Wednesday, August12, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Virginia Beach, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:17AMSunset 7:59PM Wednesday August 12, 2020 7:38 PM EDT (23:38 UTC) Moonrise 11:59PMMoonset 1:38PM Illumination 34% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ656 Coastal Waters From Cape Charles Light To Virginia- North Carolina Border Out To 20 Nm- 357 Pm Edt Wed Aug 12 2020
Tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft with a dominant period of 10 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms early, then a chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Seas around 2 ft with a dominant period of 9 seconds. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Mainly E swell with a dominant period of 9 seconds. Tstms likely. Showers likely.
Fri..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Mainly se swell with a dominant period of 9 seconds. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers and tstms likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne late in the evening, then becoming nw after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Mainly se swell with a dominant period of 9 seconds. Showers and tstms likely, mainly in the evening.
Sat..NE winds 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Mainly se swell with a dominant period of 10 seconds. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night..E winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the late evening and overnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft with a dominant period of 10 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 4 to 5 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Mon night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 357 Pm Edt Wed Aug 12 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A trough of low pressure settles over the region late this week into the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Virginia Beach, VA
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location: 36.83, -75.98     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 122011 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 411 PM EDT Wed Aug 12 2020

SYNOPSIS. A trough of low pressure east of the mountains, will keep numerous showers and and thunderstorms in the forecast through Friday. A cold front pushes into our area Friday night into Saturday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/. As of 400 PM EDT Wednesday . Thunderstorms have fired along the surface trough, generally extending from Farmville through RIC and NE into the eastern shore. Very little movement to these storms that have prompted flash flood warnings and advisories for parts of the area already. Expect the convection to fill in further west late this afternoon into this evening as outflow from the initial storms help to develop new storms in the NW Piedmont. As such, will maintain the flash flood watch as is. Expect the convection to diminish after sunset, however will need to maintain chance pops for the entire area tonight due the trough remaining across the area. The 12z HREF continues to show the possibility of heavy rain across the northern neck and even into the eastern shore late tonight into tomorrow morning. As such, have placed the highest pops in this area.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 400 PM EDT Wednesday . Latest guidance is in excellent agreement in showing the inverted surface trough axis over the area on Thursday. In addition, the NWP suggest the weak low over the Carolinas/Georgia will slowly move northward along the boundary on Thursday. This will allow for increase low level moisture convergence and low level theta-e advection which should renew another round of showers and thunderstorms with locally heavy rain. Much of the area is under a slight risk of excessive rainfall on Thursday per WPC. The CAMS suggest that the heaviest rainfall main be closer to the low generally along/south of I-64 but in reality any location could see heavy rainfall given the high precipitable water values of 2 inches, slow storm motion and deep warm cloud depth near 15000 ft. Will likely need another flash flood watch for Thursday, but will let the current flash flood watch for today end and allow the mid shift to try to fine tune any watch needed for Thursday.

Guidance starts to diverge on Friday, with the ECMWF and Canadian showing the trough pushing just south of the area while the NAM and GFS generally keep the front stationary over the area again. Without a significant upper trough, it is very hard for troughs/fronts to push south of the area this time of year. As such, have opted to trend more toward the GFS/NAM solutions for Friday and keep likely pops across the area generally across the southern half of the area. Continued unsettled into Saturday with the front remaining across the area with additional heavy rainfall possible especially along/west of I-95.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 400 PM EDT Wednesday .

Unsettled weather continues into Sunday and even into Monday with the surface trough remaining in place. A upper trough finally digs into the Great Lakes and northeast early next week. Unfortunately, it is unclear if this trough will allow the front/trough to actually clear the area. Model guidance suggests that it will continue to hang up nearby through midweek. As such, will need to maintain chance Pops each afternoon/evening through the extended. Am not expecting as much heavy rainfall as the precipitable water values will not be as high. Otherwise, temperatures should be seasonable with highs in the mid-upper 80s and lows in the mid 60s/lower 70s.

AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 200 PM EDT Wednesday .

