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Marine Weather and Tides Essex, MD Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:44AM

Sunset 7:33PM

Friday April 3, 2020 6:16 PM EDT (22:16 UTC)

Moonrise 1:17PM

Moonset 3:15AM

Illumination 83%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Essex, MD

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Area Discussion for - Baltimore, MD/Washington

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FXUS61 KLWX 031916 AFDLWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 316 PM EDT Fri Apr 3 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build in from the Ohio Valley through through Sunday morning. A weak cold front will move in Sunday night. The front will stall nearby on Monday and continue into Tuesday, before a low pressure system approaches from the midwest on Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. At 18Z, surface wind gusts 30-35kts were still being observed across the region. The winds will slacken as the afternoon wears on. Satellite observation shows at 18Z a cumulus field developing along and east of I-95. Expecting this sky cover trend to continue during the remaining daytime hours today, along with mid-to-high clouds directly associated with the system at sea. Cumulus field will diminish starting around 6 PM, but mid- to-high clouds will remain overnight, mainly north of the Potomac River.

H5 height rises will begin and continue overnight, with low temps about 5F deg above normals. No rainfall expected before dawn CWA-wide.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. H5 height rises will continue through Saturday night. The 03/12Z ECWMF has a H5 inverted trough spinning around the low pressure system well out to sea, which may trigger isolated showers Saturday morning. Otherwise, Saturday should be rain- free with noticeably lighter winds and temperatures near normal for early April.

Sunday will see a weak cold front approaching from the west. The bulk of the daytime should be dry, with increasing chances of showers mid-to-late afternoon and then disappering by sunset. Temperatures will be a few degrees warmer than Saturday's highs, with winds being light once again. Sunday night dry and seasonably warm above freezing.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. The large scale flow pattern during the long term period will be characterized by low-amplitude ridging across the center of the country, with WNW flow aloft locally. No significant weather systems are expected, but showers will be possible each day Tuesday through Thursday with a frontal boundary nearby and weak disturbances embedded within the WNW flow progressing through aloft.

A mix of sun and clouds is expected on Monday as a weak area of high pressure builds to our north. Highs on Monday should be around 70. By Tuesday, a frontal boundary will sag to the south toward our area, bringing chances for showers. Highs will once again be around 70. By Tuesday Night into Wednesday, guidance begins to diverge a bit with respect to the positioning of the aforementioned boundary and the timing of a shortwave approaching the area in WNW flow. The 00z Euro keeps us on the cool side of the boundary, with showers developing, while the 12z GFS and Canadian keep us on the warm side of the boundary. If we do end up on the warm side of the boundary, an afternoon thunderstorm can't be ruled out, but many of the models that place us on the warm side of the boundary have downslope westerly flow at low-levels, which would be unfavorable for the development of convection. Ensemble guidance shows a variety of possible solutions, so forecast uncertainty for Wednesday remains high. The largely stagnant large scale pattern will begin to change by Thursday, as an upper level low tracks from the Great Lakes toward the northeastern US. This system will drive a cold front southward toward our area, potentially bringing additional chances for showers Thursday afternoon or Thursday Night.

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Gusty NW winds continue through 00Z. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected through Monday at all terminals. Intermittent sub- VFR conditions may be possible through the middle of the week with stalled frontal position and low pressure system approaching.

MARINE. Winds continue this afternoon in solid SCA criteria range, with several gusts at or near gale force continue. The wind gusts will start to diminish at sunset, and continue to decrease to where much of the SCA can be taken down at midnight with the exception of the extreme lower tidal Potomac and mid-Chesapeake Bay. Winds there will not decrease below SCA until after midnight. A long period of sub-SCA winds are expected from Saturday through Tuesday.

FIRE WEATHER. After this afternoon's enhanced wildfire danger that came close to Red Flag, RH will be on the increase along with slackening winds to reduce the danger quite a bit starting tonight and continuing through the weekend.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. Tides should start rising again from Annapolis southward starting with Saturday afternoon's high tide. Stevens Institute model shows some uncertainity but reaching the moderate level at both Annapolis and Lewisetta Saturday night, and bears watching. Enough water in the bay to feel confident that advisories will likely be warranted for all high tide cycles from Saturday afternoon through Sunday night from Annapolis south.

LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. DC . None. MD . None. VA . None. WV . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for ANZ530-531- 535-536-538-539. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ532-533- 540>542. Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ534-537- 543.

