Friday, September17, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
North Beach Haven, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:39AMSunset 7:03PM Friday September 17, 2021 9:42 AM EDT (13:42 UTC) Moonrise 5:46PMMoonset 2:40AM Illumination 83% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ451 Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 702 Am Edt Fri Sep 17 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday afternoon...
Today..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers until late afternoon, then a slight chance of showers late. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Tonight..NE winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Sat..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt early in the afternoon, then becoming W 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Sun..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Sun night..E winds around 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Mon..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Mon night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Tue..E winds around 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Tue night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
ANZ400 702 Am Edt Fri Sep 17 2021
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. Low pressure was centered off cape hatteras early this morning. The low is forecast to move slowly to the north today before accelerating northeastward over the weekend. A cold front approaching from the northwest is expected to pass through our region on Saturday night, followed by high pressure for the period from Sunday through Tuesday. Another cold front is anticipated to arrive from the west on Wednesday afternoon or Wednesday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Beach Haven, NJ
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location: 39.61, -74.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 171034 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 634 AM EDT Fri Sep 17 2021

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure was centered off Cape Hatteras early this morning. The low is forecast to move slowly to the north today before accelerating northeastward over the weekend. A cold front approaching from the northwest is expected to pass through our region on Saturday night, followed by high pressure for the period from Sunday through Tuesday. Another cold front is anticipated to arrive from the west on Wednesday afternoon or Wednesday night.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. Moist E-NE flow prevails over the Mid-Atlantic as low pressure attempts to organize off the Carolina coast and high pressure remains in place over the Canadian Maritimes. Not surprisingly given the nocturnal inversion and the abundant low-lvl moisture in place, a robust low stratus deck has overspread the area. We will see a few areas of fog (particularly in the far north), but suspect given the tightening pressure gradient and resultant increased BL momentum this will remain a mostly stratus event.

The stratus should lift somewhat during the day (as heating & mixing weakens/raises the inversion), and may scatter out over portions of the area by mid-late afternoon. However, given continued onshore flow and the abundant low-lvl moisture pooled over the area, wouldn't be surprised to see it stubbornly hold on for more or less the entire day in some areas (particularly near the coast). The stratus & northeasterly flow should keep temperatures near seasonal normals with Highs generally in the upper 70s.

Given the proximity of the coastal low, and the subtropical moisture over the area (PWATs still around 1.7-1.8 inches), scattered showers will likely develop this afternoon near the coast, and then gradually shift westward through the afternoon. Instability will be limited so think thunder will be hard to come by, apart from maybe Delmarva and far south NJ. Although a few localized downpours will be possible, given the expected spotty nature of the storms, QPF on the large scale should be fairly meager.

The coastal low will reach our latitude tonight, and flow will then back more northerly. We will see some drying as this happens, although most of this drying will occur aloft. Consequently with the low-lvls remaining fairly moist expect another round of fog and low stratus. Given that the low is positioned offshore, there will be stronger winds over the eastern portion of our area likely favoring stratus E of I-95. While weaker low-lvl momentum NW of the fall line would potentially allow more fog to develop in that area.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. Low pressure is forecast to be centered about 350 miles off the coasts of Delaware and southern New Jersey on Saturday morning. The low is expected to pick up speed and move farther away to the northeast on Saturday and Saturday night.

Any lingering morning clouds on Saturday are anticipated to become scattered by afternoon. Temperatures will likely be warm with highs mainly in the lower and middle 80s. Conditions are expected to remain somewhat humid with dew point readings still in the middle and upper 60s. There is a low or slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front, mainly in areas to the northwest of the Interstate 95 Corridor.

A mid level short wave trough is forecast to pass over eastern New York and New England on Saturday night and it should pull a cold front through our region at that time. There is expected to be limited moisture associated with the features, so we are not anticipating any additional potential for showers. Low temperatures on Saturday night will likely be in the 60s with dew point values beginning to lower.

Surface high pressure is expected to slide from the Great Lakes on Sunday to the northeastern states on Sunday night. The air mass will bring dry weather conditions and decreasing humidity to our region. Highs on Sunday are forecast to favor the upper 70s and lower 80s, with lows on Sunday night mostly in the upper 50s and lower 60s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. The center of surface high pressure is expected to drift from northern New England to the waters off Nova Scotia during the period from Monday through Tuesday night. The air mass will bring us continued dry weather. The flow around the high should cause the surface flow to veer gradually from the northeast to the southeast. Temperatures are forecast to remain slightly above normal.

