Sunday, January26, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Charles City, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 5:27PM Sunday January 26, 2020 9:24 PM EST (02:24 UTC) Moonrise 8:35AMMoonset 7:12PM Illumination 4% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ637 James River From Jamestown To The James River Bridge- 659 Pm Est Sun Jan 26 2020
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Wed night..N winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu night..NE winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri..N winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri night..NE winds 5 kt, becoming N after midnight. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers.
ANZ600 659 Pm Est Sun Jan 26 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure exits the region tonight. A weak disturbance tracks across the area on Monday. High pressure returns for the middle of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Charles City, VA
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location: 37.33, -77.16     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 270157 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 857 PM EST Sun Jan 26 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure dissipates over the region tonight. A weak disturbance tracks across North Carolina Monday before high pressure builds in again for mid week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/. As of 900 PM EST Sunday .

Latest weather analysis reveals another weak trough in place over the region this evening. To the south, weak 1018+mb sfc high pressure remains in place just off the SE coast. Aloft, broad/weak upper level trough persists over the region . with a weak upper shortwave evident on early evening IR sat imagery.

Clouds will persist into the early overnight hours over the northern neck, eastern shore in association with a weak shortwave skirting our area just to the north. Will maintain bkn cloud cover/partly cloudy conditions those areas into the pre- dawn hours Monday Elsewhere. mainly SKC overnight before clouds increase over the I-85 corridor W/SW of the Tri-Cities area ahead of the Tn Valley system. Plenty of low level dry air (PWs <0.50 at 00z across the southeast/Mid-Atlantic region) will keep a lid on pops for the overnight, so delayed any pop mention 3-6 hours farther back in time into the day on Monday. Temps have fallen off quickly over the central/southern CWA with the light winds/cool,dry airmass, so nudged temps down a degree or two overnight, but no major changes needed to T/Td. Early morning lows from around 30F far N and NW to the l-m30s elsewhere.

SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 200 PM EST Sunday .

In zonal flow aloft . a weak mid/upper level system will track across NC Mon resulting in increasing clouds (mainly srn VA-NE NC) and a 20-30% PoP (-RA) - mainly late morning through the afternoon Model QPF remains light. on the order of just a few hundredths of an inch Otw. partly sunny N. Highs mainly from the u40s-l50s.

Rain chcs end Mon evening as the system exits the coast. Drier and slightly cooler wx follows Mon night-Tue as sfc hi pres builds in from the Midwest. Low Mon night in the u20s WNW to m30s along coastal SE VA-NE NC. Highs Tue ranging from the m40s N and NE to around 50F over NE NC.

The next weak system will track across the gulf states Tue night-Wed (a bit S of the 1st one Mon). Will keep PoPs BLO 10% and bring increasing clouds (by late Wed). Lows Tue night in the u20s-around 30F inland to the l-m30s in far SE VA-NE NC.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 300 PM EST Sunday .

A weak shortwave moves well south of the region late Wednesday night/early Thursday and therefore only the far SW counties of the CWA have a chance at a few isolated rain showers late Wednesday night/early Thursday morning. Otherwise, high pressure will be dominant Wednesday night through Friday night. The timeframe from late Friday night through Sunday morning appears to be the most active with a low pressure likely developing off of the SE coast. However, uncertainty remains high in regards to the track of the low. The EURO suppresses the system and keeps it well offshore with no precip for our CWA while the GFS and CMC bring the low up the NE coast. Have therefore kept PoPs at 30-35% to account for model uncertainty. That being said, rain would be the most probable precipitation type given no substantial cold air in place during this timeframe even if the low does track closer to the coast. High pressure once again moves in Sunday night.

Temperatures will be near seasonal through the period. Lows Wednesday-Thursday nights will range from the mid-upper 20s in the NW to the low-mid 30s in the SE. Lows on Friday-Sunday nights will be slightly warmer with low 30s in the NW and upper 30s to around 40F in the SE. Highs will be in the 40s on Thursday and will range from the mid-upper 40s in the NW to lower 50s in the SE on Friday- Saturday. Sunday looks to be the warmest day with highs around 50F in the NW and in the mid-50s in the SE.

AVIATION /02Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 630 PM EST Sunday .

VFR conditions across area terminals will persist through 00z TAF period. Mid-level cloud cover will continue N-NE of KRIC- KPHF, primarily impacting the KSBY terminal this evening with a cloud deck between 5-7 kft AGL. Sky becomes mostly clear overnight.

