Sunrise 5:56 AM   Sunset 8:04 PM Moonrise 3:30 AM   Moonset 4:21 PM

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ANZ530 Chesapeake Bay North Of Pooles Island- 436 Pm Edt Sun May 5 2024
Rest of this afternoon - S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Isolated showers. Tonight - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Scattered showers. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 nm or less. Mon - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. A chance of showers. Areas of dense fog. Vsby 1 nm or less. Mon night - NW winds around 5 kt. Waves flat. A chance of showers and tstms. Patchy fog. Tue - E winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. A chance of showers. Patchy fog. Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Wed - W winds 10 to 15 kt - .becoming N 5 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers after midnight. Thu - E winds 5 to 10 kt - .becoming sw after midnight. Waves 1 ft. Showers with a chance of tstms.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.

ANZ500 436 Pm Edt Sun May 5 2024
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
multiple disturbances will pass through the area over the course of the week. Small craft advisories may be needed for portions of the waters during the middle to late part of the week.

FXUS61 KPHI 052202 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 602 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024

SYNOPSIS
An east to southeasterly flow off the Atlantic ocean will result in cloudy weather through Monday morning with areas of light rain and drizzle. A cold front will work its way through the region late Monday and Monday night. This boundary will become stationary over the area through the mid- week period. A series of disturbances will track along this boundary through the middle of the week. A stronger area of low pressure moves through the region on Thursday, followed by a cold front on Friday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
6:00 PM: Latest radar imagery shows a band of light rain extending from the I-95 corridor down to the coast with some patches of mist and drizzle located elsewhere. The biggest change to the forecast early this evening was to increase PoPs to slight chance or chance through early Monday to account for a trough approaching the area overnight. Any shower development should relatively be scattered in nature. A rumble of thunder still looks to remain possible with some elevated instability around as well, mainly south of Philadelphia. In addition, have also opted to include the mention of patchy fog in/around the I-95 corridor and points north and west. It will be a mild night, with lows in the mid to upper 50s/low 60s.

This is all part of a weak warm advection pattern overruning a very moist and cool marine layer will keep low clouds and light rain or drizzle for most locations through Monday morning.

Winds become southerly Monday morning ahead of a cold front that will usher an increasingly humid airmass into the region with surface dewpoints rising into the 60s. Any fog in the morning will lift and dissipate by midday. The cold front passes through the region Monday afternoon and Monday evening. Some shortwave energy passing through the region will help kick off widely scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms, mainly across the southern portions of the forecast area.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
Periods of unsettled weather are expected early in the week as a cold front will move to the south of the area on Monday night, then stall to our south into Tuesday, then begin lifting back north Tuesday night. Showers will be possible on Monday night near the front as it sags southward, but Tuesday may end up being dry for many areas since we will be north of the front.
There will still be a chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms for the southern third to half of the area later in the day as they will be closer to the front. On Tuesday night, the area with the greatest chance for showers and isolated thunderstorms shifts northward as the front lifts back to the north and short wave/vorticity impulse moves across the northern areas.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Unsettled weather continues for the second half of the week. On Wednesday, an area of low pressure will move our of the Great Lakes and into the northeastern states, eventually bringing a cold front to the area. After a round of showers and isolated thunderstorms early in the day Wednesday across the northern areas, much of the day into the evening hours could be mostly dry for many areas as the front stalls near the area. However, this dry weather will not last as showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to increase later Wednesday night into Thursday and continue through Friday as multiple waves of low pressure move along the stalled boundary across the Mid- Atlantic region, before the final low and cold front move offshore of the Mid Atlantic coast Friday into Friday night.
Although the forecast has a chance of showers for next weekend, drier weather may return as high pressure could begin to affect the area.

AVIATION /22Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Rest of today...Ceilings at or below 1Kft this afternoon with ceilings 3-4Kft across southern Delaware and southeastern New Jersey. Highest concentration of showers should move through the Lehigh Valley and Delaware Valley.

Tonight...Low clouds and areas of fog. South to southeast wind around 5 kt.

Monday...Cloud deck at or below 1Kft in the morning with areas of fog. Ceilings rise to 1-2Kft by midday. winds become southwesterly around 10 knots.

Outlook...

Monday night...Areas of sub-VFR conditions with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday...Areas of VFR to MVFR conditions with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday night...Areas of IFR developing with showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms.

Wednesday-Wednesday night...Conditions may improve to VFR with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday-Friday...Sub-VFR conditions likely with showers and possible thunderstorms.

MARINE
No marine headlines expected through Monday as seas will be 2 to 4 feet with winds from the east to southeast at 10 to 20 kt.
Periods of showers expected with a slight chance of thunderstorms early Monday morning.

Outlook...

Monday night-Friday...Conditions likely to remain below Small Craft Advisory levels for much of the period. Winds may gust around 20 knots at times, and seas may approach 5 feet Thursday night.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Approaching new moon middle of this week promises to bring very high astronomical tides. It will thus be very difficult to avoid at least some advisory level coastal flooding in some locations, and a few spots might hit moderate even with weakening onshore flow. Will continue to monitor, but coastal flood advisories look likely by late Tuesday.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

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Millside
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:28 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:21 AM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:44 AM EDT     5.79 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:19 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:42 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:14 PM EDT     6.29 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Millside, RR. bridge, Delaware, Tide feet

Wilmington Marine Terminal
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:28 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:08 AM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:26 AM EDT     5.79 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:19 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:29 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:56 PM EDT     6.29 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Wilmington Marine Terminal, Delaware, Tide feet

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