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Marine Weather and Tides
Version 3.4 |
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen |
| Sunrise 7:05AM | Sunset 4:33PM | Monday December 9, 2019 2:04 AM EST (07:04 UTC) | Moonrise 4:08PM | Moonset 5:13AM | Illumination 93% |  |
ANZ451 Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 1252 Am Est Mon Dec 9 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from 6 am est this morning through late tonight...
Rest of tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt late. Seas around 3 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Areas of drizzle. A chance of rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm late.
Mon..S winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt in the late morning and afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm, decreasing to 1 nm or less late.
Mon night..SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Rain likely, mainly in the evening. Vsby 1 nm or less, increasing to 1 to 3 nm in the late evening and overnight.
Tue..SW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft, subsiding to 5 to 8 ft in the late morning and afternoon. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 10 seconds. A chance of rain.
Tue night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Rain likely.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Rain likely, mainly in the morning.
Wed night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 3 ft in the morning, then 2 ft or less.
Thu night..NE winds around 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Fri..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft in the afternoon.
Fri night..E winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft, building to 6 to 9 ft after midnight. A chance of showers.
.small craft advisory in effect from 6 am est this morning through late tonight...
Rest of tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt late. Seas around 3 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Areas of drizzle. A chance of rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm late.
Mon..S winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt in the late morning and afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm, decreasing to 1 nm or less late.
Mon night..SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Rain likely, mainly in the evening. Vsby 1 nm or less, increasing to 1 to 3 nm in the late evening and overnight.
Tue..SW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft, subsiding to 5 to 8 ft in the late morning and afternoon. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 10 seconds. A chance of rain.
Tue night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Rain likely.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Rain likely, mainly in the morning.
Wed night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 3 ft in the morning, then 2 ft or less.
Thu night..NE winds around 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Fri..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft in the afternoon.
Fri night..E winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft, building to 6 to 9 ft after midnight. A chance of showers.
ANZ400 1252 Am Est Mon Dec 9 2019
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A warm front will lift through the region Monday as an area of low pressure tracks through the great lakes. A cold front associated with that low will then approach and cross the region Tuesday. A wave of low pressure tracking along the front will likely affect the mid-atlantic Tuesday night into Wednesday. Strong high pressure will build in Thursday and into Friday. Another low pressure system may approach the region next weekend.
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A warm front will lift through the region Monday as an area of low pressure tracks through the great lakes. A cold front associated with that low will then approach and cross the region Tuesday. A wave of low pressure tracking along the front will likely affect the mid-atlantic Tuesday night into Wednesday. Strong high pressure will build in Thursday and into Friday. Another low pressure system may approach the region next weekend.
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Forked River, NJ
Hourly EDIT Helplocation: 39.83, -74.15 debug
Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
(on/off) Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definitionFXUS61 KPHI 090621 AFDPHI
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 121 AM EST Mon Dec 9 2019
SYNOPSIS. A warm front will lift through the region Monday as an area of low pressure tracks through the Great Lakes. A cold front associated with that low will then approach and cross the region Tuesday. A wave of low pressure tracking along the front will likely affect the mid-Atlantic Tuesday night into Wednesday. Strong high pressure will build in Thursday and into Friday. Another low pressure system may approach the region next weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. Light rain and drizzle has begun to develop and spread across the area.and will eventually become a steady rain by daybreak. Temperatures are right around freezing for a few areas across northern New Jersey and northeast Pennsylvania, so some spotty areas of freezing rain/drizzle may occur. However, it will be very spotty and temperatures will continue to warm above freezing over the next couple of hours, so we only issued an SPS instead of an advisory.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. Things are not shaping up to be the best weather day Monday as low pressure to our west moves closer toward the mid-Atlantic and southerly flow ahead of the system draws moister air into the region. An initial vorticity impulse along the warm front will lead to an initial round of moderate rainfall across the region through the morning hours, especially from I-95 and points east. Conditions may turn a little more showery into the afternoon before a broader area of steady rain moves eastward from central Pennsylvania. At this point, all rain is forecast for the initial portion of this system. The one uplifting aspect is that the highs will trend much warmer tomorrow, reaching into the 50s and 60s across the region (upper 40s across the Poconos). Southerly winds will also begin to trend upwards with gusts from 20-25 mph possible by the evening and into the overnight hours. Total rainfall through this period is expected to near an inch, but given the extended duration, this is not expected to result in any more than localized nuisance flooding.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Tuesday . As mentioned by the previous shift, we should start the day in the warm sector. However, some guidance trended faster with the front (it may now cross our region mid day, and be off shore as early as mid afternoon), which brings uncertainty into how long we will be in the dry slot on Tuesday morning. However, I am always a bit cautious of a front crossing during the middle of the day when the mid and upper level trough lags so far behind the front at the surface. Therefore, I made few changes to the temperatures and PoPs during the day on Tuesday. Even if the front does arrive by mid day, expect any precipitation (even late Tuesday afternoon) to be all rain.
