Wednesday, October28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Enon, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:29AMSunset 6:16PM Wednesday October 28, 2020 10:12 PM EDT (02:12 UTC) Moonrise 4:16PMMoonset 3:33AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ636 York River- 949 Pm Edt Wed Oct 28 2020
.gale warning in effect from Thursday morning through Thursday evening...
Overnight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of rain.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Rain.
Thu night..W winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 30 kt late in the evening, then diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 2 to 3 ft, subsiding to 1 foot. Rain.
Fri..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Rain likely in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Fri night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sat..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Sat night..E winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sun..SW winds 5 kt, increasing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers.
ANZ600 949 Pm Edt Wed Oct 28 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. Hurricane zeta will make landfall over the northern gulf coast tonight, then rapidly move northeast. The remnant low from zeta will move across the middle atlantic Thursday, with a trailing cold front moving across the region by Friday morning. High pressure builds across the region for the weekend before another cold front moves into the area Sunday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Enon, VA
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location: 37.4, -77.3     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 290016 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 816 PM EDT Wed Oct 28 2020

SYNOPSIS. Tropical cyclone Zeta will approach from the southwest tonight, with the remnant low tracking across the region Thursday into Thursday evening. Another low pressure system and strong cold front will move through the area late Thursday night into Friday morning. Canadian high pressure builds in for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/. As of 345 PM EDT Wednesday .

Latest MSAS has high pressure ff the NC coast with a nearly stnry frontal bndry located near a PHL-DCA-BNA line. Latest radar is showing rain breaking out across the NC and srn VA piedmont and moving ne. This is somewhat farther east and faster than the guidance would suggest. Expect rain to overspread the piedmont this eve with the steadiest rainfall congealing across the northern half of the area overnight (closer to the frontal bndry). Highest PoPs north (categorical) with little if any pcpn across the se. This pcpn well in advance but not directly assctd with Zeta. QPF across the north by 12Z Thu btwn one quarter to one half inch. Mild with lows 60-65.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. As of 345 PM EDT Wednesday .

A challenging and complicated forecast Thurs given the expected track of the remnant low (from about GSO-RIC-SBY). This splits the local area in half with different types of conditions. In-situ wedge keeps the nrn zones wedged and cooler while summer-like conditions develop across the se in the warm sector along with sct shwrs/tstms. In addition, breezy to windy conditions develop on the warm side of the systm. Given a tight pres gradient and impressive low level jet, ssw winds gust btwn 25-40 mph with a few gusts up to 50 mph across the se. Have issued a wind advsry for srn VA / ne NC zones.

Data shows a rather tight gradient in pcpn amounts with btwn 1-2 inches across the nrn zones, less than one inch across the se. WPC keeps the area in a SLGHT/MRGL ERO. Given the saturated ground, decided to go with a flood watch mainly north of a FVX-RIC-WAL line. In addition, added a slght chc tstrms to srn Va zones based on the latest SPC day2 graphic. Main threat in any storm will be damaging wind gusts but an isltd tornado can't be ruled out.

Temps tricky too. Temps may not budge from the mid 60s (ivof LKU) but range up to the lwr 80s across the se.

The remnant low moves off the Delmarva coast arnd 00Z Fri. Models continue to show a secondary low and strong cold front to follow Zeta Thurs nite, pushing offshore Fri. Thus, widespread rain will continue across the region Thurs nite (but lighter in intensity). Still a lingering tstrm chc along the sern coast Thurs eve. CAA sets in behind the front as the winds shift to the north. Lows upr 40s north to upr 50s se.

Lingering moisture keeps the chc for shwrs going Fri morning, shifting towards the coast during the aftrn. Models show some column drying across the west so expect some aftrn sunshine there. Otw, pt to mstly cldy east, bcmg pt sunny west. Highs mid 50s-lwr 60s.

Clearing/colder Fri nite. Lows mid-upr 30s across the north to upr 40s se. Dry/cool for Halloween as Canadian high pressure builds into the area. Highs Sat in the 50s to near 60 across the nrn OB. Mstly clr Sat nite. Lows mid 30s nw to near 50 sern coastal areas.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 345 PM EDT Wednesday .

Sun begins dry with the models showing the next cold front crossing the area Sun aftrn/eve. Moisture will be limited so will only carry 20 PoP inland with 30 PoP along the coast with its passage. Highs Sun in the 60s. Lows Sun nite mid 30s nw to mid 40s se.

Canadian high presure builds into the area next week. Dry/cool thru the period inland with any shwr activity remaining offshore due to the strong CAA over the water. Highs Mon upr 40s-lwr 50s. First freeze possible across the Piedmont Mon nite. Lows ranging from the upr 20s (LKU) to near 40 sern coastal areas. Highs Tue in the mid- upr 50s. Lows Tue nite mid 30s to mid 40s. Highs Wed upr 50s-lwr 60s.

AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 815 PM EDT Wednesday .

