Thursday, December5, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Camden, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:59AMSunset 4:51PM Thursday December 5, 2019 2:49 PM EST (19:49 UTC) Moonrise 1:29PMMoonset 12:29AM Illumination 64% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ230 Albemarle Sound- 221 Pm Est Thu Dec 5 2019
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft, then around 2 ft after midnight. A chance of showers.
Sat..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming ne 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sun..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.
AMZ200 901 Am Est Thu Dec 5 2019
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. High pressure will prevail today through early Friday. The next cold frontal passage will occur Friday night followed by strong high pressure from the north ridging across the area through the weekend. Increasingly unsettled weather with a potential coastal low possible early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Camden, NC
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location: 36.22, -76.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 051732 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1232 PM EST Thu Dec 5 2019

SYNOPSIS. A weak trough of low pressure moves through the area early this morning, with high pressure building in from the southwest today. A weak front crosses the area late Friday into early Saturday with high pressure returning for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 1000 AM EST Thursday .

Late morning weather analysis shows upper troughing centered from ern Canada to New England, with largely zonal flow over the remainder of the CONUS. At the surface, ~1023 mb high pressure was over the Deep South, with weak, double-barreled low pressure over the Plains. Skies are mainly clear this morning (except on the Lower MD Ern Shore), as the aforementioned upper trough continues to move away from the local area. W-NW surface flow prevails across the area (in between the high to the SW and low to the NE). Gusty winds to 15-25 mph (around 30 mph near the eastern shore) will continue through early evening before calming down as the high builds toward the area. Clearing skies and downslope flow will allow temps to rebound to the lower 50s in most areas this afternoon with perhaps a few mid 50s SW/upper 40s across the Lower Ern Shore. The high becomes centered over ern NC tonight, with mainly clear skies expected (although SCT high clouds are possible after midnight . especially W of I-95). Overnight lows will mainly be in the upper 20s-low 30s.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 200 AM EST Thursday .

On Friday the surface high will be off the Carolina coast. Meanwhile, a weak low pressure system will drift from the southern plains to the deep south. Resultant low-level flow backs to the S/SW ahead of the approaching low and its associated frontal system. Forecast soundings indicate that moisture increases in the mid and upper levels, however the lower levels remain dry. Latest 00Z models are consistent with previous runs that little to no precip falls across our forecast area, so it will likely be a cloudy but dry day. However, the southerly flow will help nudge temps up several degrees, expect high temps in the low to mid 50s.

A cold front associated with a low over the northeast will cross the area early Saturday morning. No precip is expected with the frontal passage, but there will be modest cold air advection behind the front. Temps Saturday morning will be in the upper 20s NW, low to mid 30s elsewhere except for coastal NE NC and SE VA where low temps will be in the upper 30s. Strong high pressure builds in behind the front on Saturday. While it will be mostly sunny, the cool N/NW flow will hold high temps to the mid and upper 40s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 245 PM EST Wednesday .

High pressure of Pacific origin pulls across and settles over the area from the NW on Sat night before moving offshore by Sun evening. It will be noticeably colder behind the front on Sat, with forecast highs in the mid 40s in most areas. Cold with lows in the mid- upper 20s inland/low-mid 30s near the coast Sat night. Highs Sun range from around 50F NW to the mid- upper 50s in coastal SE VA/NE NC.

Models are forecasting a trough aloft to quickly amplify across the Plains early next week, which will cause us to go into SW flow aloft over the Mid-Atlantic region. This would allow return moisture to increase Sun night and Monday, as a series of upper disturbances track toward/across the region. In addition, it will be milder from Sun night-Mon as return flow develops and low pressure deepens as it tracks well to our NW. With the area (or at least much of the area) likely becoming entrenched in the warm sector, expect a good chc of (occasional) showers starting later Sun night through Mon night, as the associated cold front approaches (slowly) from the W/NW. Have PoPs increasing to ~40-50% area wide on Mon to account for scattered showers. Lows Sun night mainly in the 40s, with temperatures holding or rising slightly into Monday morning. Mild Monday w/ highs in the upper 50s to low 60s in the piedmont west of RIC . low-mid 60s east of I-95, with lows in the 50s.

