Tuesday, April7, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Camden, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:40AMSunset 7:33PM Tuesday April 7, 2020 3:50 PM EDT (19:50 UTC) Moonrise 6:13PMMoonset 5:42AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ230 Albemarle Sound- 1248 Pm Edt Tue Apr 7 2020
This afternoon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms late.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft, then around 2 ft after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft. Isolated showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Wed night..W winds around 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Waves 1 ft. Isolated showers and tstms in the evening.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers.
Thu night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft, then 1 ft.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 341 Pm Edt Tue Apr 7 2020
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. High pressure will slide farther off the southeast coast tonight, bringing southwest winds to the local waters as a frontal boundary remains north of the area. Showers and Thunderstorms will be possible tomorrow and Thursday before a cold front crosses the area late Thursday, bringing offshore winds and cooler temperatures this weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Camden, NC
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location: 36.22, -76.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 071943 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 343 PM EDT Tue Apr 7 2020

SYNOPSIS. A warm front will lift off to the northeast of the area this evening. A cold front then pushes in from the northwest on Wednesday, with a stronger cold front crossing the local area on Thursday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/. As of 1030 AM EDT Tuesday .

For this aftn, primary concern will be a WNW flow aloft. A pattern that often brings significant to severe wx to the local area given the right scenario. Latest SPC outlook for Day1/today is for a slight risk mainly along and to the N/NE of the I-64 corridor, with a marginal risk to the S/SW. Overall, the limiting factor to the S will be that the coverage of storms will be less, owing to the potential for too much dry air and a lot of westerly flow all the way down to the sfc. The aforementioned boundary will be lifting to near or just north of the region this aftn. Along or near the front is where the greatest threat for severe wx should reside and that is why the slight risk has been pushed to the north compared to yesterday. This will mainly be a wind/large hail threat given strong mid level lapse rates (6.5 to 7C) and an inverted V type sounding. However, if enough instability can make its way into the vicinity of the frontal boundary late this aftn/early this evening, an isolated tornado threat will be present (confined to the slight risk area).

Coverage of pcpn decreases this evening most areas, though persists into the evening over the eastern shore. A mainly dry forecast from late this evening onward, except for the potential for a second round of showers/tstms that try to approach our far northern/NE areas after midnight (associated with another impulse moving SE from the Great lakes/OH Valley). Lows tonight in the lower to mid 50s NE, to the upper 50s/around 60F elsewhere.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 345 AM EDT Tuesday .

On Wed . a sfc low over the Great Lakes tracks across PA and eventually offshore . pushing a weak boundary through the local area during the latter part of the day. Wed will be mainly dry SW . but ISOLD SHRAs/tstms cannot be ruled out late in the day . mainly E of I-95 as the boundary crosses the region (before the best upper forcing moves offshore and despite deep layered WSW flow).

SPC has the FA in a MRGL risk for severe wx on Wed OTW. partly cloudy conditions will lead to a warmer day for all areas. Highs in the 70s over the north and across the ern shore w/ mainly low- mid 80s elsewhere. The weak boundary washes out Wed night and winds turn back to the S as strong low pressure (sfc-aloft) tracks ESE across srn Canada. The associated (trailing) cold front is expected to reach near/just W of the Appalachians by 12z/09. Still dry Wed night w/ lows mainly in the 50s. That cold front crosses the region Thu . potentially leading to at least ISOLD pcpn for N and NE areas OTW. partly cloudy and breezy Thu w/ highs in the m-u70s N to the m80s over interior NE NC.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 345 AM EDT Tuesday .

The extended period will bring cooler wx to the local area. The 00Z/07 models suggest some clouds Fri as a strong shortwave aloft passes through the area, but conditions look dry. Partly cloudy . breezy and cooler w/ highs Fri mainly in the m-u50s N to around 60F central and S.

Dry and remaining cool Fri night through Sat night. By Sun into Mon . models disagree on the timing of a potentially more significant area of lo pres tracking through the region. Right now . used a blend of the guidance . and increased clouds/PoPs Sun-Mon. Lows Fri night in the low-mid 30s inland to the low-mid 40s along the SE VA/NE NC coasts. Highs Sat in the u50s- around 60F N and NE to the l-60s S. Lows Sat night in the u30s- l40s . except u40s along the coast in SE VA-NE NC. Highs Sun/Mon ranging through the 60s.

AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday .

Mainly VFR conditions will prevail at the TAF sites this aftn through Wed aftn. Scattered showers/tstms will be possible this aftn into early tonight, then again Wed aftn, due to a weak trough this aftn/evening, and the approach of a cold front from the NNW on Wed. Periodic showers/flight restrictions may persist at SBY from late this aftn into early tonight. Isolated strong/severe tstms will be possible late in the aftn into the early evening both today and Wed with the potential for wind gusts in excess of 40kt. For now, have VCTS or VCSH mentioned at the TAF sites.

Outlook: Primarily VFR conditions expected Wed night and Thu, but isolated/scattered showers/tstms (and associated flight restrictions) will again be possible late Thu morning through Thu aftn, as a stronger cold front approaches and pushes across the area. VFR/dry on Fri.

MARINE. As of 345 AM EDT Tuesday .

A weak frontal boundary is situated just south of the local waters this morning, resulting in light S-SW winds. Waves 1-2 ft; seas 2-4 ft. The front lifts back north as a warm front later this morning into the afternoon, but will likely stay just west of the local waters (given cooler SSTs). This will allow winds to remain from the S around 10 kt or less through the day with similar waves/seas.

Sub-SCA conditions expected to continue from tonight into Thu morning as the warm front makes progress north tonight and then we wait for the next weak cold front to cross the area late Wed. Not much of a cool surge behind the next cold front and therefore not expecting much increase in winds. Waves 1-2 ft; seas 2-4 ft.

A stronger cold front is expected to cross the area on Thursday, producing SCA conditions by the afternoon and continuing Thursday night through late Friday given a decent CAA surge. SW-W winds 15-25 kt Thursday afternoon will become NW Thursday night into Friday. Waves 2-3 ft (potentially up to 4 ft) in the Bay with seas of 3-5 ft.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . TMG NEAR TERM . TMG SHORT TERM . LKB/TMG LONG TERM . RHR AVIATION . TMG MARINE . ESS/JDM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi50 min SE 8 G 9.9 61°F 1011.6 hPa (-3.2)
FRFN7 20 mi110 min 3 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 21 mi20 min 59°F3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 27 mi20 min 54°F3 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 40 mi50 min W 8.9 G 14 77°F 62°F1010.4 hPa (-3.5)
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 42 mi56 min S 8.9 G 12 64°F 61°F1012.4 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 48 mi50 min SSW 4.1 G 11 77°F 1010.4 hPa (-3.5)
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 49 mi50 min SE 9.9 G 13 63°F 1011.3 hPa (-3.0)

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC5 mi56 minVar 410.00 miFair79°F61°F54%1011.4 hPa
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC13 mi55 minSSW 410.00 miFair75°F59°F58%0 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KECG

Wind History from ECG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE13E11NE13NE8NE4SE7E6E4CalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmS355SE6SW5S7S54
1 day agoE11E10SE10SE9SE7SE7SE4S3S4S4S5SE7S5SW6--SW4E33SW8S6W53N6N4
2 days agoN10NE13NE13NE12NE10NE8NE7NE7NE5NE9N4N6NW4N7N7N6N7N5NE44E55E9E8

Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:26 AM EDT     -0.61 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:40 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:34 AM EDT     4.20 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:45 PM EDT     -0.55 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:57 PM EDT     4.52 feet High Tide
Tue -- 10:35 PM EDT     Full Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0-0.6-0.50.11.22.43.54.14.13.62.61.40.4-0.4-0.5-0.10.92.23.44.24.54.23.32.1

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:23 AM EDT     -0.70 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:40 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:30 AM EDT     3.96 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:43 PM EDT     -0.73 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:57 PM EDT     4.34 feet High Tide
Tue -- 10:35 PM EDT     Full Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.1-0.7-0.6-012.23.33.93.93.42.51.30.2-0.6-0.7-0.30.61.93.24.14.343.22

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.