Saturday, August24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
La Selva Beach, CA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:30AMSunset 7:48PM Saturday August 24, 2019 6:35 PM PDT (01:35 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 2:04PM Illumination 30% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ535 Monterey Bay- 238 Pm Pdt Sat Aug 24 2019
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 12 seconds and sw around 2 ft at 13 seconds.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 12 seconds and sw around 2 ft at 15 seconds.
Sun night..W winds around 5 kt. Wind waves 2 ft. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 12 seconds.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 11 seconds.
Mon night..W winds around 5 kt. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 11 seconds.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 10 seconds.
Tue night..SW winds around 5 kt. Wind waves 2 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft. W swell around 2 ft and S around 2 ft. Locally lower winds and seas across sheltered portions of the bay.
PZZ500 238 Pm Pdt Sat Aug 24 2019
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay..Greater farallones...and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries... Northerly winds will persist over the northern outer waters while light southwesterly winds will develop elsewhere through the weekend. Steep, short period northwesterly swell will continue to decrease through the weekend with periods becoming 8 seconds. Moderate period southerly swell will increase to 2 to 3 feet on Sunday and persist through early next week with light to moderate period northwesterly swell continuing through the period.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near La Selva Beach, CA
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location: 36.93, -121.85     debug


Area Discussion for - San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA
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Fxus66 kmtr 242337
afdmtr
area forecast discussion
national weather service san francisco bay area
437 pm pdt Sat aug 24 2019

Synopsis High pressure will bring a fairly seasonable weather
pattern to the bay area this weekend into early next week. The
marine layer will persist along the coast along with onshore flow
keeping temperatures warm near the coast and bays. Inland
temperatures will trend hotter as the strong high pressure builds.

Remnants of tropical storm ivo will pass offshore Tuesday and
Wednesday with increasing clouds and higher humidity developing.

Discussion As of 2:31 pm pdt Saturday... After an overcast
morning for many, goes-west visible imagery reveals mostly clear
skies for most land areas throughout the region this afternoon.

Locations along the immediate pacific coast are still experiencing
cloudiness, including coastal sonoma and marin counties, parts of
san francisco, coastal san mateo and points south through
monterey county. 1-minute imagery shows the low clouds pushing
through the golden gate from alcatraz to treasure island as the
onshore gradients from san franciso to sacramento are around 2
millibars.

A broad 594 dm ridge at 500 mb located off the california coast
continues to be the main synoptic feature for our area. This
morning's 12z upper air sounding at oakland measured the 500 mb
height at 593 dm, ranking climatologically for this day in the
99th percentile. Ordinarily this would start to raise concerns
about excessive heat; however, the temperature at 850 mb was only
21.4 deg c, ranking around the 75th percentile climatologically.

For comparison, earlier in august when much of the interior
recorded highs near or above 100 deg f, 850 mb temperatures were
in the 24-25 deg c range. These "cooler" temperatures at the low
levels combined with onshore flow will together prevent widespread
upper 90s to 100s from becoming realized for the interior. Highs
will instead warm to the 80s and some 90s this afternoon,
particularly in the region's hottest areas. Temperatures along the
immediate coast will hold in the upper 60s to 70s. Compared to
yesterday, high temperatures will likely be a few or several
degrees cooler.

Over the rest of the weekend and into early next week, 850 mb
temperatures are forecast to gradually warm as the ridge remains
just off the california coast. We'll likely see the marine layer
compress as well, which will generally prevent widespread the
inland intrusion of the morning stratus. Inland temperatures are
expected to warm day-to-day with widespread 90s more likely by
Monday. Locations such as pinnacles national park and the far
north bay near lake berryessa and cloverdale will likely be near
100 degrees. For late august, these values correspond to low to
moderate heat risks. Coastal communities will continue to benefit
from the marine-cooled air with little or no heat impacts
anticipated.

We're continuing to keep a close eye on tropical storm ivo,
presently located about 420 miles west of the southern tip of the
baja peninsula. Ivo is forecast to continue its northward
trajectory over the next several days, weakening as it encounters
cooler waters. Moisture from what will be the remnants of ivo will
advect towards california around the Tuesday-Wednesday timeframe.

Models generally keep the bulk of the moisture off the mainland
for most of Tuesday, but by late Tuesday and into Wednesday, the
latest runs of the ECMWF and GFS bring increased mid upper level
rhs and even some instability closer to home. The tail end of the
latest run of the NAM is beginning to capture our time frame of
interest, and over the next 24 hours, we should be able to get a
better idea with the potential for convection over our area. At a
bare minimum, we should expect increased mid high clouds as the
remnants approach the region. Stay tuned for more details...

