Wednesday, January22, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Elizabeth City, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:11AMSunset 5:21PM Wednesday January 22, 2020 7:10 PM EST (00:10 UTC) Moonrise 5:26AMMoonset 3:20PM Illumination 5% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ230 Albemarle Sound- 613 Pm Est Wed Jan 22 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 7 pm est this evening...
Tonight..N winds 15 to 25 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Fri night..E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming se after midnight. Waves 1 ft, then around 2 ft after midnight. Showers likely.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Sat night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft, then 1 ft.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
AMZ200 601 Pm Est Wed Jan 22 2020
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Small craft advisory continues as winds and seas remain heightened into Thursday. The next system approaches late this week into the weekend for more rounds of small craft advisory chances. High pressure builds in with improving marine conditions into the middle of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elizabeth City, NC
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location: 36.25, -76.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 222320 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 620 PM EST Wed Jan 22 2020

SYNOPSIS. Canadian high pressure moves over the area tonight, then slides off the coast late Thursday. Low pressure tracks across the region Friday night and Saturday morning. High pressure builds into the area for early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/. As of 230 PM EST Wednesday .

Ridge axis moves overhead results in anthr clr/cold nite. Winds decouple most areas allowing for good rad cooling. Lows in the 20s except upr teens wrn Piedmont to lwr 30s sern coastal areas.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 230 PM EST Wednesday .

High pres remains overhead Thurs morning then slowly drifts ene to a position off the ne coast Thurs nite. Meanwhile, models show a trof developing along the Carolina coast ivof the Gulf stream. Moisture in the form of SC clouds develop in the aftrn due to the persistant onshore flow. Data also suggests sct shwrs creeping north along the OB. Thus, expect a pt sunny and milder day but will keep any pcpn confined to the offshore areas for now. Highs Thurs mid 40s-lwr 50s. Pt to mstly cldy Thurs nite. Lows upr 20s w-upr 30s se coastal areas.

A potent closed upper low tracks across the Miss Valley Thurs nite with moisture overspreading the area Fri aftrn ahead of this systm. Will maintain chc PoPs along/west of I95 as the retreating high keeps coastal areas dry. An in-situ wedge will likely develop over the Piedmont, with highs ranging from the mid/upper 40s over the Piedmont, 55-60 over the SE.

Models show a decent surge of GOM moisture moving north ahead of the triple point low Fri nite. In addition, incrg PW's (1 to 1.5 inches) along with decent lift results in a 3-6 hr period of stdy rainfall (mdt-lclly hvy at times in possible convective elements). QPF avgg 1/2 to 1 inch. Will carry likely to cat PoPs with pcpn tapering off late across the south and west. Temps a bit tricky as readings may rise Fri eve ahead of the trailing cold front along and east of I95, then fall back into the 40s as the low passes by to the ne.

The low tracks ne Sat. Models show a dry slot punching nne behind the low ahead of the upr level systm progged to track north of the area. Will carry chc PoPs for sct shwrs with the upr lvl systm with pcpn ending across the sw in the aftrn. Mild with highs in the 50s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 230 PM EST Wednesday .

This period to be governed by high pressure/dry conditions. NW flow behind the departing low Sun/Mon. The high moves overhead Tue then pushes offshore Wed. This results in aoa normal temps thru the prd. Highs Sun upr 40s-lwr 50s, mid 40s-lwr 50s Mon/Tue, then upr 40s-mid 50s Wed. Lows in the 30s to near 40 se.

AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 615 PM EST Wednesday .

SCT-BKN (MVFR-VFR) SC will persist INVOF far SE VA-coastal NE NC through the 00Z TAF forecast period Otw. VFR conditions w/ mainly high level clouds Winds remaining light and NNE. though speeds to 10-15 mph expected INVOF ORF/ECG. Hi pres slides off the coast Fri. Lo pres and an associated cold front will bring an increased chc of rain and degraded flight conditions Fri night into early Sat. Upper level low pressure crosses the region Sat into Sun . which should only bring passing mid-clouds/possibly ISOLD SHRAs.

MARINE. As of 310 PM EST Wednesday .

