Saturday, December14, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Minnesott Beach, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 4:58PM Saturday December 14, 2019 7:28 AM EST (12:28 UTC) Moonrise 7:30PMMoonset 9:20AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ137 NEuse And Bay Rivers- 632 Am Est Sat Dec 14 2019
Today..SW winds 10 kt, becoming west 10 to 20 kt. Waves a light chop, becoming choppy late. Areas of fog early this morning. Showers this morning, then a slight chance of showers early this afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm early this morning.
Tonight..W winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop in the afternoon.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight.
Mon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Mon night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Tue..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw. Waves choppy. Showers, then showers likely.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Minnesott Beach, NC
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location: 34.98, -76.88     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 141110 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 610 AM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure will lift north of the region today pushing a cold front through the area. High pressure will build in briefly Sunday and Monday, followed by another cold front on Tuesday. Cold high pressure then builds in through the remainder of the work week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 610 AM Sat . Some convection conts to skirt the coast with next main batch of shra beginning to reach SW tier. This batch of shra and poss isold tsra near cst will cont thru late morn then move offshore. Areas of fog shld grad lift thru mid/late morn as SW winds ramp up.

Prev disc . Heavier convection now over the waters just off the OBX. Most of the region will see just patchy light rain and drizzle til around daybreak then another batch of shra is expected to cross during the morn ahead of cold front/upr trf. Mdls have backed off a bit on precip amounts with best chc appearing near the coast where some weak instab develops in warm sector . will cont slight chc tsra mention imd cst for several hours this morn. Wide spread fog will cont thru early to mid morning as low lvls will remain saturated. Later this morn bulk of precip will move offshore as drier air spreads in. Will cont isold shra mention mostly NW tier this aftn as upr trf crosses. Some peaks of sun expected this aftn in wrly flow but mdls cont to show good deal of clouds thru the aftn. No signif change to temps with around 60 deep inland to mid/upr 60s cst. WSW winds in wake of cold front will be gusty this aftn.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SUNDAY/. As of 220 AM Sat . Quiet weather as upr trf pivots offshore with high pres gradually building in from the WSW. Much drier air spread in with skies becoming mainly clr. Lows will range from upr 30s deep inland to mid/upr 40s OBX where W winds will remain gusty.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 225 AM Sat . Drier and mild conditions are expected Sunday and Monday. Another cold front will cross the area Tuesday, bringing additional chances for rain, and then colder high pressure builds into the region through Friday.

Sunday and Monday . Upper level trough will move out of the region Sunday morning, with heights quickly rebounding. High pressure will move in from the west, and settle in offshore late Sunday through Monday. Expect high temps on Sunday to reach the upper 50s to low 60s across the area, and be even milder on Monday, reaching the mid to upper 60s.

Tuesday . High pressure will continue to ridge in from offshore Tuesday morning, as a strong cold front and upper level trough approach from the west. Guidance has slowed slightly, with the front now crossing Eastern NC in the late afternoon/evening. Have scaled back precip with the later arrival of the front, but still have likely to categorical as widespread PoPs as areas of rain arrive Tuesday afternoon and into the Tuesday night. Expect very warm temperatures, with lows only in the 60s Tuesday morning, and then warming up into the upper 60s in the afternoon despite widespread clouds and rain. Given the warm and moist atmosphere, some isolated thunderstorms will also be possible, but should be relegated to the immediate coast and offshore. Severe threat looks marginal, as uncertainty remains with how much instability will develop onshore, but the dynamic profile is impressive with 50-70 kts of bulk shear present.

Wednesday through Friday . Behind the cold front, colder high pressure will build in from the west for this period, as the the Eastern US remains underneath an expansive longwave trough. Strong CAA will limit high temps on Wednesday, despite sunny skies, with readings only reaching the mid 40s across the area. CAA will continue Wednesday night, and very cold temperatures are expected as the axis of a strong shortwave trough crosses the area. Low temps will likely fall into the mid to upper 20s across most of the area, with low 30s on the Outer Banks and beaches. With low level heights slow to recover Thursday, and modest CAA continuing, expect highs only to reach the low to mid 40s. Conditions will finally begin to moderate Friday with high temps back into the low to mid 50s.

AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 610 AM Sat . Widespread IFR/LIFR conts with low clouds and fog. Winds now becoming SW as low passes to the N and as speeds increase this morn would expect lower clouds to grad rise . espcly from mid morn on as batch of shra passes to the E. Will cont to show MVFR developing mid to late morn with VFR becoming dominant this aftn as cigs rise. WSW winds will gust to around 20 kts mid morn thru most of the aftn. Drier air spreads in tonight with skies clearing . winds will diminish but expect enuf mixing to preclude any late night fog.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 300 AM Sat . VFR conditions are expected through Tuesday morning when another cold front moves through the area and may bring a period of MVFR/IFR conditions through Wednesday morning.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 610 AM Sat . Sfc low is lifting to the N with winds becoming SW . still strongest over warmer gulf stream waters E of Cape Hatteras. Added a foot to init waves off OBX otherwise fcst on track. Considered Dense Fog Advisory for some wtrs this morn but vsbys have been bouncing around and not staying aob 1 mile.

Prev disc . Ill defined sfc low just to the S will lift N near or just inland of coast this morn. This will keep stronger S winds mainly over the outer wtrs. As the low lifts N of region a cold front will approach and cross the region. Expect SW winds to increase thru the morn ahead of the front then shift to the W and remain quite gusty this aftn as front moves offshore. The gusty W winds will cont thru the evening then diminish late tonight as high pres begins to build in from the WSW. Seas will remain rough over the coastal waters generally 6 to 10 feet into evening . then drop to 5 to 8 ft toward daybreak Sunday. No change to headlines with SCA cont cstl wtrs thru period. On sounds and Alligator River expect SCA to develop today and cont this evening then grad end by daybreak Sunday.

Long Term /Sunday Through Wednesday/ . As of 300 AM Sat . Small craft conditions are expected to persist through Sunday afternoon. Then, winds be relatively weak before turning to the south Monday at 10-20 kts, with seas 3-5 ft. Small craft conditions will likely return late Monday afternoon, with winds at SSW 20-30 kts and seas building to 7-10 ft through Tuesday evening. Then, a cold front will move through the area and turn winds to the NW, still at 20-30 kts through Wednesday.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Sunday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 5 AM EST Sunday for AMZ131-230-231. Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EST Sunday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until noon EST Sunday for AMZ150-156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . RF SHORT TERM . RF LONG TERM . SGK AVIATION . RF/SGK MARINE . RF/SGK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 21 mi65 min SW 4.1 G 7 59°F 55°F1002.3 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 31 mi89 min SW 7 G 11 61°F 1002.6 hPa (-0.5)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC8 mi95 minWSW 1010.00 miThunderstorm64°F61°F90%1001.5 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC12 mi35 minSW 910.00 miOvercast61°F59°F93%1001.5 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC21 mi91 minSW 82.00 miFog/Mist61°F60°F97%1002.1 hPa
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC22 mi93 minSW 710.00 miPartly Cloudy65°F61°F87%1002.2 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC22 mi92 minW 100.50 miThunderstorm Fog0°F0°F%1002.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNKT

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4NE4NE5NE8N5N6N8NE6NE6NE4N4NW6NE4--NE5NE5N3--CalmSW8SW12SW10SW10W6
1 day agoNE15NE16NE16
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NE16NE19NE16NE15NE16NE14N11NE14NE11NE11NE11NE10NE9NE7NE7NE7NE10NE11NE7NE4
2 days agoN14--N19
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:50 AM EST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:06 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:18 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 09:59 AM EST     2.51 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:48 PM EST     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:56 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:29 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:25 PM EST     1.94 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.30.80.3-0-0.10.10.61.21.92.32.52.421.40.80.3-0-0.10.10.61.11.61.91.9

Tide / Current Tables for Newport River, North Carolina
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Newport River
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:33 AM EST     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:05 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:18 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 09:43 AM EST     3.74 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:31 PM EST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:56 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:29 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:09 PM EST     2.90 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.710.3-0.1-0.20.31.12.133.63.73.42.81.910.3-0.1-0.10.41.11.92.62.92.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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