Friday, August23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Forked River, NJ

Version 3.4
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7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
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Sunrise 6:14AMSunset 7:44PM Friday August 23, 2019 7:55 PM EDT (23:55 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 1:49PM Illumination 41% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ451 Expires:201908241015;;103668 Fzus51 Kphi 232223 Cwfphi Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mount Holly Nj 623 Pm Edt Fri Aug 23 2019 Sandy Hook Nj To Fenwick Island De To 20 Nm Offshore And Delaware Bay Anz450-451-241015- Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 623 Pm Edt Fri Aug 23 2019
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 6 seconds. A chance of showers early this evening, then isolated showers late this evening.
Sat..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the ne with a dominant period of 5 seconds.
Sat night..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Sun..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. SWell mainly from the ne with a dominant period of 9 seconds. A chance of showers.
Sun night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon night..E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Tue night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Wed..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Wed night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
ANZ400 623 Pm Edt Fri Aug 23 2019
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A cold front will continue to slowly push south as high pressure builds to our north through early next week. The high will try to spread down the east coast, but not fully make it into the area. The high will retreat north and east next Tuesday and Wednesday. This will allow an area of low pressure to lift northward off the eastern seaboard during the mid week period and a cold front to track through the area later next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Forked River, NJ
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location: 39.83, -74.15     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 231951
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
351 pm edt Fri aug 23 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will continue to slowly push south as high pressure
builds to our north through early next week. The high will try to
spread down the east coast, but not fully make it into the area. The
high will retreat north and east next Tuesday and Wednesday. This
will allow an area of low pressure to lift northward off the eastern
seaboard during the mid week period and a cold front to track
through the area later next week.

Near term until 6 am Saturday morning
The cold front extended from the waters off the DELMARVA coast,
across far southeastern maryland to central virginia at mid
afternoon. The boundary will continue to sink to the south this
evening and overnight. The band of showers streaming across
northeastern maryland, delaware and southern new jersey will also
drift southward. Conditions continue to stabilize in our region,
even across our far southern counties. However, there will remain
some instability nearby to our south into the early evening so we
have allowed for scattered thunder in parts of talbot county and
caroline county in maryland, as well as in parts of southern
delaware and on the adjacent waters.

The cloud cover is forecast to erode gradually from north to south
over our region. The wind should favor the northwest to northeast
quadrant at 10 mph or less.

Low temperatures are expected to range from around 50 in the
elevated terrain of the poconos an far northern new jersey, to
around 60 on the coastal plain of eastern maryland, delaware and
southern new jersey.

Short term 6 am Saturday morning through 6 pm Saturday
High pressure is forecast to be located in eastern ontario and
southern quebec on Saturday. The air mass is anticipated to
expand southward into our region.

We are expecting a mostly sunny sky for eastern pennsylvania and
northern new jersey. Partly sunny conditions are forecast for
northeastern maryland, delaware and southern new jersey. There is a
slight chance of a light shower in the afternoon in those areas due
to the onshore flow, but most locations will remain dry.

A northeast wind at 8 to 14 mph is expected for Saturday. Highs will
likely favor the 75 to 80 degree range with low humidity levels.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
Cooler conditions everywhere with small pops across the coastal
plain will start the long term period. An increase in temperatures
and greater chances of precipitation will return by the middle of
next week and persist through late week.

As we start the weekend, Saturday is expected to be a september-like
day. High pressure will be building to our north across eastern
canada, with our area on the far southern edge. This will keep an
easterly flow across the area, and as a trough low aloft moves
across the area, temperatures will cool to near or below normal.

Dewpoints will be in the comfortable 50s. Dry weather is expected,
with mainly afternoon evening clouds due to the trough low moving
overhead. The exception could be the nj coast and DELMARVA as the
onshore flow helps to produce some light rain.

As we move into Sunday and Monday, the easterly flow will continue
as high pressure builds a little farther southward across new
england. The high will try to nose its way down the east coat toward
the mid atlantic region during this time as well. Guidance continues
to indicate precipitation developing across the area during this
period, so we will have a slight chance chance of showers Sunday
through Monday. However, it may just end up being more cloudy rather
than rainy as some stratocumulus clouds could develop with the
persistent easterly flow. Regardless, if it does rain, it is
expected to be light as pw values are mostly an inch or less.

As we move into Tuesday through Thursday, unsettled weather could
return to the area. An area of low pressure is forecast to be
lifting northward off the east coast Tuesday through Thursday. At
the same time, a cold front is expected to approach from the west
during the day Wednesday into Thursday. There are some timing
differences with these systems. However, there will be an increasing
chance of showers and thunderstorms starting Tuesday and continuing
through Thursday.

