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Marine Weather and Tides New Brunswick, NJ Version 3.4

NOTICE 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 6:14AM

Sunset 7:45PM

Friday August 23, 2019 9:20 AM EDT (13:20 UTC)

Moonrise 12:00AM

Moonset 1:52PM

Illumination 45%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Brunswick, NJ

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Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA

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Fxus61 kphi 231056 afdphi area forecast discussion national weather service mount holly nj 656 am edt Fri aug 23 2019 Synopsis A cold front will continue slowly push to our south today and move to our south over the weekend as high pressure builds to our north through early next week. The high will try to nose itself down the east coast, but not fully make its way into our area. This high will retreat north and eastward by Tuesday and Wednesday as an area of low lifts northward offshore of the east coast and a cold front approaches from the west around the middle to end of next week. Near term until 6 pm this evening 700 am update: refined pops across the area this morning based on stronger consensus of the 06z hi-res convection-allowing models and radar trends. Looks like a persistent band of showers will slowly sag southward through the day, something that a lot of the models wanted to dissipate much too quickly. Instead, thinking this band may persist into the afternoon, while convection develops farther south as the perturbation discussed below approaches the southern CWA later today. Also, a few isolated showers may develop this morning southeast of the more persistent band. Previous discussion... a weak midlevel perturbation is moving through the area at this time, which is generating enough cooling aloft to allow showers to develop along the increasingly nebulous surface front, which is located... Somewhere... In eastern pa and and northern central nj. Overnight deterministic models appeared to place the front too far south, likely owing to complicating effects from antecedent convection. Furthermore, hi-res models are struggling mightily with the showers in the CWA now. As such, several amendments to the forecast have been required based on radar trends the past few hours. Main adjustments early this morning are to maintain high- chance pops along a reading to trenton to morristown corridor, gradually shifting this south while lowering pops as the perturbation moves east of the area. Nevertheless, the residual effects of these showers will be thicker cloud cover for longer north of the front, and this has required lowering temperatures several degrees today (generally near north of the i-76 corridor). Additionally, as subsequent vorticity maxima move east along the frontal boundary, additional showers cannot be ruled but should become confined to areas south of i-78 by afternoon and south of i-76 by late in the day. Areas near and to the south of the front will still see some latent instability and will be in much closer proximity to the strongest large-scale and mesoscale ascent. A fairly strong perturbation will approach the area this afternoon. Anticipating storms will develop near the mason-dixon line (and southward), riding to the east of the perturbation through the evening hours. Hi-res models are generating quite a bit of convection from DELMARVA southward this afternoon. Strongest instability will be south of the cwa, so the best chances of severe storms will be south of the area as well. Nevertheless, cannot rule out the potential entirely. Additionally, stronger storms will be capable of producing locally heavy rainfall, though not expecting much of a flooding threat today. The potential exists for showers (and maybe an isolated storm or two) to reach as far north as the i-76 corridor, but this will depend entirely on the progress of the front today. Model trends are a little slower in general, but there will be complicating effects from the clouds showers early this morning (among other factors). Expect adjustments to the forecast as the details on frontal placement and the evolution of this afternoon's vort MAX become clearer. Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Saturday Storms may be ongoing in southern portions of the CWA during the evening hours, but as the attendant perturbation moves offshore, the storms will move southeast of the area during the overnight hours. Hi-res simulations are indicating the potential for storm totals over an inch in portions of DELMARVA (and possibly far southern new jersey). Cannot rule out a rogue severe storm or nuisance instance of flooding, but these chances appear fairly remote as the stronger instability lift will be well south of the area by this time frame. Drier air will filter into the area overnight, with sky cover improving north to south with time. Lows will be considerably cooler tonight (probably by about 10 degrees, give or take) as a combination of cold advection and some radiational cooling take hold. Long term Saturday through Thursday Drier and cooler conditions start the long term period, before warmer weather and greater chances of precipitation return by the middle of next week. As we start the weekend, Saturday is expected to be a very pleasant day. High pressure will be building to our north across eastern canada, with our area on the far southern edge. This will keep easterly flow across the area, and as a trough low aloft moves across the area, temperatures will cool to near or below normal. Dry weather is expected, with mainly afternoon evening clouds due to the trough low moving overhead. However, as we move into Sunday and Monday, the easterly flow will continue as high pressure builds a little farther southward across new england. The high will try to nose its way down the east coat toward the mid atlantic region during this time as well. Guidance continues to indicate precipitation developing across the area during this period, so we will have a slight chance of showers Sunday through Monday. However, it may just end up being more cloudy rather than rainy as some stratocumulus clouds could develop with the persistent easterly flow.

