Tuesday, December10, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Woodsburgh, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 4:29PM Tuesday December 10, 2019 8:22 PM EST (01:22 UTC) Moonrise 4:38PMMoonset 6:15AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ355 Sandy Hook Nj To Fire Island Inlet Ny Out 20 Nm- 729 Pm Est Tue Dec 10 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday afternoon...
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt late this evening and early morning, then becoming N late. Seas 4 to 7 ft. Patchy fog this evening. Rain until early morning, then rain and snow late. Vsby 1 to 3 nm this evening, then 1 to 3 nm late.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Snow and rain in the morning. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..W winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Thu..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Thu night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Chance of rain in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm after midnight.
Sat..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Rain, mainly in the morning. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat night..W winds around 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
Sun..W winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
Sun night..W winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
ANZ300 729 Pm Est Tue Dec 10 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A cold front moves through the region tonight. Arctic high pressure then builds across the region, punctuated only briefly by a secondary cold front that will pass to the north Wednesday night. The high shifts offshore Thursday night with low pressure approaching from the south Friday. This low passes through on Saturday with low pressure building back in on Sunday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Woodsburgh, NY
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location: 40.62, -73.7     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 110027 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 727 PM EST Tue Dec 10 2019

SYNOPSIS. A cold front moves through the region tonight. Arctic high pressure then builds across the region, punctuated only briefly by a secondary cold front that will pass to the north Wednesday night. The high shifts offshore Thursday night with low pressure approaching from the south Friday. This low passes through on Saturday with low pressure building back in on Sunday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/. The forecast has been updated to bump up PoPs across Orange County this evening, as well as to delay the timing of PCPN type transition across the NW zones. The rest of the forecast is mainly on track, but might eventually need to delay the transition towards a wintry mix/snow for the rest of the forecast area.

Moisture advection is ongoing in broader southwest flow aloft, which combined with subtle vorticity maximums ahead of the parent upper trough will lead to a continuation of precipitation through the night for the area. Main concern into the night will be when the transition to rain/snow and then snow will occur, and how much snow accumulates. At the moment, the cold front is expected to move east of the area by midnight. Guidance has trended towards slower cold advection in its wake, meaning that temperatures will be slower to lower to near freezing and the subsequent transition in precipitation type will be delayed. Regardless, expect a period of snowfall to develop overnight, with impacts to the morning commute before snow comes to an end from west to east by late morning as drier air moves into the area. Although the snow will be wet, reducing accumulations, there is a period where flow briefly strengthens between the retreating high and approaching trough, enhancing forcing for ascent and leading to the potential for at least brief banding. Therefore, snow totals look to be on track, with around 1-2 inches across the lower Hudson Valley, northeastern New Jersey and NYC, and 2-3 elsewhere. Some locally higher amounts may be possible across portions of southern Connecticut.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. Snow gradually comes to an end from west to east by late morning. Given the recent moisture and a strengthening subsidence inversion, some cloud cover may linger across the area through the afternoon, before dry advection gradually leads to its dissipation. Expect temperatures to be below normal in the mid to upper 30s, some 20 degrees colder than Tuesday.

Arctic high pressure then strengthens and builds to the west while a secondary cold front passes to the north Wednesday night. As a result, winds and the subsequent cold advection will strengthen into the overnight, with temperatures falling into the teens to mid 20s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. High pressure ridge shifts closer to the region on Thursday, moves through by late in the day, and then offshore through Friday. Dry weather this period with high temperatures below normal Thursday. Temperatures level out or even rise slightly Thursday night with an increase in clouds and light onshore flow. Some models show low PCPN chances by the end of the morning rush on Friday from around the city to points north and west. Should some PCPN sneak in by this time, there could be some light freezing rain primarily well north and west of the city during the first half of Friday morning. Mid levels are forecast to be dry, so ice nucleation/snow growth does not appear to be likely. Rain chances then increase some more through the rest of the forecast area Friday afternoon with temperatures moderating to near 50 by the end of the day along the coast, and 40s for most other locations.

Low pressure to the south moves closer Friday night is progged to pass over or nearby the forecast area Saturday morning. Rain is expected Friday night and Saturday and could be briefly heavy at times, but primarily moderate in intensity.

High pressure begins to build back in during Saturday night with still a chance of rain showers primarily northwest of the city, and maybe even some snow mixing in over parts of Orange County. Sunday should be dry, and the high pressure system's ridge passing through should keep us dry through Monday. Another low pressure system then approaches from the Ohio Valley Monday night with increasing chances of rain or mixed PCPN into Tuesday.

AVIATION /01Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. A cold front will move across the area tonight. High pressure builds into the region on Wednesday.

Generally VFR conditions to start the TAF period will quickly give way to MVFR and eventually IFR as steadier precipitation moves back into the region this evening. While precipitation initially starts as rain, it will change to a rain/snow mix and eventually to all snow from NW to SE. This changeover is expected to occur between 03-06Z for the Lower Hudson Valley terminals, 05-08Z for the Connecticut terminals, and 06-09Z for the NYC and Long Island terminals. Snow then continues into Wednesday morning, ending from NW to SE between 11-16Z. A brief period of moderate to locally heavy snowfall is possible in the morning if any banding sets up. Runway accumulations will generally range from 1-2 inches, with slightly higher accumulations possible for some Long Island and southeast Connecticut terminals. The timing of changes in precipitation type and the start/end time of snow could be off by 1-2 hours.

Conditions improve to VFR Wednesday afternoon once the snow ends.

