Saturday, July4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Trent Woods, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:57AMSunset 8:27PM Saturday July 4, 2020 1:28 AM EDT (05:28 UTC) Moonrise 7:17PMMoonset 4:15AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ137 NEuse And Bay Rivers- 1001 Pm Edt Fri Jul 3 2020
Overnight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, diminishing to around 5 kt after midnight. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, diminishing to around 5 kt after midnight. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the evening.
Mon..SE winds around 5 kt, increasing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Trent Woods, NC
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location: 35.09, -77.1     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 040158 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 958 PM EDT Fri Jul 3 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure builds into the area through the weekend. An area of low pressure may develop and lift along the Southeast coast next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/. As of 950 PM Fri . The current forecast is on track. No update needed.

Pre Dis . No significant changes to the current forecast. The latest radar returns are showing a few isolated light showers that developed over the eastern-end of Mainland Hyde which was along the sea-breeze boundary--which diminished quickly. Can't rule another brief isolated shower along the sea breeze before sunset.

Prev Dis . Mostly dry conditions and clear skies expected this evening through tomorrow morning with high pressure in place. Light NW flow has fended off sea breeze development all day, though obs are starting to show it advance slowly late this afternoon as expected. Can't rule out a brief isolated shower along that boundary prior to sunset, but atmosphere is relatively dry throughout, so no POPs are mentioned. Temps cool down to low-to-mid 70s inland and around 80 for coastal areas.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/. As of 320 PM Fri . Mostly dry for the first half of Saturday with strong ridge of high pressure in control through the early afternoon. Models then show a backdoor cold front advancing south mid-afternoon through the evening and providing a chance for showers and thunderstorms to develop along it. Some guidance disagreement on the significance of the front and the storms forming along it, with the ECMWF being the outlier with a weak FROPA and little to no QPF. Capped POPs at 30-40% for the area at the moment, but still forecasting some sct showers and tstorms along the front given modest instability and PWAT values near 2 inches in the vicinity of the front. Additionally, general WNW winds will delay, but not prevent, sea breeze development through at least mid-afternoon. A few showers and storms could form along that boundary as well. Temps will have no problem warming up ahead of the backdoor front with highs getting into the mid- 90s inland and upper-80s along the beaches.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 250 AM Friday . Bermuda high pressure to the east re- establishes itself on Sunday, before low pressure forms over the Deep South late in the weekend then moves slowly along or off the NC coast early through late next week resulting in unsettled weather for most of the upcoming week.

Sunday and Monday . Bermuda high pressure will temporarily build into the region through Monday as the front stalls and slowly dissipates across the southern half of the area. The remnant front should act as a focus for mainly diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms both days. Sunday as the front dissipates over the region. Warm and humid conditions will prevail with highs mainly in the mid to upper 80s.

Tuesday through Thursday . The models continue to show the development of a surface low over the Deep South Sunday which is then forecast to move slowly near or off the NC coast early through late next week. The low will draw deeper moisture north into the area and thus will have high chance PoPs through Thursday. Daytime highs mainly in the mid to upper 80s each day.

AVIATION /02Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Short Term /through Saturday/ . As of 650 PM Fri . High confidence in VFR conditions will dominate most of the TAF period. Mostly clear skies with light and variable winds, some places may become calm overnight. Can't rule out a brief patchy fog to develop near sunrise, though dewpoints are forecasted to be lower than last night. Overall, expect dry weather to continue through most of tomorrow then a backdoor cold front will start to push through in the afternoon-- increasing the chances for showers and thunderstorms late in the TAF period.

Long Term /Saturday through Tuesday/ . As of 250 AM Friday . Widely scattered to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected Saturday afternoon and night as a backdoor cold front moves into the area. The front is forecast to stall and dissipate over the southern portion of the area Sunday and Monday and act as a focus for mainly diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms. More widespread showers and thunderstorms could develop Tuesday as a slow moving area of low pressure moves into the area. Expect mostly VFR conditions outside of showers and thunderstorms through Monday with more widespread sub VFR conditions possible Tuesday. As usual, with very moist low levels, morning stratus and fog may occur in areas that receive rain on the previous day leading to sub VFR conditions.

MARINE. Short Term /through Saturday/ . As of 950 PM Fri . The latest buoy observations are showing mostly SW winds 10 knots or less and seas 2 ft. Overall pleasant boating weather continues tonight and into tomorrow. SW winds will pick up a little overnight to 10-15 kts and turn W by daybreak Saturday. A backdoor front will begin its push south in the afternoon and shift winds to the NE as it passes before coming to a stop around the Crystal Coast in the evening. Seas will remain 2-3 ft with a few 4 ft waves further offshore in the central waters.

Long Term /Saturday through Tuesday/ . As of 250 AM Friday . Benign marine conditions will continue through early next week with a generally light gradient over the waters resulting in winds 5-15 kt through the period. Winds will be southerly through Tue with the northern and portions of the central waters becoming easterly Sat and Sunday. Seas will be 2-3 ft through the period.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . BM/ML SHORT TERM . ML LONG TERM . JME AVIATION . JME/BM/ML MARINE . JME/BM/ML


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 34 mi59 min W 2.9 G 7 82°F 84°F1013 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 44 mi89 min W 9.9 G 12 82°F 1012.7 hPa (+0.8)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC3 mi35 minWSW 510.00 miFair76°F68°F77%1012.8 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC20 mi35 minSW 510.00 miFair77°F66°F71%1012.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWN

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4NW4NW5NW6W5N6N8NW4--W3NE3W4W3CalmSW5SW6SW4W5
1 day agoS4S5CalmCalmS3CalmN6NE5N5N7CalmNE5NE8N10NE7NE6NE6E4E4CalmSE3CalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4S5CalmS4S11NW4SW5SE5SE3SE4S5S4S3CalmE8E8

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:15 AM EDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:54 AM EDT     1.99 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:06 PM EDT     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:14 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:19 PM EDT     2.57 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.10.50.1-0.2-0.10.30.91.51.921.81.50.90.40-0.2-00.41.11.72.32.62.52.2

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:13 AM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:48 AM EDT     1.23 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:04 PM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:15 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:13 PM EDT     1.58 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.10.70.30-0.1-00.20.60.91.21.21.10.90.60.20-0.1-00.30.71.11.41.61.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.