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Marine Weather and Tides West New York, NJ Version 3.4

NOTICE 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 7:07AM

Sunset 4:29PM

Tuesday December 10, 2019 1:44 AM EST (06:44 UTC)

Moonrise 4:39PM

Moonset 6:17AM

Illumination 97%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West New York, NJ

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Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY

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FXUS61 KOKX 100543 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1243 AM EST Tue Dec 10 2019

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will approach into Tuesday and will move across late Tuesday into Tuesday night. Weak low pressure develops along the front offshore early Wednesday slowing down its eastward progress Wednesday. Arctic high pressure builds into the region late Wednesday through Thursday. The high moves off the northeast coast Thursday night. A low pressure system approaches from the southwest Friday and moves through the area Saturday and Saturday night. High pressure builds Sunday and Monday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. Heaviest rain has moved east of the region coinciding with the low level jet. Lighter rain will continue to move through for the next few hours as the warm front lifts north and weakens. The rain tapers off from west to east after 06z. There may be some spotty light rain or drizzle during the early morning hours, but no widespread rain is anticipated heading into the Tuesday morning commute.

Some fog is possible, but feel the relatively strong SW flow will limit fog coverage.

Temperatures will not drop too much from the upper 40s inland and 50s elsewhere.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/. The short term will feature the rainfall ahead of and along the cold front Tuesday into Tuesday evening as well as the mixing with and changing to snow behind the cold front later Tuesday night into Wednesday.

For this timeframe, used mostly a consensus of raw model temperatures with some slight adjustments downward for Tuesday night and Wednesday when colder air will be advecting into the region on more of a northwest flow.

In the upper levels, a jet streak will be approaching and will move in with its right rear quad by Wednesday morning, before moving farther northeast. Mid level shortwave trough will be approaching Tuesday and then move across the region Tuesday night into Wednesday with the most positive vorticity advection staying north of the region. The most forcing for lift will be late Tuesday night into Wednesday.

At the surface, the cold front approaches Tuesday and moves across late Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening. Rain continues through the day which could again be moderate at times. Precipitation lingers behind the cold front for Tuesday night into Wednesday and models have been pretty consistent showing potential for 1 to 3 inches of snow for much of the area, 3 to 4 inches across the interior, which is reflected in the current forecast. Initially, the changeover from rain to snow will be limited with accumulation especially if it is light as ground temperatures will be above freezing. The snow accumulation occurs Wednesday morning when much of the region is at freezing or below. Some slight rise in temperatures expected during the day, low to mid 30s.

While the amounts of snow forecast are 1 to 4 inches, the timing puts this during the Wednesday morning commute, making for potentially hazardous travel conditions due to slippery surfaces and reduced visibilities.

Weather becomes drier Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday evening with a slow decrease in clouds as the shortwave trough starts to lift north of the region.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. Wednesday night through Thursday night the guidance is in good agreement with arctic high pressure building over the region and then departing off the northeast coast. Well below normal temperatures are expected Wednesday night and Thursday. The upper flow becomes nearly zonal through Thursday night. Differences then develop with the next shortwaves impacting the area Friday into Saturday night. Split flow is expected to develop and the timing, and strength, of the northern and southern stream shortwaves differs. Regardless, the southern stream wave remains dominant, with warm advection increasing ahead of a developing warm front. The best chances at this time for snow and/or a rain snow mix will be across the interior Friday morning. Then timing of the warm up will determine the changeover to rain. Along the coast rain is expected. A lot of uncertainty remains with the strength of the northern stream shortwave and the interaction with the southern stream wave later Saturday into Sunday. The GFS is much farther to the north and deeper than the ECMWF with the northern stream.

High pressure and colder weather returns Sunday into Monday.

AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. A cold front over the Midwest will slowly approach the area through the day on Tuesday.

Low-end MVFR ceilings to start the TAF period at many terminals as the steadiest rain continues to end from west to east. Generally expect ceilings to lower back to IFR at all terminals overnight into Tuesday morning before some improvement back to MVFR is possible in the afternoon. Once precipitation moves off to the east, pockets of drizzle and/or fog are possible through the overnight. A few showers are then possible Tuesday morning before another round of steadier rain is expected during the afternoon in association with the approaching front. Rain will change to a rain/snow mix and eventually all snow from NW to SE after 03Z.

S winds 10-15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt overnight, primarily at city and coastal terminals. Winds and gusts could be a few knots higher at eastern coastal terminals. LLWS at all terminals through tonight. Winds shift to the SW at around 10 kt during the day on Tuesday, then NW by the end of the TAF period with speeds decreasing to 5-10 kt.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. Tuesday night. IFR or lower as rain transitions to snow from northwest to southeast. Wednesday. IFR or lower possible in snow in the morning, improving to VFR late. Thursday. VFR Friday. MVFR possible in developing rain. Friday night-Saturday. IFR in rain or a wintry mix. LLWS possible.

MARINE. Gale warning in effect for all ocean zones into early Tuesday morning, but it is possible that winds stay below 34 kt. The warning may need to be converted to an SCA. SCA remains in effect for non-ocean waters into early Tuesday.

