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Marine Weather and Tides Tyaskin, MD Version 3.4

NOTICE 8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it. 8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue. 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:49AM

Sunset 7:00PM

Tuesday September 22, 2020 6:05 AM EDT (10:05 UTC)

Moonrise 11:53AM

Moonset 9:46PM

Illumination 26%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tyaskin, MD

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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA

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FXUS61 KAKQ 220750 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 350 AM EDT Tue Sep 22 2020

SYNOPSIS. Strong high pressure will build into the region today and will stay over the region through midweek before pushing offshore later in the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 350 AM EDT Tuesday .

Surface high pressure extends from New England through the Mid- Atlantic region early this morning. Meanwhile, Hurricane Teddy is tracking nwd well E of the Mid-Atlantic coast. Aloft, an upper trough remains immediately off the East Coast, with an upstream ridge over the mid/lower Mississippi Valley. Clear for most of the area early this morning, aside from some ocean effect stratocumulus over the coasts of SE VA and NE NC. Cool for most of the area, with temperatures generally in the low/mid 40s, with some upper 30s in the Piedmont. Milder over SE VA/NE NC where temperatures are in the 50s, and even low 60s for the coasts of SE VA/NE NC.

High pressure will continue to build in to the region today, and this will result in a very pleasant day for the beginning of Fall, with the autumnal equinox occurring at 930 am EDT this morning. High temperatures will generally be in the low 70s under a sunny sky along with a light NW wind.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 350 AM EDT Tuesday .

Surface high pressure becomes centered over the Cumberland Plateau tonight as Hurricane Teddy moves nwd to Nova Scotia. The sky is expected to be mostly clear tonight, with forecast lows ranging from the mid 40s over the Piedmont, to the low/mid 50s (locally ~60F for coastal SE VA/NE NC) toward the coast where there will be some gradient in the pressure field will create some light mixing. The surface high gradually settles into the Southeast Conus by Wednesday. Little in the way of cloud cover is expected. However, HRRR smoke fields depict some smoke arriving in light NW flow aloft later tonight into Wednesday and this could result in at least a thin overcast aloft allowing for some dimming of the sun. The airmass modifies and forecast highs are in the mid upper 70s.

The upper ridge breaks down by Wednesday night/Thursday as the remnants of TC Beta move inland over the Gulf coast States. This should result in an increase of high clouds over the region, but still dry as high pressure off the coast prevails. Milder Wednesday night with lows in the 50s to low 60s. Highs Thursday are forecast to once again be in the mid/upper 70s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 310 PM EDT Sunday .

Previously referenced shortwave trough pushes across late Thursday into Friday, allowing for scattered showers across the area (20-35% PoPs) through Friday, with best chances along and south of US-460 given latest information. Weak ridge of high pressure begins to develop by Saturday over the region ahead of a deepening trough to the west. The ridge and trough deepen through the weekend and into Monday as a low pressure system develops over the Great Lakes. The trough and associated cold front moves through the region Monday or Tuesday. The result of this amplified pattern will be an increase in at least isolated/widely scattered prefrontal precipitation chances from Saturday through at least Monday.

Highs generally in the upper 70s to around 80F through the extended. Lows Wednesday night will range from the low 50s NW to around 60F near the coast. Lows Thursday through Saturday nights will range from the mid to upper 50s W to the low 60s E. Lows Sunday night will range from the low 60s NW to the upper 60s SE.

AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 155 AM EDT Tuesday .

1030mb high pressure is centered from New England through the Mid-Atlantic as of 06z. There is still some pressure gradient along the coast, and this is maintaining a northerly wind of 10-15kt at ECG and NNE 10-15kt with gusts to ~20kt at ORF. SCT- BKN ocean effect SC continue to spread across ORF/ECG with bases ~4.5kft. These clouds are expected to gradually dissipate by 08-10z as the wind around 4-5kft shifts from NE to N. Sunny later this morning into the aftn, then mostly clear tonight as high pressure spreads across the region. The wind will become WNW late morning into the aftn, with speeds of 8-12kt, and some gusts to 15-20kt at SBY. By tonight, the wind will become calm to very light (5kt or less) out of the W.

High pressure prevails across the region Wednesday and Thursday bringing dry and VFR conditions. High pressure moves offshore Friday into Saturday, with only a slight chc of showers at this time.

MARINE. As of 350 AM EDT Tuesday .

Latest analysis shows high pressure over the Mid Atlantic this morning, and Hurricane Teddy well off the east coast. Northerly winds 10-15 kts over the bay and northern coastal waters, and 15-20 kts over the southern coastal waters and Currituck sound. Despite Teddy being well offshore, the system is still resulting in significant waves/seas over the local area. Waves in the bay 3-5 ft, with around 6 ft at the mouth of the bay. Seas are running 8-12 ft over the northern coastal waters and 10-14 ft over the southern coastal waters.

The surface high slides to our SW today and Teddy continues to move NW. This will result in winds locally becoming NW. The pressure gradient continues to relax, with winds over the bay 10-15 kts and 15-20 kts over the coastal waters. Waves in the bay 2-4 ft and around 5 ft at the mouth of the bay. Seas will be slow to subside, and still expect 8-12 ft by late in the day. Several changes were made to headlines. The SCA's for the upper bay, lower James, and Currituck sound should be allowed to expire later this morning. The lower bay was extended to 23Z for elevated waves 4-5 ft expected to last much of the day. The SCA for the mouth of the bay was extended to 11Z Wednesday as waves there will be slow to subside. The coastal waters SCA currently goes until 11Z Wednesday and will likely be extended beyond that as seas will be slow to subside through mid week.

