Sunday, March7, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bloxom, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:23AMSunset 6:03PM Sunday March 7, 2021 3:43 PM EST (20:43 UTC) Moonrise 2:40AMMoonset 12:11PM Illumination 33% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 306 Pm Est Sun Mar 7 2021
Through 7 pm..N winds 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon night..S winds 5 kt, becoming sw in the late evening and overnight. Waves 1 foot.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the late evening and overnight. Waves 1 foot.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Wed night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
ANZ600 306 Pm Est Sun Mar 7 2021
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure settles over the area today and tonight, then becomes centered off the mid atlantic coast through the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bloxom, VA
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location: 37.85, -75.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 071738 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1238 PM EST Sun Mar 7 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure slowly builds into the area through tonight with dry weather continuing through much of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 950 AM EST Sunday .

High pressure is centered over southern Michigan/Indiana this morning. Troughing aloft remains in place over much of the ern CONUS, with a couple weak shortwaves dropping swd over MI/OH on the west side of the trough. The high will continue to build toward the area today and tonight, before becoming centered over the central Appalachians by 12z Mon. Expect another mostly sunny/dry day today. Some of the models are showing CU or SC later today over wrn portions of the FA as those upper shortwaves drop SSE toward the mountains of VA, while others keep it clear area wide. Winds are generally light and NE this morning but will become NW over most areas today, but may stay NNE through the day along the wrn shore of the Ches Bay and in coastal portions of SE VA/NE NC (w/ speeds around 10 mph). Temps as of 9:50 AM ranged from the upper 30s to lower 40s for most and mid to upper 30s for the Eastern Shore. Highs will be a couple degrees lower than they were yesterday, with mid 40s on the Ern Shore, mid- upper 40s from the VA Nrn Neck to coastal SE VA, and around 50F inland. Dew points are progged to be in the upper single digits- mid teens in all inland areas this aftn (thanks to mixing to ~800 mb). This will result in Min RH values of 19-25% inland (and 25-35% near the coast where dew points will be a bit higher). Mostly clear tonight with another near- ideal night for radiational cooling (especially inland). Lows are still forecast to be cold with low to mid 20s inland and mid to upper 20s in far SE portions of the FA.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 305 AM EST Sunday .

The high is progged to move to our SE by late Monday and then off the Carolina coast by Tue aftn. Aloft, persistent troughing over the ern CONUS will have moved offshore as upper ridging builds into the area. A warming trend will begin on Monday, with much warmer temperatures expected by Tuesday. Dry/sunny wx is expected on Monday with winds turning S-SSW by evening (but speeds will only be 5-10 mph). Lows Mon night will be warmer in the low 30s (possibly upper 20s in the typical cool spots in interior srn/SE VA and NE NC). Dew points will fall into the teens Mon with min RH values not too different than what is expected today.

Much warmer on Tue with mainly sunny skies and 5-10 mph SW winds. Forecast highs are in the mid to upper 60s (low to mid 60s for the Eastern Shore). Min RH values will be a bit higher than Mon but will still be low at 25-30% inland and 35-40% along the coast and over the Eastern Shore. While fuels have started to dry out, wind speeds will be considerably below increased fire danger thresholds on Mon and Tue.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 315 AM EST Sunday .

The medium range period continues to feature dry and warm conditions through late in the week, with increasing confidence that the pattern breaks down a bit by the upcoming weekend. Above average temperatures prevail Wed-Fri (with cooler temperatures on Sat).

Good model consensus that sfc high pressure becomes centered off the mid-Atlantic/SE US coast from Tue night through Thu, eventually weakening and moving farther offshore Fri-Sat as a cold front tries to approach from the NW. The deterministic GFS/ECMWF have the front moving through most of the area on Sat, but their respective ensemble means (especially the GEFS) have a slower FROPA (and warmer temperatures on Sat). Will continue to follow the NBM, which shows warm temperatures continuing through Fri (and above average temps on Sat). Dry wx will persist through at least early Fri, and will continue with slight chc PoPs for showers (mainly N) Fri aftn through Fri night/Sat as the front approaches and moves into the region. A lot of uncertainty exists for temperatures on Sat depending on where the front ends up being located. The only real concern wx- wise will be the potential for increased fire danger by the middle of the week, as winds increase out ahead of the approaching cold front with dew pts that only moderate slightly. Although we entered March with soil moisture unseasonably high, this persistent stretch of dry days is already beginning to dry out fuels. By Wed (but especially on Thu) next week, this could become an issue in regards to increased fire danger, especially once temps begin to warm through the week. It still looks like Thu probably has the greatest chance for headlines.