For Tuesday, SCA conditions remain on the ocean and continue through Tuesday night. SCA remains on much of the ocean Wednesday before dropping below SCA mid to late Wednesday afternoon west of Moriches Inlet.

SCA in effect for all waters. Main push of stronger winds to the east today, and gusts in S-SW flow getting close but not quite to 35 kt except on the ocean E of Moriches Inlet this afternoon. Gale warning starts on the ocean east of Moriches Inlet this afternoon. Rest of ocean, gale warning starts tonight. Gales remain on ocean until Tuesday morning and SCA remains on non-ocean waters until Tuesday morning. Gales subside Tuesday with SCA remaining on the ocean. Tuesday expected to be below SCA on non-ocean waters.

Increasing, and gusty, northwest flow develops Wednesday night behind departing low pressure. Marginal SCA conditions are expected to develop on the ocean waters Wednesday night and continue into Thursday morning.

With high pressure moving across the waters Thursday and departing Friday sub advisory conditions are expected. Then east to southeast winds will increase ahead of the next low pressure system moving in from the southwest Friday night. Once again, marginal SCA wind gusts are expected on the ocean waters Friday night through most of Saturday, while ocean seas will build significantly Friday night into Saturday.

HYDROLOGY. Widespread rain will taper off early Tuesday morning. Another area of rain will overspread the region Tuesday afternoon and evening with the passage of a cold front. The rain mixes with and changes to snow early Wednesday morning. No hydrologic concerns are anticipated with this precipitation.

Total liquid equivalent for the recent event from Monday morning through Wednesday morning remains between 1 to 2 inches.

The next significant rain of up to an inch is expected Friday night through Saturday. Timing and rainfall amounts may change, so hydrologic impacts are uncertain at this time.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST early this morning for ANZ330-335-338-340-345. Gale Warning until 6 AM EST early this morning for ANZ350-353- 355.

SYNOPSIS . JM/MET NEAR TERM . JM/DS SHORT TERM . JM LONG TERM . MET AVIATION . FEB/BC MARINE . JM/MET HYDROLOGY . JM/MET EQUIPMENT .

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY	6 mi	57 min			46°F		1007.4 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ	9 mi	57 min	WSW 15 G 20				1006.6 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ	12 mi	57 min			46°F		1007.2 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY	13 mi	57 min	WSW 13 G 16		44°F		1007.6 hPa
MHRN6	13 mi	63 min	SW 15 G 22
44022 - Execution Rocks	16 mi	60 min	SW 12 G 14	51°F	32°F			50°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ	22 mi	57 min	SW 25 G 30		42°F		1006.8 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound	25 mi	60 min	SW 12 G 16	51°F		1 ft		49°F
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor	32 mi	45 min	SSW 16 G 18	51°F			1007.8 hPa (-0.8)	50°F
44069	49 mi	60 min	SSW 14 G 18	48°F	39°F			48°F

Wind History for Robbins Reef, NJ

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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Last 24hr

NW3

N3

NE3

N3

NE6

N3

NE10

NE7

NW3

W2

SW5 G9

W13 G16

SW11

SW8 G13

S11

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SW21 G26

SW18 G26

SW24

SW19 G25

SW18 G23

1 day ago

NW7

N4 G7

NW3

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NE1

E3 G6

S4

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S12 G15

S17

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SW8 G11

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S5 G8

S3

NW6

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NW11

NW13 G18

NW15 G21

NW13 G18

NW14 G18

NW14 G19

N16 G21

NW11 G14

NW15 G19

NW11 G15

NW10 G15

NW9 G13

NW13 G16

NW12

N7

N9

N11

N8

N8 G13

N7

N7

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
New York City, Central Park, NY	2 mi	54 min	Var 3 G 18	10.00 mi	Overcast	55°F	52°F	90%	1007 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ	6 mi	54 min	SW 12 G 16	8.00 mi	Overcast	55°F	54°F	96%	1006.7 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY	6 mi	54 min	SW 10	10.00 mi	Overcast	56°F	51°F	84%	1006.8 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ	10 mi	54 min	SW 16 G 23	10.00 mi	Overcast	56°F	53°F	90%	1007 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY	14 mi	54 min	SW 10	10.00 mi	Overcast	54°F	54°F	100%	1007.7 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ	16 mi	52 min	Var 5	10.00 mi	Overcast	55°F	52°F	90%	1007.4 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ	22 mi	50 min	SSW 7	10.00 mi	Overcast	52°F	51°F	100%	1006.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNYC

Wind History from NYC (wind in knots)

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NW4

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W8 G15

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N3

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E3

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SE6

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2 days ago

NW11 G17

NW10 G18

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W3

W7

W5

NW7

NW9 G14

W7 G20

5 G15

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Calm

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3

Calm

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Tide / Current Tables for Union Stock Yards, Hudson River, New York

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Tide / Current Tables for Hell Gate (East River), New York Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (1,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY

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