Aviation As of 4:37 pm pdt Saturday... It'sVFR all locations
except along the coastline point sur to northern coastal sonoma
county there's almost, not quite, continuous MVFR-ifr CIGS vsbys
in stratus and fog. The 4 pm onshore pressure gradient sfo-sac is
2.4 mb, other directional pressure gradients have relaxed are
closer to balanced since Friday thus the overall wind field at
the surface is lighter today with the usual summer late day sea
breezes. Increasing coverage of MVFR-ifr tonight, conditions most
places nearest the coastline are forecast to lower to ifr
overnight. Conditions then lifting toVFR back to the coastline
late morning to afternoon Sunday.

Vicinity of ksfo...VFR, west wind near 15 knots until 03z. MVFR
cig developing by 14z then back toVFR by 17z Sunday.

Sfo bridge approach... Similar to ksfo.

Monterey bay terminals...VFR, west winds near 10 knots early in
the evening. Ifr CIGS returning by 03-04z. CIGS Sunday lift toVFR
by late morning.

Marine As of 4:06 pm pdt Saturday... Northerly winds will
persist over the northern outer waters while light southwesterly
winds will develop elsewhere through the weekend. Steep, short
period northwesterly swell will continue to decrease through the
weekend with periods becoming 8 seconds. Moderate period southerly
swell will increase to 2 to 3 feet on Sunday and persist through
early next week with light to moderate period northwesterly swell
continuing through the period.

Mtr watches warnings advisories
Tngt Sca... Pt arena to pigeon pt 10-60 nm from 10 pm
public forecast: rowe
aviation: canepa
marine: sims
visit us at

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MLSC1 - Moss Landing, South Harbor, CA 9 mi42 min W 6 G 17 61°F 1014.6 hPa (-0.5)58°F
ELXC1 - Elkhorn Slough Reserve, CA 10 mi111 min W 5.1 66°F 1014 hPa60°F
46092 - MBM1 16 mi86 min W 5.8 60°F 59°F1014.2 hPa (-0.7)
46240 - Cabrillo Point, Monterey Bay, CA (158) 21 mi36 min 61°F2 ft
MEYC1 23 mi60 min 63°F1014.4 hPa
46114 - West Monterey Bay, CA 30 mi36 min 62°F5 ft
46042 - MONTEREY - 27NM West of Monterey Bay, CA 31 mi46 min 1.9 G 3.9 61°F 63°F5 ft1013.9 hPa (-0.6)
46239 - Point Sur, CA (157) 43 mi36 min 60°F5 ft
RTYC1 - 9414523 - Redwood City, CA 44 mi48 min NNW 12 G 14 68°F 76°F1014.1 hPa

Wind History for Monterey, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Watsonville, Watsonville Municipal Airport, CA3 mi1.7 hrsSW 610.00 miFair68°F57°F70%1014.3 hPa
Monterey Regional Airport, CA23 mi1.7 hrsNNW 810.00 miFair69°F57°F66%1015.5 hPa
Salinas, Salinas Municipal Airport, CA23 mi1.7 hrsNW 1110.00 miFair67°F57°F73%1015 hPa
Hollister, CA, CA23 mi76 minWSW 1310.00 miFair75°F59°F57%1013.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KWVI

Wind History from WVI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW9--------W3CalmCalmCalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4SW5W7W9W8W9SW8SW6SW8
1 day ago------E4--Calm--CalmS4SE6NE4--S5W3NW33W6W10W13W13
G19
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2 days agoS6--S5SE3--E4Calm--SE4E4E3CalmCalmCalmCalmSW3S6S7S6S9S9S7--SE10

Tide / Current Tables for Elkhorn Slough railroad bridge, California
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Elkhorn Slough railroad bridge
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Sat -- 12:10 AM PDT     1.02 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:31 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:31 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:23 AM PDT     3.55 feet High Tide
Sat -- 11:39 AM PDT     2.79 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:03 PM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:08 PM PDT     5.27 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:46 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.11.51.92.533.33.53.53.33.12.82.833.444.655.35.14.53.62.61.6

Tide / Current Tables for Point Pinos, California Current
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Point Pinos
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:32 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:05 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:54 AM PDT     0.42 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 06:32 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:21 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 10:27 AM PDT     -0.32 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 01:29 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 03:04 PM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:40 PM PDT     0.36 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 07:30 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:46 PM PDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:56 PM PDT     -0.73 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.4-0.2-00.20.40.40.40.30.1-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.10.10.20.30.40.30.1-0.1-0.4-0.6-0.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of CentralWestCoast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station San Francisco Bay Area, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.