Friday, May29, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ocean Grove, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:28AMSunset 8:19PM Friday May 29, 2020 10:27 PM EDT (02:27 UTC) Moonrise 11:59AMMoonset 1:27AM Illumination 55% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 1004 Pm Edt Fri May 29 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 6 am edt Saturday...
Overnight..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 7 seconds. A chance of tstms late this evening and early morning, then a chance of showers late. Areas of fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 8 seconds. A chance of showers in the morning.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Sun..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Sun night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft in the morning, then 2 ft or less.
Mon night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Tue..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft in the afternoon.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed night..SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 1004 Pm Edt Fri May 29 2020
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A cold front will cross the region tonight in Saturday. High pressure will build into the area later Saturday through Monday before sliding to the south and offshore on Tuesday. Surface low pressure will dig down from canada into the eastern states Tuesday into Wednesday. Another system may affect our area later in the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ocean Grove, NJ
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location: 40.21, -73.98     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 300140 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 940 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will cross the region tonight in Saturday. High pressure will build into the area later Saturday through Monday before sliding to the south and offshore on Tuesday. Surface low pressure will dig down from Canada into the eastern states Tuesday into Wednesday. Another system may affect our area later in the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/. 8 PM . Storms have weakened so we have cancelled the Severe Thunderstorms Watch. There will continue to be some showers and storms around this evening, mainly over eastern PA and northern NJ as a prefrontal trough and eventually a cold front move through. However instability is on the wane due to both the loss of daytime heating as well as earlier storms having worked over the atmosphere over much of eastern PA. A few storms could still contain gusty winds and heavy rain but are not expected to be severe at this point.

Cold front will not pass through the region until after sunrise Saturday, so it will remain warm and muggy overnight with lows mainly in the upper 60s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/. The cold front should be through most of the western and central zones early Saturday morning, and then should clear the far southern and eastern zones by midday. Showers taper off in the morning, and then skies clear out as high pressure builds in from the west.

Although overall it will not be much cooler on Saturday, it will turn noticeably dryer Saturday afternoon as the combination of a dryer airmass and afternoon mixing results in dewpoints falling into the 50s.

Highs will top off in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. Sunday will feature cooler temperatures and dry conditions as the upper trough swings through and we have a more northerly flow across the region. Surface high pressure across the midwest will build eastward through the day. It will certainly feel much cooler with highs only reaching into the 70s through much the area with some 60s in the higher elevations and along the immediate coast.

The high builds across the region through Monday, sinking southward and then off the southeast coast on Tuesday. With the high in control of the regions weather for Monday, expect another dry day with northwest winds and relatively cool temperatures, very similar to Sunday.

Low pressure over southern Canada will stretch to the southeast as it starts to deepen. Energy rotating through the mid levels will bring chances for rain and thunderstorms on Tuesday and Tuesday night and then more energy moving through will bring more chances again on Wednesday. The cold front associated with the low should move through the region on Wednesday, though some guidance has the front stalling in or near our area. With another system approaching from the west, the location of the boundary will be important as it will play a role in where the cooler vs warmer air will be over our region. The next approaching low will likely push the boundary northward as a warm front around Thursday, followed by a cold front Thursday evening/night. Lots of uncertainty with timing and track this far out but it certainly bears watching as get closer since strong warm air advection could place us in a good spot for convection to develop. Overall, this period looks to be fairly warm with highs back into the 80s.

AVIATION /02Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight . Mostly VFR overall, however, SHRA/TSRA this evening will result in MVFR or even IFR conditions should a SHRA/TSRA pass over a given terminal. Best chance for additional storms at this point will be near I-95 TAF sites and points N/W towards KRDG and KABE as a second area of showers/storms could still affect these latter 2 TAF sites later this evening. IFR CIGs may develop late tonight at KTTN/KMIV/KACY after rain ends. S/SW winds 10-15 kt with 20- 25 kt gusts, becoming less than 10 kt tonight, then gradually veering to the NW towards daybreak Saturday. Moderate confidence.

Saturday . VFR. NW winds less than 10 kt. High confidence.

