Friday, December13, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Richlands, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:06AMSunset 5:00PM Friday December 13, 2019 3:16 AM EST (08:16 UTC) Moonrise 6:31PMMoonset 8:25AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 258 Am Est Fri Dec 13 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday morning...
Today..NE winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming se late. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except around 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers early this morning, then a chance of showers late this morning. Showers likely this afternoon.
Tonight..S winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas building to 6 to 9 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. Showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Sat..SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft, except 5 to 8 ft near shore. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough. Showers with a slight chance of tstms in the morning, then a slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sat night..W winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 9 ft. NEar shore, seas 5 to 8 ft, subsiding to 4 to 6 ft after midnight. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough, diminishing to rough after midnight.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy.
Tue..SW winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy. Showers likely. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Richlands, NC
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location: 34.87, -77.51     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 130532 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1232 AM EST Fri Dec 13 2019

SYNOPSIS. An area of low pressure will form and move just inland of the coast late Friday, bringing a cold front through the area on Saturday. High pressure will build in briefly Sunday and Monday, followed by another cold front on Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. As of 1220 AM Fri . Lowered or dropped pops overnight with just isold shra mainly impacting OBX.

Prev disc . High pressure will continue to build over the region from the north tonight. Skies across most of the area are clear, and with winds decoupling this evening, temperatures are falling rapidly, and in some cases have fallen to or below forecast minimums. Thus have lowered mins to the lower to mid 30s inland and mid to lower 40s coast which will occur mainly before midnight, with temperatures then becoming steady or slowly rising late tonight. This will be a result of increasing clouds with a low deck advancing west from the Pamlico Sound and mid and high clouds from the west. A developing trough of low pressure offshore is resulting in scattered showers over the offshore waters, a few of which could move across the Outer Banks after midnight.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TODAY/. As of 3 PM Thursday . Precipitable water surges toward 1.5 inches during the day on Friday as surface low approaches from the southwest over the inland Carolinas. Rain will be widespread and will continue with high likely to categorical PoPs with QPF totals on the order of one-half to three-quarters of an inch during the day tomorrow, with the heaviest amounts near the coast and especially the Outer Banks. Ribbon of higher CAPE values remains well offshore and will keep thunder out of forecast during the day until somewhat better instability arrives later Friday evening. High temperatures Friday will be considerably warmer than today, especially near the coast. Highs will range from the lower 50s well inland to the lower 60s coast.

LONG TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 130 PM Thu . Periods of unsettled weather expected through the long term period, with roller coaster temps as a progressive/amplified active weather pattern is expected to continue.

Friday Night through Saturday . Deep srly flow will be ongoing Friday night as low pressure riding up the coast approaches and crosses the area. Rain chances peaking Fri evening when best UVV/Fgen/PWATS will converge. Maintained the categorical pops this period, as good model to model consistency as well as spaghetti ensembles converging on this solution. Widespread moderate to heavy rain will be possible Fri evening. Still some uncertainty on exact track of the low, but guidance appears to be converging on solution of low center tracking over the inner coastal plain/west of the US Hwy 17 corridor, bringing several hundred J/KG of sfc based CAPE into the area with plentiful shear overnight Friday. Best chance of a stronger storm would be along the coast where best instability will reside. Upr trough will still be west of the region though deepest moisture will be offshore Sat morning. Could be quite a bit of showers around first half of Sat due to good forcing with upr trough and continued swrly flow sfc and aloft, and have a likely pop through around noon, with rapid drying later in the day. It will be mild both days with highs in the 60s.

Sunday through Monday . Drier conditions with near to above normal temps expected late weekend to early next week as quasi zonal flow develops and progressive high pressure dominates.

Tuesday . Next potent cold front and possible low pressure system quickly advance towards the region by Mon night and Tue, and introduced 50-70% pops this period, focused on Tue as converging model solns focus timing of the next strong cold front moving through by later Tue.

Wednesday and Thursday . A return to dry albeit cooler weather pattern by Wed as long wave trough axis shifts to the eastern Seaboard with sfc high pres building into the region for midweek, with temps below normal.

AVIATION /05Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 1220 AM Fri . Tricky fcst with conditions expected grad deteriorate today into this evening. First concern is potential for some IFR stratus deep inland around daybreak per bulk of guidance. Confidence in this is low and will add a brief tempo for PGV and ISO . otherwise expect mainly VFR thru early to mid morn. Moisture will increase thru the day with rain showers grad developing mainly later today becoming widespread thru the much of tonight. Expect MVFR to develop thru early/mid aftn and IFR later this aftn thru tonight with widespread low clouds with MVFR vsbys.

Long Term /Sat through Tuesday/ . As of 130 PM Thu . Sub-VFR conditions expected into Sat morning with widespread rain showers and low clouds. Return to VFR later Sat through early week as high pres builds back in.

MARINE. Short Term /Tonight and Friday/ . As of 1220 AM Fri . No changes with this update . wl monitor for poss extending SCA nrn wtrs as NE winds gusting aoa 20 kts may keep 6 ft seas going.

Prev disc . NNE/NE winds have trended down to 15-20 kt over the sounds and waters north of Oregon Inlet early this evening, but seas remain elevated along the coastal waters. Seas will remain 5-6 feet on the waters north of Oregon Inlet until early Fri morning. Elsewhere, winds are stronger in a tighter gradient over the southern and central waters 20-25 kt with frequent wind gusts to around 30 knots coupled with seas up to 6-7 feet which will persist on the coastal waters south of Oregon Inlet overnight and no changes will be made to SCA in those waters. Winds subside on all waters Friday, with more marginal seas for SCA, but will ramp up again ahead of a surface low moving just inland by tomorrow evening/night.

Long Term /Friday Night Through Tuesday/ . As of 130 PM Thu . Breezy to strong southwesterly winds develop as low pressure tracks along the coast Friday night, continuing into Saturday night. Hazardous seas of 6-10 ft persist through much of the weekend, before finally subsiding later Sunday as high pres begins to build into the area. More favorable boating conditions prevail early next week has high pressure dominates.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Sunday for AMZ152-154-156- 158. Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST early this morning for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . RF/JME/CTC SHORT TERM . CTC LONG TERM . CB AVIATION . RF/CB MARINE . RF/JME/CTC/CB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 46 mi47 min NE 8 G 11 48°F 54°F1026.8 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 48 mi47 min N 9.9 G 12 42°F 54°F1025.3 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jacksonville, Albert J Ellis Airport, NC6 mi21 minN 510.00 miFair37°F35°F93%1027.2 hPa
MCAS New River, NC12 mi21 minVar 310.00 miFair39°F36°F89%1026.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOAJ

Wind History from OAJ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------N7NE9NE12--NE13N12NE13
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NE9N9NE8N8N8N6NE9N8N7NE7NE74NE6N5
1 day ago------NW7N8NW9
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N9N9N9N8N8N7----N3N4----------------
2 days agoS8S10S10SW8SW9--SW11S17
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Tide / Current Tables for Bannermans Branch, Northeast River, North Carolina
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Bannermans Branch
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:42 AM EST     1.27 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:25 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 10:43 AM EST     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:50 PM EST     1.53 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:01 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:33 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:35 PM EST     0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.71.11.21.31.210.70.40.2-0-00.20.71.21.51.51.51.310.80.50.30.1

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:36 AM EST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:04 AM EST     3.64 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:23 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 02:33 PM EST     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:59 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:31 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:28 PM EST     2.82 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.4-0.1-0.10.311.92.83.43.63.52.92.11.20.4-0-00.311.72.42.82.82.41.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.