Monday, August3, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Washington Park, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:18AMSunset 8:12PM Monday August 3, 2020 1:58 PM EDT (17:58 UTC) Moonrise 7:36PMMoonset 5:01AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ136 Pamlico And Pungo Rivers- 1133 Am Edt Mon Aug 3 2020
.tropical storm warning in effect...
Rest of today..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers early this afternoon, then showers likely late.
Tonight..Tropical storm conditions expected. SE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming S 35 to 45 kt with gusts up to 55 kt after midnight. Waves choppy, increasing to extremely rough after midnight. A chance of tstms. Showers.
Tue..Tropical storm conditions expected. SW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves very rough, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A chance of tstms. Showers, mainly in the morning.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon. A chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then showers and tstms likely in the afternoon.
Thu night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..W winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves flat. Showers and tstms likely.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Showers and tstms likely, mainly in the evening. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Washington Park, NC
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location: 35.54, -77.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 031752 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 152 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

SYNOPSIS. Please see latest advisories from the National Hurricane Center concerning Hurricane Isaias which is expected to make landfall near the North Carolina/South Carolina border late tonight and move inland on Tuesday before moving well north of the area by Tuesday night. A front will linger near or over the area from mid through late week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 1130 AM Monday . Cirrus shield continues to drift into our CWA as showers from Isaias continue to impact the region. Convective line will continue to lift up through NE NC this morning, then filling in across the area through the afternoon. Deeper moisture quickly advects into the area this afternoon as Isaias moves off the Georgia and south South Carolina coasts. PoPs ramp up to likely after 18z this afternoon. Southeast winds ahead of the circulation of Isaias will not really start to increase until after 00Z. With a decent amount of sunshine ahead of the storm today, high temperatures should reach the upper 80s throughout the CWA.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY/. As of 1130 AM Monday . A dramatic increase in the winds across our CWA beginning around 00Z as the center of Tropical Storm Isaias moves inland near the NC/SC border and moves up the I-95 corridor. The strongest winds will impact our Coastal Plains counties, but Tropical Storm force gusts will be likely all the way to the coast. The tornado threat remains a concern along and right of the storm's path late tonight into early Tuesday morning. STP numbers get into the 4-5 range over our far western CWA and this area in particular will need to be monitored for quick spin-ups overnight. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect as latest QPF totals are in the 3-5 inch rain over the western tier of the CWA in a short amount of time given the fairly rapid movement of Isaias. The GFS/ECMWF are trending faster with the movement of the storm with the strongest winds exiting our northern CWA between 09z and 12z Tuesday morning. Storm Surge Watches and Warnings continue for portions of the area, see CF section below for details.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 300 AM Monday . A mid to upper level trough will remain in place through the weekend, allowing for deep SW flow accompanied with Gulf moisture, leading to scattered showers and thunderstorms each day.

Tuesday night through Friday . A trough aloft will remain in across the eastern half of the CONUS allowing for a deep SW flow coupled with Gulf moisture (precip waters AOA 2.0 inches) feed into the region. While at the surface, a cold front will move into the region and stall between central and eastern NC. The latest models don't have a good agreement where the boundary will stall, but think it will be more of a quasi-stationary front. With this synoptic setup, this will allow for showers and thunderstorms to occur each day.

Saturday through Monday . Models disagree further in what will happen to the stationary boundary. The Euro model has the boundary pushing a cold front Saturday morning, while the GFS still has it as a stationary boundary. Will continue to use WPC guidance for this time frame.

In general, temperatures during the long term forecast period will be near climatology with highs in the upper 80s to around 90 and lows mainly in the low to mid 70s.

AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Short Term /through 18Z Tuesday/ . As of 150 PM Monday . Conditions will begin to deteriorate this afternoon and especially tonight as Tropical Cyclone Isaias moves inland and across the Carolinas. Increasing winds, and rain along with lowered ceilings and visibilities are expected by evening. After 0Z MVFR to occasional IFR conditions will prevail with sustained winds at 40 knots with gusts up to 60 knots from especially after midnight into the early morning hours. Winds and precipitation should start to subside fairly quickly from daybreak as the circulation of Isaias moves north into Virgina. MVFR ceilings are likely to linger through the morning with Pred VFR developing in the afternoon.

