Leonardo, NJ Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Leonardo, NJ

April 27, 2024 6:38 PM EDT (22:38 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:58 AM   Sunset 7:48 PM
Moonrise 12:00 AM   Moonset 7:53 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 330 Pm Edt Sat Apr 27 2024

Tonight - S winds around 15 kt with occasional gusts up to 25 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of showers this evening, then showers likely after midnight. Chance of showers late.

Sun - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of showers in the morning.

Sun night - S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Slight chance of showers and tstms.

Mon - NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.

Mon night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Tue - E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Tue night - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft. Chance of showers.

Wed - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.

Wed night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Thu - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Thu night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
winds and waves may be higher in and near tstms.

ANZ300 330 Pm Edt Sat Apr 27 2024

Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure continues to slide offshore tonight, with a warm front approaching tonight and moving north on Sunday. A weak trough moves through Sunday night, with high pressure briefly building in Monday morning. A back door cold front moves through Monday afternoon into Monday evening. A frontal system approaches from the west and moves through the area Tuesday afternoon and night. High pressure then builds in for the middle of the week before another frontal system potentially impacts the area to close out the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Leonardo, NJ
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Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 271920 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 320 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will remain in control of the prevailing conditions through early in the week with low chances of showers and storms. Temperatures rise above normal Sunday as a warm front lifts north of the area. A weak system will be a more widespread chance of storms on Tuesday, and temperatures will remain above normal through the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
The only breaks of sun left are along the northern NJ shore this afternoon, as clouds have overspread the rest of our region from the west. A warm front passing by will continue to result in cloudy skies through tonight. Showers have been pushing quickly across eastern PA this afternoon, but farther east very dry low level air will limit how much of the shower activity makes it down to I-95 southeastward late this afternoon into the early evening. Dewpoints are still in the mid to upper 20s in much of that area, and while they will creep gradually upward, most places from I-95 southeastward may just end up with just a few sprinkles through early evening. Temperatures have been cool this afternoon under all the cloud-cover, with highs in the mid 50s to low 60s.

With the warm front passage and clouds persisting overnight, expect a more seasonable night ahead temperature-wise with lows in the mid to upper 40s (low 40s Poconos), with even near 50 in the more urban spots. The warm advection and isentropic lift aloft along with some weak mid-level vorticity advection should result in additional isolated to scattered showers overnight.
The greater shower coverage overnight will be over northeast PA and northern NJ, decreasing to isolated southwestward toward Philadelphia. CAMs generally back that idea up, though are inconsistent with regard to exact timing and coverage.

The aforementioned forcing mechanisms will shift east-northeast away from our region Sunday morning, as an upper-level ridge amplifies northward up the Appalachians and across the mid- Atlantic. Surface high pressure will settle off the coast of the Carolinas, resulting in southwesterly low-level flow bringing the warmest temperatures since April 15th. Decreasing cloud cover should allow for enough sunshine to allow some spots, particularly inland from Philadelphia southward, to reach 80F.
Expect a southerly sea-breeze to keep the immediate shore communities much cooler, but that will not make it too far inland with the southwest to west ambient flow. Dewpoints may make it into the mid to upper 50s for the afternoon; while not humid by summer standards, it may be noticeable to the un-acclimated. Meanwhile, another shortwave rotating over the upper-level ridge may spark off a few widely scattered showers over eastern PA, particularly from the Lehigh Valley northward Sunday afternoon. Some CAMs suggest those could push east- southeastward across the Delaware River into NJ, but the chance looks quite low from Philly southward. With that activity, there may be enough instability for a stray thunderstorm, but not enough instability or forcing for anything severe.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
The main story heading into early next week will be the strengthening ridge across the East Coast. 500 mb heights look to increase to near 580 dam by Monday, values more typical of summertime. At the surface, high pressure will be centered offshore of the Carolinas, helping to advect warmer and more moist air into the region. The result will be much above normal temperatures. A backdoor frontal boundary will sink southwestward into the area from New England Monday night, stalling out across the central part of the forecast area by Tuesday.

