Sunday, February28, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Gloucester Courthouse, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:35AMSunset 5:59PM Sunday February 28, 2021 10:30 PM EST (03:30 UTC) Moonrise 7:41PMMoonset 7:44AM Illumination 94% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ636 York River- 911 Pm Est Sun Feb 28 2021
Overnight..SE winds 5 kt, becoming s, then becoming sw 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 1 foot. A chance of rain late this evening, then a slight chance of rain. Areas of fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw in the late morning and afternoon. Waves 1 foot. Rain.
Mon night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt late. Waves 1 foot, building to 2 to 3 ft late.
Tue..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt early in the afternoon, then becoming sw late. Waves 2 to 3 ft, subsiding to 1 foot in the afternoon.
Tue night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Wed..W winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of rain.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
ANZ600 911 Pm Est Sun Feb 28 2021
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A warm front will slowly lift north across the local waters overnight. A cold front will cross the mid-atlantic region Monday. A second and stronger cold front crosses the region Monday night to be followed by high pressure arriving Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gloucester Courthouse, VA
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location: 37.35, -76.63     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 010225 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 925 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

SYNOPSIS. A frontal boundary remains nearly stationary along the Virginia- North Carolina border tonight. A cold front will cross the area from the northwest Monday. Canadian high pressure returns Monday night through Tuesday. Low pressure tracks off the Carolina coast Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 925 PM EST Sunday .

About the only model close to showing what is going on this eve is the RAP. Otw, models struggling with the frontal psn, sfc/dp tmps, winds and fog.

Latest MSAS has the front nrly stnry along the VA-NC border with a huge temp swing on either side. (Currently 49 at ORF while NTU is 62. Meanwhile, fog has settled in north of it with widespread VSBYS aob 1/2 SM with many stations reporting 1/4 SM. Thus, have hoisted a dense fog advsry west of the Ches Bay thru 4 AM as little change is expected fro the rest of tonite. In addition, given the frontal psn, the models are not showing pcpn as far south as the current radar has it, so made some PoP changes as well. Winds/temps/ dp temps/vsbys have all been adjusted per current readings. Don't expect much change overnite due to the rain overspreading the area. What the rain may do is scour out some of the fog for a short time, but it will likely come back in along with some drizzle. Min temps are near current readings with stdy readings expected overnite. Tmps may actually rise a bit across srn Va due to the waffling front.

PVS DSCN: The cold front is expected to pass through the early Monday morning through midday bringing a period of rain to the entire area. A SW wind should become rather breezy ahead of the front across SE VA/NE NC late tonight into early Monday morning with speeds of up to 15 mph with gusts to 20-25 mph. High-res guidance still depicts some semblance of a thin convective line across SE VA/NE NC immediately along the front. This could produce some locally stronger wind gusts as 950mb wind is forecast to be 40-45kt. Additional QPF with the front is expected to be 0.2-0.35". Drier air arrives from NW-SE Monday afternoon with high temperatures Monday ranging from the low 60s NW to near 70F SE, but a somewhat non-diurnal temperature curve is expected.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 400 PM EST Sunday .

Cool Canadian high pressure builds into the area Monday night into Tuesday. The sky is expected to clear along with the arrival of cooler temperatures. Forecast lows Monday night range from the upper 20s to low 30s, followed by highs in the low to mid 40s E, to upper 40s/around 50F W Tuesday. Another system moves across the Carolinas Tuesday night to off the Carolina coast later Wednesday. The latest guidance supports the best chc of rain across srn VA and NE NC. Precipitation may start out as a rain/snow mix across portions of the Piedmont late Tuesday night before transitioning over to rain. Confidence still remains below average with this solution due to widely differing model solutions. Forecast lows Tuesday night are in the upper 20s to mid 30s, followed by highs in the upper 40s to low 50s Wednesday.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 400 PM EST Sunday .

Mainly dry weather for Thursday into Friday. Generally near normal or slight above normal temps expected for most of the extended period. Another system potentially develops off the coast Friday night into Saturday. However, the general consensus amongst 28/12z deterministic and ensemble guidance continues to show low pressure to be well off the coast with cool high pressure to the N, and dry conditions locally. Cool and dry into next weekend per the latest guidance.

AVIATION /02Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 645 PM EST Sunday .

A front bndry remains nrly stnry across sern VA/ne NC this eve with widespread IFR ST/drizzle/fog north of it. VFR south of it at ECG. Models are showing srly winds increasing overnite allowing for some of the fog/ST to scour out with the frnt inching northward. Not confident this occurs at RIC/SBY but should at ORF/PHF after 06Z.

Areas of rain will accompany a cold front as it crosses the area Mon. This keeps MVFR CIGS/VSBYS continuing into the aftrn. WSW winds become gusty ahead of it (15-25 kts), shifting to the NW behind it.

OUTLOOK . High pressure builds in Mon night into Tues. Low pressure moves off the Carolina coast Wed. High pressure returns Thurs/Fri.

