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Marine Weather and Tides West New York, NJ Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:01AM

Sunset 8:00PM

Tuesday August 11, 2020 9:30 PM EDT (01:30 UTC)

Moonrise 12:00AM

Moonset 1:39PM

Illumination 44%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West New York, NJ

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Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY

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FXUS61 KOKX 112354 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 754 PM EDT Tue Aug 11 2020

SYNOPSIS. Shortwave trough to the north exits New England tomorrow morning. Trailing cold front initially pushes south through the Lower Hudson Valley but then stalls along the East Coast. A frontal boundary will remain stalled south of the region through the weekend. A warm front will pass during the beginning of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Weak shortwave trough over southern Quebec continues to promote a moist south flow locally. Low stratus should continue to develop and/or spread into coastal areas this evening. For the northern counties, this evening and overnight additional isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible along a trailing cold front. This front is associated with the aforementioned shortwave to the north that is expected to exit New England tomorrow morning. Precipitable water values are about 1.60 inches which is around the daily average. With that, QPF amounts should be around 0.10-0.25 inches possible for counties mainly along the Lower Hudson Valley.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/. By Wednesday morning, the front is expected to stall across Long Island. South winds will continue to dominant through the morning with dew points remaining in the low 70s for most of the area. Though a scattered to broken cumulus field may develop by late morning ambient temperatures should still reach the upper 80s. This leads to Heat Index values in the mid 90s and as a result a Heat Advisory is in effect for tomorrow afternoon.

Reprieve from the heat is probable after daytime highs. With the already moist environment, storms could begin in the early afternoon as a combination of the seabreeze and southerly winds collides with the stalled front. The showers increase in coverage as the day progresses. Total QPF from these showers and thunderstorms will depend heavily on there movement after they development. It is possible that training storms could produce up to an inch of rainfall in a single location increasing the possibility of isolated nuisance flooding in areas of poor drainage.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. A frontal boundary is progged to remain nearly stationary south of Long Island thru the weekend. Shortwave energy embedded in the flow will provide the focus for rounds of pcpn. The trend has been a bit further north with pcpn over the weekend. Confidence in the timing and placement of any of these convectively induced features is very low. Therefore, pops have capped at the chance level, and were based on the NBM. For Fri, the NAM indicates a band of very hvy rainfall across the area. This again is a low confidence prog however. It does send the signal that the pattern is conducive to a swath of very hvy rainfall in the region if the ingredients come together. PWATS are fcst around 2 inches. A warm front is progged to impact the area in the Mon-Tue time period, followed by a cold front. The ECMWF is much quicker than the GFS, which has slowed from previous runs. Pops were limited to slight chance this far out due to the timing uncertainty. Seasonal temps are expected thru the extended. The NBM with local adjustments was used.

AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. A cold front moves towards the area late tonight and moves very slowly or stalls before passing to the south and east Wednesday evening.

IFR stratus expected to expand tonight, eventually reaching all terminals except KSWF. Showers possible tonight, primarily at KSWF, but could hold together and reach the city terminals towards around 08z. Will maintain VCSH in the forecast as confidence here is lower.

S-SW Winds diminish to less than 10 kt, with outlying terminals becoming light and variable later this evening. Wednesday morning winds will be SW 5 to 10 kt, except at KSWF where winds will be northwest. Afternoon sea breezes are expected Wednesday.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. Thursday. Chance of showers and thunderstorms with MVFR or lower conditions. Coastal IFR conditions possible Wednesday night. Friday. Chance of showers and thunderstorms with MVFR conditions. Saturday through Sunday. MVFR with a slight chance of showers.

MARINE. Marine fog could be an issue over the ocean and for portions of the eastern Long Island Sound after midnight. Low status could fill in as the light winds and additional moisture couple with cooling overnight temperatures. No advisories have been issued as of yet but will have to monitor closely for development. Any fog should mix into stratus by the late morning.

Winds and seas should remain blw sca lvls Thu into Fri. Increased ely flow behind a cold front could then produce sca conditions, especially on the ocean, late Fri into Mon.

HYDROLOGY. Precipitable water values will increase to around 2 inches Wednesday night into Thursday as a cold front stalls across the area. With weak flow aloft, minor flooding will be possible in any showers and thunderstorms, primarily in urban and other poor drainage areas.

No hydrologic impacts expected Thu thru Tue. There is a low chance that a round of hvy rain could develop within the Thu-Sat time frame due to a stalled front and deep moisture, but confidence is extremely low attm.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for CTZ005>010. NY . Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for NYZ067>075-176>179. NJ . Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for NJZ002-004-006- 103>108. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . JMC/DJ NEAR TERM . JMC/JC/DJ SHORT TERM . DJ LONG TERM . JMC AVIATION . JC/MET MARINE . JMC/DJ HYDROLOGY . FEB

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Wind History for Robbins Reef, NJ

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
New York City, Central Park, NY	2 mi	39 min	Var 3	10.00 mi		80°F	73°F	82%	1013.5 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ	6 mi	39 min	S 6	10.00 mi	Fair	81°F	73°F	79%	1012.8 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY	6 mi	39 min	S 9	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	81°F	73°F	77%	1013.3 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ	10 mi	39 min	S 8	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	83°F	73°F	74%	1013.2 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY	14 mi	39 min	S 15	7.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	76°F	73°F	94%	1014.1 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ	16 mi	37 min	SSW 5	10.00 mi	Fair	85°F	73°F	68%	1013.6 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ	22 mi	2.8 hrs	SSW 8	10.00 mi	A Few Clouds	88°F	75°F	66%	1012.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNYC

Wind History from NYC (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Union Stock Yards, Hudson River, New York

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Tide / Current Tables for Hell Gate (East River), New York Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (21,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY

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