Outlook .

Saturday night through Sunday night . VFR conditions expected. Light northwest winds Saturday night becoming around 5 to 10 knots with higher gusts on Sunday. High confidence.

Monday . Mainly VFR conditions expected. Northwest winds around 5 to 10 knots with gusts to 20 knots possible. Slight chance for showers north of KPHL. Moderate confidence.

Monday night and Tuesday . Mainly VFR conditions expected. Light winds Monday night will become west to southwest around 5 to 10 knots. Showers possible Tuesday afternoon/evening. Moderate confidence.

Wednesday . Mainly VFR conditions expected. Southwest to west winds around 5 to 10 knots. Showers and thunderstorms possible. Moderate confidence.

MARINE. Marginal Small Craft Advisory conditions will continue through tonight off the coast of New Jersey with wind gusts around 25 kt and seas on the ocean around 5 ft. Winds should diminish later tonight, and seas will subside to less than 5 ft Saturday morning. Sub- SCA conditions Saturday.

Showers and thunderstorms will move over the waters tonight, and may result in thunderstorm wind gusts in excess of 35 kt.

Outlook .

Saturday night through Monday . Sub-advisory conditions expected. West/southwest winds Saturday night becoming northwest around 10 to 20 knots. A few gusts near 25 knots are possible but confidence is not high that they will occur. Seas around 2 to 4 feet.

Tuesday through Wednesday . Sub-advisory conditions expected. Southwest winds around 10 to 20 knots. Seas around 2 to 4 feet.

Rip Currents .

There is a moderate risk for the development of dangerous and life threatening rip currents at the New Jersey and Delaware beaches into this evening. By Saturday, the risk may fall to low levels.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ450>453.

Synopsis . Meola Near Term . Fitzsimmons/MPS Short Term . MPS Long Term . Meola Aviation . Fitzsimmons/Meola/MPS Marine . Fitzsimmons/Meola/MPS


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 18 mi38 min S 18 G 21 60°F 58°F5 ft1012.9 hPa60°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 18 mi58 min S 8.9 G 12 71°F 67°F1013 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 31 mi58 min 75°F 65°F1012.5 hPa
MHRN6 31 mi58 min SSW 4.1 G 6
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 31 mi58 min S 8.9 G 11 70°F 1012.5 hPa
44091 32 mi58 min 59°F5 ft
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 34 mi58 min 71°F 62°F1012.7 hPa
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 41 mi64 min NNW 5.1 G 6 76°F 74°F1013 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 43 mi48 min S 14 G 18 58°F 55°F1013.8 hPa58°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 43 mi58 min SSW 15 G 17 65°F 1013.3 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 48 mi58 min S 12 G 16 67°F 32°F67°F
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 48 mi52 min S 5.1 G 8 76°F 70°F1011.6 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ8 mi32 minSSE 610.00 miFair70°F0°F%1013 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ22 mi88 minS 810.00 miPartly Cloudy0°F0°F%1012.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBLM

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr5S6S5S6SW7SW7SW6S9S7S8S8S9S6SE9S9SE7SE9SE11S17
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4SE5S4S5S5S7S10S14
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2 days agoSE6SE3S33SE4S3S3CalmCalmSE3SE43CalmSE8SE7E11SE7E10E7SE7SE5SE6SE44

Tide / Current Tables for Belmar, Atlantic Ocean, New Jersey
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Belmar
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:30 AM EDT     4.85 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:26 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:07 AM EDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:29 PM EDT     4.34 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:19 PM EDT     0.86 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:30 PM EDT     First Quarter
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.84.84.33.32.11.20.60.40.61.22.23.13.94.34.33.72.71.81.20.911.52.43.5

Tide / Current Tables for Long Branch (fishing pier), New Jersey
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Long Branch (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:39 AM EDT     4.80 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:26 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:16 AM EDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:38 PM EDT     4.29 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:28 PM EDT     0.85 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:30 PM EDT     First Quarter
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.74.84.33.42.31.30.70.40.51.1233.74.24.33.82.81.91.20.90.91.42.33.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.