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Marine Weather and Tides Nassawadox, VA Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:17AM

Sunset 7:59PM

Wednesday August 12, 2020 7:30 PM EDT (23:30 UTC)

Moonrise 11:56PM

Moonset 1:39PM

Illumination 34%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Nassawadox, VA

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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA

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FXUS61 KAKQ 122011 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 411 PM EDT Wed Aug 12 2020

SYNOPSIS. A trough of low pressure east of the mountains, will keep numerous showers and and thunderstorms in the forecast through Friday. A cold front pushes into our area Friday night into Saturday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/. As of 400 PM EDT Wednesday . Thunderstorms have fired along the surface trough, generally extending from Farmville through RIC and NE into the eastern shore. Very little movement to these storms that have prompted flash flood warnings and advisories for parts of the area already. Expect the convection to fill in further west late this afternoon into this evening as outflow from the initial storms help to develop new storms in the NW Piedmont. As such, will maintain the flash flood watch as is. Expect the convection to diminish after sunset, however will need to maintain chance pops for the entire area tonight due the trough remaining across the area. The 12z HREF continues to show the possibility of heavy rain across the northern neck and even into the eastern shore late tonight into tomorrow morning. As such, have placed the highest pops in this area.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 400 PM EDT Wednesday . Latest guidance is in excellent agreement in showing the inverted surface trough axis over the area on Thursday. In addition, the NWP suggest the weak low over the Carolinas/Georgia will slowly move northward along the boundary on Thursday. This will allow for increase low level moisture convergence and low level theta-e advection which should renew another round of showers and thunderstorms with locally heavy rain. Much of the area is under a slight risk of excessive rainfall on Thursday per WPC. The CAMS suggest that the heaviest rainfall main be closer to the low generally along/south of I-64 but in reality any location could see heavy rainfall given the high precipitable water values of 2 inches, slow storm motion and deep warm cloud depth near 15000 ft. Will likely need another flash flood watch for Thursday, but will let the current flash flood watch for today end and allow the mid shift to try to fine tune any watch needed for Thursday.

Guidance starts to diverge on Friday, with the ECMWF and Canadian showing the trough pushing just south of the area while the NAM and GFS generally keep the front stationary over the area again. Without a significant upper trough, it is very hard for troughs/fronts to push south of the area this time of year. As such, have opted to trend more toward the GFS/NAM solutions for Friday and keep likely pops across the area generally across the southern half of the area. Continued unsettled into Saturday with the front remaining across the area with additional heavy rainfall possible especially along/west of I-95.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 400 PM EDT Wednesday .

Unsettled weather continues into Sunday and even into Monday with the surface trough remaining in place. A upper trough finally digs into the Great Lakes and northeast early next week. Unfortunately, it is unclear if this trough will allow the front/trough to actually clear the area. Model guidance suggests that it will continue to hang up nearby through midweek. As such, will need to maintain chance Pops each afternoon/evening through the extended. Am not expecting as much heavy rainfall as the precipitable water values will not be as high. Otherwise, temperatures should be seasonable with highs in the mid-upper 80s and lows in the mid 60s/lower 70s.

AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 200 PM EDT Wednesday .

Mostly VFR conditions outside of thunderstorms this afternoon into this evening. Best chance for thunder this afternoon is RIC/SBY and PHF where those sites could briefly drop to IFR as well as seeing some gusty winds. Showers and storms will diminish after sunset. Cannot rule out MVFR vsby and cigs overnight where it rained especially RIC and SBY.

Outlook: Shwrs/tstms become more widespread Thurs thru Sat as moisture increases along the sfc trof/cold front.

MARINE. As of 400 PM EDT Wednesday .

Fairly benign marine condition through the end of the week. An inverted trough is located inland across the Mid-Atlantic. This has lead to SE winds 5-15 kt across area waters. There will be a threat of locally gusty winds near thunderstorms Thursday and Friday afternoon (possibly as early as late morning). An area of surface low pressure will move off the VA coast Friday night and into Sunday morning. In combination with a high pressure system across New England, winds will become NE 10-20 kt this weekend (highest winds for coastal waters off Delmarva). Chance of thunderstorm will decrease for the weekend.

Waves in the Chesapeake Bay will be 1-2 ft through the forecast period. Seas will build from 1-2 ft Thursday and Friday to 3-5 ft this weekend.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . Flash Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for MDZ021-022. NC . None. VA . Flash Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for VAZ048- 060>062-064-067>069-075-076-509>517-519-521-522. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MPR/MRD NEAR TERM . MRD SHORT TERM . MRD LONG TERM . MRD AVIATION . MPR/MRD MARINE . CP

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA	14 mi	42 min	SSE 8 G 11	81°F	89°F		1016.4 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA	18 mi	42 min	SE 11 G 12				1016.6 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA	22 mi	42 min	SSE 12 G 15		84°F
44058 - Stingray Point, VA	31 mi	18 min	WNW 14 G 14	81°F	86°F		1019.2 hPa
44072	32 mi	20 min	W 9.7 G 14	83°F
44089	32 mi	34 min			78°F	2 ft
CHBV2	32 mi	42 min	SSE 14 G 16	82°F			1015 hPa
44087	34 mi	34 min			84°F	2 ft
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147)	34 mi	64 min			81°F	2 ft
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA	35 mi	42 min	SSE 12 G 14	83°F			1016.4 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA	36 mi	42 min	SE 8.9 G 14	81°F			1016.2 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA	42 mi	42 min	SE 6 G 8	82°F	84°F		1015.5 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA	43 mi	42 min	NNW 8.9 G 9.9	80°F			1015.1 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA	45 mi	42 min			82°F		1015.8 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA	48 mi	42 min	NNE 2.9 G 6	84°F			1015.4 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA	48 mi	42 min	ENE 8 G 9.9	82°F			1015.9 hPa

Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Melfa / Accomack Airport, VA	17 mi	1.9 hrs	SSE 8	10.00 mi	Fair	83°F	71°F	68%	1016.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMFV

Wind History from MFV (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Great Machipongo Inlet (inside), Virginia

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Tide / Current Tables for Quinby Inlet entrance, Virginia

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (19,4,5,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA

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