MARINE. As of 715 PM EST Sunday .

Issued a marine dense fog advisory for zones ANZ650 and ANZ652 until midnight. Obs off of OXB and WAL are down to half mile visby, and with the front still to the south over Virginia Beach, expect fog conditions to remain for at least several more hours.

Previous discussion .

Warm front extends off the Virginia coast this afternoon. Winds have become southerly across NC waters, but remain easterly to northeast north of Cape Charles. The warm front will continue to move north this evening. Winds will turn SW across all coastal waters. SCA has been issued for the southern portion of the Chesapeake Bay, Lower James River, and Currituck Sound tonight through Monday morning for SW winds 15-20 kt. Gusts will likely be around 20 kt for a few hours tomorrow morning. SCAs remain in effect for the ocean zones north of Cape Charles for seas around 5 ft.

A strong cold front will move off the coast Monday morning. There may be a line of heavy showers producing gusty winds as the cold front moves off the coast between 7 AM and 11 AM Monday. Behind the front, winds will become NW 15-20 kt by Monday afternoon. Another SCA will likely be need for the bay.

Colder air will move into the area Monday night, bringing an increase in the NW flow. Gale Watch remain in effect for the central portion of the Chesapeake Bay and Atlantic Ocean north of Cape Charles. Winds will be NW 25-30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt in these area. Elsewhere, winds will be NW 20-25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. SCAs will most likely be needed for the remainder of our coastal waters.

High pressure is expected to move over the region Tuesday with sub- SCA conditions. An area of low pressure is forecasted to track off the Carolina coast Wednesday, bring the next threat of SCA conditions, mainly for our southern waters.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . Dense Fog Advisory until 4 AM EST Monday for VAZ048-060>062- 064>069-075-076-079>083-087>089-092-509>522. MARINE . Gale Watch from late Monday night through Tuesday morning for ANZ652-654. Small Craft Advisory until midnight EST Monday night for ANZ652-654. Dense Fog Advisory until 4 AM EST Monday for ANZ650-652. Gale Watch from Monday evening through Tuesday morning for ANZ650. Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EST Monday for ANZ650. Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Monday for ANZ631>634. Gale Watch from Monday evening through late Monday night for ANZ630. Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Monday for ANZ638.

SYNOPSIS . AJZ/MPR NEAR TERM . AJZ/MPR SHORT TERM . AJB/AJZ LONG TERM . AJB/AJZ AVIATION . AJZ/MPR MARINE . CMF/CP


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 6 mi61 min Calm 50°F 1014 hPa50°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 12 mi43 min SSE 2.9 G 7 47°F 43°F1012.8 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 17 mi43 min SSE 8 G 9.9 47°F
44072 22 mi31 min Calm G 1.9 43°F 41°F1 ft
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 29 mi49 min E 4.1 G 6 48°F 1013.6 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 32 mi49 min 45°F1013.6 hPa
44087 34 mi35 min 42°F1 ft
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 35 mi43 min NNW 4.1 G 5.1 49°F 1013.3 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 35 mi43 min SE 5.1 G 6 1013.7 hPa
CHBV2 36 mi43 min E 5.1 G 7 47°F 1012.4 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 36 mi43 min E 4.1 G 5.1 43°F
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 43 mi43 min Calm G 1 58°F 47°F1013 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 44 mi43 min SSE 6 G 7 48°F 1013.5 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 45 mi43 min NW 1 G 1 46°F 41°F1012.8 hPa

Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Williamsburg-Jamestown Airport, VA9 mi36 minSSE 30.25 miOvercast54°F54°F100%1013.2 hPa
West Point, Middle Peninsula Regional Airport, VA14 mi36 minN 02.50 miOvercast49°F49°F100%1012.9 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA15 mi35 minSE 30.50 miFog53°F51°F95%1012.8 hPa
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA16 mi37 minE 30.25 miFog50°F50°F100%1013 hPa
Langley Air Force Base, VA23 mi35 minN 09.00 miOvercast50°F50°F100%1013.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KJGG

Wind History from JGG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4SE4E5SE6E6E3E4E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4
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SE3CalmCalmW4NW4W5NW4NW7SW5W7W9
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Tide / Current Tables for Clay Bank, York River, Virginia
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Clay Bank
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:23 AM EST     -0.45 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:38 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:43 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 10:37 AM EST     3.27 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:52 PM EST     -0.42 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:59 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:41 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:59 PM EST     3.16 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.41.60.7-0-0.4-0.40.10.91.92.73.23.22.82.11.20.3-0.2-0.4-0.10.61.42.32.93.2

Tide / Current Tables for Roane Point, York River, Virginia
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Roane Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:19 AM EST     -0.47 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:39 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:43 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 11:29 AM EST     3.27 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:48 PM EST     -0.44 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:59 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:41 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:51 PM EST     3.16 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.92.31.50.6-0.1-0.4-0.40.2122.83.23.22.821.10.3-0.3-0.4-0.10.61.52.43

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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