With the region expected to be behind the cold front on Friday,
precipitation chances will be on the decline. Little temperature
change is expected at the moment behind the front.

Aviation 20z Friday through Wednesday
Into this evening... MainlyVFR. Scattered showers may bring periods
of MVFR conditions to kmiv and kacy. Northwest to north wind 8 knots
or less.

Tonight...VFR with a decrease in cloud cover. Northerly wind 5 to 10
knots.

Saturday...VFR. North to northeast wind around 10 knots.

Outlook...

Saturday night... MainlyVFR conditions expected. MVFR conditions
possible at kacy and kmiv as an onshore flow generates some clouds.

Winds generally NE 5-10 knots.

Sunday... MainlyVFR conditions expected. MVFR conditions possible at
kacy and kmiv as an onshore flow generates some clouds drizzle light
rain. Low confidence. NE winds 5-10 kts with gusts up to 20 knots
possible.

Sunday night-Tuesday... More widespread MVFR conditions developing
with the persistent onshore flow. E to NE winds 5-10 kts with gusts
up to 20 kts possible.

Wednesday... MainlyVFR as the onshore loses its grip across the
region. Winds less than 10 kts.

Marine
A northerly wind around 10 to 15 knots for tonight is expected to
become northeast 15 to 20 knots on Saturday. Wave heights on our
ocean waters should build around 4 feet. Our current forecast is
borderline for a small craft advisory on Saturday. If wind and wave
conditions appear to begin trending higher than anticipated, we may
eventually need to issue a small craft advisory for Saturday on our
ocean waters.

Outlook...

Saturday night... Low end SCA conditions possible due to long fetch e
to NE winds developing.

Sunday-Wednesday... A prolonged low end SCA may be needed through the
period as long fetch E to NE winds persist.

Rip currents...

a north wind around 10 mph is forecast into this evening. Breaking
waves around 3 feet are anticipated along with a medium period
southerly swell. There is a low risk for the development of
dangerous rip currents.

A long duration northeast to east wind is expected for the weekend
and into the early part of the new week. As a result, we are
anticipating a prolonged period with an enhanced risk for the
development of dangerous rip currents from Saturday through at least
Tuesday.

Tides coastal flooding
A prolonged northeast to east flow is expected Saturday through at
least Tuesday. This persistent onshore fetch, combined with
increasing astronomical tides due to an approaching new moon on
Thursday will likely lead to increasing coastal water levels. Some
delaware bay guidance is already indicating that minor coastal
flooding is becoming more likely Monday and Tuesday.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Kruzdlo
near term... Iovino
short term... Iovino
long term... Kruzdlo robertson
aviation... Iovino kruzdlo
marine... Iovino kruzdlo
tides coastal flooding... Kruzdlo robertson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44091 21 mi56 min 76°F3 ft
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 26 mi146 min Calm 50°F 1016 hPa
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 36 mi56 min 66°F 69°F1015.6 hPa (-0.7)
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 38 mi56 min N 2.9 G 5.1 81°F1016.6 hPa (+0.0)
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 42 mi80 min Calm G 1.9 72°F 81°F1015.7 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 44 mi36 min N 9.7 G 14 74°F 74°F1015.6 hPa61°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 45 mi56 min N 4.1 G 8 74°F 79°F1015.7 hPa (-0.3)

Wind History for Newbold, PA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miller Air Park, NJ10 mi2 hrsN 010.00 miA Few Clouds68°F0°F%1015.6 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ17 mi1.9 hrsNW 310.00 miFair68°F66°F96%1015.4 hPa
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ24 mi2 hrsW 310.00 miPartly Cloudy70°F64°F82%1015.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMJX

Wind History from MJX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7S6------SW7--Calm----NW4--NW7--N8N6NW7NW4W3NW8NW3NW5CalmNW5
1 day agoS8S7S5--SW5----SW4----W4SW3--W10W9W10NW6W5
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2 days agoSE4CalmCalm--------CalmCalmCalmCalmSW5----S8SW10
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Tide / Current Tables for Stouts Creek, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey
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Stouts Creek
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Fri -- 04:45 AM EDT     0.25 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:58 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 10:59 AM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:49 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:08 PM EDT     0.29 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:41 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.10.20.20.20.30.20.20.10.10.10.10.10.10.20.20.30.30.30.20.20.10.10.1

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:03 AM EDT     1.65 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 03:42 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:50 AM EDT     -1.75 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 10:25 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 10:58 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 01:17 PM EDT     2.18 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 01:49 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:16 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:41 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:45 PM EDT     -1.97 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 11:29 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.71.40.6-0.2-0.9-1.4-1.7-1.7-1.4-0.50.71.72.221.20.2-0.6-1.2-1.6-1.9-2-1.5-0.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.