Wednesday, August5, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Saddle Rock, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:54AMSunset 8:07PM Wednesday August 5, 2020 1:07 PM EDT (17:07 UTC) Moonrise 9:38PMMoonset 7:40AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 1247 Pm Edt Wed Aug 5 2020
This afternoon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers after midnight.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Fri night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..NE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..S winds around 5 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..W winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 1247 Pm Edt Wed Aug 5 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A weak cold front will become nearly stationary across the area today before working east tonight. The front will then stall just south of the waters on Thursday as high pressure builds across the northeast. Weak waves of low pressure will move along the stalled front through Saturday. High pressure returns on Sunday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Saddle Rock, NY
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location: 40.81, -73.8     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 051418 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1018 AM EDT Wed Aug 5 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak cold front will linger near the region through this evening. The front then shifts offshore tonight and then stalls on Thursday as high pressure builds across the northeast. Weak waves of low pressure will move along the stalled front through Saturday. High pressure should return on Sunday into early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Some low clouds and fog along the south fork of Long Island mixing out and will likely be gone in the next hour or so, otherwise forecast remains on track.

A dry and warm day is in store for today. A weak frontal boundary will remain near the region, but the atmosphere is dry and no precipitation is expected. Skies should be mostly sunny with highs in the middle and upper 80s. Dew points starting in the upper 60s and low 70s will mix out a bit with heating of the day and W/SW flow. Dew points will stay highest near the coast where the flow becomes more southerly in the afternoon with sea breezes.

Dangerous rip currents are likely at the ocean beaches through this evening.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/. The weak front moves to the south and offshore tonight and will stall into Thursday as high pressure builds over the northeast. The region will be sandwiched between the Western Atlantic ridge and a relatively broad upper trough from the Great Lakes down into the Gulf States. Disturbances within SW flow aloft are progged to move within the southwest flow aloft into Thursday. Waves of low pressure are likely to develop along the stalled front. While middle and upper level moisture increase on Thursday, the low levels remain dry due to the proximity of the surface high. Have elected to keep the forecast dry during the daytime on Thursday. Highs will be a bit below seasonal averages, generally in the low 80s.

There is a moderate risk of rip currents at the ocean beaches on Thursday.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. The stalled front will likely lift northward on Thursday night into Friday. This is due to the upper trough axis approaching the eastern seaboard. The models continue to differ on precipitation development across the region due to the proximity of the surface high. The bulk of the lift and precipitation may remain just offshore, closest to the frontal boundary and axis of deeper moisture. There has been a trend in the guidance for some of this moisture to push close to Long Island, so have bumped PoPs up a bit across the region. Have included mention of thunder, but instability is marginal. Any showers associated with the frontal wave should diminish Friday night with a return to dry conditions on Saturday as the upper trough axis shifts east, pushing the deeper moisture and front further offshore. Clouds and possible showers will hold high temperatures down in the low 80s.

Heights generally rise this weekend as broad ridging builds across the southern and central US. This signals the beginning of a warming trend with temperatures in the middle and upper 80s Sunday into Monday. Humidity levels will also increase as dew points rise into the upper 60s and possibly low 70s early next week.

There may be weak shortwaves along the periphery of the ridge early next week, which could provide the next chance for showers and thunderstorms.

AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. A cold front drifts south of Long Island tonight.

VFR thru the TAF period. W to SSW winds today, becoming N tngt. Speeds generally blw 10 kt. Some variability in wind direction possible due to the proximity of the front and the light flow.

. NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support .

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts, can be found at: http:/weather.gov/zny/n90

KJFK TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

The afternoon KJFK haze potential forecast is GREEN, which implies slant range visibility P6SM outside of cloud.

KLGA TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

The afternoon KLGA haze potential forecast is GREEN, which implies slant range visibility P6SM outside of cloud.

KEWR TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

The afternoon KEWR haze potential forecast is GREEN, which implies slant range visibility P6SM outside of cloud.

KTEB TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

KHPN TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments.

KISP TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. Thursday-Saturday. Mainly VFR, isolated-scattered showers and thunderstorms at times with locally MVFR conditions. Sunday. Mainly VFR.

MARINE. Waves will gradually subside on the ocean today. A SCA remains in effect due to these elevated seas. Elsewhere, winds and waves blw SCA lvls.

A broad area of high pressure will then build into the region thru the weekend. This will keep winds and seas blw SCA lvls thru the period on all the waters.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts are expected into early next week.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO-35 (162.55 MHz) is undergoing its final stages of testing, and is operating at full power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . High Rip Current Risk until 9 PM EDT this evening for NYZ075- 080-081-178-179. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ350- 353-355.



SYNOPSIS . DS NEAR TERM . DS/DW SHORT TERM . DS LONG TERM . DS AVIATION . JMC/IRD MARINE . JMC HYDROLOGY . DS EQUIPMENT . //


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 2 mi49 min NW 7 G 8.9 80°F 1017.2 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 6 mi37 min SW 3.9 G 5.8 80°F 69°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 14 mi49 min 80°F 76°F1016.9 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 15 mi82 min SW 3.9 G 3.9 78°F 70°F
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 22 mi49 min 85°F 78°F1016.9 hPa
MHRN6 22 mi49 min W 6 G 12
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 26 mi49 min WNW 8 G 11 80°F 78°F1017.6 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 31 mi27 min S 5.8 G 7.8 68°F1016.6 hPa
44069 39 mi67 min SW 12 G 14 75°F 71°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 41 mi49 min SW 9.9 G 15 81°F 76°F1015.6 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY5 mi76 minW 12 G 1610.00 miA Few Clouds86°F57°F37%1016.1 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY9 mi76 minVar 310.00 mi84°F61°F46%1016.6 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY10 mi76 minSSW 1210.00 miA Few Clouds81°F70°F69%1017 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ14 mi76 minWSW 710.00 miFair83°F63°F51%1016 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY19 mi71 minVar 310.00 miPartly Cloudy81°F64°F58%1016 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY21 mi74 minSSW 1110.00 miFair85°F69°F59%1016.6 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ21 mi76 minWSW 710.00 miA Few Clouds85°F64°F51%1016.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLGA

Wind History from LGA (wind in knots)
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SW9SW7S10SW10W9SW6SW8SW7SW7W5W74N3CalmNW7W12
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S10S8S93NE4E6S5S4SE3E5E10CalmNE8NE8SE13
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Tide / Current Tables for Throgs Neck, New York
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Throgs Neck
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:32 AM EDT     7.78 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:40 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:15 AM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:58 PM EDT     7.38 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:24 PM EDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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7.17.77.76.852.91.40.500.324.46.27.17.46.95.53.41.80.90.50.61.94.1

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:28 AM EDT     -0.73 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 04:45 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:32 AM EDT     0.98 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 07:40 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 10:41 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 01:50 PM EDT     -0.74 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 05:01 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:57 PM EDT     1.00 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 08:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:08 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.5-0.7-0.7-0.4-0.10.10.40.90.90.50.2-0.1-0.4-0.6-0.7-0.5-0.2-00.30.710.70.30

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.