Monday, January27, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Aulander, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:14AMSunset 5:32PM Monday January 27, 2020 11:20 PM EST (04:20 UTC) Moonrise 9:05AMMoonset 8:11PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ230 Albemarle Sound- 1013 Pm Est Mon Jan 27 2020
Overnight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers late this evening, then a slight chance of showers.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Tue night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Wed night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
AMZ200 906 Pm Est Mon Jan 27 2020
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. A cold front moves offshore by tonight. High pressure will build in behind the front through Wednesday. Low pressure will move off the ga coast Wednesday night and bring unsettled weather into Thursday. A ridge of high pressure will extend across the carolinas from the northeast on Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Aulander, NC
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location: 36.29, -77.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 280312 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1012 PM EST Mon Jan 27 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak disturbance moves off the North Carolina coast overnight. High pressure builds in for Tuesday and Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/. As of 900 PM EST Monday .

Latest MSAS has a BKN cloud deck assctd with a trof across nrn zones (where the winds turn to the NNW behind it). Meanwhile, a second trof is moving across NC with its pcpn shield as far north as the Albemarle Sound. Latest high res data keeps most if not all the pcpn along the Sound and points south. Thus, trimmed back PoPs to the zones bordering the Albemarle Sound over the next few hrs. Models show both systms moving ese thru the overnite hrs. Expect decreasing clouds nw to se late. The clouds have kept temps up a bit this eve, but expect them to drop off with the prtl clrg that takes place overnite. Lows by 12Z from the u20s nw to upr 30s se.

SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 205 PM EST Monday .

Continued resemblance of a trough aloft from New England extending down into the mid-Atlantic states Tue into Wed while the next storm system takes shape INVOF srn Plains (Tue) then tracks E across the gulf states to the SE CONUS coast (Wed into Thu).

A little bit of low level CAA on Tue thus it will be a cooler than today/past couple of days. Sunny to partly cloudy w/ highs from the m-u40s NE to the l50s SW. Sfc hi pres from ern Canada will extend S into the local area Wed-Thu and lo pres tracks by (well) to the S. Will keep PoPs AOB BLO 10% Wed-Thu w/ conditions no worse than partly cloudy. Lows Tue night from the m-u20s N and W to the l30s along coast SE VA-NE NC. Highs Wed mainly 45-50F. Lows Wed night in the l-m20s N to the m20s-around 30F S. Highs Thu in the m-u40s . except l50s over coastal NE NC.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 140 PM EST Monday .

Weak sfc hi pres will be over the region Thu night-Fri while a trough remains offshore. Models continuing to try and hone in a potential storm for Fri night-Sat. 12Z/27 GFS and ECMWF are about as close together as they have been over the past few days w/ lo pres tracking from the SE states to off the (lower) mid- Atlantic coast Cold air will continue to be lacking. so p-type appears to be mostly RA. Highest PoPs (capped 40-50% for now) will be across the S and E Fri night into Sat morning. Upper level trough trailing behind is expected to cross the region Sat night-Sun resulting in VRB clouds and possible SCT SHRAs. Another warmup is expected early next week.

Lows Thu night from the m-u20s along-W of I 95 to the 30s at the coast. Highs Fri mainly 45-50F. Lows Fri night from the l-m30s inland to around 40F along the immediate coast in SE VA-NE NC. Highs Sat mainly in the m-u40s. Lows Sat night in the l-m30s inland to the u30s-around 40F at the coast. Highs Sun in the l50s . except u40s on the ern shore. Highs Mon in the m50s on the ern shore . u50s-around 60F elsewhere.

AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 620 PM EST Monday .

SCT-BKN mid level clouds this eve as a weak area of low pressure tracks across NC as well as a weak sfc trof drifting se across the Delmarva. Radar wise, the bulk of the pcpn is progged to track ese across NC this eve with ECG being on the northern fringes of the pcpn shield. Thus, added VCSH at ECG for the next few hrs. Otw, clouds sct out after midnite as both weak systms shift east. Winds become NNW behind the departing systms blo 10 kts.

OUTLOOK . Weak low pres passes south of the region Wed night and Thu . though VFR conditions are expected to continue.

MARINE. As of 1010 PM EST Monday .

Weak cold front has dropped south of the area late this evening with N winds becoming NW and increasing to 15-20 knots after midnight. SCA headlines will be in effect for the Ches bay, lower James River, and Currituck Sound. Conditions continue to look too marginal for headlines in the York and Rappahannock Rivers where winds will average 10-15 knots. Winds offshore will be similar to those expected in the Ches bay, 15-20 knots sustained with gusts up to 25 knots. Given the higher thresholds over the coastal waters and the relatively short duration, opted not to raise any headlines for the offshore zones. Seas will slowly build to 3-4 ft tonight in NW/offshore flow with the relative best chance for seas to exceed 5ft across the southern coastal waters, especially out near 20 nmi Tuesday morning into the early afternoon. An additional surge of CAA is expected Tuesday night when winds are forecast to increase to around 15 knots in the bay and 15-20 knots offshore. Northerly flow continues on Wednesday but decreases to around 10 knots in the afternoon.

Models continue to struggle with the strength, placement, and even the potential for any appreciable storm during the late week/weekend period.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ632-634. Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 10 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ633- 638. Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ630-631.

SYNOPSIS . CMF NEAR TERM . ALB/MPR SHORT TERM . ALB/CMF LONG TERM . ALB AVIATION . MPR MARINE . JDM/RHR


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 54 mi57 min 44°F 47°F1009.3 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 57 mi51 min 44°F 1009.3 hPa

Wind History for Money Point, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ahoskie, Tri-County Airport, NC4 mi26 minW 410.00 miOvercast45°F41°F86%1010.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KASJ

Wind History from ASJ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW4W5W6W5W6
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1 day agoW3CalmCalmCalmSW3W3CalmCalmCalmW4NW7W6SW6NW8W6W6NW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoSE6SE7SE9SE7NW6CalmCalmCalmSE3S4S5SW6SW8
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Tide / Current Tables for Suffolk, Virginia
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Suffolk
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:03 AM EST     3.31 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:58 AM EST     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:12 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:03 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:22 PM EST     3.83 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:25 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:37 PM EST     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:08 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.33.12.51.60.6-0-0.3-00.71.62.63.43.83.73.22.31.30.4-0.1-0.20.211.92.7

Tide / Current Tables for Hollidays Point (bridge), Virginia
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Hollidays Point (bridge)
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:26 AM EST     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:12 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:03 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:36 AM EST     3.06 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:25 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:05 PM EST     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:08 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 11:56 PM EST     2.65 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.62.11.50.80.2-0.2-0.20.311.82.5332.72.11.30.60.1-0.200.51.322.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.