Hurricane Teddy is forecast to make landfall in the vicinity of Nova Scotia on Wednesday, and high pressure will linger in the TN valley. W/NW winds 10-15 kts are expected. Seas will continue to slowly subside and should fall under SCA criteria late Wednesday into early Thursday. Much calmer marine conditions expected for the end of the week into the weekend.

HYDROLOGY. As of 350 AM EDT Tuesday .

Flood Warnings remain in effect for the Nottoway River near Sebrell and the Blackwater River near Franklin. Flood Warnings will likely will remain in effect for at least the next day or two at these sites.

See FLWAKQ/FLSAKQ and weather.gov/AKQ for more site-specific information.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 350 AM EDT Tuesday .

Tidal anomalies are running about 1-2 ft MLLW this morning. Meanwhile, the last flood/ebb cycle was around 1 kt. The coastal flood advisory for Currituck/Va Beach/Norfolk/Chesapeake was cancelled as levels did not reach minor flood stage during this high tide cycle. This afternoon's high tide is expected to be a bit higher which will likely push a portion of this area into minor flood, so another flood advisory will be hoisted later this morning. Coastal flood advisory remains in effect for the northern neck through 8 AM for minor flooding expected at Lewisetta.

Tidal departures are expected to eventually diminish by Wednesday as the flow becomes a bit stronger offshore, and swell from Teddy subsides/moves North of the region.

Swells enhanced by Hurricane Teddy (well offshore), with periods of ~15 seconds, and very large waves of 10-12 feet+ will make for very dangerous conditions at the Atlantic Beaches through Tuesday. In addition, there is dune/beach erosion potential, especially for more vulnerable locations with the high tide cycles today before conditions improve beginning on Wednesday. Beach Hazards Statements/High Rip Current Risk continue today and is forecast to remain high on Wednesday. A High Surf Advisory remains in effect for the Atlantic coast as waves in the surf zone range from 8-10ft North to 10-12ft South.

EQUIPMENT. As of 940 PM EDT Monday .

KAKQ radar remains offline due to an equipment issue. More info will be passed along as it becomes available. See FTMAKQ for more information.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . High Surf Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for MDZ025. NC . High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ102. VA . High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for VAZ098. High Surf Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for VAZ099- 100. Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for VAZ075- 077-078. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ634-650- 652-654-656-658. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for ANZ632. Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for ANZ630- 631-633. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT early this morning for ANZ638.

SYNOPSIS . AJZ/MAM NEAR TERM . AJZ SHORT TERM . AJZ/MAM LONG TERM . MAM AVIATION . AJZ MARINE . CMF HYDROLOGY . AKQ TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . CMF EQUIPMENT . AKQ

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD	14 mi	47 min	NNW 5.1 G 7	53°F	64°F
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD	18 mi	47 min	NNW 7 G 8	57°F	67°F
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD	28 mi	47 min	WNW 7 G 8.9
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD	32 mi	29 min	NNW 9.7 G 12	59°F	71°F
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD	32 mi	47 min	NNW 4.1 G 5.1
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD	39 mi	47 min	N 6 G 7
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA	41 mi	47 min	NW 5.1 G 6	54°F	63°F
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD	41 mi	47 min	N 5.1 G 7
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD	48 mi	65 min	WNW 6 G 7	54°F	71°F		1026.6 hPa (-1.6)	49°F
LWSD1 - 8557380 - Lewes, DE	49 mi	47 min	NNE 14 G 17	62°F	63°F

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

6 AM

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Last 24hr

NE9 G16

NE18 G22

NE11 G21

NE10 G16

NE9 G18

NE11 G21

NE11 G18

NE12 G15

NE11 G16

NE11 G16

E8 G12

NE8 G12

NE8 G13

NE10 G13

E9 G12

E9 G12

NE10 G13

NE7 G10

NE6 G9

N4

N4

N5

N4

N4

1 day ago

N6 G10

NE13 G16

NE11 G17

NE13 G18

NE9 G15

NE14 G18

NE10 G17

NE7 G15

NE7 G14

NE9 G15

NE12 G18

NE13 G16

NE12 G15

NE12 G16

E12 G16

NE14 G19

NE11 G17

NE11 G15

NE10 G16

NE14 G17

NE14 G18

NE10 G18

NE13 G18

N8 G14

2 days ago

N14 G21

NE11 G17

N12 G21

NE11 G17

NE12 G17

NE10 G20

N6 G13

N6 G13

NE10 G13

NE7 G11

NE6 G13

NE6 G10

NE9 G13

NE8 G11

NE8 G13

NE4 G9

NE7 G11

NE8

NE8 G12

NE8 G11

NE8 G11

N4

N6 G10

N5 G9

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD	15 mi	70 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Fair	43°F	42°F	100%	1025.4 hPa
Salisbury, Salisbury-Ocean City Wicomico County Regional Airport, MD	19 mi	71 min	NW 5	10.00 mi	Fair	47°F	42°F	83%	1024.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCGE

Wind History from CGE (wind in knots)

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Last 24hr

N7

N6

N9

N9 G14

NE8 G16

NE11 G18

E8 G17

N9 G16

NE9 G16

N7 G13

NE7

NE6 G12

NE6

NE4

Calm

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1 day ago

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N10

NE9 G15

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NE9 G17

N14

N11

6 G15

NE7 G13

NE6

NE3

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Calm

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N8

N6 G12

N8

2 days ago

N10 G18

N9 G15

N11

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N13

N10

NE9 G16

N10 G16

N9 G14

N11

N8

5

E5

Calm

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Tide / Current Tables for Roaring Point, Nanticoke River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland

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Tide / Current Tables for Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE

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