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Marine Weather and Tides King William, VA Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 7:17AM

Sunset 5:24PM

Thursday January 23, 2020 7:17 AM EST (12:17 UTC)

Moonrise 6:28AM

Moonset 4:15PM

Illumination 3%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near King William, VA

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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA

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FXUS61 KAKQ 231142 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 642 AM EST Thu Jan 23 2020

SYNOPSIS. Canadian high pressure slides off the coast later today into tonight. Low pressure tracks across the region Friday night and Saturday morning. High pressure builds into the area for early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 350 AM EST Thursday .

1030mb high pressure is centered from the Mid-Atlantic to New England early this morning as an upper level ridge builds aloft. Mostly clear with thin high clouds arriving from the W. Temperatures range from the upper teens/low 20s over the Piedmont, to the low/mid 20s from the interior coastal plain to the MD Ern Shore, and mid/upper 30s for coastal SE VA/NE NC where a northerly wind persists. The upper ridge axis will push offshore today allowing cirrus to overspread the region resulting in partly sunny to occasionally mostly cloudy conditions depending on the opacity of the cirrus. Meanwhile, high pressure at the surface weakens and begins to slide offshore. High temperatures will be near seasonal averages ranging from the mid/upper 40s NW to the low 50s SE.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 350 AM EST Thursday .

The upper ridge slides farther offshore tonight as a vigorous closed upper low digs across the Mississippi Valley. High clouds continue to increase. Lows tonight range from the around 30F NW to upper 30s/low 40s SE, and these values will likely be achieved during the evening to early overnight hours, before becoming steady inland and rising toward the coast. The upper low trundles ewd toward the Ohio Valley Friday. SSW flow aloft will allow moisture to spread nwd across the region, with a chc of showers arriving W of I- 95 during the aftn. However, the general consensus amongst 23/00z guidance is for the deeper moisture and vertical ascent to wait until evening before reaching the Piedmont. In situ wedging appears weaker given a slower onset to rain. Therefore, highs have been nudged up a few degrees to the upper 40s/low 50s over the Piedmont (still mid 40s far NW), to the mid 50s from central VA to the Ern Shore, and around 60F for far SE VA/NE NC.

The upper low lifts newd toward the Ern Great Lakes Friday night into Saturday as a moist frontal band lift across the Mid- Atlantic Friday night into Saturday morning. PoPs increase to 80-90% Friday night into Saturday morning for the area, but the window of pcpn for any given region is on the order of 3hrs. Moderate to occasional heavy rain is possible. However, given a relatively short duration QPF ranges from 0.25-0.4" SE to 0.75-0.9" NW. Mild Friday night with low temperatures in the mid 40s NW to the low 50s SE. The chc of rain quickly diminishes SW-NE Saturday with most areas becoming dry and partly cloudy by aftn. The system basically amounts to a warm occlusion and highs Saturday will be rather mild ranging from the low/mid 50s over the Piedmont, to the low 60s SE. Morning low clouds are possible over the Piedmont are possible given the lack of CAA.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 230 PM EST Wednesday .

This period to be governed by high pressure/dry conditions. NW flow behind the departing low Sun/Mon. The high moves overhead Tue then pushes offshore Wed. This results in aoa normal temps thru the prd. Highs Sun upr 40s-lwr 50s, mid 40s-lwr 50s Mon/Tue, then upr 40s-mid 50s Wed. Lows in the 30s to near 40 se.

AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 640 AM EST Thursday .

1030mb high pressure is centered over the Mid-Atlantic region as of 12z. There is still some pressure gradient over SE VA/NE NC and the wind is N to NNE ~10kt at ORF/ECG, and calm to very light RIC/SBY/PHF. Mostly clear with thin cirrus spreading in from the W. High pressure will remain over the region today and weaken. Cirrus will increase and thicken, with sct-bkn SC ~4-6kft pushing onshore around ECG midday into the aftn. The wind will be light out of the NE. High pressure will slide offshore tonight with clouds continuing thicken and lower, but cigs are expected to remain VFR most of the night. However, some of the latest high-res data is suggesting MVFR/IFR stratus could spread nwd into s-central and central VA around 12z Friday.

Low pressure will approach from the W Friday and pass across the region Friday night into early Saturday bringing rain and degraded flight conditions. Upper level low pressure crosses the region Saturday into Sunday, which should only bring passing mid-clouds and a 20-30% of showers (mainly Saturday aftn from RIC-SBY). Weak high pressure builds in from the W Monday aftn.

MARINE. As of 350 AM EST Thursday .