Mostly VFR conditions outside of thunderstorms this afternoon into this evening. Best chance for thunder this afternoon is RIC/SBY and PHF where those sites could briefly drop to IFR as well as seeing some gusty winds. Showers and storms will diminish after sunset. Cannot rule out MVFR vsby and cigs overnight where it rained especially RIC and SBY.

Outlook: Shwrs/tstms become more widespread Thurs thru Sat as moisture increases along the sfc trof/cold front.

MARINE. As of 400 PM EDT Wednesday .

Fairly benign marine condition through the end of the week. An inverted trough is located inland across the Mid-Atlantic. This has lead to SE winds 5-15 kt across area waters. There will be a threat of locally gusty winds near thunderstorms Thursday and Friday afternoon (possibly as early as late morning). An area of surface low pressure will move off the VA coast Friday night and into Sunday morning. In combination with a high pressure system across New England, winds will become NE 10-20 kt this weekend (highest winds for coastal waters off Delmarva). Chance of thunderstorm will decrease for the weekend.

Waves in the Chesapeake Bay will be 1-2 ft through the forecast period. Seas will build from 1-2 ft Thursday and Friday to 3-5 ft this weekend.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . Flash Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for MDZ021-022. NC . None. VA . Flash Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for VAZ048- 060>062-064-067>069-075-076-509>517-519-521-522. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MPR/MRD NEAR TERM . MRD SHORT TERM . MRD LONG TERM . MRD AVIATION . MPR/MRD MARINE . CP


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 7 mi50 min SE 8.9 G 14 81°F 1016.2 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 15 mi72 min 81°F2 ft
CHBV2 15 mi50 min SSE 14 G 16 82°F 1015 hPa
44087 16 mi42 min 84°F2 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 17 mi50 min SSW 4.1 G 7 88°F 83°F1015.3 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 19 mi50 min NNE 2.9 G 6 84°F 1015.4 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 20 mi50 min 82°F1015.8 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 20 mi50 min NNW 8.9 G 9.9 80°F 1015.1 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 23 mi50 min SSE 12 G 15 84°F
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 25 mi50 min ENE 8 G 9.9 82°F 1015.9 hPa
44072 30 mi28 min W 9.7 G 14 83°F
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 35 mi50 min SSE 12 G 14 83°F 1016.4 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 38 mi50 min SE 6 G 8 82°F 84°F1015.5 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 44 mi42 min 78°F2 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 46 mi50 min S 11 G 14 85°F 1015.6 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 46 mi42 min 74°F1 ft
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 49 mi50 min SE 11 G 12 1016.6 hPa

Wind History for Cape Henry, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Virginia Beach, Oceana, Naval Air Station, VA3 mi42 minESE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy83°F75°F77%1015.9 hPa
Norfolk, Norfolk International Airport, VA13 mi47 minS 410.00 miFair87°F73°F65%1015.5 hPa
Norfolk, Naval Air Station, VA18 mi39 minNNE 310.00 miThunderstorm82°F73°F77%1016.2 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA22 mi43 minESE 67.00 miLight Rain84°F75°F75%1015.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNTU

Wind History from NTU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmS6S4S4S5SW6SW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS5SW3SE3S5S6S9SE9SE10SE9SE10SE8SE7
1 day agoS4SW4CalmCalmCalmSW4CalmCalmCalmS3SW4S4SW5SW65SW8SW11SW8SW8S4SE11NW9
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2 days agoSE5E5S3S3S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmE5E6SE8SE8SE8SE10N10S9S7SE5

Tide / Current Tables for Virginia Beach, Virginia
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Virginia Beach
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:23 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:06 AM EDT     2.58 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:14 AM EDT     0.61 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:52 PM EDT     3.13 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:18 PM EDT     0.88 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.12.42.62.52.21.71.20.80.60.711.52.12.733.132.621.51.10.90.91.2

Tide / Current Tables for Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current
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Chesapeake Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:23 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:00 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:02 AM EDT     0.34 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 05:24 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:13 AM EDT     -1.00 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 01:01 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 02:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:36 PM EDT     0.53 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 07:15 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:34 PM EDT     -0.66 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.3-00.20.30.30.1-0.2-0.5-0.8-1-0.9-0.7-0.4-00.30.50.50.40.30.1-0.2-0.5-0.6-0.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.