Saturday, April4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Kitty Hawk, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 7:31PM Saturday April 4, 2020 10:40 PM EDT (02:40 UTC) Moonrise 2:33PMMoonset 3:49AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ230 Albemarle Sound- 943 Pm Edt Sat Apr 4 2020
Overnight..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers.
Mon..SW winds around 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Mon night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se after midnight. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the evening.
Tue..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue night..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 858 Pm Edt Sat Apr 4 2020
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Weak high pressure will prevail across the waters through Sunday while a large ocean low well off the mid-atlantic coast, moves farther offshore. Long period back-swells from this low will peak this weekend. High pressure will drop off the southeast coast early next week, bringing sw winds. Low pressure passing north of the waters will bring moderate west winds Wednesday and Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kitty Hawk, NC
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location: 36.04, -75.99     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 050228 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1028 PM EDT Sat Apr 4 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will continue to build over the area through Sunday, as low pressure moves slowly east over the Atlantic. High pressure slides offshore Monday, while a backdoor cold front pushes into portions of Eastern NC. The front then pushes north of the area Tuesday, and then a stronger cold front will move through the area late this week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 1000 PM Sat . High pres continues to build over the Eastern seaboard, as the strong low pressure in the Atlantic continues moving further east, well away from the region. Infrared satellite shows mostly clear skies across the CWA, allowing for decent radiational cooling to bring our overnight lows from the lower 40s inland to 45 to 50 along the coast.

High pressure will continue to dominate on Sunday, providing mostly sunny skies with highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s inland and upper 50s to low 60s along the coast.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/. As of 1000 PM Sat . The high will gradually slide off the coast Sunday night as a backdoor cold front approaches the northern tier. A few models suggest a slight chance for showers overnight Sunday into early Monday morning, with any QPF being minimal. Inc cloud cover ahead of the front will inhibit efficient radiational cooling and keep low temps overnight around 50.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. As 310 AM Sat . Warm and somewhat unsettled conditions expected early next week. Then, a stronger cold front will cross the area Thursday or Friday, with cooler conditions likely going into next weekend.

Monday through Wednesday . High pressure will slide offshore Monday, while a backdoor cold front sinks south into portions of the area by the afternoon. With temperatures warming well into the 70s away from the coast, some instability will develop, and scattered thunderstorms could initiate along the sea breeze. Decent wind shear values across the area could yield some stronger storms if cells can mature.

The backdoor front will retreat north Tuesday morning, and southwesterly flow will strengthen, and low level heights will build. Some scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm will be possible Tuesday as the front strengthens to the north with weak cyclogenesis possible. Then, some weak subsidence behind this feature Wednesday should lead to mostly dry conditions. Temperatures both days could reach the low 80s inland, and low to mid 70s along the coast.

Thursday and Friday . Some pretty big changes to the forecast for this period, with most models now flipping to a solution that involves a stronger cold front crossing the area sometime late Thursday or into Friday. ECMWF and CMC show a drier solution, with little to any precip over the area, while the GFS is a bit slower, which allows for better moisture transport over the area . leading to a depiction of more rain. Either way it looks as though Thursday remains mostly dry, and will carry slight chance PoPs Friday for now. Continued warm temps with readings into the 70s and low 80s Thursday, and then 70s on Friday.

AVIATION /02Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Short Term /through Sunday/ . As of 715 PM Sat . Pred VFR conditions through the period. Lingering sct clouds are moving Ewrd with skies over TAF sites clearing on satellite. Expecting mclr skies and calm winds overnight and into Sunday. Patchy fog is not expected tonight, but cannot be ruled our for PGV.

Long Term /Sunday night through Thursday/ . As of 340 AM Sat . VFR conditions are expected through the Monday afternoon, when some scattered showers or thunderstorms develop. Scattered precip likely again Tuesday, with dry weather returning Wednesday.

MARINE. Short Term /through Sunday/ . As of 1015 PM Sat . Long period NE swell continues to build across the waters, with latest obs showing periods 12-13 sec and 6-10 ft waves. Winds are beginning to diminish, but remain out of the N at 10-20 kt, gusting to 25 kt Hatteras south to Cape Lookout. As the low drifts further offshore tonight and high pres builds in from the west expect N winds to continuing to diminish to 10 to 15 kts. NNE winds 10-15 kt will continue Sunday morning becoming more E 5-15 kt during the afternoon. Seas will remain to 8 to 11 ft N and 4 to 6 ft S tonight. Seas across the southern waters still slow to respond, though are now up to 5 ft. However, wave guidance shows seas building to 6 ft overnight, so will continue SCA. Seas may subside slightly Sunday as low drifts eastward, but large NE swell will continue to keep seas elevated, highest north of Ocracoke.

Long Term /Sunday night through Thursday/ . As of 340 AM Sat . Strong swell 6-10 ft will linger into Monday morning, with SW winds increasing to 10-20 kts Monday. SSW flow continues Tuesday and Wednesday at around 10-20 kts, while seas remain 4-6 ft.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 1015 PM Sat . Coastal Flood Advisories were allowed to expire at 10 PM with the forecast showing tide cycles dropping below action stage during the next high tide at 6am. While this will be continually monitored through Sunday morning, there was enough confidence that another advisory was not needed.

High Surf remains in effect until 8am Monday for areas N of Cape Hatteras. Latest obs continue to show strong swell with waves 6-10ft and 12-13 sec period. Wave heights are forecasted to gradually decrease overnight Sunday.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . High Surf Advisory until 8 AM EDT Monday for NCZ203-205. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Wednesday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Monday for AMZ150-156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . ML SHORT TERM . ML LONG TERM . SGK AVIATION . SGK/ML MARINE . CQD/SGK TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 16 mi52 min NNE 15 G 17
FRFN7 17 mi160 min 7 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 18 mi40 min 53°F6 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 26 mi40 min 50°F8 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 29 mi58 min N 11 G 15 47°F 54°F1017.8 hPa

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC17 mi65 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy46°F42°F86%1017.9 hPa
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC17 mi45 minNE 810.00 miPartly Cloudy47°F42°F84%1018.3 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC18 mi46 minNNE 710.00 miFair48°F43°F83%1018.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFFA

Wind History from FFA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmN3N4N3NW4N3NW3N5N8
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1 day agoW3NW8NW6NW8NW8NW8NW6NW10
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2 days agoCalmNW4--W7W7W8W9
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Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:44 AM EDT     3.61 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:11 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:32 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:12 PM EDT     3.39 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:27 PM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.71.42.333.53.63.32.71.91.10.50.20.30.81.62.43.13.43.32.721.10.4-0

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina (2)
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:48 AM EDT     3.64 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:11 AM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:32 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:16 PM EDT     3.42 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:27 PM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.71.42.333.53.63.42.71.91.10.50.20.30.81.62.43.13.43.32.821.10.4-0

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.