Winds will continue to shift to the NW tonight at 10-12 kt. Winds diminish to 5-10 kt by Wednesday morning before shifting back to the W and increasing in speed towards the end of the TAF period. A few gusts to 20-25 kt are possible late Wednesday afternoon, primarily at the city terminals.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. Wednesday night. VFR. Gusty WNW winds possible. Thursday. VFR Friday and Friday night. VFR on Friday, then MVFR possible in developing rain Friday night. Saturday. IFR in rain. LLWS possible. Sunday. Becoming VFR.

MARINE. A cold front moves across the waters tonight. Arctic high pressure then builds across the region, punctuated only briefly by a secondary cold front that will pass to the north Wednesday night. The secondary cold front may allow winds to surge to above SCA levels, with a few gusts close to gale-force possible on the ocean waters Wednesday night. Otherwise, winds gusts will generally remain below 25 kt into the mid week. Seas remain elevated at this time, but will very slowly subside into Wednesday with a brief lull in winds, before building again Wednesday night following the secondary frontal passage.

Winds and seas diminish on Thursday as a ridge of high pressure approaches the waters. Sub-advisory conditions expected by Thursday afternoon and lasting through Friday afternoon as the ridge shifts through and moves offshore. Winds and seas then increase Friday night ahead of low pressure, which is expected to pass through or nearby during Saturday morning. SCA conds are probable on the ocean, and possible on the other waters depending on the exact track of the storm. Winds and seas remain elevated on Sunday behind the storm with the potential of gale force gusts at least on the ocean.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic issues are expected with rain through early this evening. The rain mixes with and changes to snow early Wednesday morning. Total liquid equivalent amounts from this morning through Wednesday morning are 0.25 to 0.75 inches.

1-2 inches of rainfall with locally higher amounts are anticipated from late Friday/Friday night through Saturday. Minor nuisance flooding will be possible with this event.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. There will be a chance of coastal flooding with the high tide cycle during Saturday morning. This will be due to onshore winds with an approaching storm combined with relatively high astronomical tides due to a nearly full moon. Minor coastal flooding will be possible primarily along the south shore back bays of Long Island, where even moderate coastal flooding is a possibility at least along the Nassau County bays. Minor flooding will also be possible along NY Harbor and parts of Western Long Island Sound. Confidence is not high at this point as the event is still a few days away, and shifts in storm's track and/or timing would change the flooding potential.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . Winter Weather Advisory from 3 AM to 11 AM EST Wednesday for CTZ005>012. NY . Winter Weather Advisory from 3 AM to 11 AM EST Wednesday for NYZ070>075-078>081-176>179. NJ . Winter Weather Advisory from 3 AM to 11 AM EST Wednesday for NJZ006-104-106-108. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Wednesday for ANZ350-353- 355.

SYNOPSIS . JC/MD NEAR TERM . JC/MD SHORT TERM . MD LONG TERM . JC AVIATION . FEB MARINE . JC/MD HYDROLOGY . JC/MD TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . JC EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 14 mi52 min N 8 G 9.9 51°F 45°F1015 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 17 mi42 min WNW 14 G 18 50°F 1014.7 hPa48°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 18 mi37 min WNW 12 G 18 50°F 32°F45°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 18 mi52 min 51°F 46°F1014.8 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 19 mi52 min WNW 21 G 27 50°F 44°F1015.1 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 20 mi52 min WNW 16 G 20 53°F 1014.7 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 24 mi62 min NW 14 G 19 51°F 47°F
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 24 mi58 min 52°F 46°F1015 hPa
MHRN6 25 mi52 min W 9.9 G 16
44069 33 mi52 min W 7.8 G 9.7 46°F 40°F46°F
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 38 mi92 min W 9.7 G 14 52°F 49°F8 ft1014.1 hPa (+3.0)
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 47 mi58 min NNW 8.9 G 13 51°F 44°F1013.3 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY5 mi31 minW 14 G 2010.00 miOvercast53°F44°F72%1014.7 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY15 mi31 minWNW 810.00 miOvercast53°F42°F66%1014 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY17 mi29 minNNW 510.00 miOvercast54°F48°F80%1014.1 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY18 mi31 minW 710.00 miOvercast52°F42°F69%1014.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KJFK

Wind History from JFK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS15S12SW11SW15SW10SW10SW10SW9SW5S5S6S6S4SW6W6W12W9SW9SW9SW12W9W7W12W14
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1 day agoCalmCalmS3SW6W4CalmCalmE3E4NE5E5E3S17
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2 days agoNW11N9N9N9N3NE3NE3CalmCalmE6NE6E5E4E8SE8S11S12S11S12S14S12SW8SW7SW5

Tide / Current Tables for Woodmere, Brosewere Bay, Long Island, New York
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Woodmere
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:45 AM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:15 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:44 AM EST     4.33 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 01:33 PM EST     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:37 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:27 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:10 PM EST     3.70 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.1-00.51.52.73.64.24.33.93.12.21.30.5000.61.62.63.33.73.52.921.1

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:01 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:09 AM EST     0.93 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 05:16 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:54 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:21 AM EST     -0.70 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 01:07 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 03:37 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:27 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 04:34 PM EST     1.00 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 07:26 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 10:47 PM EST     -0.71 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.2-00.20.60.90.70.3-0-0.2-0.5-0.7-0.6-0.3-00.10.40.90.90.50.1-0.1-0.4-0.6-0.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.