A cold front is anticipated to arrive from the west either on Wednesday afternoon or Wednesday night, just in time to welcome the beginning of autumn. We will mention a chance of showers with the front. Depending on the actual timing of the frontal passage, some showers may linger into Thursday.

AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Through this morning . Initially largely IFR/MVFR. Conditions then gradually improve late this morning into the early afternoon. E-NE winds 5- 10kts. Moderate confidence.

This afternoon . MVFR conditions should gradually improve to low- end VFR at most terminals, but could see MVFR hang on through the day, particularly at KMIV/KACY. Some showers will be possible along and east of I-95 bringing the potential for temporary visibility restrictions. E-NE winds around 10kts, with gusts to 20kts possible at KACY. Moderate confidence.

Tonight . Potentially VFR at the start of the night, although sub- VFR conditions in stratus and fog will likely develop later in the night. A higher chance of fog at KRDG/KABE than eastern terminals. Northerly winds around 5kts. Moderate confidence overall, lower confidence on timing of fog/stratus development.

Outlook .

Saturday . Lingering low clouds and visibility restrictions are possible until about 14Z, otherwise mainly VFR. North to northwest wind 5 to 10 knots. Medium to high confidence.

Sunday . Mainly VFR. North wind around 10 knots. High confidence.

Monday . Mainly VFR. Northeast wind 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast. High confidence.

Tuesday . Mainly VFR. Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots. High confidence.

MARINE. Initially 3-4ft seas early this morning will build to 5-6 ft this afternoon as coastal low pressure approaches from the south. Additionally NE winds will strengthen through the day with gusts 20-25kts possible on the Atlantic waters. Therefore the SCA remains in effect through Saturday for our Atlantic zones. Sub-SCA conditions should prevail on Delaware Bay although gusts could approach 20kts at times.

Outlook .

Saturday . A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for our ocean waters for wave heights of 5 to 6 feet due to a departing offshore low. North wind around 15 knots, becoming northwest, then southwest around 10 knots.

Sunday through Tuesday . No marine headlines are anticipated.

Rip currents .

A medium-period swell will become increasingly rough today and Saturday as a steady onshore flow continues. Latest forecast guidance calls for breaking waves of 2 to 4 feet and potentially higher by this afternoon, continuing through Saturday, which is a favorable setup for the development of dangerous rip currents. As a result, we are forecasting a HIGH risk of rip currents for today and Saturday, although the risk may begin to decrease late on Saturday.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for NJZ014- 024>026. DE . High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for DEZ004. MD . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Saturday for ANZ450>455.



Synopsis . Iovino Near Term . Carr Short Term . Iovino Long Term . Iovino Aviation . Carr/Iovino Marine . Carr/Iovino


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 14 mi73 min NNE 7 73°F 1023 hPa72°F
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 21 mi55 min 72°F 72°F1022.7 hPa
44091 26 mi47 min 73°F6 ft
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 46 mi55 min ENE 8 G 12 71°F 72°F1024.1 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 48 mi67 min E 7 G 11 71°F 72°F1023.2 hPa

Wind History for Newbold, PA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Atlantic City, Atlantic City International Airport, NJ22 mi49 minNE 12 G 1910.00 miOvercast73°F71°F94%1022.2 hPa
Miller Air Park, NJ22 mi2.8 hrsNE 121.50 miFog/Mist70°F70°F100%1023.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMJX

Wind History from MJX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----------NE10
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NE7NE7NE7NE5NE5NE5--NE7--NE8NE7NE8--NE12
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2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Beach Haven Crest, New Jersey
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Beach Haven Crest
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Fri -- 02:30 AM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:40 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:40 AM EDT     1.83 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:40 PM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:45 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:04 PM EDT     2.21 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.40.10.10.511.41.81.81.71.41.10.80.50.20.20.511.622.22.11.81.5

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:26 AM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Fri -- 02:39 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:47 AM EDT     1.92 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:05 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 11:42 AM EDT     -2.43 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 02:20 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:03 PM EDT     2.55 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 05:45 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:41 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-2.7-1.9-0.60.71.71.91.50.90.1-0.7-1.5-2.2-2.4-1.7-0.50.92.12.52.31.60.7-0.3-1.2-2.2

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