Wednesday, May27, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Point Lookout, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:26AMSunset 8:17PM Wednesday May 27, 2020 2:22 AM EDT (06:22 UTC) Moonrise 9:39AMMoonset 12:03AM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ355 Sandy Hook Nj To Fire Island Inlet Ny Out 20 Nm- 1006 Pm Edt Tue May 26 2020
.dense fog advisory in effect until 11 am edt Wednesday...
Tonight..SE winds around 5 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Areas of dense fog. Vsby less than 1 nm.
Wed..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Areas of dense fog in the morning. Vsby less than 1 nm in the morning.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Patchy fog in the morning. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Thu night..S winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Chance of showers. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri..S winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Patchy fog in the morning. Chance of showers and tstms. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Fri night..S winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Chance of tstms in the evening. Chance of showers.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Chance of showers.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sun night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 1006 Pm Edt Tue May 26 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Offshore high pressure will slowly drift east through the middle of the week. A cold frontal passage is expected Saturday. High pressure returns for the end of the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Point Lookout, NY
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location: 40.58, -73.58     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 270303 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1103 PM EDT Tue May 26 2020

SYNOPSIS. Offshore high pressure will continue ridging across the area through Thursday. A slow moving cold front approaches Friday and moves through Saturday. High pressure returns Sunday into early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/. The low clouds have spread across Long Island and parts of Southern Connecticut. The fog has made its way into parts of this area as well, and could be dense at times, particularly along the immediate coast. From Southern Nassau and Southern Suffolk as well as coastal Southern Connecticut from New Haven through New London, SPS has been issued to address patchy dense fog.

Previous forecast thinking still remains and that is that the stratus will overspread from SE to NW through tonight. The biggest question is how far north does it get and how much dense fog there will be overnight. The dense fog may end up being located closest to the coast with just stratus further inland. Have continued to hold off on a dense fog advisory at this time. Have the SPS to address patchy dense fog parts of Southern Connecticut and Long Island, along the eastern coastal areas.

Otherwise, a weak southeast to south flow remains with high pressure centered off the northeast coast and nosing into the mid Atlantic region. Moisture is again expected to be rather shallow 2000 ft or less, with subsidence and a strong low level inversion once again. Not expecting widespread drizzle so will leave out of the forecast. Mild and humid conditions are expected tonight with lows in the upper 50s and lower 60s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. Strong upper ridging remains Wednesday and begins to gradually weaken Wednesday night, mainly after 06Z as a wave along the Florida coast begins to track north. The daytime will be nearly a repeat of Monday and Tuesday with morning stratus and fog dissipating through the morning, with timing uncertainty.

The offshore high remains Wednesday night and once again a weak southeast to south flow remains with stratus and fog again. Low level moisture will be transported into the area later Wednesday night as the weak wave of low pressure moves into the central Appalachians by 12Z Thursday. A few showers will be nearing the western zones by Thursday morning, and have slight chance probabilities by 10Z Thursday.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. A strong upper level ridge over the Western Atlantic on Thursday, slowly weakening and moving offshore into the weekend. A northern stream shortwave will traverses across the US and Canada border Thursday into Friday and then across New England this weekend. At the same time, a southern stream upper low over the southern Plains will slowly weaken and lift towards the eastern seaboard on Friday. The interactions of these two streams and how the Western Atlantic ridge breaks down will be key to the timing of potential unsettled weather Friday and Saturday.

Thursday morning starts off with some fog and low clouds as has been the case in recent mornings due to a warm and humid air mass over sea surface temperatures in the lower 50s. A wave of tropical moisture currently along the Florida coast is progged to get deflected up the eastern seaboard around the periphery of the ridge. The system is going to weaken with only remnant moisture that will need to be watched for possible enhanced showers. This moisture may end up west of our region, but will show a chance PoP into Thursday to account for potential showers during the day. Surface ridging and warm temperatures aloft should prevent any thunder. The surface high and ridge break down further on Friday as the aforementioned northern stream shortwave approaches. This sends a slow moving cold front towards the area on Friday, with development of a pre-frontal trough near or just west of the area late Friday. Showers and thunderstorms are possible, especially north and west of NYC, late in the day and evening. The cold front slowly moves into the area Friday night. Loss of daytime heating should act to weaken any shower and thunderstorm activity.

The cold front may not fully move east of the area until late Saturday. The interactions of the southern and northern stream appear to be key to whether or not a wave develops along the front (GFS, GEFS), or if the deepest moisture and best lift end up offshore on Saturday (ECMWF, CMC). Despite some of the models showing little to no precipitation, have kept chance PoPs through the day. This is due to the actual cold front being slow to move east and lingering upper trough axis near the region.

Dry conditions return Saturday night as the front should be offshore. High pressure builds down out of Southern Canada for Sunday into early next week with dry conditions expected.

