Saturday, August8, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Hobucken, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:21AMSunset 8:04PM Saturday August 8, 2020 4:44 AM EDT (08:44 UTC) Moonrise 10:03PMMoonset 9:51AM Illumination 81% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ137 NEuse And Bay Rivers- 402 Am Edt Sat Aug 8 2020
Today..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms this morning, then a chance of showers and tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then a chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the evening.
Mon..W winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then a chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hobucken, NC
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location: 35.19, -76.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 080801 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 401 AM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak frontal boundary will linger well inland today as a weak trough continues near the coast. The front will push offshore on Sunday with high pressure building in from the north.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. As of 330 AM Saturday . A mid-level shortwave will push off the mid-Atlantic states this morning with broad troughing continuing across the Southeast while a weak surface trough/frontal boundary continues across the piedmont. Expect another round of shower and thunderstorms today as a moist and unstable airmass persisting and expect convection to develop on the sea breeze and lingering boundaries across the region. Most storms will remain below severe limits with weak 0-6km bulk shear mainly less than 20 kt, however PW values around 2" will bring heavy rainfall rates and could see localized flooding in areas that see training cells again this afternoon. Temps will be seasonably warm with highs in the upper 80s inland to mid 80s coast.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 345 AM Saturday . Ongoing convection will gradually wane through the evening with loss of surface heating and expect mainly dry conditions after midnight, though could see isolated showers over the coastal waters skirting coastal areas. Lows expected in the low to mid 70s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 3 AM Sat . Seasonable weather on tap through the long term period, with only minor day to day variability owing to subtle changes in the upper level pattern and strength of low level WAA.

Sunday and Monday . Expansive ridging aloft settles over the southern US, though there will be a localized weakness or very week shortwave that will linger over the Carolinas. At the surface, Bermuda high pressure becomes the dominate feature as a very weak surface boundary dissipates over the area, with mainly light SW flow and humid conditions persisting. While the broad subsidence aloft solicits below-normal POPs, the potential for the locally weaker subsidence justifies keeping 30-40% POPs focused mainly along and inland of the typical sea breeze corridor each afternoon. The severe weather threat is low, as updrafts will struggle to persist in the weakly sheared environment given the drier air aloft. Very slow storm motion could bring some minor local flooding issues under the strongest storms, but significant flash flooding is not expected. Temps will be near normal with plentiful sunshine each morning prompting temps to climb to near 90 away from the beaches.

Tuesday through Friday . A more pronounced weakness aloft develops mid to late week, with afternoon convective activity increasing in coverage each successive day. Continued SW flow on the periphery of the Bermuda high will keep ample low level moisture in place through the period, with storm trends following mainly diurnal patterns, with the greatest threat for thunderstorms coming each afternoon along and ahead of the sea breeze. Waning upper level subsidence and weak surface troughing gradually developing inland will allow for greater storm coverage (~50% POP by Thu/Fri), and would be expected to initiate convection earlier in the day with less capping in place. Temps will generally continue to be near normal, with convection being the primary culprit for deviations from normal.

AVIATION /07Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 2 AM Saturday . Pred VFR conditions expected through the TAF period outside of showers and thunderstorms expected to develop late morning through the afternoon. Convective debris clouds are limiting radiational so far this morning but cannot rule patchy fog or stratus developing late if breaks develop. Guidance is suggesting PGV and ISO have a better chance to see sub-VFR conditions this morning.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 3 AM Sat . VFR prevails through the coming week, with the only potential for flight restrictions coming with scattered afternoon convection and patchy morning fog each day.

MARINE. Short Term /Through Tonight/ . As of 4 AM Saturday . A weak trough of low pressure continues inland with weak pressure gradients across the waters through the short term. Winds will generally be less than 15 kt with seas around 2-3 ft.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 3 AM Sat . It is tough to find a more prolonged period of favorable marine conditions than we will experience in the coming week. Expect S to SW winds around 10 kt or less early to mid week, with gusts to around 15 kt each afternoon as the sea breeze develops and differential heating tightens the gradient a bit locally. Seas persist around 2 ft, with only minor medium period swell arriving to local waters and minimal contribution from locally generated windswell.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . SK SHORT TERM . SK LONG TERM . CB AVIATION . SK/CB MARINE . SK/CB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 35 mi57 min SSW 7 G 9.9 81°F 85°F1019.3 hPa
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 39 mi57 min WSW 4.1 G 7 80°F 83°F1019.3 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 40 mi45 min SW 7 G 9.9 81°F 1019 hPa (-1.2)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC12 mi49 minS 410.00 miFair79°F72°F79%1019.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNBT

Wind History from NBT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW3S3SW4S3SW3SW5SW4SW7S9S9SW9SW7S7S7S8S7SW6SW5SW5SW4SW6SW4CalmS4
1 day agoCalmSW6CalmCalmNW4N6W4CalmCalmSE8NE9W9S11S5SW3SW4CalmSW3CalmS4SW6S4CalmSW4
2 days agoCalmSW4CalmSW3W5NW7CalmNE5NE11NE13CalmNE4CalmCalmS5S4CalmS4SE3CalmSE5S4S4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Ocracoke Inlet, North Carolina
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Ocracoke Inlet
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:18 AM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:49 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 11:33 AM EDT     2.02 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:44 PM EDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:00 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:43 PM EDT     1.90 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.91.61.20.80.40.20.30.50.91.41.8221.81.51.10.70.40.40.50.91.21.61.8

Tide / Current Tables for Ocracoke, Ocracoke Island, North Carolina
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Ocracoke
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:54 AM EDT     0.15 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:49 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 11:34 AM EDT     0.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:49 PM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:00 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:49 PM EDT     0.92 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.80.60.40.20.20.20.20.30.50.80.90.90.80.70.50.30.20.20.20.30.50.70.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.