Long Term /Tuesday night through Saturday/ . As of 150 PM Monday . Outside of scattered, mainly diurnally driven convection, and the potential for brief early morning fog or low clouds, VFR conditions are expected through the period.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tuesday/ . As of 1130 AM Monday . Latest obs show SE/S winds 5-15 kt with seas 3-5 ft. Seas will gradually build to 6-7 feet over the southern waters by late afternoon. Dangerous marine conditions expected tonight as the strong wind field from Tropical Storm Isaias arrives in our area after 00Z tonight with SE winds 35-45 knots with some gusts as high as 60-65 knots overnight. Seas build to as high as 15-20 feet in the southern waters later tonight. Winds will start subside somewhat from south to north by daybreak on Tuesday.

Long Term /Tuesday night through Saturday/ . As of 300 AM Monday . Conditions improve fairly rapidly late Tuesday night as Isaias quickly moves away from the area. Winds will from the S/SW at 15-20 knots Tuesday night, then becoming around 10 or less knots for the rest of the period. Some lingering swell will keep combined seas at 3-5 feet Tuesday night, then further subsiding to 3-4 ft Wednesday evening through the end of the week.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 1130 AM Monday . Storm Surge Warning has been issued for areas adjacent to the inland rivers, Neuse/Bay/Pamlico/Pungo, as well as the soundside Outer Banks north of Oregon Inlet. Storm Surge Watches continue for portions of the coast. In general, storm surge will be 2-4 ft with the greatest inundation along area beaches south of Cape Hatteras and western Pamlico Sound, Roanoke and Croatan Sounds including the Pungo and Pamlico Rivers.

Long period swell from Tropical Storm Isaias will continue to impact the beaches through the middle of the week. These swells will also lead to a high threat of dangerous rip currents. Very dangerous surf conditions are expected Monday night into Tuesday with breaking waves 8 ft or higher along the coast as Isaias is forecast to pass just to the W of the region bringing gusty winds and large seas.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Tropical Storm Warning for NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-094- 193>196-198-199-203>205. Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ195- 196-199-203>205. Storm Surge Watch for NCZ047-195-196-199-204-205. High Surf Advisory from midnight tonight to 2 PM EDT Tuesday for NCZ195-196-199-204. Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday afternoon for NCZ029-044-045- 079-080-090>092-193-198. Storm Surge Warning for NCZ080-081-094-194-203. High Surf Advisory from 4 AM to 2 PM EDT Tuesday for NCZ203- 205. MARINE . Tropical Storm Warning for AMZ131-135>137-150-152-154-156-158- 230-231.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CTC/CQD SHORT TERM . CTC LONG TERM . BM AVIATION . JME/BM MARINE . CQD/BM TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 60 mi65 min SE 8.9 G 13 85°F 85°F1018 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 69 mi59 min SE 16 G 18 84°F 1017.5 hPa (-1.2)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 74 mi65 min SE 8 G 11 84°F 81°F1018.6 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC2 mi64 minW 410.00 miFair85°F74°F69%1017.6 hPa
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC20 mi64 minN 07.00 miFair81°F71°F74%1018.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOCW

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:45 AM EDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:01 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:27 AM EDT     2.09 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:59 AM EDT     Full Moon
Mon -- 03:41 PM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:32 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:49 PM EDT     2.49 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.50.90.40.100.20.71.31.82.12.11.81.40.90.40.100.30.81.422.42.52.3

Tide / Current Tables for Newport River, North Carolina
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Newport River
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:28 AM EDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:01 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:11 AM EDT     3.13 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:59 AM EDT     Full Moon
Mon -- 03:24 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:32 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:33 PM EDT     3.72 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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21.20.50.10.10.51.32.22.83.132.51.81.10.40.10.10.61.42.43.23.63.73.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.