Late afternoon surface analysis shows elongated high pressure centered from the Canadian Maritimes to the Delmarva region, with low pressure now well offshore of the southeast CONUS coast. N-NE winds have diminished to 10-15 kt over the nrn Ches Bay/coastal waters. Sustained wind speeds are still 15-18 kt over the Lower Ches Bay, srn coastal waters, and Currituck Sound. Seas are 3-4 ft N, around 5 ft from Cape Charles to the VA-NC border, and ~6 ft across the NE NC coastal waters. Waves on the bay are 1-2 ft N/3 ft S. N-NE winds will average 10 kt N/15 kt S through much of the night. Anticipate that the SCA for the Currituck Sound will be able to be dropped on time (at 00z/7 PM this evening). However, seas across the srn coastal waters will be very slow to subside (remaining in the 4- 6 ft range through tonight). Thus, SCAs for the srn two coastal zones remain in effect through 21z/4 PM Thursday. The high continues to move away from the area through Thursday. Winds on Thu will range from 5-10 kt over the nrn marine zones to 10-15 kt over the srn waters. Low pressure deepens over the Plains on Thursday before moving to a position along the MO/IL border by 12z/7 AM Friday. Winds over the waters will continue to be out of the NE through Fri AM. Seas likely fall below SCA criteria north of the VA-NC border on Thu, but likely remain around 5 ft over the southernmost coastal zone through Thu (and potentially Fri AM). Will wait to see the trends in seas overnight before extending the SCA for ANZ658 (some of the guidance shows seas dropping below 5 ft by late tonight).

As the aforementioned low tracks ENE toward the Great Lakes, another area of low pressure will move NE over inland areas Friday night through Saturday morning. This will likely lead to SCAs for the bay and coastal waters late Friday night into Saturday. Winds will increase to 15-20 kt sustained out of the E Friday evening before shifting to SE at around 20 kt overnight, becoming more S with time. As the low pulls away to the north during the day Saturday winds will subside in the afternoon before becoming W and increasing to 15- 20 kt Saturday night into Sunday. High pressure moves in late Sunday and remains in place through early next week with sub-SCA conditions expected.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Thursday for ANZ656-658. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ633.

SYNOPSIS . MPR NEAR TERM . MPR SHORT TERM . MPR LONG TERM . MPR AVIATION . ALB/MPR MARINE . ERI/RMM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FRFN7 25 mi131 min 5 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 25 mi71 min 42°F 1028.5 hPa (+0.8)
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 26 mi41 min 46°F5 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 33 mi41 min 48°F6 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 37 mi77 min 38°F 47°F1030 hPa
44086 45 mi46 min 49°F7 ft
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 45 mi71 min 38°F 1030.1 hPa (+0.5)
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 47 mi71 min 43°F 43°F1027.8 hPa (+0.6)
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 48 mi71 min 39°F 1030.1 hPa (-0.0)
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 48 mi77 min 44°F1030.2 hPa

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC2 mi17 minN 910.00 miMostly Cloudy39°F30°F73%1030.2 hPa
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC15 mi2.3 hrsNNE 8 G 1410.00 miOvercast40°F33°F78%1029.1 hPa
Edenton, Northeastern Regional Airport, NC24 mi16 minENE 410.00 miFair38°F32°F81%1030.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KECG

Wind History from ECG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN13N13N11N11N10N10N9N10N10N12N14N18N18N15N15N14N17N16N18N19N17N13N15N16
1 day agoW9NW11NE8N12N16N16N17
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2 days agoS6S6S7S11
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Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:24 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:31 AM EST     3.65 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:11 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:59 AM EST     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:18 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 05:18 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:47 PM EST     2.79 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:48 PM EST     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.20.51.42.43.13.63.63.22.41.50.6-0.1-0.3-0.10.61.42.12.72.82.51.810.2-0.3

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina (2)
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:23 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:31 AM EST     3.46 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:55 AM EST     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:18 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 05:18 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:47 PM EST     2.65 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:44 PM EST     -0.43 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.10.51.42.333.43.432.31.40.5-0.1-0.2-00.61.322.52.62.41.70.90.2-0.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.