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Marine Weather and Tides Union Beach, NJ Version 3.4

NOTICE 1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17. 1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

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Sunrise 6:19AM

Sunset 5:56PM

Sunday March 7, 2021 4:18 PM EST (21:18 UTC)

Moonrise 3:44AM

Moonset 12:55PM

Illumination 32%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Union Beach , NJ

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Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY

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FXUS61 KOKX 072030 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 330 PM EST Sun Mar 7 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure ridge north of the Great Lakes centers itself over New England early Monday. The high sinks south late Monday into Tuesday as a weak trough passes to the north. A cold front approaches from the west Friday and becomes stationary south of the area by Saturday night. Unsettled weather will continue through next weekend as another system approaches from the OH Valley, with a cool down in temperatures, as well.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/.

Subsidence aloft will keep the area cloudless in the near term. A high pressure system over the Great Lakes continues to force dry air with dew points in the teens and single digits into southern New York through tonight and into tomorrow morning. Winds should remain around 5-10 mph out of the northwest overnight light enough for ample radiative cooling. The clear skies should allow for temperatures to dive once nightfall takes hold. Around the city temperatures are in the mid 20s with low 20s along Long Island and the Connecticut coastline. Further inland within the Lower Hudson Valley could see temperatures in the mid to upper teens.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/.

Overhead ridging keeps southern New York dry again for most of the day Monday. It's likely that the skies remain clear through most of the morning and into the afternoon. Relative humidity values a loft are bone dry in the single digits above 900 mb. Needless to say rain chances remain near zero through the afternoon. Ambient temperatures should be slightly higher than the previous day in the low 40s.

Late Monday night into Tuesday morning a weak upper level trough moves through northern New York following the flow of a 120kt jet max north of the Great Lakes. This trough brings some residual Pacific moisture which may increase the cloudiness overnight. With the winds shifting more southerly and the additional clouds acting as a blanket to the outgoing radiation, temperatures should hold around 10 degrees above the previous days lows in the low to mid 30s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Not much change in the forecast thinking for the beginning of the extended period. A shortwave trough passes well north of the area on Tuesday dragging through a weak cold front. Without much moisture to work with and the area away from the best lift, just some additional cloud cover expected Tuesday morning. Thereafter, surface high pressure and rising heights aloft build east, with a warming trend through Friday under southerly flow.

CPC ensemble mean forecasts continue to show convergence on a return to a positive NAO into the week. Guidance has held steady with 850mb temperatures of 8-10C+ Wednesday through Friday. One change this cycle as been for the ridge to be a bit slower to move east on Friday, thus maintaining southwesterly flow for much of the day. As a result, and if increased cloud cover doesn't mitigate it too much, Friday looks to be another warm day before a cool down this weekend.

A bit less spread today in the NBM/NBP temperature percentiles so continued to use its temperatures and adjust up between the 75th and 90th percentiles. This gave highs in the mid/upper 50s for coastal locations and lower/mid 60s elsewhere Wednesday-Friday. This is in line with, or a degree or two cooler, than MOSGuide. With SSTs in the low 40s across the ocean waters, coupled with the southerly wind component, coastal areas will not get as warm as the interior, and remain in the mid 50s Wednesday through Friday. As we have mentioned previously, at this time no record highs are in jeopardy with record highs in the upper 60s and 70s for the climate locations.

By Friday afternoon, the ridge shifts to the east of the area with an upper trough passing over New England. Model guidance has come into a bit better agreement with respect to the timing of this system, and shows a cold front associated with the upper low passing through on Friday night. The front moves through quick, and will bring precipitation chances for the whole area Friday afternoon into the evening, albeit light. The front then stalls to our south as zonal flow aloft commences, and a deeper closed low takes shape across the Central Plains and moves east by Sunday. Cold advection behind the front will drop temperatures to more seasonable into Sunday. The stalled boundary remains just south of the area Sunday as a surface low develops over the OH Valley, keeping the area in clouds and light precipitation chances Sunday. Temperatures may be marginally cold enough Sunday morning for a rain/snow mix across the interior, but plenty of time, still, to work out those details.

AVIATION /21Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Weakening low pressure over eastern Canada will retreat to the northeast, while high pressure builds in from the west through Monday.

NW winds around 10 kt gradually veer to the NNW at 5-10kt this evening. Winds then veer to the W/SW Monday afternoon.

. NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

A few gusts 15-18kt early. Winds will be mainly right of 310 magnetic, but will vary at times due to the close proximity of a surface trough.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. Monday Afternoon through Wednesday. VFR. Thursday. Mainly VFR. S-SW gusts 15-20 kt. Friday. Mainly VFR. Chance of showers.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE.

Winds and seas will remain below SCA levels through Wednesday as high pressure dominates. By Thursday afternoon, strengthening southwest flow ahead of an approaching cold front will result in ocean seas to near 5 ft and gusts 25-30kts. Ocean seas will remain elevated into Saturday afternoon, with 5-7ft waves and occasional gusts to 30kts before diminishing late Saturday. Ocean seas begin to build again on Sunday evening, with occasional gusts to 25 kts.

HYDROLOGY. There are no hydrologic concerns through the forecast period.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . DJ/DBR NEAR TERM . DJ SHORT TERM . DJ LONG TERM . DBR AVIATION . DW MARINE . DJ/DBR HYDROLOGY . DJ/DBR

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ	9 mi	49 min	WNW 8 G 11	38°F			1026.2 hPa
MHRN6	10 mi	49 min	NW 12 G 16
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ	10 mi	49 min		39°F			1025.2 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ	13 mi	49 min	NW 11 G 16	39°F			1025.4 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY	17 mi	49 min		40°F	38°F		1025.8 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor	26 mi	29 min	W 9.7 G 12		42°F	1 ft	1025.1 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY	31 mi	49 min	NNE 9.9 G 12	37°F			1026.3 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks	36 mi	19 min	NW 7.8 G 14	40°F				17°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA	39 mi	49 min	NNW 11 G 14	41°F	38°F		1026.6 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ	47 mi	43 min	NW 5.1 G 9.9	40°F	38°F		1025.8 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ

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11 PM

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Last 24hr

NW17

NW16

NW13 G20

NW13 G21

NW15 G22

N14 G17

N9 G15

N8 G12

NW13 G20

NW15 G20

NW17

NW15 G20

NW12 G16

NW12 G21

NW14 G18

NW15 G19

NW14 G20

NW12 G17

NW14 G17

NW8 G13

NW8 G11

W4

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1 day ago

NW26

NW28

NW22 G27

W18 G24

NW20

NW18

NW19 G23

W16

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NW14 G18

NW16

NW11 G14

W14 G17

W15

NW17 G22

NW21 G26

NW18 G23

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NW18 G24

NW19 G23

NW19 G24

NW15 G19

2 days ago

NW25 G31

NW26

NW31

NW20 G26

NW25 G32

NW22 G29

NW27 G33

NW27 G33

NW30

NW27

NW26

NW28 G34

NW23

NW25

NW23 G28

NW19 G27

NW20 G28

NW22 G28

NW24 G30

NW25 G32

NW24 G29

NW23

NW23 G29

W25 G32

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ	15 mi	28 min	WNW 9 G 17	10.00 mi	A Few Clouds	42°F	13°F	30%	1025.4 hPa
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ	22 mi	23 min	W 10	10.00 mi	Fair	41°F	13°F	32%	1026 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY	23 mi	28 min	no data	10.00 mi	Fair	40°F	13°F	33%	1025.5 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY	24 mi	28 min	NW 13 G 17	10.00 mi	Fair	42°F	14°F	32%	1025.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWR

Wind History from EWR (wind in knots)

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Last 24hr

NW12 G21

NW13

NW12

N8

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N5

W3

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W5

NW10

NW7

NW10

NW8

W8

NW11

NW10

NW13

NW12 G18

N12

N12 G18

NW11

NW13 G18

NW9 G15

NW9 G17

1 day ago

W17 G22

W14

W8

W10

W18 G23

NW10 G19

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W7

W8

NW15

NW9

W7

W7

SW6

W11

NW15 G22

NW14 G23

NW18

NW12

NW16 G24

NW13 G28

NW16 G27

NW13 G23

W14 G21

2 days ago

NW17 G30

NW23 G33

NW15 G22

NW17 G24

NW19 G28

NW18 G22

NW17 G24

NW20 G28

NW15 G32

W10 G20

W8

NW11

NW14 G20

W11 G21

NW14 G20

NW15 G24

NW17 G26

NW16 G25

NW18 G28

W17 G23

NW20 G26

W22 G27

W20 G26

NW18 G25

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Tide / Current Tables for Princes Bay, New Jersey

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Tide / Current Tables for Bayonne Bridge, Kill van Kull, New York Current (2)

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Ground Weather Radar Station

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