12z ECMWF is again a bit slower with the frontal passage during the day on Tuesday, which makes sense given the amplified pattern Look for highs well into the 60s on Tuesday. with the potential for some low 70s in Hampton Roads with any aftn sun. high chance to likely PoPs continue with the front crossing into the area later Tue into Tuesday night preceding the frontal passage Tuesday night into early Wed.

Looking ahead . a rather short-lived period of sharply colder air is expected across our area Wed/Thu, with cold Canadian air sweeping across the region behind the departing front. Temperatures will average 10-15 degF below normal Wed/Thu of next week before moderating thereafter.

AVIATION /17Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 1230 PM EST Thursday .

VFR conditions prevail through the 18z TAF period. It is mainly clear across VA, with just FEW-SCT CU (5-7k feet). Still some BKN CIGs around 5-6k feet in/near SBY at this hour. In addition, W-NW winds are gusting to 20-25 kt near the coast. Low pressure near the Canadian Maritimes will continue to track away from the region tonight as high pressure builds toward the Carolinas. This will allow winds to diminish to 5-10 kt by this evening at all sites before decreasing to aob 5 kt tonight. Skies will become clear across all areas by this evening (and remain so through much of tonight) before BKN mid-high clouds increase on Friday ahead of a low pressure system/associated cold front. CIGs likely remain no lower than 8-10k feet through 18z Fri.

The front crosses the region from N to S Fri evening-Fri night. The chc of pcpn is very low (aob 20%) with the frontal passage (highest PoPs at ECG). CIGs/VSBYs are expected to remain VFR Fri aftn-Fri night. SW winds increase to 10-12 kt on Fri (a few gusts of 15-20 kt possible). Winds turn to the W/NW behind the front. High pressure then builds in for the weekend. Mainly VFR CIGs/VSBYs are expected through the weekend.

MARINE. As of 235 AM EST Thursday .

A weak trough of lo pres crossing the local waters early this morning will usher in a period of low level CAA for much of today. W winds 10-20 kt becoming WNW 15 to 25 kt resulting in some increase in waves/seas into/through this afternoon. Winds and waves/seas diminishing/subside late tonight and continue into Fri morning. SW winds will increase to 10-20 kt Fri afternoon before another cold front moves off the coast Fri evening/night. Winds will increase (N 20-25 kt) by early Sat morning. Winds will be N 10-15 kt Sat afternoon as hi pres return to the region.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ630>632-634>638. Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ633- 654-656. Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ650- 652. Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ658.

SYNOPSIS . CMF/LKB NEAR TERM . CMF/ERI SHORT TERM . CMF/MAM LONG TERM . MAM AVIATION . CMF/ERI MARINE . ALB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi56 min WNW 13 G 18 51°F 1015.4 hPa
FRFN7 20 mi110 min 3 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 21 mi50 min 54°F3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 27 mi50 min 55°F4 ft
44086 40 mi55 min 55°F5 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 40 mi56 min W 8.9 G 15 52°F 50°F1015.3 hPa
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 42 mi56 min WNW 12 G 19 50°F 53°F1016.2 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 48 mi56 min WNW 12 G 16 51°F 1015.5 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 49 mi56 min W 9.9 G 14 49°F 1015.7 hPa

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC5 mi56 minW 1310.00 miFair55°F25°F31%1016.2 hPa
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC13 mi75 minW 8 G 1510.00 miFair52°F29°F42%1015.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KECG

Wind History from ECG (wind in knots)
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1 day agoW12W7W6SW5SW5SW5SW6SW4--SW5S4SW6SW6SW8W6W5W5W4W9W9W12W11W12
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Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:28 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 01:48 AM EST     3.01 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:59 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:58 AM EST     0.80 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:27 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 01:59 PM EST     3.04 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:47 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:24 PM EST     0.50 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.52.932.82.41.91.30.90.811.41.92.52.932.92.51.91.30.80.50.60.91.5

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:28 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 02:05 AM EST     2.79 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:58 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:12 AM EST     0.88 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:27 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:05 PM EST     2.84 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:48 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:29 PM EST     0.47 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.32.72.82.72.521.51.10.90.91.21.72.32.72.82.82.521.40.80.50.50.81.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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