Warm and humid conditions will continue into Saturday. The warmest day will likely be Friday with highs away from the coast in the upper 70s and lower 80s. Temperatures on Thursday will be held down in the 70s for most locations due to more cloud cover throughout the day. Temperatures Saturday are a bit challenging and could end up higher if the front is slow to clear the area and conditions are mainly dry. A return to temperatures slightly cooler than normal are forecast Sunday into next Tuesday with highs in the upper 60s and lower 70s. Humidity levels will be much lower during this time as well.

AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Western Atlantic based high pressure remains through Wednesday night with a moist light onshore flow continuing.

Tonight will feature low stratus and fog developing and moving in from SE to NW. Terminals such as KISP and KGON are forecast to have a longer time period at IFR or below while KSWF is forecast to have MVFR for a shorter period of time. Forecast goes from VFR to IFR/LIFR tonight into Wednesday with marginal improvement Wednesday. Timing of categorical changes and especially improvement on Wednesday could vary by a few hours from forecast.

Winds will generally be SE-S at 5-10 kt through the TAF period. Some terminal winds will become light and variable at 5 kts or less tonight into early Wednesday.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. Wednesday night-Thursday. More low stratus and fog. Wednesday has IFR conditions forecast with sub-IFR possible. Thursday probably a mix of IFR and MVFR. A chance of showers on Thursday. Thursday night. A chance of showers. Patchy fog. MVFR or lower possible. Friday. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog early. MVFR or lower possible. Friday night-Saturday night. MVFR possible. A chance of showers and thunderstorms Friday evening. A chance of showers late Friday night and Saturday with a slight chance of thunderstorms. A chance of showers Saturday evening. Sunday. Mainly VFR.

MARINE. Marine dense fog advisory in effect for most waters with NY Harbor and Western Long Island Sound going into effect at midnight. The advisory goes until 11AM Wednesday.

Otherwise, high pressure over the Western Atlantic will keep winds and seas below SCA levels through Wednesday night. Additional fog is expected Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

High pressure over the Western Atlantic will keep winds and seas below SCA levels Thursday. More fog is possible Thursday morning and then again Friday morning. Winds may increase ahead of a cold front on Friday and could come close to 20 kt on the ocean. Ocean seas also build to 5 to 6 ft. Winds should gradually weaken Friday night into Saturday, but 5 ft ocean seas may persist into the first half of the weekend. Winds and seas are then expected to remain below SCA levels late Saturday into Sunday.

HYDROLOGY. Any drizzle tonight and Wednesday night will be light with no hydrologic impacts.

Showers are possible at times Thursday into Saturday. Some thunderstorms are also possible Friday into Saturday with a chance for minor urban and poor drainage flooding.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is undergoing its final stages of testing, and is operating at full power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ335-338. Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ330-340- 345-350-353-355.

SYNOPSIS . DS/MET NEAR TERM . JM/DS/MET SHORT TERM . MET LONG TERM . DS AVIATION . JM MARINE . BC/JM/DS HYDROLOGY . DS/MET EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 16 mi43 min SSE 3.9 G 3.9 55°F 55°F1023.3 hPa55°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 19 mi53 min SSW 7 G 7 59°F 1023.8 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 22 mi53 min SSW 5.8 G 7.8 60°F 32°F60°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 24 mi53 min 60°F 60°F1023.2 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 24 mi53 min SE 2.9 G 5.1 59°F 62°F1023.7 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 26 mi83 min SSW 3.9 G 3.9 60°F 1 ft59°F
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 26 mi53 min SSE 6 G 7 59°F 1023 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 30 mi53 min 60°F 61°F1023.1 hPa
MHRN6 31 mi53 min SE 2.9 G 4.1
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 32 mi43 min Calm G 1.9 54°F 54°F1023.3 hPa53°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 46 mi53 min WNW 1.9 G 4.1 60°F 60°F1022.9 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY12 mi32 minS 50.25 miFog/Mist58°F57°F100%1023.5 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY14 mi30 minS 39.00 miOvercast60°F57°F93%1023.5 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY21 mi32 minS 51.50 miFog/Mist61°F57°F87%1023 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KJFK

Wind History from JFK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmS4S3CalmCalmCalmS3SW6S4S8S7SE7SE8S7S8S8SE9SE6SE5SE5S5S3S5
1 day agoNE5N5NE4NE6NE7N6NE7NE53W3S7S4S8SE9SE7E4SE6SE5SE4SE4CalmS4SE4Calm
2 days agoNE14NE15NE13NE15NE17
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Tide / Current Tables for Jones Inlet (Point Lookout), Long Island, New York
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Jones Inlet (Point Lookout)
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 05:39 AM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:39 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:53 AM EDT     3.32 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:31 PM EDT     0.56 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:47 PM EDT     4.00 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.93.32.41.40.70.30.20.61.42.22.83.23.33.12.41.610.60.611.82.73.53.9

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 12:24 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 04:06 AM EDT     -0.61 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 05:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:33 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 09:39 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 10:32 AM EDT     0.87 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 12:43 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 04:31 PM EDT     -0.64 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 07:00 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:58 PM EDT     0.89 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.2-0.2-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.5-0.20.10.30.40.80.80.3-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.6-0.4-00.20.30.70.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.