Sunday, August18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Greenville, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:29AMSunset 7:57PM Sunday August 18, 2019 6:01 PM EDT (22:01 UTC) Moonrise 8:54PMMoonset 8:09AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 335 Pm Edt Sun Aug 18 2019
Tonight..W winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms early this evening.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Mon night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..SW winds around 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft, then 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Greenville, NC
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location: 35.58, -77.34     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 182011
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
411 pm edt Sun aug 18 2019

Synopsis
Low pressure will continue to slide away from the area overnight.

High pressure offshore will then extend west into eastern north
carolina through mid week. A cold front will slowly approach
the area late this week and into next weekend.

Near term until 6 am Monday morning
As of 330 pm sun... Mainly dry conditions prevail despite
lingering low level moisture this evening and overnight as
subsidence aloft ensues in the wake of the departing low. Any
isolated showers that do form should be confined to the beaches,
in closest proximity to instability offshore, and along the
albemarle sound region, where outflow from a deteriorating
convective complex that may develop across va could provide just
enough lift for a shower or two. Otherwise, clearing occurs
overnight, especially inland, with lows remaining a few degrees
above normal and patchy light fog possible mainly along and west
of us hwy 17.

Short term 6 am Monday morning through 6 pm Monday
As of 330 pm sun... Bermuda high pressure ridging south of the
area dominates Monday as minor height rises lead to subtle
subsidence aloft. Low to mid level moisture is enough to justify
the continuation of low end chance pops for most inland
locations in the afternoon, but dry air aloft and capping based
around 775 mb should suppress most convection. Mainly sunny
skies through the morning and into the afternoon will allow for
temps to climb several degrees above normal, with lower to mid
90s away from the beaches. These temps, in conjunction with dew
points in the mid 70s will bring heat index values to 100 to 105
Monday afternoon, though the duration of any 105 values is
expected to be too low to justify a heat advisory.

Long term Monday night through Sunday
As of 315 am sun... Somewhat drier conditions are expected
through mid week as high pressure builds in from the east, with
precip chances becoming more scattered. Then, a slow moving cold
front will approach from the north late in the week, which
could lead to another period of unsettled weather from Friday
into next weekend.

Tuesday through Thursday... Scattered afternoon thunderstorms
are expected Tuesday through Thursday with a weak lee trough
forming over central nc, and continued possible convective
initiation along the sea breeze each day. Very little wind shear
will keep convection disorganized.

High temps will be slightly above average through this period.

Tuesday through Thursday will be slightly cooler with highs in
the upper 80s to low 90s inland and the mid to upper 80s along
the coast. Very warm low temps will continue.

Friday and Saturday... The base of an upper level trough will
swing into the southern appalachians Friday, as a cold front
drops south through virginia. Precip chances will be increasing
Friday as storms fire along and south of the front in a hot and
humid airmass. Continued high chances of rain on Saturday as
well, though there is some uncertainty on how far south the
front travels before stalling. The latest GFS shows the front
pushing well south of the forecast area, while the latest ecmwf
stalls the front along the southern nc coast for most of the
weekend. Will look for more model consensus before
increasing decreasing pops from around 50% for this period. High
temps will be cooler with more cloud cover, remaining mostly in
the 80s.

Aviation 20z Sunday through Friday
Short term through Monday ...

as of 140 pm sun...VFR conditions will dominate through the
evening. Pops for a shower or TSTM have diminished this
afternoon as the drier westerly flow from the departing low
kicks in. Overnight, models continue to suggest patchy fog with
some locations possibly reaching ifr. Low-level moisture from
this morning's rainfall is supportive of fog development, though
there is still uncertainty regarding how overnight cloud cover
will affect this.

Long term Monday night through Thursday ...

as of 315 am sun... MostlyVFR conditions this week, with
scattered convection expected during the afternoons and
evenings. Patchy fog also possible in the early mornings with
high dewpoints and rather light winds.

Marine
Short term through Monday ...

as of 345 pm sun... Diamond shoals buoy continues to show 7 ft
late this afternoon, and elevated seas from low pressure
departing the area toward the northeast will linger into the
evening. Light to moderate west to southwest winds continue to
overspread the waters from the south as ridging south of the
area takes over behind the departing low, with light southwest
winds generally dominating overnight. Scas for the elevated seas
continue for the waters around CAPE lookout through 7 pm, and
for the waters around CAPE hatteras through 10 pm, with 6+ ft
seas mainly occurring at and beyond 10 nm.

Long term Monday night through Thursday ...

as of 315 am sun... Decent boating conditions are expected for
most of the week. Winds will be mostly SW 10-15 through
Wednesday afternoon, before increasing to 15-20 kts Wednesday
evening through Thursday. Seas will be mostly 2-4 ft through
Wednesday, and then increase to 3-5 ft on Thursday.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz196-
204-205.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 10 pm edt this evening for amz152-
154.

Small craft advisory until 7 pm edt this evening for amz156-
158.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Cb
short term... Cb
long term... Sgk
aviation... Sgk ml
marine... Sgk cb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 69 mi43 min SSW 8 G 11 85°F 83°F1016.4 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 79 mi61 min SW 8.9 G 12 83°F 1015.7 hPa (-1.3)76°F

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC5 mi66 minN 010.00 miFair88°F73°F62%1015.9 hPa
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC15 mi66 minN 010.00 miFair89°F72°F58%1015.2 hPa
Kinston, Kinston Regional Jetport at Stallings Field, NC22 mi65 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds88°F71°F59%1015.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPGV

Wind History from PGV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE5CalmCalmSW3S3S4CalmCalmCalmCalmE4CalmCalmN3CalmCalmN3NW5CalmCalmCalmNW3W4Calm
1 day agoSE5S6S3E3SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmSW4SE3S4SW6S6S5S11
2 days ago--S5S8S6S4NE4SE3--------CalmN4Calm------SE4CalmS5CalmSE4SE4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:35 AM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 11:26 AM EDT     2.26 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:49 PM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:51 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:36 PM EDT     2.27 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.21.91.510.50.30.30.511.522.22.221.61.20.70.50.40.611.51.92.2

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:33 AM EDT     0.15 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 09:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 12:20 PM EDT     1.39 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:47 PM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:51 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.41.20.90.60.30.20.20.30.611.21.41.41.210.70.40.30.20.30.60.91.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.