Regardless, if it does rain, it is expected to be light a pw values are mostly an inch or less. As we move into Tuesday through Thursday, unsettled weather could return to the area. An area of low pressure is forecast to be lifting northward offshore of the east coast Tuesday into Tuesday night, while a cold front approaches from the west during the day Wednesday into Thursday. There are some timing differences with these systems between the GFS and ecmwf. However, there will be an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms starting Tuesday and continuing through Wednesday, and possibly continuing into Thursday, depending on how fast the cold front moves through. Aviation 12z Friday through Tuesday The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg, kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas. Today... Persistent band of showers will shift slowly southward today, affecting rdg abe ttn this morning, phl pne ilg late this morning into early afternoon, and ilg acy miv around midday onward. Meanwhile, more widespread showers storms may affect areas south of the interstate 76 corridor this afternoon. Brief sub-vfr conditions are expected in proximity to showers, but MVFR CIGS may occur on occasion for much of the morning outside of precipitation as well. North to northwest winds around 10 kts. Tonight... MainlyVFR with light northwest or north winds. Any evening showers storms in DELMARVA and southern new jersey should move southeast away from the terminals by the overnight hours. Outlook... Saturday-Saturday night...VFR conditions expected. Winds generally northeast 5-10 knots. Sunday... MostlyVFR conditions expected. Winds remain northeast 5-10 knots, with gusts 15-20 knots possible. Sunday night-Tuesday... MVFR ceilings may begin to develop overnight Sunday and continue into Monday for some areas. Winds remain east to northeast 5-10 knots Sunday night through Monday night before shifting to southeast on Tuesday. Gusts 15-20 knots possible at times. Marine Sub-advisory winds seas are expected through the period, with north to northeast winds 5 to 15 kts through this evening increasing to 10 to 20 kts overnight. Seas will generally be 2 to 4 feet. Once again, there is a chance of storms today, generally for delaware bay and the atlantic waters south of atlantic city. Locally stronger gusts and higher waves should be expected in their proximity. Outlook... Friday-Saturday night... Conditions expected to remain below advisory levels, although winds could gust around 20 knots at times. Sunday-Monday... Winds may approach advisory levels and gust around 25 knots at times. However, seas are forecast to build to around 5 feet, so a small craft advisory may be needed. Monday night-Tuesday... Winds may drop below advisory levels and gust around 20 knots at times. However, seas are forecast to build to around 5 feet, so a small craft advisory may be needed. Rip currents... a northerly wind of 5 to 15 mph is expected today. Breaking waves around 2 to 3 feet are likely along with a medium-period southerly swell. A low risk of rip currents is forecast. A long-duration northeast to east wind is expected for the weekend and into the early part of the new week. As a result, we are anticipating a prolonged period with an enhanced risk for the development of dangerous rip currents from Saturday through at least Tuesday. Tides coastal flooding A prolonged northeast to east flow is expected Saturday through at least Tuesday. This persistent onshore fetch, combined with increasing astronomical tides due to an approaching new moon on Thursday will likely lead to increasing coastal water levels. Some guidance is already indicating that minor coastal flooding is becoming more likely, possibly starting as early as Sunday, but more likely Monday and Tuesday. Phi watches warnings advisories Pa... None. Nj... None. De... None. Md... None. Marine... None. Synopsis... Robertson near term... Cms short term... Cms long term... Robertson aviation... Cms robertson marine... Cms robertson tides coastal flooding... Robertson

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
MHRN6	18 mi	51 min	N 9.9 G 12
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ	19 mi	57 min		70°F	78°F		1016.6 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ	23 mi	51 min	NNW 8.9 G 11	69°F			1016.4 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ	23 mi	51 min	N 5.1 G 8.9	71°F	79°F		1016.5 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY	27 mi	51 min		69°F	77°F		1016.5 hPa
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA	29 mi	51 min	NE 4.1 G 7	69°F	82°F		1016.8 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ	36 mi	45 min	NNE 2.9 G 8	69°F	82°F		1016.3 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor	40 mi	31 min	N 14 G 18	71°F	74°F	3 ft	1015.7 hPa	63°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY	42 mi	51 min	NE 11 G 13	68°F	75°F		1017.1 hPa
BDSP1	49 mi	51 min		70°F	82°F		1016.7 hPa

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Somerville, Somerset Airport, NJ	15 mi	28 min	N 0	4.00 mi	Light Rain Fog/Mist	65°F	63°F	93%	1016.4 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ	21 mi	36 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Light Rain	64°F	64°F	100%	1016.9 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ	21 mi	30 min	N 6	8.00 mi	Light Rain	66°F	57°F	75%	1016.5 hPa
Trenton, Mercer County Airport, NJ	24 mi	28 min	N 4	10.00 mi	Light Rain	65°F	61°F	87%	1016.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSMQ

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Tide / Current Tables for New Brunswick, New Jersey

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Tide / Current Tables for Bayonne Bridge, Kill van Kull, New York Current (2)

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Weather Map and Satellite Images

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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (9,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA

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Disclaimer: The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.