Thursday, July29, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Painter, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:07AMSunset 8:16PM Thursday July 29, 2021 10:18 AM EDT (14:18 UTC) Moonrise 10:42PMMoonset 10:43AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 704 Am Edt Thu Jul 29 2021
Today..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A slight chance of showers early this morning. A chance of showers and tstms late.
Tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw late. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 15 kt in the late evening and overnight. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers after midnight. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 704 Am Edt Thu Jul 29 2021
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. Low pressure will track well north of the region later today and tonight. The trailing cold front will cross the area Friday morning, then stall across the carolinas over the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Painter, VA
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location: 37.58, -75.78     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 291037 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 637 AM EDT Thu Jul 29 2021

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure will track north of the region later today and tonight. The trailing cold front will cross the area early Friday, then stall across the Carolinas over the weekend. Low pressure moves east along the front Sunday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 630 AM EDT Thursday .

Latest MSAS shows a nearly stationary frontal boundary from nrn VA se towards the ern shore with a series of convectively induced low pressure systms riding se along it. All eyes will be on the one low currently over the Gt lakes region that is progged to plow ese along this frontal boundary later today and tonite.

Given the NW flow and expected heating ahead of it, expect any organized tstms to drop ese along this bndry from arnd 20Z thru about 05Z. The most targeted area will be the nern zones from the nrn neck to the ern shore. SPC has that area in a SLGT svr risk with an ENHANCED svr threat across the nrn DelMarVA. Latest data shows the best support for widespread svr (supercell theat) will be along and north of the frontal boundary which could psbly include the lwr Md ern shore (where the highest PoPs will be). Farther south and west (to about I-64) looks mainly a damaging wind/hail threat. Dry thru 21Z across the far south.

But before all this occurs, expect the sct shwrs across the ne to dissipate resulting in a a pt/mstly sunny late morning into mid aftrn. Highs in the lwr 90s except mid- upr 80s across the ern shore. Tstms continue this eve as the MCV pushes east (highest PoPs ne). Lingering moisture along the trailing cold front keeps the threat of a few shwrs going aftr midnite. Still warm/muggy with lows 70-75.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 330 AM EDT Thursday .

The cold front pushes south into NC Fri. Models show anthr round of convection dvlpng along ivof this boundary during the aftrn. Thus, will carry chc PoPs across nern NC with a buffer zone of slght chc PoPs across srn Va. Appears the svr threat Fri will be south of the Albemarle Sound. Otwm Mstly sunny north and pt sunny south. Highs upr 80s-lwr 90s.

Any lingering convections diminishes across ne NC Fri eve as the front sags south to near the NC/SC border. Wind shift to the north actually brings in CAA along with much lwr dew point temps. Mstly clr north/pt cldy south. Cooler with lows in the 60s to near 70 se.

The front remains nearly stationary Sat across the Carolinas with high pressure building into the area from the nw. Sat will be the pick of the weekend under pt to mstly sunny skies and much lwr humidity levels. Highs in the lwr 80s except upr 70s to near 80 near the water.

Models show low pressure developing along the stalled frontal boundary Sat nite then riding east along it Sun. Moisture rapidly increases late Sat nite with shwrs oversreading the area from the sw after midnite. Lows in the 60s to near 70 se. Sun looks unsettled with cldy skies/likely PoPs. Highs 80-85, coolest along the coast.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 330 AM EDT Thursday .

Unsettled conditions cont thru mid week. Models show anthr frontal boundary stalling along the coast with enuf moisture each day to keep chc PoPs going (highest along the coast). Below normal temps with highs in the low-mid 80s. Lows in the 60s to near 70 se.

AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 630 AM EDT Thursday .

Expect any low level ST to burn off over the next few hrs. Otw, VFR conditions thru most of the forecast period. Will be watching a convective complex plow its way ese across the nrn states later today and tonite. Most likely area to see any convection from this systm will be at SBY after 21Z (where VCTS was added for a few hrs arnd 00Z). SSW winds below 10 kts.

Outlook . Sct convection conts into early Fri as the trailing cold front crosses the area. Additional convection likely Sun as low pressure tracks across the Carolinas.

MARINE. As of 405 AM EDT Thursday .

Early this morning, winds were mainly SE 5-10 kt over the waters, with the exception of the NE NC coastal waters where winds were NW 5-10 kt. Winds will become S today, and increase up to 15 kt this aftn. Ahead of a cold front Thu night, SSW winds 10-20 kt, will become WSW 10-15 kt. The period to watch for possible SCAs will be post cold front late Fri night into Sat morning, as NNE winds average 15-20 kt. High pressure slides into/across the local waters Sat into Sat evening, then offshore Sun, resulting in lowering winds becoming S.

Seas 2-3 ft this morning, will build to 3-4 ft by this evening into tonight, while waves 1-2 ft will build to 2-3 ft. Seas/waves will again build to 3-4 ft/2-3 ft late Fri night into Sat morning, due to the increased NNE winds.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MPR NEAR TERM . MPR SHORT TERM . MPR LONG TERM . MPR AVIATION . MPR MARINE . ALB/TMG


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 5 mi49 min S 7 G 8.9 79°F 82°F1015.8 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 13 mi49 min SSE 9.9 G 12 1016 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 25 mi43 min SSE 12 G 16 78°F 82°F1 ft1016 hPa
44089 27 mi53 min 74°F2 ft
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 31 mi49 min S 6 G 7 78°F
44072 37 mi37 min S 9.7 G 9.7 78°F 80°F1 ft
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 37 mi49 min SSW 8.9 G 9.9 77°F
CHBV2 41 mi49 min S 5.1 G 6 78°F 1014.8 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 43 mi49 min S 12 G 16 79°F 1 ft1015.7 hPa
44087 43 mi53 min 80°F1 ft
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 44 mi49 min SSW 5.1 G 8 77°F 82°F1015.1 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 46 mi53 min 77°F2 ft
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 46 mi49 min SSE 12 G 17 79°F 82°F1015.1 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 46 mi49 min S 9.9 G 12 80°F 85°F1015 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 47 mi49 min SSE 4.1 G 6 80°F 1016 hPa

Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Melfa / Accomack Airport, VA5 mi84 minSSE 47.00 miPartly Cloudy79°F75°F88%1016.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMFV

Wind History from MFV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4N5N4--E4--SW5SE4SE4SE4--CalmE5--E3Calm----E4CalmCalmSE4--S3
1 day ago------S3----SE6S6S6--S6--S3S4S3S3--Calm--Calm--W3W3W3
2 days agoW9
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W8SW7W9--W4----S4----SW8--NW3----W3--CalmW3SW3W5W7

Tide / Current Tables for Wachapreague, Wachapreague Channel, Virginia
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Wachapreague
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Thu -- 01:01 AM EDT     4.34 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:10 AM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 01:25 PM EDT     4.33 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:38 PM EDT     0.68 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:41 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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44.343.32.41.60.80.40.61.32.233.84.34.23.72.92.11.40.80.71.222.7

Tide / Current Tables for Pungoteague Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Pungoteague Creek
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:00 AM EDT     1.74 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:30 AM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:31 PM EDT     1.80 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:04 PM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:42 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.91.31.61.71.71.410.60.30.10.10.40.71.21.61.81.81.61.310.60.40.3

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