Tuesday, March31, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Baxter Estates, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:37AMSunset 7:20PM Tuesday March 31, 2020 3:14 PM EDT (19:14 UTC) Moonrise 10:58AMMoonset 1:29AM Illumination 52% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 102 Pm Edt Tue Mar 31 2020
This afternoon..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu night..N winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Fri..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 102 Pm Edt Tue Mar 31 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure along the new england coast noses in across the area through tonight. Low pressure well offshore in the western atlantic will continue to track slowly east. Another low will pass well to the southeast Wednesday through Friday as high pressure builds to the north.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Baxter Estates, NY
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location: 40.83, -73.7     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 311820 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 220 PM EDT Tue Mar 31 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure along the New England coast noses in across the area through tonight. Low pressure well offshore in the western Atlantic will continue to track slowly east. Another low will pass well to the southeast Wednesday through Friday as high pressure builds to the north and temperatures begin to moderate by the end of the week. A weak cold front will approach from the west late Sunday followed by high pressure building in early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Clearing working in from the NE late this morning with latest satellite imagery showing sun working in across New London in SE CT and parts of the forks across eastern LI. However, much of the guidance continues to support stratocu filling back in with daytime heating and mostly cloudy conditions. Thus, any sun should be limited to eastern CT and eastern LI, but there is clearly uncertainty and based on satellite the clearing could get farther west.

Highs are still forecast to be in the upper 40s to around 50. More sun, and these go up at least several degrees.

In addition, a short wave ejects out of the Central Plains by this afternoon and is located off the Carolina coast by Wednesday, reinforcing deep cyclonic flow for the region through the period. A more potent surface low develops over the southeast US, and remains south and east of the local area. Models continue to be in good agreement with this scenario.

By Wednesday, a surface low moves off the North Carolina coast and deepens as it heads to the northeast. Clouds should be on the decrease by Wednesday and northeast winds should become northerly, then northwesterly by Wednesday night.

Highs on Wednesday will be in the upper 40s and low 50s, several degrees below normal.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. Deep northwest flow continues as the upper system meanders east of the forecast area and a ridge approaches from the west. The strong surface low is well east of the area by Thursday, though it appears some wrap around moisture on its western periphery may scrape the eastern sections of CT and LI Thursday afternoon into Friday morning. For now, have kept chance PoPs in through Friday morning as confidence is low. Highs Thursday and Friday should approach the mid-50s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. A ridge of high pressure builds Friday and Saturday, with a flattening of this ridge by Sunday/Monday time frame. A cold front should move through during that timeframe. A few showers may accompany this front as it moves through, which looks to be either Sunday night or Monday.

Temperatures near normal should slowly rise to above normal by the weekend into early next week.

AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Weak high pressure builds in through tonight. Meanwhile, one deepening low east of Nantucket continues to slowly drift away late this afternoon while another deepening low moves off the North Carolina coast tonight.

Some terminals have gone from MVFR conditions to prevailing VFR conditions this afternoon, while other terminals are going more gradually to VFR over the next few hours. MVFR ceilings are now anticipated to return at the coastal and NYC metro terminals late tonight. Confidence in this scenario is not particularly high, but latest trends are pointing in that direction with ceilings going to around 2 kft for a time late tonight.

After E to NE winds around 10 kt through the late afternoon, the winds will be light from the E and SE through the evening. The winds then go to the NE and begin to increase for the city and coastal terminals towards late tonight and into Wednesday morning. The winds may gust to around 20 kt or so for later Wednesday morning.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. Wednesday-Friday. VFR. NW G15-20kt Thursday and Friday. Saturday. VFR. Sunday. VFR.

MARINE. Small craft conditions are expected to continue on the ocean waters through at least Wednesday with a combination of gusty winds at times, and elevated seas as a result of easterly swell from a deepening low well east of Nantucket. Condition across the waters west of Fire Island Inlet briefly fall below SCA levels late this afternoon and this evening as high pressure builds into the waters.

A storm passing well to the SE Wednesday night and Thursday will bring increased northerly winds to the ocean waters. With this deep low, ocean seas due to swell increase by late week into the weekend.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts are expected.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is undergoing its final stages of testing, and is operating at full power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ350-353- 355.

SYNOPSIS . DBR NEAR TERM . DBR SHORT TERM . DBR LONG TERM . PW AVIATION . JE MARINE . MET HYDROLOGY . DBR EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44022 - Execution Rocks 4 mi44 min NE 5.8 G 7.8 46°F 32°F36°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 4 mi74 min NE 8.9 G 9.9 43°F 51°F1017 hPa (-1.7)
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 11 mi74 min E 5.8 G 5.8 43°F 1 ft34°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 19 mi74 min 43°F 46°F1016.4 hPa (-1.7)
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 23 mi74 min SSW 5.1 G 6 42°F 1016.4 hPa (-1.5)
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 27 mi74 min 44°F 48°F1016.4 hPa (-1.7)
MHRN6 28 mi74 min E 4.1 G 5.1
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 30 mi74 min E 8 G 11 43°F 47°F1016.7 hPa (-1.6)
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 32 mi54 min E 12 G 14 42°F 1016.2 hPa36°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 36 mi74 min S 5.1 G 8 42°F 44°F1016.2 hPa (-1.3)
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 49 mi84 min 12 G 16 42°F 45°F6 ft1016 hPa (-1.6)

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY10 mi83 minNE 510.00 miMostly Cloudy46°F34°F63%1016.2 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY12 mi83 minSE 410.00 miOvercast44°F37°F76%1016.7 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY15 mi83 minNW 310.00 miOvercast47°F34°F61%1016.2 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY17 mi81 minN 010.00 miOvercast46°F33°F61%1016.4 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY17 mi78 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy42°F33°F71%1016.4 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ19 mi83 minN 010.00 miOvercast45°F35°F68%1016.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLGA

Wind History from LGA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE8NE7NE8NE5NE9CalmE7NE5E4S4E6NE12E10E10E10E12NE12NE12NE9NE10NE8NE4NE5E5
1 day agoNE22NE18NE15NE18NE17NE12NE15NE12NE9N9NE5NE9NE8E9NE5NE7NE12NE9E5E4E5NE7NE6NE8
2 days agoNE11NE10NE9NE14NE11NE13NE15NE17NE16NE15NE15NE18NE19NE20
G27
NE19NE14NE14NE14NE18NE17E20NE14NE19NE14

Tide / Current Tables for Port Washington, Manhasset Bay, Long Island, New York
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:29 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:57 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:49 AM EDT     -0.54 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:12 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 10:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:17 PM EDT     0.79 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 02:27 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:18 PM EDT     -0.53 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 07:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:39 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.4-0-0.2-0.3-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.10.20.20.50.80.60.2-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.20.10.20.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.