SYNOPSIS . Lee NEAR TERM . Lee SHORT TERM . Lee LONG TERM . Lee/KJP AVIATION . Lee/KJP MARINE . Lee/KJP FIRE WEATHER . Lee TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . Lee

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
FSNM2	6 mi	59 min	N 18 G 21	58°F			1008.5 hPa
FSKM2 - 8574728 - Francis Scott Key Bridge, MD	6 mi	47 min	N 15 G 18	58°F			1008.6 hPa
BLTM2 - 8574680 - Baltimore, MD	7 mi	47 min	NNE 9.9 G 18	58°F	49°F		1008.6 hPa
TCBM2 - 8573364 - Tolchester Beach, MD	13 mi	53 min	N 22 G 25	54°F	51°F		1009.7 hPa
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD	21 mi	47 min		60°F			1008.1 hPa
CPVM2	21 mi	47 min		54°F
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD	27 mi	17 min	NNE 16 G 17	54°F	51°F		1009.7 hPa (+1.1)	44°F
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD	38 mi	107 min	N 8				1007 hPa
CHCM2 - 8573927 - Chesapeake City, MD	38 mi	47 min	NNW 13 G 21	53°F	52°F		1009.3 hPa
WASD2 - 8594900 - Washington, DC	41 mi	47 min	NNW 8 G 21	67°F	55°F		1008.6 hPa

Wind History for Francis Scott Key Bridge NE Tower, MD

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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-12 PM

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11 PM

12 AM

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-12 PM

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Last 24hr

NW32

NW23 G29

NW18 G22

NW20

NW23

NW18 G22

W21

W21 G26

W19 G24

W20

W20 G25

W23

NW24 G31

NW23

NW21 G28

N24 G29

N20

N16

1 day ago

NW13

NW8 G11

W9

NW11

N16 G20

N21

NW15

NW17

W16

W15

W14 G17

W13

W18

NW21

NW22 G27

NW20 G25

NW27 G34

NW29 G38

NW31

NW31 G38

NW28

2 days ago

E14 G17

E15

E16

E14

E15

E18

NE22

NE11 G19

NE17

NE12 G15

NE10

N10 G13

N11

N9

N8

NE12 G15

NE10

N10 G14

N12 G15

N13 G17

NW15

NW16

NW11

NW9

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Baltimore / Martin, MD	4 mi	23 min	NW 16 G 23	10.00 mi	Overcast	57°F	41°F	55%	1010.2 hPa
Baltimore, Inner Harbor, MD	8 mi	23 min	no data	mi		59°F	36°F	42%	1009.5 hPa
Baltimore, Baltimore-Washington International Airport, MD	13 mi	23 min	NNE 12 G 17	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	61°F	35°F	38%	1009 hPa
Phillips Army Air Field / Aberdeen, MD	20 mi	79 min	NNW 15 G 27	8.00 mi	Overcast	54°F	38°F	55%	1009.8 hPa
Annapolis, United States Naval Academy, MD	21 mi	23 min	N 11	10.00 mi	Overcast	59°F	37°F	44%	1009.2 hPa
Fort Meade / Tipton, MD	21 mi	32 min	N 11 G 20	10.00 mi	Overcast	61°F	33°F	36%	1009.8 hPa
Bay Bridge Field, MD	23 mi	32 min	N 11 G 19	10.00 mi	Overcast	57°F	41°F	55%	1009.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMTN

Wind History from MTN (wind in knots)

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Last 24hr

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W6

W12 G16

W9 G17

W12

W10 G15

W12

W13

W14 G18

W10

W13

W13 G19

W14 G23

NW16 G25

NW17 G25

NW20 G26

NW12 G26

NW12 G26

NW18 G28

NW13 G18

NW14 G22

NW16 G23

1 day ago

NW7

W6

NW3

W4

W4

W5

NW10

NW7 G14

NW6

W6

W7

W5

W7

W10

W15 G21

W16 G23

W22 G29

W18 G31

NW18 G29

W22 G29

W22 G28

NW16 G31

NW20 G29

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2 days ago

NE5

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E6

E8

NE5

NE8

NE4 G14

NE6

NE5

N6

NE3

N5

N4

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Calm

N5

NE6

N3

N9

NW6

NW12 G19

NW6

NW8

W8

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Tide / Current Tables for Bowley Bar, Middle River, Maryland

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Tide / Current Tables for Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Baltimore, MD/Washington (18,4,5,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE

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