Tuesday night and Wednesday . Still considerable uncertainty through this period. The front should progress further off shore, but the mid and upper level trough digs in closer to the region, so most guidance depicts precipitation continuing overnight and through much of the day on Wednesday. Without significant cyclogensis just off shore, it would be difficult to get that much precipitation behind the front in this kind of pattern as we should have persistent dry air advection behind the front. If we do have precipitation into Wednesday morning thanks to significant cold air advection we should see precipitation change over to snow mostly north and west of the fall line, and a rain/snow mix along the coastal plains. As mentioned by the previous shift, even if it does happen, it will likely be little more than a nuisance snow, with the possible exception of northwest NJ and the southern Poconos which could see a few inches of accumulation. Though snow totals did increase a bit, this is not the result of major changes in the forecast, rather, the forecast is now incorporating snow amounts during the day Wednesday in addition to Tuesday night.
Thursday . Dry and cold as strong (~1040 mb) high pressure builds in from the west. Generally expect highs to only top out in the low to mid 30s based on 925mb (approximately the top of the mixed layer) temps of -6 to -9C. Given the dry airmass and light winds near the center of the high left Thursday's lows on the lower end of guidance (ranging from low teens up north to the mid 20s over Delmarva, with teens possible in the colder spots of southern/central NJ as well).
Friday . The high will shift to our northeast on Friday, with a warmer and moister east-southeast flow developing over the area. Generally expect dry weather, although the Canadian attempts to bring a southern-stream coastal low through the area in the afternoon, while the GFS attempts to initiate some overunning precipitation Friday afternoon. Given that it will likely take some time for the lower-lvls to moisten suspect that initiating precipitation Friday afternoon is a bit too fast so generally went Slight Chc PoPs. Highs will run about 10 degrees warmer than Thursday with greater warming felt near the coast due to the onshore flow.
Friday night into Saturday . Likely will see rain during this period, however the nature/forcing for this precipitation is currently unclear. The GFS keeps the primary sfc. low inland, and brings it through the Great Lakes late Saturday, while the EC indicates the coastal low will become the primary low and brings it through our area on Saturday (the Canadian depicts this low passing Friday night). Consequently whether we get an warm advective/shortwave driven precipitation event (GFS) or a low- lvl confluence /synoptic-lift driven precipitation event (EC) is unknown. Regardless we should be fairly warm on Saturday with highs generally in the 50s.
Saturday night/Sunday . Given model uncertainties from previous period, the forecast in this period is naturally uncertain. That being said the current guidance suite puts us post-frontal by Sunday with some drying and cooling (although the postfrontal airmass does not seem particularly cold) indicated in the forecast.
AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
Tonight . Ceilings are lowering to MVFR and will continue to lower to IFR through daybreak. Rain and drizzle will continue to develop and to move into the region through daybreak as well. Light and variable wind will turn south- southeasterly by daybreak to 5 knots. High confidence.
Monday and Monday night . MVFR with periods of IFR conditions possible with a mostly steady moderate rain all day. A few breaks are possible with conditions turning more showery into the late afternoon and evening. Southerly winds from 10 to 15 knots and gusts from 20 to 30 knots possible will turn more southwesterly into Monday night. Moderate confidence.