Mid to high level cloud cover increases late Monday morning in SE terminals (ECG/ORF/PHF) due to a shortwave skirting south of the local area. A brief period of high end MVFR/low end VFR cigs possible over these terminals late tomorrow afternoon, though no widespread precipitation is expected. Given that only a slight chance of a few light scattered showers are expected, will hold out SHRA mention in the TAFs at this time.

Outlook: Behind the departing wave, expect VFR conditions to prevail across all terminals through midweek, as high pressure builds east of the Mississippi River Valley later Monday through Thursday morning.

MARINE. As of 300 PM EST Sunday .

Quiet afternoon across the marine area as light 5-10 kt westerly flow at the surface persists. Waves are running 1-2 ft in the bay and seas offshore range from 2-4 ft.

Tranquil conditions continue this evening and into the overnight as a shortwave trough dives quickly south and southeast through the western rim of the mean upper trough over the eastern CONUS. This shortwave and the associated surface reflection will cross the southern half of the area Monday afternoon into Monday night with winds becoming N and NW behind the mostly-dry cold front. Guidance continues to show a relatively short period of enhanced winds (15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots) after 06Z Tuesday, lasting into late Tuesday morning before the gradient begins to relax as high pressure builds in from the west. Modest cold advection/pressure rises behind the front argue for a period of SCAs in the Ches bay but will hold off on any headlines since the threat is 3 periods away and slight timing differences remain among the various models. Confidence in reaching SCA thresholds for the coastal waters is relatively low given the marginal wind speeds and NW/offshore flow but seas could build to 4-5 ft on Tuesday, especially S and out near 20 nmi.

North and northwest flow continues for the late week period with a few weak surges of cooler air/enhanced wind noted but these periods are expected to result in winds below SCA thresholds. Model guidance diverges significantly late in the week.

CLIMATE. Due to a tipping bucket error at SBY ASOS yesterday, precipitation for Sat 1/25 was substituted with data from the RAWS site at Powellville (1.03").

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . CMF/ERI NEAR TERM . ALB/MAM SHORT TERM . ALB/CMF LONG TERM . RMM AVIATION . MAM/RMM MARINE . RHR CLIMATE .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 24 mi55 min WSW 1.9 42°F 1014 hPa32°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 37 mi55 min WSW 8 G 11 45°F 45°F1012.4 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 44 mi55 min W 12 G 13 46°F 1013.2 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 47 mi55 min W 11 G 12 46°F 1013.2 hPa
44072 48 mi45 min NW 7.8 G 9.7 44°F

Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Richmond, Richmond International Airport, VA15 mi31 minW 1010.00 miA Few Clouds43°F28°F56%1013.5 hPa
Chesterfield County Airport, VA20 mi29 minWNW 710.00 miFair41°F28°F60%1014.5 hPa
Petersburg, Dinwiddie County Airport, VA21 mi30 minW 310.00 miFair36°F27°F73%1013.5 hPa
Williamsburg-Jamestown Airport, VA24 mi30 minN 010.00 miFair45°F32°F61%1013.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRIC

Wind History from RIC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr4W8W5W6CalmW3W4W5W5W4SW3W5W10NW12W8
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1 day agoE15
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E15SE14SE11W5W4N4E4SE3CalmS4S6SW7SW8SW10SW9W11W10W6NW5N6NE3SE3
2 days agoN4N4N6N6N5N5NE6N6N54N5NE4E5CalmE5E7SE7E7E10E9E7E9E8E12
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Tide / Current Tables for Westover, James River, Virginia
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Westover
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:34 AM EST     2.05 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:16 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:34 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 09:59 AM EST     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:56 PM EST     2.47 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:25 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:12 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 10:43 PM EST     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.411.6221.81.30.80.3-0.1-0.3-0.10.41.11.82.32.52.31.91.40.80.2-0.1-0.2

Tide / Current Tables for Bermuda Hundred, James River, Virginia
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Bermuda Hundred
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:30 AM EST     2.37 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:16 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:35 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:57 AM EST     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:48 PM EST     2.56 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:26 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:12 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 11:34 PM EST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.71.522.32.31.91.40.80.3-0-0.20.10.71.52.12.52.62.31.81.20.70.3-0.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.