Sunday, August25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Painter, VA

Version 3.4
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7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:29AMSunset 7:45PM Sunday August 25, 2019 11:18 AM EDT (15:18 UTC) Moonrise 12:04AMMoonset 2:56PM Illumination 24% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 957 Am Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Monday afternoon...
Rest of today..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of showers.
Tonight..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers after midnight.
Mon..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..E winds 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Wed..NE winds 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Thu night..N winds 5 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Waves 1 foot.
ANZ600 957 Am Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure builds north of the region today. Meanwhile, a stationary front will remain off the coast. Low pressure is expected to develop along the boundary by Monday, and track northeast well off the coast Monday into Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Painter, VA
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location: 37.58, -75.78     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 251044
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
644 am edt Sun aug 25 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will remain stalled well to our south through the
weekend. High pressure will become centered over new england
Sunday night through Tuesday as low pressure is slow to lift
northeast well off the carolina coast.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 350 am edt Sunday...

as of this morning, surface high pressure at around 1030mb is
located north of the region, centered over new england. Meanwhile, a
cold front is well south of the region, draped across southern sc ga
and extending out along the carolina coast. A shortwave aloft has
allowed for some lower clouds and light showers drizzle to
overspread southern portions of the region (mainly NE nc and far se
va) where low level moisture remains the highest. Fully expect the
precipitation to slowly diminish through the morning hours as drier
air continues to work in from the north. High res model guidance
continues to indicate the possibility for a few widely scattered
showers this afternoon due to strong easterly flow departing
shortwave. Any shower activity should generally be confined to areas
east of interstate 95 and pops are only in the slight chance
category. High temperatures will range from the upper 70s to around
80 under partly to mostly sunny skies to the north with partly to
mostly cloudy skies south and east.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Tuesday
As of 350 am edt Sunday...

the forecast for Sunday night through Tuesday will be largely
dependent on the development evolution of a potential tropical low
pressure system moving slowly NE (but remaining offshore of) the se
us coast. Given that this is likely to be tropical, continued to
generally disregard the NAM as it struggles greatly with anything
tropical. Continued to follow a gfs ECMWF wpc blend (with fairly
decent agreement) centers the sfc low NE off the ga north fl coast
sun night, and lifts it slowly NE well off the carolina coast mon-
tue. High pressure generally remains in place over new england and
atlantic canada through the period. This keep a persistent E to ne
low level onshore flow into the local area.

Deeper moisture looks to stay offshore, but will see a gradual
increase in dew pts and precipitable water values through the
period. Have maintained mostly chance pops for both Mon tue,
primarily due to the moisture overrunning the wedging high rather
than the sfc low itself (as it will be well offshore). Again will
need to monitor the potential tropical development evolution early
next week as a shift closer to the coast would increase impacts
(mainly from higher pops heavier rain potential). Highs will be
mainly in the upper 70s lower 80s mon, and 80-85f tue, with lows in
the 60s Sun night Mon am and mid 60s to lower 70s Mon night Tue am.

Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
As of 355 pm edt Saturday...

the early part of the extended forecast will depend much upon any
development and potential track of the tropical disturbance
currently off the fl coast. Latest NHC outlook keeps this system
will stay well off the local coast. Despite that, given the
proximity to the tropical system and the potential for some tropical
type showers to move across the area with a persistent ne-ene flow,
and some reinforcing moisture lift from weak upper disturbances
moving across the mid atlc and NE states in the w-sw flow aloft,
will maintain low chance pops Mon night through thu.

An upper-level trough will move into the great lakes for the end of
next week and the weekend. A cold front will approach the area from
the west. Ahead of the front, conditions should remain mostly dry
with temperature approaching 90 inland and mid 80s along the coast
for the first half of the holiday weekend.

Aviation 12z Sunday through Thursday
As of 700 am edt Sunday...

generallyVFR conditions expected at all TAF sites through
tonight. High pressure to the north will let clouds scatter out
somewhat through this morning and afternoon, especially to the
north and west. Low level moisture lingers closer to the coast
thus skies will remain sct- bkn across the south east. In
addition, a very scattered rain shower cannot be ruled at
eastern TAF sites this afternoon and evening. Gusty northeast
wind of 15 to 20 knots at orf ecg, around 10 knots elsewhere.

