Wednesday, August21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Delhi Hills, OH

Version 3.4
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7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 8:26PM Wednesday August 21, 2019 7:44 AM EDT (11:44 UTC) Moonrise 10:46PMMoonset 11:30AM Illumination 67% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Delhi Hills, OH
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location: 39.11, -84.61     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 211038
afdiln
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
638 am edt Wed aug 21 2019

Synopsis
A warm and humid airmass will fuel scattered showers and
thunderstorms through Thursday night ahead of slow moving cold
front. Thunderstorm chances will gradually diminish Friday
as drier air begins to work in from the north.

Surface high pressure will build into the great lakes offering
cooler and drier weather for the upcoming weekend. A few isolated
storms may be possible by late Sunday afternoon, as moisture
begins to return.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Northwest mid level flow over the great lakes and ohio valley with
s W trof pivoting thru northern ohio this morning. Some residual
mixed layer CAPE up to 500 j kg may lead to a few showers or
perhaps and embedded thunderstorm across mainly the northern and
eastern counties this morning.

Abundant low level moisture and light wind flow will likely
lead to patchy fog this morning. This will be especially
prevalent in river valleys.

Mid level flow backs westerly with a weak embedded S W approaching
late in the day. Instability is not quite as impressive today with
an axis of sb CAPE of 2500-3000 j kg over the southwest this aftn.

Forecast soundings show a good cap that will work to inhibit the
development of deep convection until late in the day or early
evening with the approach of the mid level S w. Although strong
instby will exist, due to the lack of forcing and aforementioned
cap there may not be much in the way of convective development.

Therefore, will limit pops to chance category and hold off
until later in the aftn. Shear is limited with bulk shear
generally 20 kts or less. If storms develop, a few of the
stronger updrafts could produce isold strong to damaging winds.

Another very warm and muggy day with high temperatures from the
mid upper 80s northwest to around 90 south. Maximum heat indices
will be in the mid 90s across the far southern counties and
will continue to highlight this heat along with the isold
potential for damaging winds in the far south in the hwo
product.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Thursday
Westerly mid level flow with shortwave energy pushing into
the area tonight. The best chance for thunderstorms this
evening will be focused over the southwest -- where the best
instby will exist.

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will increase from
the west towards late tonight as more S W energy ejects east
through the area and a slow moving e-w oriented front begins
to drop south into iln S northern fa. Mild night with lows from
the mid 60s north to around 70 south.

The front will slip slowly to a position south of the ohio
river by Thursday evening. Ongoing convection and clouds will
likely limit instability -- across the north. As heating occurs
sb CAPE values of 1500-2000 j kg will develop Thursday aftn with
the most unstbl conditions over the far south. Have a period of
likely pops to account for these storms. Bulk shear is more
favorable around 30 kts. Some of the stronger updrafts will have
the potential to produce strong to damaging winds -- mainly
Thursday aftn across iln S far south. Expect Thursday's highs to
range from the upper 70s north to the lower mid 80s far south.

Long term Thursday night through Tuesday
Period starts unsettled with a cold front positioned near the ohio
river. As the flow aloft transitions from west to north around an
upper trough, the cold front will be shifting slowly south through
kentucky Thursday night through Friday night. Thunderstorms
lingering in the moisture and convergence along the front will slip
gradually southward following the progress of the front. Dry weather
conditions should be realized Saturday morning as surface high
pressure settles across the great lakes. Latest ECMWF shows mainly
dry conditions Sunday, though a few thunderstorms could develop in
southern locations as humid and unstable air seeps back north around
the high. Thunderstorms will be possible Monday and Tuesday in the
warm and humid southerly flow ahead of the next cold front.

Cooler than normal highs in the upper 70s to around 80 are expected
Friday and Saturday. Warm advection on the southerly flow will allow
slightly above normal readings in the mid 80s by Tuesday.

Aviation 12z Wednesday through Sunday
Northwest mid level flow over the great lakes and ohio valley with
s W trof pivoting to the east thru northern ohio this morning.

A lingering isolated shower is not out of the question mainly
across kcmh klck early but probability is too low to mention in
taf fcst.

Abundant low level moisture and light wind flow has lead to the
development of widespread stratus. Expect a period of MVFR to
ifr ceilings and MVFR vsby restrictions. Fog and stratus will
lift improving by 15z.

Mid level flow backs westerly with a weak embedded S W approaching
late in the day. Instability is not quite as impressive today with
an axis of sb CAPE of 2500-3000 j kg over the southwest this aftn.

Forecast soundings show a good cap that will work to inhibit the
development of deep convection until late in the day with the
approach of the mid level S w. Will limit mention to vcsh from
20z with storm coverage being limited. Expect any diurnally
driven storms to dissipate this evening withVFR ceilings.

Chances for thunderstorms will increase toward sunrise Thursday
mainly across the southern TAF sites.

Outlook... Thunderstorms will remain possible at times through
Friday afternoon.

Iln watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Ky... None.

In... None.

Synopsis... Ar
near term... Ar
short term... Ar
long term... Coniglio
aviation... Ar


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport, KY5 mi53 minSW 68.00 miPartly Cloudy69°F66°F90%1014.8 hPa
Cincinnati, Cincinnati Municipal Airport Lunken Field, OH10 mi52 minSSE 410.00 miMostly Cloudy69°F66°F93%1015.2 hPa
Butler County Regional Airport, OH18 mi52 minSW 310.00 miOvercast69°F68°F96%1015.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCVG

Wind History from CVG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmS4CalmS4W7SW7SW6SW3S12
G17
NE8NW9CalmS8S5S4SW5W3SW3S3SW4SW4SW3SW6SW6
1 day agoS5S6S4SW54CalmS6SW46SW5W4SW5N6N7N6N6NE6NE5E6CalmE7CalmN4Calm
2 days agoS4SW6SW4SW5SW7S7
G15
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G15
S6SW6SW7NW15NW73CalmN6CalmSW4S6S5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.