Thursday, July2, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Buxton, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:57AMSunset 8:26PM Thursday July 2, 2020 5:07 AM EDT (09:07 UTC) Moonrise 5:01PMMoonset 2:29AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ174 Expires:202006160530;;348870 Fzus72 Kmhx 160443 Mwsmhx Marine Weather Statement National Weather Service Newport/morehead City Nc 1243 Am Edt Tue Jun 16 2020 Amz154-156-158-174-176-160530- 1243 Am Edt Tue Jun 16 2020
.strong Thunderstorms over the waters... The areas affected include... S of cape hatteras nc to ocracoke inlet nc out to 20 nm... S of cape lookout nc to surf city nc out to 20 nm... S of ocracoke inlet nc to cape lookout nc out to 20 nm... Waters from cape hatteras to ocracoke inlet nc from 20 to 40 nm... Waters from ocracoke inlet to cape lookout nc from 20 to 40 nm... At 1242 am edt, doppler radar indicated strong Thunderstorms, capable of producing winds to around 30 knots. These Thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 9 nm southeast of ar250 to near atlas tanker, moving west at 10 knots. Precautionary/preparedness actions... Mariners can expect gusty winds to around 30 knots, locally higher waves, and lightning strikes. Boaters should seek safe harbor immediately until these storms pass. && lat...lon 3516 7577 3463 7661 3440 7632 3485 7562


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Buxton, NC
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location: 35.13, -75.06     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 020721 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 321 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2020

SYNOPSIS. A trough of low pressure will remain offshore today, as high pressure builds in from the west. High pressure will then continue to build into the area through the weekend. An area of low pressure may develop and lift along the Southeast coast next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 300 AM Thurs . A few showers remain over the southern NC coast this morning, but expect precip to diminish very soon. Expect there to be some areas of fog formation later this morning as conditions clear behind last night's convection and the ground remains very wet.

As the upper level trough slides offshore this morning, the flow will become northerly, though remain light. Mostly sunny skies this morning will allow for a sea breeze to quickly form, and with the flow out of the north, little inland progress is expected and the sea breeze is expected to remained pinned fairly close to the coast all day. Though the column will be drying, good moisture will remain in the mid and low levels (and PWATs remain above 1.5"), which combined with subtle forcing from the upper trough, will produce an active sea breeze front with showers and thunderstorms developing along it early (by late AM), and slowly spreading inland through the afternoon. Aforementioned upper level drying should limit deep convection, and with atmospheric winds light, not expecting any strong/severe storms.

Temperatures should max out right around normal, reaching the upper 80s to around 90.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY/. As of 315 AM Thurs . Aside from a lingering shower this evening, expecting dry conditions tonight as subsidence increases behind the upper trough. Expect mild conditions with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 315 AM Thursday . Upper ridging will extend east into the area Friday and Saturday. Bermuda high pressure to the east re- establishes itself on Sunday, before low pressure forms over the Deep South late in the weekend then moves along or off the NC coast early next week.

Friday through Saturday . As the upper low moves away Friday, upper level heights rise and weak upper ridging will extend into the region Fri-Sat. Kept Friday dry with a chance of late day, showers and storms along the sea breeze and along and ahead of a backdoor cold front over the northern half of the area but still not a bad fourth of July. With less precipitation coverage, highs should warm into the lower 90s for many areas Friday and Saturday.

Sunday and Sunday night . Bermuda high pressure will temporarily build into the region Sunday as the front dissipates over the region. This will lead to warm humid conditions with scattered sea breeze activity in the late day hours. Highs mainly upper 80s.

Monday through Wednesday . The models continue to show the development of a surface low over the Deep South Sunday which is then forecast to move near or off the NC coast early next week. The low will draw deeper moisture north into the area and thus will have high chance PoPs for Monday through Wednesday. Daytime highs mainly in the mid to upper 80s each day.

AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Short Term /through Tomorrow Morning/ . As of 145 AM Thurs . A mix of MVFR and VFR conditions are present early this morning, as a weakening complex of thunderstorms moves over the southern NC coast and eventually dissipates/moves offshore. Expect MVFR conditions related to rainfall to continue the next hour or so, and then think VFR conditions will return for a couple hours as skies clear and winds remain calm. Given the wet ground and clear skies/little wind, expect fog/low stratus formation to MVFR levels to occur across a good portion of Eastern NC, and become most widespread over the coastal plain where IFR conditions are possible. VFR conditions should return soon after sunrise, and persist through the day.

Long Term /Friday through Monday/ . As of 315 AM Thursday . Little to no precipitation expected Friday and Saturday with mostly VFR conditions prevailing. Better rain chances return Sunday into early next week with the Bermuda high setting up to the east resulting in a good influx of Gulf Moisture. Expect mostly VFR conditions, but scattered showers and storms could lower conditions briefly Sunday and Monday. As usual, with very moist low levels, morning stratus and fog may occur in areas that receive rain on the previous day leading to sub VFR conditions.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 315 AM Thurs . Pristine boating conditions continue today and tonight with light winds out of the north at 10 kts or less, and seas 2-3 ft.

Long Term /Friday through Monday/ . As of 315 AM Thursday . Benign marine conditions will continue through early next week with a generally light gradient over the region resulting in winds 5-15 kt through the period. Winds will be mainly S/SW with the northern and portions of the central waters becoming easterly Sat and Sunday. Seas will 2-3 ft through Sunday building to 3-4 ft Mon afternoon.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . SGK SHORT TERM . SGK LONG TERM . JME/CTC AVIATION . JME/SGK MARINE . JME/SGK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41025 - Diamond Shoals 18 mi37 min SSW 9.7 G 14 78°F 83°F1008.7 hPa71°F
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 35 mi49 min WSW 4.1 G 5.1 1009.9 hPa
44095 45 mi41 min 80°F3 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 53 mi55 min NW 7 G 11 1010.2 hPa

Wind History for USCG Station Hatteras, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hatteras, Mitchell Field, NC30 mi76 minSW 710.00 miFair77°F70°F79%1009.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHSE

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE3E4SE6SE5SE4S3S3S45S7S7SE6SE7S7S7SE5S6SE3W7SE4S11SW10SW7W4
1 day agoCalmCalmSW4CalmN4433S5S4S4S4S5S5S4S4SE4S3CalmCalmSE3CalmE3E3
2 days agoW8
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NW6W65W5W5W76W6553Calm3NE4CalmCalmN3N3CalmCalmNE4NE3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Hatteras, North Carolina
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Cape Hatteras
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:32 AM EDT     3.42 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:20 AM EDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:02 PM EDT     4.52 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:02 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-00.41.22.12.93.43.42.92.11.10.3-0.2-0.10.51.42.53.54.24.54.33.52.41.30.3

Tide / Current Tables for Avon, North Carolina
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Avon
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:30 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:27 AM EDT     2.43 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:27 AM EDT     -0.41 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:03 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:09 PM EDT     3.73 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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00.30.81.52.12.42.421.40.60-0.4-0.30.10.91.82.73.43.73.632.21.20.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.