Sunday, September20, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bogue, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 7:08PM Sunday September 20, 2020 7:55 AM EDT (11:55 UTC) Moonrise 9:28AMMoonset 8:34PM Illumination 11% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 707 Am Edt Sun Sep 20 2020
.gale warning in effect through Monday evening...
Today..NE winds 25 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 10 ft, building to 9 to 12 ft this afternoon. Dominant period 16 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, increasing to very rough.
Tonight..NE winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft, except 6 to 9 ft near shore. Dominant period 16 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough.
Mon..NE winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft, except 7 to 9 ft near shore. Dominant period 17 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough.
Mon night..NE winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming N 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 8 to 13 ft, except 6 to 9 ft near shore. Dominant period 15 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough, diminishing to rough after midnight.
Tue..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Tue night..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw. Seas 5 to 7 ft, subsiding to 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bogue, NC
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location: 34.68, -77.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 201125 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 725 AM EDT Sun Sep 20 2020

SYNOPSIS. Strong cool high pressure will build south down the Atlantic Seaboard today and linger through much of the upcoming week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 720 AM Sunday . Mostly mid and high level clouds across the region at daybreak with pleasantly cool temperatures ranging from the mid 50s to mid 60s. NE winds remain gusty along the coast early this morning, but have dropped off inland. Latest HRRR shows winds increasing, especially the gustiness this afternoon. Special 06Z MHX sounding shows very dry air in the lower levels and expect the entire column to gradually dry as the day wears on with more sunshine expected as we get into mid to late afternoon. Highs today will be 70 to 74 degrees with mostly cloudy skies transitioning to partly sunny during the afternoon.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM MONDAY/. As of 315 AM Sunday . With drying continuing in the lower levels, cloudiness should decrease tonight with clear skies inland and partly cloudy skies coast. Numerical guidance shows lows tonight should be a couple of degrees cooler with readings in the upper 40s to lower 50s well inland, mid to upper 50s Crystal Coast and lower 60s Outer Banks. Gusty N/NE winds will continue, especially near the coast.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 400 AM Sun . Majority of the long term period will be characterized by persistent upper level ridging and broad surface high pressure dominating the eastern half of the CONUS, keeping conditions over eastern NC seasonable and dry. Uncertainty remains late week regarding whether moisture from TC Beta makes it up to our area.

Monday through Thursday . N/NE winds will persist until Tuesday as Hurricane Teddy is picked up by a shortwave diving out of the Great Lakes and slung towards Atlantic Canada. High pressure centers itself over the eastern CONUS, breaking the gradient and backing winds to the west/southwest by midweek. Temperatures will hover roughly 10 degrees below average early week, with the coastal plain not expected to crack 70 degrees, while lows dip into the upper 40s. Lowered mins a degree or two especially on Tuesday night with setup favorable for radiational cooling. More seasonable highs return mid week with winds backing southwesterly as high slowly shifts offshore.

Thursday through Saturday . Forecast becomes more uncertain late week as Tropical Cyclone Beta is forecast to meander along the western Gulf Coast through midweek before gradually lifting inland as the subtropical high shifts east. The sticking point in the forecast is how quickly the remnants of the cyclone lift out of the area. The GFS/CMC show Beta quickly getting absorbed into the mean flow and lifted into the Atlantic, bringing a quick shot of showers on Friday before drying again for the weekend. The ECMWF/UKMET are much slower to absorb the low, keeping it stalled over the SE CONUS and sending a steady pump of moisture across the region and resulting in a more unsettled weekend. The GEFS and EPS QPF footprints do show some precip through the period and are similar, adding credence to the idea of a wetter forecast. Kept mentionable PoPs out of the forecast for now pending further consensus.

AVIATION /11Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Short Term /through 12Z Monday/ . As of 725 AM Sunday . Mid to high level clouds will continue over the region through today. Some high-based stratocumulus in the 5000-6000 foot level could occur during the afternoon with heating, but we should remain at VFR status through the TAF cycle. Gusty winds will continue, at up to 20-25 knots at times.

Long Term /Monday through Thursday/ . As of 405 AM Sunday . Strong high pressure will reside over the eastern CONUS through midweek, keeping VFR conditions and dry weather in place. Gusty NE winds of up to 20-25 knots are expected Monday before the gradient relaxes, with winds relaxing to 5-10 knots for the remainder of the period and backing to the W/SW.

