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Marine Weather and Tides Wrightsville, PA Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 7:20AM

Sunset 5:17PM

Friday January 24, 2020 8:19 PM EST (01:19 UTC)

Moonrise 7:22AM

Moonset 5:04PM

Illumination 0%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wrightsville , PA

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Area Discussion for - State College, PA

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FXUS61 KCTP 250038 AFDCTP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 738 PM EST Fri Jan 24 2020

SYNOPSIS. A soaking rain will occur tonight and early Saturday across the region. A glaze of freezing rain is possible as the rain begins over the higher terrain, especially over north-central PA. Snow showers will linger over the Allegheny Plateau through Sunday before fading into early next week. Above average temperatures are forecast through the end of the month.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/. Regional radar loop this evening shows a band of moderate rain pushing into western Pa along axis of low level jet. POPs remain near 100 pct tonight, as this feature and associated plume of anomalous pwats overrun a relatively cool/stable air mass over central Pa. Latest HREFV2/SREF and latest operational runs all indicate the chance for a brief period of freezing rain on only the highest ridgetops of north central Pa late tonight with no travel impacts expected.

A bit of drizzle may preclude the arrival of the significant rain over the central mountains early this evening. However, onset timing of the real rain is roughly 04Z-06Z over the Allegheny Plateau and 10Z-12Z for areas east of the Susquehanna River.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. Best mflux associated with low level jet will shift east of the region Saturday, causing the rain to taper off from west to east between 12Z-18Z. Latest HREFV2 and operational runs indicate the greatest rain totals will be across the eastern part of the forecast area, where areal averages of around 1.5 inches are expected. Orographic enhancement could result in higher totals of around 2 inches on the ridgetops of southeast Pa. Some minor poor drainage flooding appears possible, but given latest FFG/FFH numbers, believe the odds of significant issues are low.

Large scale forcing ahead of upper low will produce lingering scattered rain showers into the afternoon hours. Cooling aloft will cause the rain showers to change to snow showers over the Allegheny Plateau during the PM hours. However, accumulations appear unlikely due to surface riding, low inversion heights and surface temperatures remaining above freezing.

Around nightfall, snow showers may begin to stick over the wrn highlands, and have kept fcst almost exactly the same for Sat night. Accums right around an inch overnight in the W/far N. Otherwise, little or no accums. Mins will dip to within a few degs of 30F all over.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Cyclonic flow aloft and westerly low level flow brings an expected period of upslope/orographic snow showers to the favored high terrain of the western Alleghenies Sunday into Monday. Minor snow accumulations are forecast especially closer to Lake Erie. Clouds and some snow showers/flurries will likely linger through early next week across the Alleghenies.

No significant weather is expected through the middle of next week. Temperatures are forecast to above normal to close out the month, with minimum temperatures contributing the most to daily departure from climatology.

The operational ECMWF and GFS models are hinting at a potential winter storm to impact the Eastern U.S. to kick of the month of February around Groundhog Day. This would be the third weekend in a row that the region faces a significant storm threat. This far out, there is a wide range of possibilities with the track, intensity and timing [details] of the storm which are very likely to change in the coming days. So just a heads-up for now and will continue to monitor.

AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. 00Z TAFS sent.

CIGS have got better across the east. Showers still well to the west.

Occluded frontal zone will move across the region on Saturday, with improving conditions behind the front. Added some detail to the 00Z TAF package.

Late afternoon discussion below.

Updated TAFS here late this afternoon. Area of showers still to the north and west, except for BFD and perhaps JST. Some adjustments made to CIGS etc.

Early afternoon discussion below.

Large, mature, well-wrapped up storm heading in from the MS valley, now. Just started to sprinkle in JST/FIG/BFD, but the real rain and lowered vis/cigs won't come into the west for another 4-5hrs. Expect the steady rain and worst flying conditions during the middle of the night in the west and late night into mid-morning in the east.

LLWS is a real worry tonight, esp this evening over JST/AOO/BFD where winds will be 55-60KT before/lower than FL020. The wind will be strong and will carry LLWS at all sites tonight, but by morning, the sfc occlusion pushes east and wind goes fairly light and westerly. The hardest rain will end as the occluded front goes past. But, low clouds and IFR fog/cigs may remain, as well as a little DZ.

Air gets colder as the west wind continues. Some SHSN will then appear in the evening over the west, but drying will occur elsewhere. LNS/MDT should be VFR by midnight Sat night.

Outlook.

Sun . MVFR/IFR in upslope snow showers wrn 1/2. Trending VFR elsewhere.

Mon . Snow showers ending early wrn 1/3.

Tue . Low cigs psbl wrn 1/3. No sig wx.

Wed . VFR.

CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

SYNOPSIS . Dangelo NEAR TERM . Fitzgerald SHORT TERM . Dangelo/Fitzgerald LONG TERM . Steinbugl AVIATION . Dangelo/Martin

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
CHCM2 - 8573927 - Chesapeake City, MD	51 mi	56 min	E 5.1 G 8.9	47°F	39°F		1023.4 hPa
BLTM2 - 8574680 - Baltimore, MD	52 mi	50 min	ESE 7 G 11		38°F		1021.5 hPa
FSKM2 - 8574728 - Francis Scott Key Bridge, MD	55 mi	50 min	E 11 G 13	46°F			1021.9 hPa

Wind History for Chesapeake City, MD

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Lancaster, Lancaster Airport, PA	14 mi	27 min	ESE 11	10.00 mi	A Few Clouds	46°F	37°F	71%	1022.6 hPa
Harrisburg, Harrisburg International Airport, PA	18 mi	84 min	SE 8	10.00 mi	Overcast	49°F	35°F	59%	1021.8 hPa
York, York Airport, PA	19 mi	27 min	ESE 10	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	47°F	36°F	66%	1021.4 hPa
Harrisburg, Capital City Airport, PA	22 mi	84 min	ESE 10	10.00 mi	Overcast	51°F	35°F	54%	1021.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLNS

Wind History from LNS (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Port Deposit, Susquehanna River, Maryland

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Tide / Current Tables for Havre de Grace, Susquehanna River, Maryland (2)

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for State College, PA (20,4,5,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE

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