk appears too low to warrant any marine headlines.

LONG TERM /Monday through Thursday/...
As of 330 AM Sunday...

KEY MESSAGES

- Good boating conditions expected early next week

FORECAST DETAILS

High pressure will shift offshore early next week, with inland troughing developing in the lee of the Appalachians. Winds will steadily increase early next week with southwesterly flow of 10-20kt common. Seas of 3-5 ft will be common through early next week, setting up good boating conditions for several days.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

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Bogue Inlet
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Sun -- 05:26 AM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:20 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 11:20 AM EDT     2.00 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:14 PM EDT     0.31 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:40 PM EDT     2.47 feet High Tide
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Bogue Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet

New River Inlet
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Sun -- 05:28 AM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:22 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 11:23 AM EDT     2.70 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:16 PM EDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:43 PM EDT     3.32 feet High Tide
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New River Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet

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