VFR conditions starting out the 00Z/29 TAF forecast period early tonight. -RA and lowering CIGs spread over most of the FA overnight w/ highest prob for IFR conditions at RIC/SBY. Lowering CIGs and SCT -RA will be later tonight in SE VA-NE NC. SW winds aob 10 kt. Remnant low pres from Zeta will be crossing the local area midday-afternoon Highest prob for RA/+RA at RIC/SBY . gusty SSW winds to 40 kt (and poss ISOLD tstms) over SE VA- NE NC.

SW-NW winds and -RA will continue Thu night as a secondary low and cold front cross the region. Gusty NW winds late Thu night-Fri w/ improving wx conditions. VFR thru the weekend as hi pres builds in.

MARINE. As of 400 PM EDT Wednesday .

Gale warnings have been issued for the entire marine area. Hurricane Zeta will move inland across the Louisiana coast this evening. The system will then rapidly move northeast while becoming extratropical as it is absorbed by the system over the plains states. Models are in good agreement that the low will move across the area Thu afternoon, then offshore by Thursday evening. Ahead of the low, south to southwest winds will rapidly increase to gale force by Thu afternoon due to the 60-65kt 925mb winds. As the low moves offshore, there will likely be a slight lull in the winds Thu night before the cold front moves through the area. After the cold frontal passage, north to northwest winds will once again increase to Gale force or near gale force, especially across the northern coastal waters. With this in mind, will end the gale warning Thu evening across much of the waters, except the northern coastal waters which the gale warning will remain until Fri afternoon due to the better chance for gale conditions post frontal. High pressure builds overhead for the weekend, before another cold front moves through the area Sun night. Seas will build to 7 to 10 feet tomorrow across the coastal waters and 3-6 feet over the bay.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As the remnants of Zeta moves across the area Thu afternoon/evening, strong south to southwest winds will allow the tidal departures to rise to 1 to 2 feet across the northern Chesapeake Bay. However, low tide occurs across the northern bay nearly coincidental to the peak surge associated with the southerly winds. As such, coastal flooding is not expected Thu afternoon with the exception of perhaps some localized coastal flooding Thu evening approaching high tide. In addition, places in the north shore of the Albemarle Sound and Back bay may see water level rises close to minor flooding Thu due to the south/southwest wind.

As the low moves offshore, north to northeast winds will develop into Friday. This will allow water levels to build to 1 to 2 feet above astronomical tide across the southern Chesapeake Bay and at Ocean City. Some minor coastal flooding is possible during the Friday and Saturday morning high tides.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . Flood Watch from 8 AM EDT Thursday through Thursday evening for MDZ021>025. NC . Wind Advisory from noon to 8 PM EDT Thursday for NCZ012>017- 030>032-102. VA . Flood Watch from 8 AM EDT Thursday through Thursday evening for VAZ048-060>062-064-067>069-075>078-083-085-509>522. Wind Advisory from noon to 8 PM EDT Thursday for VAZ065-066- 079>082-084-086>090-092-093-095>098-523>525. Wind Advisory from 2 PM to 10 PM EDT Thursday for VAZ099-100. MARINE . Gale Warning from 11 AM Thursday to midnight EDT Thursday night for ANZ633-652-654-656-658. Gale Warning from 4 PM Thursday to 2 PM EDT Friday for ANZ650. Gale Warning from 10 AM Thursday to midnight EDT Thursday night for ANZ630>632-634>638.

SYNOPSIS . MPR NEAR TERM . AJZ/MPR SHORT TERM . MPR LONG TERM . MPR AVIATION . ALB/MPR MARINE . MRD TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 31 mi88 min Calm 69°F 1017 hPa67°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 45 mi85 min 67°F

Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Richmond, Richmond International Airport, VA8 mi19 minSSW 710.00 miOvercast69°F64°F87%1016 hPa
Petersburg, Dinwiddie County Airport, VA19 mi18 minSW 310.00 miLight Rain67°F64°F91%1016.3 hPa
Ashland, Hanover County Municipal Airport, VA22 mi19 minSW 710.00 miOvercast70°F64°F84%1015.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRIC

Wind History from RIC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5CalmS4S3S3S6S8SW8S8S5--SW7S9SW10SW11SW8SW8SW9SW11SW13SW10SW6S8S7
1 day agoSW3SW4S4S4SW3CalmS3S4S4CalmCalmCalmN3N4N4E5SE5CalmS4S4S5S6S7Calm
2 days agoN10N9N10N8N8N8N9N8N9N7NW7NW5NW6W46NW5W3NW3W4W5SW4W3S4S4

Tide / Current Tables for Curles, 1 mile north of, James River, Virginia
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Curles
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:29 AM EDT     2.99 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:33 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:11 AM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:53 PM EDT     3.06 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:16 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:37 PM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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22.62.92.92.621.40.90.50.20.411.72.42.93.12.82.31.71.10.70.30.30.7

Tide / Current Tables for City Point (Hopewell), James River, Virginia
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City Point (Hopewell)
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:59 AM EDT     2.78 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:33 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:25 AM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:23 PM EDT     2.85 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:15 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:51 PM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.22.62.82.62.11.510.60.30.30.71.422.52.82.82.41.81.20.80.40.20.51.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.