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Marine Weather and Tides Conestoga, PA Version 3.4

NOTICE 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 7:12AM

Sunset 4:41PM

Sunday December 8, 2019 9:50 PM EST (02:50 UTC)

Moonrise 2:47PM

Moonset 3:21AM

Illumination 92%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Conestoga, PA

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Area Discussion for - State College, PA

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FXUS61 KCTP 090158 AFDCTP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 858 PM EST Sun Dec 8 2019

SYNOPSIS. After a fair weather weekend, a volatile and stormy pattern is expected during the second week of December. Temperatures are forecast to surge well-above normal Monday and Tuesday, followed by a sharply colder trend Wednesday into Thursday. The brief warm-up will be accompanied by periods of rain which may end as light snow late Tuesday night. A mid to late week drying trend will likely reverse by next weekend with another complex storm system on the horizon.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/. Clouds increasing this afternoon, as moisture starts to work toward the area from both the west and southeast. The NAM shows some spotty QPF across the far northwest toward 00Z. Low levels are quite dry, so hard to buy into this. But approaching storm system will bring steadily increasing PoPs later tonight into early Monday morning.

Main concern will be the object temperatures toward sunrise on Monday, which may be cold enough in a few spots in the central and NE mountains to bring a brief shot of light freezing rain at the onset. That said, sfc temps generally AOA 32F suggest little to no impact as predominant ptype becomes rain into later Monday morning.

As surface low tracks NE across the Great Lakes on Monday, a mild and wet day will be in store.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. Rain will continue Monday night into Tuesday as mild airmass ahead of an approaching cold front remains in place. Highest QPF shifts to mainly the western half where 36hr rain totals will be around an inch.

Then the forecast features a shift from mild and west to colder and wintry later Tuesday into Wednesday, as deep cold upper trof centered over Hudson Bay directs cold air across the central and eastern GLAKS and a flat surface wave exits the eastern seaboard. This will turn precip over to some light snow as the colder air sweeps in Tue into Tue night, with potential for a snow band setting up over the SE that could bring a few inches of snow just before dawn Wednesday.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. It will turn sharply colder midweek as arctic air blasts into the region. Temperatures will be on the decline over the NW Tuesday afternoon (non diurnal over the NW half) and drop quickly Tuesday night areawide. There will be some potential for residual water or slush to freeze up quickly by Wednesday. Highs are forecast to drop by 20-30 degrees between Tuesday and Thursday, with minimum wind chills in the single digits and teens Thursday morning.

Strong 1040+mb high pressure moves NE across the region Thu/Fri followed by another system which could bring rain or mixed precipitation Friday into Saturday.

AVIATION /02Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Low pressure approaching from the midwest will spread lowering cigs and rain into the region late tonight and Monday. Latest model soundings and SREF probability charts support a fairly high confidence of IFR conditions developing between 12Z-15Z over most of the area. The one area of less certainty is over the Laurel Highlands (JST), where a progged southerly flow is unfavorable for low cigs. Strong southwest winds aloft, combined with much lighter surface winds, will set the stage for low level wind shear across much of central Pa late tonight and Monday.

Outlook.

Tue . AM low cigs/shra, mainly N Mtns. Evening light snow possible southeast Pa.

Wed . AM light snow possible southeast Pa.

Thu . No sig wx expected.

Fri . Low cigs possible, especially late.

CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

SYNOPSIS . RXR NEAR TERM . RXR SHORT TERM . DeVoir/RXR LONG TERM . DeVoir/Steinbugl AVIATION . Fitzgerald

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
CHCM2 - 8573927 - Chesapeake City, MD	35 mi	51 min	S 1 G 1.9	39°F	42°F		1028.7 hPa (-0.5)
DELD1 - 8551762 - Delaware City, DE	42 mi	51 min	Calm G 2.9	42°F	46°F		1028.5 hPa (-0.7)
RDYD1 - 8551910 - Reedy Point, DE	44 mi	51 min		42°F	44°F		1027.9 hPa (-0.7)
BLTM2 - 8574680 - Baltimore, MD	45 mi	51 min	S 1 G 4.1	44°F	46°F		1027.3 hPa (-1.1)
MRCP1 - 8540433 - Marcus Hook, PA	46 mi	51 min		41°F	43°F		1028 hPa (-1.0)
TCBM2 - 8573364 - Tolchester Beach, MD	46 mi	51 min	ESE 2.9 G 2.9	42°F	44°F		1028.3 hPa (-0.8)
FSNM2	47 mi	57 min	SE 5.1 G 6
FSKM2 - 8574728 - Francis Scott Key Bridge, MD	48 mi	51 min	SE 4.1 G 4.1	43°F			1027.9 hPa (-0.8)

Wind History for Chesapeake City, MD

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Lancaster, Lancaster Airport, PA	17 mi	58 min	ESE 5	10.00 mi	Overcast	36°F	28°F	76%	1027.6 hPa
Chester County Airport, PA	23 mi	56 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	36°F	32°F	87%	1027.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLNS

Wind History from LNS (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Port Deposit, Susquehanna River, Maryland

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Tide / Current Tables for Havre de Grace, Susquehanna River, Maryland (2)

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for State College, PA (21,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE

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