Friday, August23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Weskan, KS

Version 3.4
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7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 8:27PM Friday August 23, 2019 8:42 AM CDT (13:42 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 1:44PM Illumination 45% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Weskan, KS
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location: 38.89, -102     debug


Area Discussion for - Goodland, KS
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Fxus63 kgld 231001
afdgld
area forecast discussion
national weather service goodland ks
401 am mdt Fri aug 23 2019

Short term (today through tomorrow night)
issued at 344 am mdt Fri aug 23 2019
starting out this morning, main concern will be determining fog
developing across the tri-state area. Will be keeping a close eye
and issuing updates as needed to the forecast. While confidence on
fog occurring this morning is high, confidence is low as to the
extent and location of development. That said, areas that do
develop fog are expected to see conditions last through the mid
morning hours.

Today, guidance has continued to favor development of a large
line of convection pushing across the area from west to east. In
this narrow band of showers and storms, some embedded severe
thunderstorms are expected to develop. Threats include large hail,
damaging winds, locally heavy rainfall, and an isolated tornado
or two. SPC and wpc day 1 outlooks are both slight for our area.

At this time, was not confident enough to issue a flash flood
watch, but as the next round of guidance comes in and confidence
improves, one may be issued this morning. Highs will be in the
80s with overnight lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

Friday night, we will see showers and storms continue to impact
the area. Expecting an MCS to develop and trek over our cwa
continuing potential severe weather threats into the morning hours
on Saturday. As the upper level trough exits the region throughout
the day, precipitation chances will die off.

Saturday afternoon, low confidence on convective development. But
cannot rule out an isolated severe thunderstorm or two, with sole
development precisely due to mesoscale features. Threats again
being large hail and damaging winds. Not expecting storms that do
develop to last through midnight. Highs will be in the upper 70s
to upper 80s with overnight lows in the mid 50s to mid 60s.

Long term (Sunday through Friday)
issued at 335 am mdt Fri aug 23 2019
synopsis... Unsettled weather is expected for the tri-state area for
much of the long term forecast period. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms will be prevalent while temperatures cool down to
something more fall-like. High temperatures Sunday will be in the
upper 80s to low 90s while high temperatures next Friday could be
down to the low 70s with some morning lows creeping down into the
upper 40s for some.

Discussion... A strong jet streak of upper-level wind is expected to
progress eastward into the central united states this weekend and
provide increased upper-level support for ascent and the formation
of showers and thunderstorms. Model guidance suggests this jet will
eventually mature into an upper-level trough by Monday or Tuesday
centered over southern manitoba while relatively strong upper-level
flow will be present down through the central high plains. Breezy
surface northerly winds on Monday and evening convection are
expected to usher in several days of cooler temperatures across the
tri-state area with highs in the 70s.

Even as this upper-level trough progresses eastward toward the
middle of next week, relatively strong northwesterly upper-level
flow is expected to persist over the central high plains between a
developing upper-level ridge to the southwest and a persistent jet
of strong wind speeds aloft over southern canada and stretching into
the northern plains region. This relatively strong northwesterly
flow on the order of 30 to 40 kts will allow for the formation of
leeside upper-level shortwave troughs which will lead to chances for
showers and thunderstorms for much of the tri-state area through the
end of the long term forecast period.

With no strong indications of a regime change in the upper-level
flow pattern for next weekend, it would certainly appear that cooler
temperatures will be sticking around for good as meteorological fall
begins. Statistically speaking, much of the tri-state area is less
than six weeks away from their historical first frost of the season,
and if the current forecast verifies we will begin to see low
temperatures dipping into the upper 40s by next weekend for the
first time since spring.

Aviation (for the 12z tafs through 12z Saturday morning)
issued at 344 am mdt Fri aug 23 2019
throughout the rest of the TAF period, expecting several rounds of
sub-vfr conditions, first due to fog this morning, followed by
another round associated with a line of showers and storms moving
across the tri-state area from west to east. Both the mccook and
goodland terminals are expected to be impacted, by first the fog,
then the showers and storms later today. Winds will be all over
the place as residual boundaries and storms will vary directions.

Amendments will be issued as needed.

Gld watches warnings advisories
Ks... None.

Co... None.

Ne... None.

Short term... Ev
long term... Patton
aviation... Ev


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Burlington - Carson County Airport, CO29 mi49 minS 910.00 miMostly Cloudy64°F61°F90%1011.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KITR

Wind History from ITR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE8SE13SE11
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1 day agoE14
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2 days agoW8SW8S65S6SE8SE11S8E10SE7CalmNE5NE7E9SE13
G23
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G24
S7S6NE8E9E9

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Goodland, KS (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Goodland, KS
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.