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Marine Weather and Tides Colonial Heights, VA Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 7:15AM

Sunset 5:28PM

Sunday January 26, 2020 7:48 AM EST (12:48 UTC)

Moonrise 8:36AM

Moonset 7:13PM

Illumination 2%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Colonial Heights, VA

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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA

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FXUS61 KAKQ 261158 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 658 AM EST Sun Jan 26 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure builds in today. A weak disturbance tracks across the area on Monday before high pressure builds in again for midweek.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 300 AM EST Sunday .

Latest analysis this morning shows a low pressure system over NE and high pressure over the deep south. Locally, a weak surface trough continues to slowly push through the area. This is resulting in stubborn cloud cover that is slow to erode over the VA peninsula over to the eastern shore. Elsewhere, mostly clear skies and near calm winds have allowed temps to drop quickly. Already in the lower 30s west of Richmond, with mid and upper 30s across south central VA and inland NE NC. The cloud cover is holding temps over the peninsula and eastern shore in the lower 40s. Temps out west will hold nearly steady the rest of the morning, while temps over the peninsula and close to the coast will continue to slowly fall as the cloudy cover eventually erodes. Overall low temps this morning will be near 30 west to upper 30s east.

High pressure will move from the deep south over to the SE coast during the day today, with zonal flow aloft. Mostly sunny skies expected for much of the area today, with a bit more cloud cover across the northern third of the area during the afternoon as another weak surface trough passes through. High temps this afternoon in the low to mid 50s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 300 AM EST Sunday .

A weak shortwave over the TN valley will cross the area on Monday. A weak disturbance ahead of the shortwave will increase cloud cover and bring a slight chance of rain to mainly southern VA and NE NC. Latest QPF forecasts are still in good agreement that rainfall amounts will be light, on the order of just a few hundredths of an inch. Low temps Monday in the 30s and high temps low to mid 50s.

Rain chances end late Monday as the disturbance exits the area to the east. Drier and slightly cooler weather on Tuesday as high pressure builds in from the Midwest. Low temps upper 20s west to mid 30s SE, and high temps ranging from the mid 40s to around 50.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 320 PM EST Saturday .

A weak shortwave will move through the southern portion of the CWA late Monday night into early Tuesday bringing with it a slight chance of a few scattered rain showers Monday afternoon. High pressure moves in Tuesday and persists through Wednesday evening. Another shortwave moves through on Thursday possibly spinning up a weak coastal low off the SE coast well offshore. Models have come into more agreement that any low pressure forming will be too far offshore to provide any widespread precipitation for the CWA. Have therefore lowered PoPs to <25%. High pressure once again moves into the region Friday and will persist until early Saturday. Next weekend becomes a little more interesting with both the GFS and EURO developing a coastal low off of the Carolina coastline and bringing it up the NE coast Saturday into Sunday. However, we will be lacking any substantially cold air and therefore rain is the most likely precipitation type.

Temperatures will be near seasonal through the period. Lows Tuesday-Thursday nights will range from the mid-upper 20s in the NW to the low-mid 30s in the SE. Lows on Friday and Saturday nights will be slightly warmer with low 30s in the NW and upper 30s to around 40F in the SE. Highs will be in the 40s on Wednesday and will range from the mid-40s in the NW to lower 50s in the SE on Thursday-Saturday.

AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 625 AM EST Sunday .

Clouds over the VA peninsula and the eastern shore have been slow to erode this morning even as drier air continues to push into the area. Forecast soundings at SBY suggest that SCT to BKN clouds may hang on through the afternoon as another weak surface trough moves through the area. Ceilings earlier in the evening dropped briefly to MVFR at PHF and SBY, however they have been VFR (around 5k ft) for the past several hours. Kept all locations VFR through the TAF period, however ceilings at PHF and SBY could briefly drop to MVFR (around 3k ft) at times this morning. Winds today will be W/SW 5-10 kts, and they are expected to be 5 kts or less overnight into early Monday morning.

A weak shortwave will move through during the day on Monday bringing a slight chance of showers and sub-VFR ceilings mainly for ORF/ECG.

MARINE. As of 650 AM EST Sunday .

Seas have been ~4 ft at buoy 44100 and 44099 for the past few hrs so have dropped SCAs for the coastal waters S of cape Charles light w/ this update (only remaining SCAs are for the coastal waters N of Cape Charles where seas are 4-5 ft).

Low pressure is currently centered well N of the local area across Ontario and the St Lawrence Valley with sfc high pressure over the Gulf coast ridging NE into the Carolinas. W winds 5-10 kt prevail early this morning with waves in the Bay 1-2 ft and seas 3-5 ft on the coastal waters in 10-11 sec period E swell. SCA headlines will remain in effect for the northern zones through 1 pm as seas slowly subside.

Low pressure to our N gradually shifts to the E and moves off to Atlantic Canada Mon/Mon night, forcing a dry cold front through the region Monday night/early Tuesday. Guidance remains in decent agreement showing decent CAA behind the boundary and current forecast is for marginal SCA conditions for the Bay (to 15-20 kts) through late Tuesday morning before the gradient slackens heading into the mid week period. SCAs may be needed for the Bay and it could be close on the coastal waters as well (primarily for seas building back to 4-5 ft).

CLIMATE. Due to a tipping bucket error at SBY ASOS yesterday, precipitation for Sat 1/25 was substituted with data from the RAWS site at Powellville (1.03").

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ650- 652-654.

SYNOPSIS . CMF/ERI NEAR TERM . CMF SHORT TERM . CMF LONG TERM . RMM AVIATION . CMF MARINE . LKB/RHR CLIMATE . AKQ

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA	36 mi	79 min	W 1.9	38°F			1014 hPa	34°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA	47 mi	49 min	W 6 G 7	38°F	45°F		1013.1 hPa (+0.5)

Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Petersburg, Dinwiddie County Airport, VA	10 mi	54 min	SW 4	10.00 mi	Fair	32°F	27°F	81%	1014.2 hPa
Chesterfield County Airport, VA	12 mi	53 min	W 4	10.00 mi	Fair	33°F	28°F	82%	1015 hPa
Richmond, Richmond International Airport, VA	17 mi	55 min	W 4	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	35°F	28°F	78%	1013.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPTB

Wind History from PTB (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Petersburg, Appomattox River, James River, Virginia

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Tide / Current Tables for City Point (Hopewell), James River, Virginia

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (7,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA

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