Lows Sunday night will be about 10-15 degrees above normal, mainly in the mid 50s to near 60 degrees with clearing skies.
Monday will be the warmest day of the stretch with high temperatures soaring into the mid to upper 80s in most interior locations under partly cloudy skies. Highs in the more urbanized areas could top out closer to 90 degrees, though readings of 90 degrees or higher appear unlikely at this time. The northwest flow will add a downsloping component to the winds and thus also help to boost temperatures locally near the urban corridor. The offshore wind will also allow for a notable warmup even along the immediate coast, with highs getting to the low to mid 70s before the sea breeze kicks in.

As the gradient flow weakens and shifts eventually to the southwest then south, the sea breeze will likely make significant inland progress into the I-95 corridor and perhaps even farther inland from there during the evening. This will cool temperatures off into the 70s and 60s by late evening.
Dewpoints will be near 60 degrees, so the Heat Index won't be much different than the air temperature on Monday. No heat headlines are anticipated. Lows Monday night will also be quite mild once again in the mid 50s to near 60 degrees. The backdoor frontal boundary will sink into northern and central New Jersey overnight with increasing cloud cover.

For Tuesday, the frontal boundary will stall out along a line from near Ocean County northwest into the Lehigh Valley.
Southwest of the boundary, temperatures should warm well into the low to mid 80s by the afternoon under partly cloudy skies.
Northeast of the boundary, temperatures will likely top out in the 70s away from the coast under mostly cloudy skies. The upper ridge will deamplify as a shortwave trough approaches from the west. This wave will be weakening a good bit, so forcing won't be overly impressive. We should have a fair amount of diurnally driven instability though, generally in the 500 J/kg neighborhood southwest of the boundary. So some scattered showers and thunderstorms are anticipated to develop into the afternoon and evening. Shear isn't bad, around 30- 35 kts, but with meager forcing and instability, currently anticipate convection to be large benign and hit or miss in nature. Have kept PoPs near 30-50%, greatest toward the north where forcing will be a bit stronger.

A weak cold front associated with the trough will pass through the area Tuesday night, bringing an end to the convective activity. This will also signal a return to more temperate conditions for the remainder of the week, although temperatures likely remain several degrees above normal.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Somewhat unsettled, but not overly impactful long term looks to be on the horizon. The ensembles suggest another weaker ridge axis could build to our west while moving eastwards with time Tuesday night into Thursday, the overall upper-level pattern looks to become more zonal like and somewhat slow moving Tuesday night onwards. Otherwise, multiple rounds of shortwave energy and perhaps some weak surface boundaries hanging around or moving through could be in the cards, potentially supporting some weak convective activity and varying cloud cover.

Stuck with NBM PoPS for this forecast. Slight chance or chance of showers each day for the interior. Greatest chance for showers and thunderstorms is the Friday/Friday night time frame thanks to another cold front passing through. Above average temperatures likely Wednesday through the end of the week.

AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Through Tonight...Mainly VFR with ceilings dipping into the 030-050 range through 00Z as some light showers try to push in from west to east. Lowest CIGs and greater coverage of -SHRA around RDG to ABE. Showers may linger at times tonight, particularly north of TTN, but overall VSBY reductions are not anticipated. Ceilings should remain steady at most sites from around PHL southward, but TTN to ABE and RDG are forecast to settle into MVFR, possibly below 020 at times toward morning.
Southerly winds will ease from near 10 kt early this evening to 5 kt or less overnight. Moderate confidence.

Sunday...Some MVFR possible early, mainly ABE/RDG but possibly down to TTN. VFR otherwise, and ceilings will tend to lift and scatter through 15Z or so. Those same northern TAF sites may see some pop-up shower activity in the afternoon, possibly even a stray -TSRA. Winds mainly SW 5-10 kt. Moderate confidence.

Outlook...

Sunday night through Monday night...No significant weather expected. Mainly VFR with winds near 5-10 kts.

Tuesday through Wednesday...Mainly VFR with winds 5-10 kts, though some scattered showers or thunderstorms are possible late Tuesday and Wednesday.