Highs will range from the upper 60s/around 70F Wed (mid 60s Eastern Shore), low to perhaps mid 70s Thu (mid to upper 60s Eastern Shore), low to mid 70s Fri (mid to upper 60s Eastern Shore). Lows will range from the upper 30s to low 40s Tues night, mid to upper 40s Wed night, upper 40s to low 50s Thurs night, and mid 40s to low 50s Fri night. Sat is much more uncertain: current forecast has highs in the mid 60s central/upper 60s-near 70F south and in the upper 50s on the eastern shore, but highs could still be well into the 70s across much of the srn half of the area if the GEFS scenario verifies.

AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 1235 PM EST Sunday .

VFR conditions through the 18z TAF period. Starting to see some cu develop around 4000-6000 ft in the piedmont and far SE. Cu will dissipate quickly after sunset in the SE but will linger through the evening around RIC before dissipating overnight. Winds will remain generally NW at RIC/SBY/PHF and NNE/NE at ORF/ECG at 7 to 10 kt through the afternoon. Winds become light tonight as high pressure becomes centered just W of the terminals.

OUTLOOK . Mainly VFR conditions persist into early next week.

MARINE. As of 305 AM EST Sunday .

High pressure over the area thru Mon becomes centered off the Mid Atlntc coast for most of the week. No headlines with N-NE winds aob 15 kts thru Mon. Return flow around the high shifts winds to the S- SW Tue/Wed aob 15 kts. Seas average 2-3 ft. Waves 1-2 ft.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . ERI/RMM NEAR TERM . ERI/RMM SHORT TERM . ERI/RMM LONG TERM . ERI/LKB AVIATION . RMM MARINE . MPR


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 17 mi55 min N 7 G 14 42°F 45°F1027 hPa
44089 21 mi47 min 42°F1 ft
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 27 mi55 min N 16 G 18 1027.5 hPa
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 31 mi55 min NW 12 G 16 42°F 45°F1027.1 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 36 mi37 min E 7.8 G 7.8 38°F 41°F1027.7 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 42 mi55 min NNW 8.9 G 12 43°F 42°F1027.2 hPa
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 46 mi55 min E 6 G 9.9 38°F 41°F1027.9 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 48 mi55 min WNW 13 G 16

Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wallops Flight Facility Airport, VA14 mi49 minWNW 1010.00 miFair45°F17°F33%1026.3 hPa
Melfa / Accomack Airport, VA14 mi48 minNNW 10 G 1610.00 miFair40°F17°F39%1027.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KWAL

Wind History from WAL (wind in knots)
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NW6CalmCalmCalmNE5NE8NE4CalmCalmNW3NW4NW4NW6NW5N8N12NW9N11
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W5NW7NW9W3CalmSW3S4NW8NW7NW6SW3W3--W6NW9W10
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Tide / Current Tables for Guard Shore, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Guard Shore
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:56 AM EST     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:40 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:25 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:59 AM EST     2.33 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:11 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 02:10 PM EST     0.16 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:02 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:25 PM EST     1.84 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.1-00.20.61.21.82.22.32.21.91.51.10.60.30.20.30.61.11.61.81.81.61.30.8

Tide / Current Tables for Chesconessex Creek, Schooner Bay, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Chesconessex Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:13 AM EST     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:40 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:25 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:39 AM EST     2.08 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:11 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 01:27 PM EST     0.21 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:02 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:05 PM EST     1.64 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-00.10.40.81.31.822.11.91.61.20.80.40.20.20.50.81.21.51.61.61.30.90.5

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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