MARINE. Short Term /Today and Tonight/ . As of 720 AM Sunday . No major changes to the marine forecast at daybreak. Gusty N/NE winds continue on all waters with gusts to 33 knots at Diamond Shoals and at the buoy of off New River Inlet. As strong high pressure builds south from New England and strong Hurricane Teddy moves across the central Atlantic, gusty NE winds will continue into early next week. Seas are currently 8-11 feet and will continue in that range this morning, steadily increasing to as as high as 16 ft by tonight. Long period swells are also starting to impact the northern waters with 14-15 second wave periods, as additional swell energy associated with strong Hurricane Teddy reach our waters.

Long Term /Monday through Thursday/ . As of 410 AM Sunday . Dangerous boating conditions will continue with prolonged period of strong NNE winds into Tuesday. Expected speeds 20 to 30 kts with gusts 30 to 40 kts thru Mon night with speeds slowly diminishing Tue. Guidance has been a little slower diminishing winds over the waters, and therefore extended most Gale Warnings a few hours as well as the SCA over the rivers. Strong winds and very long period swell from TC Teddy will result in seas building to their peak by tomorrow, with 15-18 foot seas north of Cape Hatteras, and 10-15 ft south. Big swell will be slow to subside with 10+ foot seas holding strong through Wednesday north of Hatteras. Seas quickly fall below 6 feet by Thursday.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 415 AM Sun . Significant ocean overwash was experienced with yesterday morning's high tide, with NC 12 inundated in portions of Pea Island, Rodanthe, Avon, and Buxton. Significant dune erosion occurred, which will continue to be problematic for subsequent high tides this morning and tomorrow.

Coastal Flood Warning continues for Hatteras Island and the Northern Outer Banks. Coastal Flood Advisory holds for counties adjacent to the southern Pamlico Sound, Neuse and Pamlico Rivers, Tyrrell County, western Carteret and coastal Onslow. The High Surf Advisory was extended for beaches north of Cape Lookout, with guidance suggesting seas will take a bit longer to fall and 14-15 second periods remaining for much of the week.

The greatest threat for significant overwash and potential inundation will continue for Dare County beaches during the high tide cycles for several days, peaking during high tide this morning and Monday. Flooding conditions will be worsened by large and powerful breaking wave run up from strong swell produced by Hurricane Teddy over the Western Atlantic.

The long duration, and strong NE winds are also expected to produce soundside impacts along the southern Pamlico Sound, Neuse and Pamlico rivers, as well as minor oceanside flooding or overwash on Ocracoke Island and Core Banks. Elevated water levels will combine with higher than average astronomical tides to produce minor to potentially moderate coastal flooding across these areas, with inundation of 1 to 3 feet possible.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for NCZ195-196- 199-203>205. High Surf Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 AM EDT Tuesday for NCZ195-199. Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM EDT Monday for NCZ046-080- 094-194>196-199-204. Coastal Flood Warning until 2 PM EDT Monday for NCZ203-205. High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for NCZ203-205. High Surf Advisory until 8 AM EDT Wednesday for NCZ196-204. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Tuesday for AMZ136-137. Gale Warning until 10 PM EDT Monday for AMZ135-150. Gale Warning until 8 PM EDT Monday for AMZ131-230-231. Gale Warning until midnight EDT Monday night for AMZ152-154- 156-158.



SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CTC SHORT TERM . CTC LONG TERM . MS AVIATION . CTC/MS MARINE . CTC/MS TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 20 mi61 min N 12 G 15 72°F1022.9 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 28 mi55 min NNE 20 G 25 68°F 1022.1 hPa (+0.5)
41064 33 mi47 min ENE 25 G 37 72°F 1021 hPa
41159 33 mi59 min 81°F9 ft

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC1 mi58 minN 810.00 miFair59°F54°F83%1023.2 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi61 minN 1310.00 miFair59°F55°F87%1023.1 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC20 mi57 minNNE 1210.00 miFair65°F57°F78%1022.4 hPa
MCAS New River, NC22 mi59 minN 1010.00 miOvercast56°F51°F84%1023.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNJM

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSW3W4NW3N5N8N9
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2 days agoE7E8E11SE8SE4S9S7SE7S7E3CalmE6SE11
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Tide / Current Tables for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
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Bogue Inlet
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:09 AM EDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:28 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:32 AM EDT     3.17 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:54 PM EDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:34 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 10:54 PM EDT     2.67 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.21.40.70.1-0.100.51.32.12.73.13.12.82.11.40.60.200.20.71.42.12.52.7

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:11 AM EDT     1.62 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:38 AM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:26 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:39 PM EDT     1.81 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 07:23 PM EDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 09:32 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.61.30.90.50.2-0-0.10.20.61.11.51.81.81.61.30.90.50.2000.30.71.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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