Wednesday, August5, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Raymer (New Raymer), CO

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:59AMSunset 8:10PM Wednesday August 5, 2020 6:43 PM MDT (00:43 UTC) Moonrise 9:41PMMoonset 7:46AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Raymer (New Raymer), CO
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location: 40.66, -104     debug


Area Discussion for - Denver/Boulder, CO
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FXUS65 KBOU 051936 AFDBOU

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO 136 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

SHORT TERM. (This evening through Thursday) Issued at 104 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

Scattered thunderstorms, some of which will be severe are still expected to track east/southeast across eastern Colorado through this evening. Models have been persistently showing the initial storms forming over and near the foothills early to mid afternoon. Storms then progress eastward onto the plains. With MLCAPE of 1000- 2000 J/kg and decent shear, a few supercell thunderstorms with large hail and damaging winds will be possible. Tornado threat is quite low, but not zero. Storms progress eastward at a good clip and should be east of the area by mid to late evening.

The upper level ridge axis that has been off to the west of Colorado shifts eastward over the state Thursday. This will bring warmer and drier air. A surface trough will be over eastern Colorado. To the west of it, flow aloft and at the surface will be westerly and usher in drier air. Here, just isolated high based showers thunderstorms are expected. Main concern to watch with these will be gusty outflow winds. To the east of the surface trough, southeast low level winds will hold low level moisture over the far eastern plains. A better chance for thunderstorms will occur here. These storms will be stronger and capable of producing heavy rain, gusty winds, and hail. Can't rule out a couple of severe thunderstorms as well.

LONG TERM. (Thursday night through Wednesday) Issued at 104 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

High pressure over the southern and southwest part of the country the dominant feature for our forecast through the extended period. Center of the upper ridge starts out over Texas, then shifts west and flattens through the weekend. A trough will move into the Pacific NW Thursday night, then pass west to east along the Canadian border Friday-Saturday. After the trough passage the ridge rebuilds again early next week.

Thursday night will see the day's convective activity exiting the eastern plains. Best instability along the area from Lincoln to Sedgwick counties Thursday evening, and then stabilizing through the night.

With the trough moving into the Pac NW our mid level flow turns more southwesterly, advecting much drier air into Colorado from the Great Basin and pushing the moisture east. Dry and warm Friday through Monday. A weak wave will move through the region on Saturday, turning low level winds northerly, but too dry to spark any storms.

Moisture increases Tuesday & Wednesday with precipitable water nearing an inch on the eastern plains but remaining a half inch or less from I-25 west. Precip chances will increase a little, with widely scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms in the high terrain and eastern plains.

For temps through the period, 700 mb temps in the mid teens the entire time with little variation in daily high temps. 90s on the plains and 70s/80s in the mountains. Higher moisture and clouds toward the end of the forecast period will limit max temps on the eastern plains. Wide diurnal swings in temps however with the low humidity levels, and nightime lows in the 40s-50s mountains and around 60 on the plains.

Fire weather concerns will be elevated Friday through Monday with daytime heat and low humidity levels. Minimum relative humidity will drop into the low to mid teens through the period, drying fuels. Wind will be 10-15 mph however, well below red flag criteria.

AVIATION. (For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon) Issued at 104 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

East to southeast winds are expected to prevail prior to thunderstorm development this afternoon. Scattered thunderstorms will continue form over the foothills and I-25 Corridor and then spread eastward. If an airport takes a direct hit from a strong storm, winds to 50 knots and large hail will be possible. After 00Z, the threat of storms looks low. Winds this evening will be east to southeast and then become more southerly by midnight. For Thursday, isolated high based thunderstorms will be possible. Main threat with this will be gusty outflow winds producing wind shifts.

BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

SHORT TERM . Meier LONG TERM . Hanson AVIATION . Meier


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Greeley, Greeley-Weld County Airport, CO37 mi47 minSE 14 G 2410.00 miFair78°F57°F48%1012.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KGXY

Wind History from GXY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN8N8W5NW8S8SW5NW12W3W4S6W33SW8N3SE10E9NE4SE6SE10E9NW9N14NE8SE14
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1 day agoE5NE6E11E10E9E6W4N9S6CalmE4N3N7N11N5NE4NE7E5E7SE8E4E24
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2 days agoE9SE11E11E7E11E8NE7NE6N5N6N6NW5N5E4E4CalmSE53SW6E65SE6SE5SE9

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

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Wind Forecast for Denver/Boulder, CO (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cheyenne, WY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.