MARINE
SCA continues through 10 PM for DE Bay and all our Atlantic coastal waters. That said, winds will start to drop off across areas from ACY northward earlier, so gusts may drop below criteria there prior to 10 PM. However, another passing trough may continue to keep wind gusts at least periodically in the 20-25 kt range tonight into early Sunday morning. For the rest of Sunday, winds will generally be northerly 10-15 KT with gusts up to 20 KT at times. Seas 3-5 ft through this evening, highest to the lee of DE Bay, dropping to 2-3 ft for most of Sunday.

Outlook...

Sunday night through Wednesday...No marine hazards expected.
Winds 10-15 kts and seas 2-4 feet.

CLIMATE
Near record breaking high temperatures are forecast on Monday.
Records for our climate sites are listed below:

Record High Temperatures Jan 25 Site Record/Year Allentown (ABE) 86/1974 AC Airport (ACY) 92/1974 AC Marina (55N) 88/2017 Georgetown (GED) 91/2017 Mount Pocono (MPO) 82/1974 Philadelphia (PHL) 90/1974 Reading (RDG) 91/1888 Trenton (TTN) 88/1974 Wilmington (ILG) 91/1974

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 4 mi50 min S 13G16 55°F30.44
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 16 mi50 min S 18G19 30.41
MHRN6 17 mi50 min SSE 5.1G16
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 18 mi28 min SSW 14G18 49°F 50°F30.4341°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 19 mi50 min 52°F30.37
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 31 mi50 min S 19G23 30.42
44022 - Execution Rocks 36 mi38 min S 19 52°F 30.3934°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 43 mi50 min SSE 8G14 57°F30.42
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 47 mi28 min S 12G14 48°F 48°F30.4340°F
44091 47 mi42 min 50°F4 ft


Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KBLM MONMOUTH EXECUTIVE,NJ 16 sm42 minSSE 1010 smOvercast52°F36°F54%30.43
KLDJ LINDEN,NJ 17 sm23 minS 0710 smOvercast55°F27°F33%30.41
KJRB DOWNTOWN MANHATTAN/WALL ST,NY 19 sm42 minS 09G1710 smOvercast Lt Rain 52°F34°F50%30.43
KEWR NEWARK LIBERTY INTL,NJ 20 sm47 minS 15G2010 smOvercast55°F27°F33%30.40
KJFK JOHN F KENNEDY INTL,NY 21 sm47 minSSW 1510 smMostly Cloudy Lt Rain 52°F37°F58%30.44
Link to 5 minute data for KBLM


Wind History from BLM
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Atlantic Highlands, New Jersey
   
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Atlantic Highlands
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Sat -- 04:51 AM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:52 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:37 AM EDT     4.25 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:38 PM EDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:46 PM EDT     5.26 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Atlantic Highlands, New Jersey, Tide feet
12
am
4.5
1
am
3.4
2
am
2.1
3
am
1.1
4
am
0.4
5
am
0.2
6
am
0.7
7
am
1.7
8
am
2.8
9
am
3.7
10
am
4.2
11
am
4.2
12
pm
3.8
1
pm
3.1
2
pm
2.1
3
pm
1.3
4
pm
0.8
5
pm
0.7
6
pm
1.2
7
pm
2.2
8
pm
3.5
9
pm
4.6
10
pm
5.1
11
pm
5.3



Tide / Current for The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current (2)
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The Narrows
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Sat -- 12:53 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:10 AM EDT     -2.01 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:52 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 08:00 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 10:11 AM EDT     1.21 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 01:05 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:11 PM EDT     -1.65 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 07:29 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:28 PM EDT     1.70 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current (2), knots
12
am
0.8
1
am
-0.1
2
am
-1.1
3
am
-1.7
4
am
-2
5
am
-1.8
6
am
-1.3
7
am
-0.7
8
am
-0
9
am
0.8
10
am
1.2
11
am
1.1
12
pm
0.7
1
pm
0.1
2
pm
-0.8
3
pm
-1.4
4
pm
-1.6
5
pm
-1.5
6
pm
-1
7
pm
-0.3
8
pm
0.3
9
pm
1
10
pm
1.6
11
pm
1.6




Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Philadelphia, PA,



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