Outlook .
Tuesday and Tuesday night . There may be a brief period of VFR conditions Tuesday morning, but mostly MVFR or even IFR conditions are likely Tuesday afternoon and night. Southwesterly winds abruptly shifting to northwesterly Tuesday afternoon 10 to 15 kt with some gusts to 20 kt especially Tuesday afternoon. Moderate confidence.
Wednesday . The day will likely start with widespread MVFR or even IFR conditions, but by afternoon, conditions should be gradually improving to VFR. Westerly winds near 10 kt. Moderate confidence.
Wednesday night-Thursday . VFR. Light northwest winds becoming northerly on Thursday. High Confidence.
Thursday night-Friday . Generally VFR. Light northeasterly winds Thursday night veering more easterly (around 5kts) on Friday. Moderate confidence.
MARINE. Winds are currently below advisory levels, so the previous Small Craft Advisory was cancelled. However, another advisory was issued for today through tonight as wind gusts will increase to 25 to 30 knots from south to north through the day.
Gale force gusts may be possible by Tuesday morning, however confidence is not particularly high yet.
Outlook .
Tuesday and Tuesday night . SCA conditions likely especially on the coastal waters through the day Tuesday with southwesterly winds shifting northwesterly in the afternoon, and gusts up to 30 kt possible. Tuesday night, winds and seas should gradually diminish below SCA criteria.
Wednesday . Conditions should stay below SCA criteria, though some westerly gusts above 20 kt are possible.
Thursday . Sub SCA conditions expected with northerly- northeasterly winds gusting 15-20kts.
Friday . Seas potentially increasing above SCA criteria Friday PM but uncertainty is high. Winds becoming easterly and gusting 15-20 kts by Friday afternoon.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM this morning to 6 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ451>455. Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 6 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ450. Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 6 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ430-431.
Synopsis . Johnson Near Term . Davis/Robertson Short Term . Davis Long Term . Carr/Johnson Aviation . Carr/Davis/Johnson Marine . Carr/Davis/Johnson/Robertson
Weather Reporting Stations
EDIT (on/off) Help NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | Pressure | DewPt |
| 44091 | 21 mi | 34 min | 51°F | 3 ft | ||||
| JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ | 26 mi | 94 min | Calm | 40°F | 1027 hPa | 37°F | ||
| ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ | 36 mi | 52 min | 49°F | 44°F | 1025.8 hPa | |||
| NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA | 38 mi | 52 min | Calm G 1 | 39°F | 38°F | 1026.3 hPa | ||
| BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ | 42 mi | 88 min | E 1 G 1 | 38°F | 38°F | 1026 hPa | ||
| 44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor | 44 mi | 34 min | WNW 3.9 G 3.9 | 47°F | 1025.9 hPa | 44°F | ||
| SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ | 45 mi | 46 min | NW 4.1 G 7 | 42°F | 40°F | 1026.3 hPa |
Wind History for Newbold, PA
(wind in knots) EDIT (on/off) Help| 2 AM | 3 AM | 4 AM | 5 AM | 6 AM | 7 AM | 8 AM | 9 AM | 10 AM | 11 AM | 12 PM | 1 PM | 2 PM | 3 PM | 4 PM | 5 PM | 6 PM | 7 PM | 8 PM | 9 PM | 10 PM | 11 PM | 12 AM | 1 AM | |
| Last 24hr | NE | E | NW | -- | SE | SW | NE | -- | W | W G7 | SW G11 | SW | SW G11 | SW G9 | S | S | S | S | SE | SE | S | SW | -- | -- |
| 1 day ago | N G8 | N G6 | N G10 | N G7 | N G6 | N | N | N G8 | N G8 | N G11 | N G10 | NW G11 | NW G11 | N G6 | NW | N | N | -- | N | NE | NE | S | -- | E |
| 2 days ago | SW | S | SW | SW | S | SW G12 | SW G15 | SW G21 | SW G18 | SW G14 | SW G12 | W | SW | SW G10 | NW | NW G9 | NW G17 | N G10 | N G11 | N G12 | N G12 |
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Visibility | Sky/Weather | Temp | DewPt | Humidity | Pressure |
| Miller Air Park, NJ | 10 mi | 68 min | N 0 | 10.00 mi | Overcast | 37°F | 0°F | % | 1026.6 hPa |
| Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ | 17 mi | 64 min | N 0 | mi | Light Rain | 40°F | 36°F | 86% | 1025.6 hPa |
| Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ | 24 mi | 68 min | WNW 5 | 10.00 mi | Overcast | 40°F | 37°F | 89% | 1026.6 hPa |
Link to 5 minute data for KMJX
Wind History from MJX (wind in knots)
| 3 AM | 4 AM | 5 AM | 6 AM | 7 AM | 8 AM | 9 AM | 10 AM | 11 AM | 12 PM | 1 PM | 2 PM | 3 PM | 4 PM | 5 PM | 6 PM | 7 PM | 8 PM | 9 PM | 10 PM | 11 PM | 12 AM | 1 AM | 2 AM | |
| Last 24hr | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | SE | S | S | S | S | S | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | W | Calm | Calm |
| 1 day ago | NW | Calm | NW | NW | NW | NW G14 | N G19 | NW | N | N | NW G15 | NW | NW | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | |
| 2 days ago | Calm | S | Calm | SW | Calm | Calm | Calm | S | S | S G20 | S G21 | S | S G16 | W | S | SW | SW | W | NW | NW G16 | N | NW | N | N |
Tide / Current Tables for Stouts Creek, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey
EDIT Weekend mode (on/off) (on/off) Help One Week of DataStouts Creek
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:46 AM EST 0.00 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:13 AM EST Moonset
Mon -- 07:06 AM EST Sunrise
Mon -- 08:46 AM EST 0.29 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:07 PM EST Moonrise
Mon -- 03:30 PM EST 0.01 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:31 PM EST Sunset
Mon -- 09:09 PM EST 0.26 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:46 AM EST 0.00 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:13 AM EST Moonset
Mon -- 07:06 AM EST Sunrise
Mon -- 08:46 AM EST 0.29 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:07 PM EST Moonrise
Mon -- 03:30 PM EST 0.01 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:31 PM EST Sunset
Mon -- 09:09 PM EST 0.26 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
| 12 am | 1 am | 2 am | 3 am | 4 am | 5 am | 6 am | 7 am | 8 am | 9 am | 10 am | 11 am | 12 pm | 1 pm | 2 pm | 3 pm | 4 pm | 5 pm | 6 pm | 7 pm | 8 pm | 9 pm | 10 pm | 11 pm |
| 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
EDIT (on/off) Help One Week of DataBarnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:45 AM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:13 AM EST Moonset
Mon -- 04:33 AM EST 2.15 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 07:05 AM EST Sunrise
Mon -- 07:59 AM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:49 AM EST -2.50 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 02:44 PM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 03:07 PM EST Moonrise
Mon -- 04:31 PM EST Sunset
Mon -- 05:09 PM EST 1.78 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 08:17 PM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:58 PM EST -2.17 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:45 AM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:13 AM EST Moonset
Mon -- 04:33 AM EST 2.15 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 07:05 AM EST Sunrise
Mon -- 07:59 AM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:49 AM EST -2.50 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 02:44 PM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 03:07 PM EST Moonrise
Mon -- 04:31 PM EST Sunset
Mon -- 05:09 PM EST 1.78 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 08:17 PM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:58 PM EST -2.17 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
| 12 am | 1 am | 2 am | 3 am | 4 am | 5 am | 6 am | 7 am | 8 am | 9 am | 10 am | 11 am | 12 pm | 1 pm | 2 pm | 3 pm | 4 pm | 5 pm | 6 pm | 7 pm | 8 pm | 9 pm | 10 pm | 11 pm |
| -1.8 | -0.9 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | -0 | -0.8 | -1.6 | -2.3 | -2.5 | -1.9 | -0.9 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.2 | -0.6 | -1.3 | -1.9 |
Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop
Other links: Northern Pacific Contential US Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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