Saturday, August17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bethel, DE

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:17AMSunset 7:55PM Saturday August 17, 2019 2:14 PM EDT (18:14 UTC) Moonrise 8:22PMMoonset 7:04AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 139 Pm Edt Sat Aug 17 2019
This afternoon..SW winds 5 kt. Waves flat. Isolated showers and tstms.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..SW winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers through the night.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft...building to 2 to 3 ft. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 139 Pm Edt Sat Aug 17 2019
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. High pressure over the atlantic will control the weather pattern through Monday. A trough will build near the waters for Tuesday and Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bethel, DE
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location: 38.52, -75.64     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 171800
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
200 pm edt Sat aug 17 2019

Synopsis
A frontal boundary will remain nearly stationary over southeast
virginia and northeast north carolina today into Sunday. Weak
high pressure will be over the area on Monday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 955 am edt Saturday...

morning fog and stratus are slowly scattering and lifting over
central and s-central va and the md ERN shore this morning. Warm
and humid with temperatures in the mid 70s to low 80s and
dewpoints in the low mid 70s.

A frontal boundary will remain nearly stationary over SE va and
ne nc during today. Pops will be 15-30%. Highs today will
generally be in the upper 80s to lower 90s, with mid 80s along
the atlantic coast of the ERN shore.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Monday
As of 400 am edt Saturday...

the frontal boundary will gradually get pushed to the SE very
late tonight through sun, as upper ridging starts to build in
from the w. However, the front does linger near the coast, and
the 17 00z gfs ECMWF nam continue to show a wave tracking along
the front over the coastal carolinas later tonight into sun
aftn. Pops of 20-50% will be over SE portions of the area for
the first part of sun. Lows tonight 70-75, followed by hotter
conditions sun, with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s, and
potentially some mid 90s well inland.

The frontal boundary pushes well off the coast Sun night into
mon, as the upper ridge builds in from the w. Pops will be 15-30%
mon aftn with hot and humid conditions developing. Forecast highs
on Mon are 90-95, with upper 80s at the coast, after morning
lows of 70-75.

Long term Monday night through Friday
As of 300 pm Friday...

models continue to show a breaking down of the western atlantic
and western us ridges over the eastern third of the us next
week with a weakness developing in the ridge along the
southeastern us coast by midweek before a northern stream trough
slides across the great lake and northeastern us late in the
week. This is similar to yesterdays runs, although the timing on
the sfc cold front associated with the northern stream trough
is a bit slower than yesterday. Overall, this should lead to a
gradual increase in moisture and convection from Tuesday into
Thursday in advance of the front with more organized
precipitation with the cold frontal passage on Friday. How are
south the front will make it is still in doubt the models begin
to show the western atlantic ridge building back westward late
in the period and this could stall the front across SRN va nrn
nc. So have left pops across this area for Friday.

For temperatures, guidance has trended a little cooler with
this model cycle, with readings generally near normal next week
with highs in the upper 80s to around 90 most days and lows in
the upper 60 to mid 70s.

Aviation 18z Saturday through Thursday
As of 200 pm edt Saturday...

a stationary front is located off the carolina coast this aftn,
with a weak area of low pressure developing along the boundary
near the sc coast. A weak trough remains over the local area,
with some isolated showers and tstms developing over the
piedmont well W of ric. Additionally, sea-breeze convection is
developing over the md ERN shore. Confidence with regard to a
direct impact on any of the terminals is low through 00z. The
aforementioned area of low pressure will track NE along the
boundary late tonight into Sunday morning, bringing the
potential for showers and embedded tstms to ecg, and
potentially orf. MVFR ifr vsby in rain is possible late tonight
into Sunday morning at ecg along with MVFR cigs. Ifr fog stratus
could once again develop late tonight into Sunday morning, with
the best potential at ric phf. The low gradually pulls away
from the coast during the aftn, with a low probability (15-20%)
of an aftn shower or tstm.

MainlyVFR conditions are expected to prevail Monday through
Thursday. A low probability of aftn evening showers tstms will
continue Monday and Tuesday. A higher chc of showers tstms
arrives by Wednesday and Thursday as a trough moves through the
area.

Marine
As of 140 am edt Saturday...

no headlines expected through early in the upcoming week. Hi
pres will remain nearly stationary off the coast. Very weak low
pres tracking NE along off the NE nc coast is shown on a couple
of the models during Sun which may briefing result in a period
of ene winds... Otw... Mainly se-sw winds AOB 10 kt through mon.

Wind probs continue to show less AOB 5% for speeds greater than
15 kt. Waves during the period 1-2 ft and seas generally 2-4
ft.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Tmg
near term... Ajz tmg
short term... Ajz tmg
long term... Ess
aviation... Ajz
marine... Alb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 23 mi63 min N 1.9 G 4.1 85°F 83°F1015.7 hPa
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 30 mi63 min WSW 5.1 G 5.1 81°F 86°F1016.8 hPa
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 32 mi63 min S 5.1 G 7 80°F 74°F1017.1 hPa
LWSD1 - 8557380 - Lewes, DE 33 mi57 min ENE 8.9 G 9.9 78°F 76°F1016.5 hPa
OCSM2 33 mi195 min 2 ft
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 40 mi57 min ENE 1.9 G 2.9 82°F 1016.9 hPa
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 41 mi39 min Calm G 1.9 82°F 1017.1 hPa
DRSD1 - Delaware Reserve, DE 41 mi165 min E 4.1 84°F 1017 hPa77°F
BRND1 - 8555889 - Brandywine Shoal Light, DE 43 mi63 min 1016.8 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 45 mi57 min E 7 G 8 82°F 84°F1015.8 hPa
CMAN4 - 8536110 - Cape May, NJ 48 mi57 min W 5.1 G 7 78°F 73°F1015.9 hPa

Wind History for Cambridge, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Salisbury, Salisbury-Ocean City Wicomico County Regional Airport, MD14 mi21 minVar 410.00 miOvercast90°F73°F58%1015.1 hPa
Georgetown - Delaware Coastal Airport, DE19 mi21 minENE 610.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F75°F77%1015.8 hPa
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD21 mi35 minSW 310.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F73°F59%1015.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSBY

Wind History from SBY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8SE8SE7E9E8SE4SE6CalmE3NE3CalmSE3S3N3SE3CalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmN44
1 day agoE8E8E9E7E6E5E4N4E3E4N4E3N3CalmNE3CalmN4NE6E6E6NE5N53E9
2 days agoW11W14NW8E8NE6NE4N5NE4NE6NE3NE3S4CalmN7NE4NE3NE5E6NE7E6E8E6E10E8

Tide / Current Tables for Sharptown, Nanticoke River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Sharptown
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Sat -- 01:01 AM EDT     0.31 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:09 AM EDT     2.87 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 01:31 PM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:32 PM EDT     2.69 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.30.50.91.52.22.72.92.82.41.81.20.60.30.30.61.21.82.32.62.72.41.91.3

Tide / Current Tables for Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current
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Salisbury
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:26 AM EDT     0.68 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 05:34 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 08:37 AM EDT     -0.77 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 12:16 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:46 PM EDT     0.43 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 05:26 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:37 PM EDT     -0.78 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 09:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.50.70.70.50.2-0.2-0.5-0.7-0.8-0.6-0.4-0.10.20.40.40.30.1-0.2-0.5-0.7-0.8-0.6-0.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.