Wednesday, January22, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Buxton, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 5:27PM Wednesday January 22, 2020 3:04 AM EST (08:04 UTC) Moonrise 5:18AMMoonset 3:19PM Illumination 9% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ174 Expires:201908181526;;420365 Fzus72 Kmhx 181516 Mwsmhx Marine Weather Statement National Weather Service Newport/morehead City Nc 1116 Am Edt Sun Aug 18 2019 Amz172-174-181526- /o.can.kmhx.ma.w.0149.000000t0000z-190818t1545z/ 1116 Am Edt Sun Aug 18 2019
.the special marine warning is cancelled... The affected areas were... Waters from cape hatteras to ocracoke inlet nc from 20 to 40 nm... Waters from oregon inlet to cape hatteras nc from 20 to 40 nm... The Thunderstorm has moved out of the area and no longer poses a significant threat to boaters. Lat...lon 3498 7491 3486 7514 3509 7511 3536 7483 time...mot...loc 1513z 224deg 18kt 3516 7484


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Buxton, NC
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location: 35.13, -75.06     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 220243 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 943 PM EST Tue Jan 21 2020

SYNOPSIS. Cold high pressure will prevail across the region for most of the week. Low pressure and its associated cold front will impact the area late Friday into Saturday. High pressure returns Saturday night.

NEAR TERM /OVERNIGHT/. As of 945 PM Tuesday . Latest analysis shows high pressure centered over the OH Valley region, while sfc low strengthens off the FL coast. As the low strengthens tonight, the will remain tightened between the high and low pressure systems; allowing for windy conditions to continue along the NC coast. Wind Advisories ongoing for Eastern Carteret and the Outer Banks with wind gusts up to 45 mph tonight. Cold night across ENC, expect mid to upper 20s inland and mid to upper 30s along the beaches. With the combination of windy conditions and cold temperatures will result in Wind Chill values in the teens across most inland locations early Wednesday.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY/. As of 300 PM Tuesday . The center of the high pressure will slide into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast region with ridging stretching across the region, while ridging aloft builds in as the low pressure system to the southeast gradually moves further out to sea. Dry weather conditions will continue across the region tomorrow with temperatures increasing about 5 degrees higher than today. Low level thicknesses support highs in the mid/upper 40s across the area.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 300 PM Tue . Gradual warming and dry conditions will continue through the end of the work week before a cold front moves through Friday into Saturday. Expect seasonable, but dry weather to finish the weekend and continue into early next week.

Wednesday Night into Thursday . High pressure will finally push the low well off the SE coast further out to sea. Pressure gradients will relax as the ridge builds more robustly over the Mid Atlantic and Northeast, ramping down our strong NE winds. Without strong CAA, temps will begin to warm to near normal on Thursday with dry conditions.

Friday and Saturday . High pressure will begin sliding out to the NE as a stacked low pressure advances across the Midwest and Northeast late in the week, dragging a cold front across the area on Saturday. Latest models still project a fairly dry airmass ahead of the cold front, given the predominantly easterly flow at the surface on the south side of exiting high. However, a secondary low developing along the front will provide a boost in moisture as it passes through or just NW of our area, resulting in a more consolidated timeframe for showers. Have kept POPs at likely for most of the area Friday night into Saturday. Cold front moves offshore Saturday night with winds shifting to the WNW and drier conditions.

Sunday through Tuesday . Deep layer subsidence will keep a dry forecast in place late in the weekend into early next week. High pressure building in from the southwest will generally be mild, and near normal temps are expected.

AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Short Term /through Wednesday/ . As of 645 PM Tuesday . Pred VFR conditions expected through the period. Northerly winds 10-15 mph will continue into Wed.

Long Term /Wednesday night through Sunday/ . As of 3 PM Tue . VFR conditions prevail into Friday, with the only significant cloud coverage being cirrus. Ceiling and visibility restrictions are possible later Friday through Saturday as a cold front and embedded low impact the area. Cold front will move offshore by Saturday night with VFR conditions returning Sunday.

MARINE. Short Term /through Wednesday/ . As of 945 PM Tuesday . Dangerous conditions across the waters tonight into Wednesday. Latest buoy obs show northerly winds 25-35 gusting to 40 knots and seas 7-12 feet. Gale Warnings in effect with across all the waters, except for the inland rivers where Small Craft Advisories remain. Gusty winds will peak tonight and seas will continue to build to 8-13 feet. Winds will slowly subside Wed, but likely remain Gale force south of Oregon Inlet through most of the day. After seas peak 8-13 feet Wednesday morning, seas will gradually subside to 6-9 feet by the afternoon.

Long Term /Wednesday Night through Sunday/ . As of 3 PM Tue . North to northeast winds continue to diminish Wednesday night through Thursday as low pressure moves further off the Southeast coast and ridging persists inland. Seas gradually subside from 6-9 ft Wednesday night to around 4-7 ft Thursday and Friday. Winds become breezy from the SSE late Friday night into Saturday ahead of an approaching cold front, which will cross the waters Saturday evening. Waves build to 6-10 ft with the increasing S windswell through then subside to 4-6 ft once the front passes through by Sunday.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 3 PM Tuesday . North to northeast gales persisting into Wednesday morning could cause minor water level rises across the southern Pamlico Sound from Ocracoke Island to the Lower Neuse River, with inundation of around 1 ft or less possible for very low lying areas mainly Downeast Carteret County. Additionally, low pressure moving from off the Southeast coast toward the central Atlantic could result in elevated tide levels on the ocean and near inlets mid- week into the weekend.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Wind Advisory until 7 AM EST Wednesday for NCZ196-203>205. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ136-137. Gale Warning until 10 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ135. Gale Warning until 7 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ131-150-230-231. Gale Warning until 7 PM EST Wednesday for AMZ152-154-156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CQD/BM SHORT TERM . BM LONG TERM . ML AVIATION . CQD/CB MARINE . CQD/BM/CB TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41025 - Diamond Shoals 18 mi35 min N 25 G 31 49°F 72°F1023.4 hPa46°F
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 35 mi59 min 41°F 41°F1025.3 hPa
44095 45 mi49 min 50°F8 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 53 mi59 min 40°F 41°F1026.2 hPa

Wind History for USCG Station Hatteras, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hatteras, Mitchell Field, NC30 mi74 minNNE 10 G 2110.00 miFair42°F35°F76%1025.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHSE

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Cape Hatteras, North Carolina
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Cape Hatteras
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:19 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:23 AM EST     3.86 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:39 AM EST     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:20 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 05:19 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:39 PM EST     2.95 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:28 PM EST     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-00.81.72.73.43.83.83.22.41.30.4-0.2-0.30.10.81.62.42.92.92.51.80.90-0.4

Tide / Current Tables for Avon, North Carolina
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Avon
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:19 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:26 AM EST     3.57 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:05 PM EST     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:20 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 05:19 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:45 PM EST     2.18 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:31 PM EST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.81.62.53.13.53.53.12.41.50.80.2-00.10.61.11.72.12.21.91.40.80.3-0.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.