Thursday, February20, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Baxter Estates, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:40AMSunset 5:36PM Thursday February 20, 2020 12:28 PM EST (17:28 UTC) Moonrise 6:10AMMoonset 3:42PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1212 Pm Est Thu Feb 20 2020
This afternoon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..W winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
ANZ300 1212 Pm Est Thu Feb 20 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure over the central states will be in control through Friday. The high pressure settles south of the area Friday night into the weekend and then offshore on Monday. Low pressure approaches from the south and west Monday night, with the low passing nearby on Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Baxter Estates, NY
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location: 40.83, -73.7     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 201430 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 930 AM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure over the Central States will be in control through Friday. The high pressure settles south of the area Friday night into the weekend and then offshore on Monday. Low pressure approaches from the south and west Monday night, with the low passing nearby on Tuesday.Weak high pressure returns for Wednesday before a strong low pressure system impacts the area on Thursday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. A middle and upper level trough axis currently over the Great Lakes approaches today. A 150-170 kt 250 mb jet will move overhead through the afternoon and begin moving offshore this evening. An expansive middle and upper level cloud deck that is over the Middle Atlantic will lift across the area due to the strong jet aloft. No precipitation is expected today with dry lower levels and no lift below the jet.

Temperatures will be on the cool side and should reach the mid to upper 30s during the day, slightly below the daily normals.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/. Trough axis along the eastern coastline continues to shift east and offshore late tonight allowing a surface ridge to build into the region. North winds following a weak cold front bring even drier air into southern New York. Dew points overnight fall into the single digits. This coupled with relatively clear skies should permit temperatures to radiate into the mid teens over Long Island and low teens for the Lower Hudson Valley and southern Connecticut.

Mid level ridge axis extending from New England to the Lower Mississippi River Valley promotes subsidence locally keeping southern New York chilly and dry. Temperatures in the afternoon are expected to reach the mid 30s with clear skies persisting through the day time hours.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Dry weather starts off the long term period as high pressure south of the region dominates. Expect dry weather Saturday, Sunday and most of Monday with temperatures above normal as high range from the middle 40s to lower 50s. Skies will be sunny over the weekend, however clouds begin to increase late in the day Monday as the next area of low pressure approaches from the south and west. Right now, this low is expected to pass west of the region, with temperatures warm enough for the precipitation to fall in the form of rain. There may be a few hours of a rain/snow mix well north and west of NYC, early Tuesday morning, however no accumulations are expected at this time. The low passes north of the region during the day on Tuesday, as it does, it will drag a cold front across the region, with precipitation ending from west to east during the afternoon.

Drier conditions are expected Tuesday night and Wednesday as high pressure briefly builds over the area. Another storm system is expected to impact the region Wednesday night into Thursday, however there remains some uncertainty to exactly the strength and placement of the next low. Right now, it appears that the low will track just south and east of Long Island, but remaining close enough for most of the area to see rain. As with any storm 7 days out, the exact track and strength of storm is expected to change.

AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. VFR as high pressure builds from the west.

Mid and high level clouds develop this afternoon with winds generally NW-N around 10 kts. It is possible the city terminals see occasional gusts this afternoon, but confidence was too low to include in the TAFs. Otherwise, NW winds will back to around 310 magnetic increasing 10- 15 kts during the afternoon eventually shifting N/NW by this evening.

NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support .

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

KJFK TAF Comments: Winds may occasionally gust this afternoon 15-20 kts.

The afternoon KJFK haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KLGA TAF Comments: Winds may occasionally gust this afternoon 15-20 kts.

The afternoon KLGA haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KEWR TAF Comments: Winds may occasionally gust this afternoon 15-20 kts.

The afternoon KEWR haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KTEB TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

KHPN TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

KISP TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY. Friday through Sunday night. VFR. Monday. Chance of rain with MVFR or lower flight cat, mainly afternoon/night.

MARINE. Weak cold front tonight into Friday passes offshore with winds over the ocean waters around 25-30 kts. SCA criteria winds should hold through the morning before diminishing in the afternoon. Waves should range 2 to 4 feet offshore through the short term.

Conditions are expected remain below SCA criteria through the weekend and into Monday across all forecast waters. The next chance of SCA conditions will be on Tuesday as a cold front pushes across the waters.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic issues are expected.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to noon EST Friday for ANZ350-353-355.

SYNOPSIS . BC/DJ NEAR TERM . DJ/DS SHORT TERM . DJ LONG TERM . BC AVIATION . CB/IRD MARINE . BC/DJ HYDROLOGY . BC/DJ EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44022 - Execution Rocks 4 mi58 min WNW 7.8 G 12 33°F 32°F12°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 4 mi58 min N 7 G 8.9 32°F 40°F1031.7 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 11 mi68 min NW 9.7 G 14 32°F 1 ft12°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 19 mi58 min 33°F 41°F1031.4 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 23 mi58 min N 7 G 12 32°F 1031.3 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 27 mi58 min 33°F 41°F1031.6 hPa
MHRN6 28 mi58 min WNW 9.9 G 13
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 30 mi58 min NNW 8.9 G 12 33°F 41°F1032 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 32 mi38 min WNW 9.7 G 12 32°F 1 ft1031.8 hPa15°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 36 mi58 min N 6 G 8.9 31°F 39°F1030.1 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 49 mi38 min 7.8 G 12 32°F 44°F2 ft1031.6 hPa (-0.5)

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY10 mi37 minNW 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy34°F7°F32%1030.6 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY12 mi37 minNW 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy35°F9°F34%1031.1 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY15 mi37 minno data10.00 miFair34°F6°F31%1030.6 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY17 mi35 minW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy34°F10°F38%1030.7 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY17 mi92 minWNW 1110.00 miA Few Clouds31°F9°F40%1031.1 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ19 mi37 minNNW 510.00 miFair33°F9°F36%1030.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLGA

Wind History from LGA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW17NW19
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NW10NW11N8NW13NW11N8N7NW15NW11
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1 day agoNE9NE11NE10NE9NE14NE10NE7N43NW4NW4W5NW8NW8NW14NW17
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NW16NW10NW13NW13NW13NW14NW15
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2 days agoN4NW4NW4NW5N4E6NE7NE6E6--NE13E11NE8E7E12E10E8NE9NE8NE9--E10E11E14

Tide / Current Tables for Port Washington, Manhasset Bay, Long Island, New York
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:34 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:49 AM EST     0.90 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:10 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:33 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:43 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:17 AM EST     -0.66 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 12:57 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:42 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 03:14 PM EST     0.92 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:35 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:00 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 09:43 PM EST     -0.68 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.10.20.70.90.60.30.1-0.1-0.5-0.7-0.6-0.4-0.200.50.90.80.40.20-0.3-0.6-0.7-0.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.