Friday, May29, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bayview, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:54AMSunset 8:16PM Friday May 29, 2020 10:28 PM EDT (02:28 UTC) Moonrise 11:19AMMoonset 12:28AM Illumination 55% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ136 Pamlico And Pungo Rivers- 959 Pm Edt Fri May 29 2020
Overnight..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Showers and tstms likely.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves light chop. Showers and tstms likely, mainly in the evening.
Sun..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the morning.
Sun night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Mon night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bayview, NC
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location: 35.38, -76.67     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 292359 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 759 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will continue to slowly approach the area from the west tonight and Saturday moving offshore Saturday night. High pressure will build into the region late this weekend and early next week.ild into the region late this weekend and early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/. As of 755 PM Friday . Latest surface analysis continues to show a deep flow of moisture helping to fuel numerous showers and thunderstorms across much of the southeastern CONUS today, although activity is waning across E NC with loss of heating. Biggest change was to lower temperatures quite a bit with rain and clouds preventing most locations from reaching beyond the mid 70s. Otherwise overall forecast looks decent with no other major changes.

Prev disc . Deep moisture remains in place across eastern NC fueling bands of thunderstorms with heavy downpours at late afternoon. Flood Advisories were issued earlier for northwest Duplin County and are currently in effect in the Jacksonville area. This area coincides with the best Theta-E and precipitable water axis. Should see activity slowly work toward the coast over the next few hours, then a lull can be expected one again later this evening into tonight. The latest HRRR and 3km NAM show showers and storms redeveloping near or just offshore toward morning, much like this morning, and blossoming along the coast by daybreak Saturday. PoPs continue in the high chance to likely category this evening, dropping back to chance overnight as loss of heating leads to at least some dissipation of the convection. Another warm and muggy night expected with lows 69-73 degrees.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/. As of 315 PM Friday . Another surge of deep moisture ahead of a slow-moving cold front will lead to widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms Saturday. Precipitable waters in excess of 2 inches will again make heavy downpours the primary threat tomorrow. Most of the area is also in a Marginal Threat of severe weather. Although low-level shear is limited, there could be a brief wet microburst or two during the day. What breaks that occur in the clouds will lead to a very warm afternoon as thickness values support highs in the low to mid 80s area-wide.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 245 AM Friday . A cold front will approach the area Saturday evening, then push offshore early Sunday with high pressure building into the region early next week providing drier and cooler weather. High pressure moved offshore by the middle of the week with a series of disturbances bringing rain chances back into the forecast.

Saturday night . The upper level trough and cold front approach the area Saturday evening. Temps will remain quite mild, with lows only in the mid to upper 60s.

Sunday through Tuesday . The front is progged to be offshore by Sunday morning with high pressure building in from the northwest through the day. The high will be centered across the area Monday and Tuesday with NW downslope flow aloft bringing dry and much more comfortable conditions with dewpoints dropping into the 40s and 50s and temps about 5-10 degrees below normal with highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s.

Tuesday night through Thursday . High pressure will slide offshore Tuesday night with a series of weak disturbances moving through the NW flow aloft bring a chance of showers across the area through the middle of the week. SW return flow around the high offshore will bring much warmer temps with highs well into the 80s, and could approach 90 on Thursday.

AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Short Term /through 18Z Saturday/ . As of 800 PM Fri . Variable flight conditions across the region today with predominantly VFR conditions with pockets of sub-VFR in heavier rainfall/shower activity. Biggest question tonight is whether fog or stratus will overspread the region pre-dawn. Satellite trends suggest mainly broken to overcast conditions will prevail especially thanks to downstream convection streaming across the region, but if some regions sufficiently clear low-level moisture profiles combined with light winds certainly could promote fog. Uncertainty here is too high to mention explicitly in TAFs but did show MVFR ceilings.

More seabreeze shower/thunderstorm activity is expected tomorrow afternoon with MVFR conditions in the morning giving way to variable flight conditions by the afternoon with predominant VFR except in showers/storms.

Long Term /Saturday Night through Wednesday/ . As of 330 PM Friday . An unsettled pattern will continue Saturday night bringing periods of sub-VFR condition to the terminals. With S/SW flow aloft, expect predominantly MVFR conditions with occasional IFR/LIFR in heavier downpours. A cold front will push across rtes early Sunday with high pressure and a much drier airmass building into the area bringing pred VFR conditions Sunday through Tuesday.

MARINE. Short Term /Tonight and Saturday/ . As of 330 PM Friday . At late afternoon, winds are S/SSW at 10-20 knots with seas 3-5 feet, with some 6-footers over the outer central waters. No big change in the overall forecast thinking. A cold front will continue to slowly approach from the west tonight, as S/SW winds 10-20 kt will continue tonight. Winds Saturday should primary be 10-15 knots from the SW with seas 3-5 feet as Small Craft Advisories expire during late morning.

Long Term /Saturday Night through Wednesday/ . As of 330 PM Friday . A cold front will slowly approach from the NW Saturday night before moving offshore Sunday morning. Winds become N/NE around 10-20 kt with gust to around 25 kt at times with seas around 3-6 ft Sunday into Monday. High pressure will become centered across the area Tuesday bringing light and variable winds and seas around 2 to 3 ft.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Saturday for AMZ152-154.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CTC/MS SHORT TERM . CTC LONG TERM . SK AVIATION . SK/MS MARINE . CTC/SK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 46 mi59 min S 8 G 8.9 73°F 79°F1018 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 53 mi89 min SW 5.1 G 6 73°F 1018.6 hPa (+0.7)73°F
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 53 mi59 min S 8.9 G 14 75°F 75°F1017.7 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC24 mi34 minS 410.00 miFair71°F69°F94%1017.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOCW

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4S5S4SE4SE3S7SE3SE3SE5SE4CalmSW6CalmW4CalmCalmSE5S5S4S3SW3S5S6S4
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SE7SE8SE5SE5SE3SE6SE5SE5SE4SE6SE7SE7S4W5W4SE7SE7S4CalmSE5SE6SE6SE4
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:26 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:13 AM EDT     2.21 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:01 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 12:19 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:53 PM EDT     2.00 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:18 PM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:30 PM EDT     First Quarter
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.622.22.11.91.510.60.30.20.30.61.11.61.921.91.61.20.70.40.30.30.6

Tide / Current Tables for Ocracoke, Ocracoke Island, North Carolina (2)
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Ocracoke
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:11 AM EDT     1.12 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:24 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:07 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 12:16 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:51 PM EDT     1.01 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:24 PM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:30 PM EDT     First Quarter
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.11.110.80.50.30.20.10.10.30.60.8110.90.80.60.40.20.10.10.30.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.