Lower clouds may try to develop by early Monday, potentially
creating sub-vfr conditions at all TAF periods for a period of
time.

Outlook: low pressure developing along a stalled front and high
pressure centered to our N NE will keep an easterly flow across
the region mon-tue, allowing for ample moisture, a chance for
showers, and the potential for sub-vfr ceilings from time to time
(especially at eastern TAF locations) mon-tue.

Marine
As of 350 am edt Sunday...

a cold front is pushing swd through nc early this morning
as high pressure builds across the great lakes. The wind has shifted
to nne behind the front 10-15kt, and this has resulted in 3-4ft seas
in the ocean and 2-3ft waves in the bay. The high will build across
upstate ny and into NRN new england today as the front settles off
the carolina coast. Therefore, the wind will shift to NE and remain
10-15kt. The high strengthens and remains nearly stationary tonight.

Meanwhile, an inverted trough begins to develop along the old
frontal boundary and the pressure gradient will tighten along the
mid-atlantic coast. A NE wind should increase to 15-25kt tonight
into Sunday, with seas building to 4-5ft N and 5-6ft S later tonight
into Sunday. SCA flags remain in effect for the bay and lower james,
and have been added for the ocean (primarily for seas) and the
currituck sound. The wind will remain NE Sunday night into Monday as
tropical low pressure organizes off the carolina coast. Sca
conditions for seas (potentially building to 5-8ft) will likely
linger into early next week as the flow remains onshore and with low
pressure over the ocean. By Tuesday night and Wednesday the wind
should become N and then SW as the low pulls well offshore. This
should allow seas to subside.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 10 pm edt Monday for anz634.

Small craft advisory until 6 pm edt Monday for anz630>632.

Small craft advisory until 1 am edt Monday for anz633.

Small craft advisory until 10 pm edt this evening for anz638.

Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Tuesday for anz650-652-654-
656-658.

Synopsis... Lkb
near term... Ajb
short term... Ajb lkb
long term... Cp
aviation... Ajb
marine... Ajz


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 5 mi48 min NNE 8.9 G 13 73°F 73°F1020.4 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 13 mi48 min 1021.6 hPa
44089 27 mi48 min 70°F3 ft
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 31 mi48 min N 9.9 G 12 73°F
44072 37 mi38 min E 18 G 21 73°F
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 37 mi48 min NNE 18 G 21 72°F 1021.3 hPa
CHBV2 41 mi54 min N 19 G 22 71°F 1019 hPa
44064 43 mi38 min NNE 18 G 21 72°F 1020.2 hPa
44087 43 mi48 min 75°F3 ft
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 44 mi48 min NNE 12 G 15 73°F 79°F1020.7 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 46 mi48 min 73°F5 ft
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 46 mi54 min NE 17 G 22 71°F 76°F1022.1 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 46 mi54 min ENE 12 G 18 72°F 76°F1021.7 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 47 mi48 min N 17 G 19 71°F 1020 hPa

Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Melfa / Accomack Airport, VA5 mi43 minN 610.00 miOvercast74°F63°F70%1021 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMFV

Wind History from MFV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5NE5N4NE4NE8NE10NE7NE8NE10
G16
NE10NE7----NE3------N5--N6N7N6N7N6
1 day agoNW5NW6W3NW5W6W6N5N10
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--------N5N6N4N5N5N7N6NE5N5
2 days agoW6W5W6W7W8W5SW3S7S5S4SW7
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Tide / Current Tables for Wachapreague, Wachapreague Channel, Virginia
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Wachapreague
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:03 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:07 AM EDT     3.68 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:13 AM EDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:00 PM EDT     4.59 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:42 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:18 PM EDT     0.83 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.82.63.23.53.73.52.92.11.30.80.50.61.42.53.544.44.64.43.72.92.11.30.9

Tide / Current Tables for Pungoteague Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Pungoteague Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:03 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:39 AM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:10 AM EDT     1.60 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:28 PM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:42 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 07:45 PM EDT     2.02 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.50.50.60.91.21.51.61.51.41.10.80.50.40.40.60.91.31.7221.91.61.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.