High pressure is centered over the area this morning, and will continue to slide NE throughout the day. This is resulting in light N/NE winds 5-15 kts across the area waters. Waves in the bay are 1-2 ft. Seas are 2-4 ft for the coastal waters from Virginia Beach up to the MD eastern shore, and 4-6 ft for the northern outer banks. The elevated seas over the northern outer banks and southern portion of the tidewater coastal zone are expected to persist through Thursday, the SCA was extended to 06Z Friday.

Winds will become more easterly on Friday as the high continues to move NE away from the area. Wind speeds tick up to 10-15 kts with gusts around 20 kts by late in the day Friday, and increase to 15-20 kts with gusts around 25 kts by Saturday morning with a SE flow ahead of an approaching low pressure system. Waves/seas build throughout the day on Friday with the persistent easterly flow, and by Saturday morning expect 3-5 ft waves in the bay and seas 6-8 ft.

Cold front associated with the low pressure system crosses the area waters Saturday morning. Westerly flow expected after the frontal passage. SCA waves/seas will likely persist into Sunday. High pressure builds in late Sunday and remains in place for the early part of next week with sub-SCA conditions expected.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Friday for ANZ656-658.

SYNOPSIS . AJZ/MPR NEAR TERM . AJZ SHORT TERM . AJZ LONG TERM . MPR AVIATION . AJZ MARINE . CMF

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA	26 mi	47 min	NNE 1.9	30°F			1030 hPa	27°F
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA	43 mi	53 min	W 5.1 G 5.1	30°F	38°F		1029.5 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA	43 mi	47 min	N 6 G 8	34°F	44°F		1028.5 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA	46 mi	23 min	NNE 9.7 G 14		42°F		1032.9 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD	47 mi	47 min	ENE 1.9 G 2.9
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA	48 mi	47 min	N 11 G 12	37°F			1029.3 hPa
NCDV2	49 mi	53 min	Calm G 1.9	24°F	41°F		1028.9 hPa

Wind History for Lewisetta, VA

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7 AM

8 AM

9 AM

10 AM

11 AM

12 PM

1 PM

2 PM

3 PM

4 PM

5 PM

6 PM

7 PM

8 PM

9 PM

10 PM

11 PM

12 AM

1 AM

2 AM

3 AM

4 AM

5 AM

6 AM

Last 24hr

N5

N3 G6

N4

N4

N5

NW4 G7

N5

N5

N3

NE3

E3

NE3

NE3

SW2

--

E7

S4

NW3

SW2

NW3

W4

NW3

N4

W1

1 day ago

N12 G20

N13 G17

N11 G17

N10 G13

N10 G14

N9 G13

N8 G11

N8 G13

NW9 G13

N8

NE8 G11

NE6 G9

N9 G12

N9 G12

N9 G13

N8 G13

N8 G12

N10 G13

N10 G13

N9 G12

N8 G12

N8 G11

N6

N6 G9

2 days ago

N15 G22

N16 G23

N11 G16

N10 G14

N11 G15

N9 G14

N10 G14

N11 G15

N9 G16

N9 G13

N8 G11

N12 G17

N11 G17

N11 G15

N13 G20

N11 G15

N11 G17

N11 G15

N10 G14

N10 G16

N8 G11

N9 G15

N8 G11

N9 G13

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure

Link to 5 minute data for KRIC

Wind History from RIC (wind in knots)

8 AM

9 AM

10 AM

11 AM

12 PM

1 PM

2 PM

3 PM

4 PM

5 PM

6 PM

7 PM

8 PM

9 PM

10 PM

11 PM

12 AM

1 AM

2 AM

3 AM

4 AM

5 AM

6 AM

7 AM

Last 24hr

N7

N7

NE7

N4

NE5

N7

N5

N5

NE6

NE4

Calm

NE5

NE4

E4

E3

Calm

Calm

N3

Calm

NW3

N4

Calm

NW3

N3

1 day ago

N11

N11 G20

N13 G21

N13 G21

N12

N14

NW11

N7

N8

N9

N8

N5

N5

N6

N8

N9

N8

N5

N7

N6

N5

N5

N6

N5

2 days ago

N9

N20 G23

N15

N14

N10

N14 G21

N12 G18

NW9

N10

N10

N8

N7

N8

N7

N7

N9

N8

N8

N7

N6

N8

N9

N10

N11

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Tide / Current Tables for Northbury, Pamunkey River, Virginia

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Tide / Current Tables for White House, Pamunkey River, Virginia

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (7,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA

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