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Marine Weather and Tides New Brunswick, NJ Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:01AM

Sunset 8:05PM

Saturday August 8, 2020 1:47 AM EDT (05:47 UTC)

Moonrise 10:53PM

Moonset 10:43AM

Illumination 82%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Brunswick, NJ

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Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA

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FXUS61 KPHI 080347 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 1147 PM EDT Fri Aug 7 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak stationary front will linger across the northern Mid- Atlantic before washing out Saturday. On Sunday a weak cold front will move through the region. High pressure will build into the area Sunday behind the front, before progressing offshore early next week. A cold front will approach New England around the middle of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/.

Have cancelled the Flash Flood Watch for southern areas with the midnight package, as storms are both weakening in intensity while also slowly sagging southwards (although some areas in southern Sussex Delaware could still see a good soaking). Otherwise only update was to cut PoPs in the northern two thirds of the CWA based on current trends.

The next big concern tonight will be low stratus and fog development. Near calm surface winds and plentiful low level moisture combined with a saturated ground should yield areas of fog. The trough approaching from the west should create enough turbulence to prevent widespread dense fog, but cannot rule it out. Overnight lows will be mainly in the 60s to around 70.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. For Saturday, a progressive upper trough centered near the coast early in the day will move east with time with weak shortwave ridging approaching by late day. This should mean an overall drier day but there will still be significant low clouds and some fog around to start the day. And because low level winds will be quite light and there is so much moisture around, this could take some time to mix out. The upshot is that the morning should be mostly cloudy before some sun develops in the afternoon. However diurnal heating along with the continuing abundant moisture around could lead to some isolated to scattered afternoon storms developing. This won't be a washout though so it should be rain-free most of the time and many areas won't even see anything. It will still be fairly humid with lows mostly in the low to mid 80s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Saturday night into Sunday the mid-level disturbance from Friday will be finally exiting New England with lower PWAT air moving across the region. As the wave exits, brief subsidence will take shape across the area as surface high pressure centers over the Ohio Valley. The GFS and ECMWF does have a weak upper level disturbance traversing the Canadian Maritimes, but the system appears to far north, with to much dry air overhead to produce anything in the way of precipitation. Temperatures Sunday will likely be in the upper 80s to around 90 degrees as the dry air mass will allow temperatures to over perform.

Monday temperatures will remain warm as mid-level heights rise across the region and PWATs remain around 1.40". Tuesday into Wednesday an upper level low will head east across central Canada with an upper level disturbance approaching from the west. Overall, guidance has slowed down a bit from this time yesterday, with delaying the return of rain chances until Tuesday. An upper level wave will approach the area from the west Wednesday afternoon with significant uncertainty on the track and strength of the wave. Either way, the chance of showers and thunderstorms returns to the region Tuesday and Wednesday.

Wednesday into Thursday a cold front will approach New England with models showing a wide spread here. The GFS and CMC are slightly more amplified and slower with the upper level low over the Hudson Bay while the ECMWF is less amplified and more progressive. The GFS stalls the front across central/ southern NY, while the ECMWF keeps the front stalled across northern NY. For us this means an enhanced chance of showers and thunderstorms Wednesday through Friday.

AVIATION /04Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight . A mix of VFR and MVFR CIGs will likely give way to generally IFR conditions in fog/stratus later tonight into Saturday morning. Light NE winds becoming light and variable or calm. Moderate confidence.

Saturday-Saturday night . Mainly VFR, but areas of MVFR possible especially near MIV and ACY during the day Saturday. Slight chance of a rain shower but tstms not expected. Winds mainly light and variable. Moderate confidence.

Outlook . Sunday-Sunday night . VFR. Light and variable wind becoming SW at 5 to 10 kt, except near the coast where an afternoon sea breeze is likely. High confidence.

Monday . Mainly VFR with dry conditions. South winds 5 to 15 kts. High confidence.

Tuesday and Wednesday . A chance of showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours. South to southwest winds 5 to 15 kt. Moderate confidence.

MARINE. Through tonight . Sub-SCA conditions expected. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A couple of wind shifts possible but easterly directions will be prevailing and speeds mainly 10 kt or less. Scattered tstms are possible for most of this period with locally higher winds and seas possible in any tstms.

Outlook . Saturday-Saturday night . Sub-SCA conditions expected. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Winds mainly NE at 5 to 10 kt becoming light and variable overnight.

Monday . Sub-advisory winds/seas expected.

Tuesday into Wednesday . Sub-advisory winds/seas expected with a slight chance of showers and storms.

Rip Currents . Light onshore flow Saturday through Sunday, along with 2-3 ft seas and a swell period of around 6-8 seconds will result in a low risk for the development of dangerous and lift threatening rip currents.

EQUIPMENT. The NOAA Weather Radio All-Hazards broadcast from Hibernia Park Pennsylvania (Station WNG-704) remains off the air.

The NOAA Weather Radio All-Hazards broadcast from Franklin Township New Jersey (Station KZZ-31 ) is off the air.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . None.

Synopsis . Haines Near Term . Carr/Fitzsimmons/MPS Short Term . Fitzsimmons Long Term . Haines Aviation . Carr/Fitzsimmons/Haines/MPS Marine . Fitzsimmons/Haines Equipment . WFO PHI

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
MHRN6	18 mi	47 min	WSW 1.9 G 4.1
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ	19 mi	47 min		72°F	78°F		1020.4 hPa (+0.9)
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ	23 mi	47 min	ENE 5.1 G 6	74°F			1020.2 hPa (+1.0)
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ	23 mi	47 min	E 4.1 G 5.1	72°F	77°F		1020.9 hPa (+1.0)
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY	27 mi	47 min		73°F	76°F		1020.5 hPa (+1.1)
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA	29 mi	47 min	NNE 1 G 2.9	71°F	73°F		1020.8 hPa (+1.1)
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ	36 mi	71 min	N 1 G 6	70°F	73°F		1019.9 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor	40 mi	27 min	NE 3.9 G 5.8		71°F		1019.6 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY	42 mi	47 min	Calm G 1.9	71°F			1021 hPa (+0.7)
44022 - Execution Rocks	46 mi	32 min	ENE 3.9 G 5.8	72°F				70°F
BDSP1	49 mi	47 min		72°F			1020.3 hPa (+0.6)

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Somerville, Somerset Airport, NJ	15 mi	54 min	N 0	2.50 mi	Fog/Mist	69°F	68°F	96%	1020.1 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ	21 mi	52 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Overcast	70°F	66°F	88%	1020.7 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ	21 mi	56 min	N 4	9.00 mi	Overcast	72°F	70°F	94%	1020.1 hPa
Trenton, Mercer County Airport, NJ	24 mi	54 min	NNW 4	6.00 mi	Fog/Mist	69°F	68°F	96%	1019.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSMQ

Wind History from SMQ (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for New Brunswick, New Jersey

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Tide / Current Tables for Bayonne Bridge, Kill van Kull, New York Current (2)

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (1,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA

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