Tuesday, August11, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Kings Point, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:00AMSunset 8:00PM Tuesday August 11, 2020 2:10 PM EDT (18:10 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 1:38PM Illumination 47% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 153 Pm Edt Tue Aug 11 2020
Today..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers and tstms late.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Patchy fog in the morning. Chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Wed night..S winds around 5 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..NE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Thu night..SE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Fri..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Fri night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 153 Pm Edt Tue Aug 11 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A broad area of high pressure will continue to drift east over the atlantic today. A cold front will approach tonight before stalling over the waters through the end of the week. High pressure builds in for the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kings Point, NY
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location: 40.85, -73.78     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 111430 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1030 AM EDT Tue Aug 11 2020

SYNOPSIS. A broad area of high pressure will continue to drift east over the Atlantic today. A cold front will approach tonight before stalling over the region through the end of the week. High pressure builds in for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. The forecast remains on track this morning with only minor updates to temperatures and dew points over the next few hours to better capture the latest trends. Stratus clouds are continuing to mix into a cumulus field which should remain through the day.

Heat and humidity will continue today as surface high pressure drifts east over the Atlantic. Much like yesterday, high temperatures will rise into the lower 90s for locations from New York City north and west, and into the mid to upper 80s across Long Island and coastal Connecticut. With dew points remaining around 70 through the day, this will again result in heat index values in the mid 90s across much of the area. The Heat Advisory remains in effect through Wednesday for all but Suffolk County in New York and southern Middlesex and New London counties in Connecticut.

Once again, can't completely rule out a few diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening, but forcing remains limited. The best chances for any precipitation today will be across the interior.

There is a moderate risk of rip currents at Atlantic Ocean beaches today.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/. Any showers and thunderstorms that do develop will quickly diminish after sunset with the loss of daytime heating. Meanwhile, a cold front will begin to approach from the west overnight before stalling across the area during the day on Wednesday. While much of the region will remain dry through the overnight hours, showers and thunderstorms ahead of the front could work eastward into portions of the Lower Hudson Valley after midnight. The better precipitation chances come during the day on Wednesday as the front stalls across the area, with showers and thunderstorms possible across much of the area.

While increased cloud cover on Wednesday will likely help hold temperatures a few degrees lower than earlier in the week, dew points will rise as moisture begins to pool along the front, resulting in another day with heat index values in the mid 90s across much of the area.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. With the cold front remaining stalled across the area, shower and thunderstorm chances will continue through the beginning of the long term period. Some h5 energy embedded in the weak flow is progged to pass along and north of the surface front Thu and Fri. This would bring chances for shwrs and tstms each day. The energy is likely remnant upstream convection however, so confidence in timing, placement, and coverage is very low and probabilities were capped at the chance level. With precipitable water values increasing to around 2 inches on Thursday and weak flow aloft, can't rule out the potential for minor flooding with any showers/storms. The NBM with local adjustments was used for temps.

High pres builds in from ern Canada over the weekend. The latest 12Z model data suggests the influence will be strong enough to keep the cwa dry all weekend. Would prefer to see some consistency before pulling all pops attm, but numbers were limited to 20 percent or less, which was blw the NBM. Temps again based on the NBM.

A warm front possible for Mon. Pops were limited to slight chance as this is too far out for any timing confidence.

AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. High pressure over the Western Atlantic will be in control today.

Mainly VFR through the forecast period. This morning, stratus remains along the coast with IFR conditions at KISP, with conditions improving to VFR around 15Z.

Later this afternoon, an isolated shower or thunderstorm is possible, mainly north and west of the NYC terminals. There is also a threat of a few isolated showers or thunderstorms overnight tonight. Confidence on timing and placement of any storms today remains too low to include in the TAF at this time.

S-SW winds 5-10kt become more southerly through this morning and into the afternoon as sea breezes develop. Coastal terminals will see higher wind speeds 10-15kt as afternoon seabreezes develop. Winds diminish again overnight tonight.

NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support .

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

KJFK TAF Comments: Timing of afternoon seabreeze may be off by +/- 1 hour.

The afternoon KJFK haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KLGA TAF Comments: Timing of afternoon seabreeze may be off by +/- 1 hour.

The afternoon KLGA haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KEWR TAF Comments: Low chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm.

The afternoon KEWR haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KTEB TAF Comments: Low chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm.

KHPN TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

KISP TAF Comments: The IFR stratus may remain passed 15Z, with improvement to VFR by 16Z. Also, timing of afternoon seabreeze may be off by +/- 1 hour.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. Wed-Thu. Chance for afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms with MVFR or lower conds. Fri-Sat. Chance of showers and MVFR or lower conditions in shower. Slight chance of thunderstorms.

MARINE. Winds and seas will remain below SCA criteria through Friday night. Increased ely flow behind a cold front over the weekend could produce sca conditions, especially on the ocean.

HYDROLOGY. Precipitable water values will increase to around 2 inches Wednesday night into Thursday as a cold front stalls across the area. With weak flow aloft, minor flooding will be possible in any showers and thunderstorms, primarily in urban and other poor drainage areas.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for CTZ005>010. NY . Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for NYZ067>075-176>179. NJ . Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for NJZ002-004-006- 103>108. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . FEB NEAR TERM . DJ SHORT TERM . FEB LONG TERM . FEB/JMC AVIATION . MET MARINE . FEB/JMC HYDROLOGY . FEB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 3 mi53 min SW 13 G 16 82°F 1015.7 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 4 mi41 min S 9.7 G 14 83°F 73°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 13 mi86 min S 9.7 G 14 85°F 72°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 16 mi53 min 84°F 77°F1015.1 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 20 mi53 min S 15 G 16 76°F 1014.8 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 24 mi53 min 87°F 78°F1014.8 hPa
MHRN6 25 mi53 min SE 7 G 12
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 29 mi53 min SSE 11 G 13 80°F 81°F1015.5 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 33 mi31 min S 14 G 18 73°F1014.6 hPa
44069 38 mi56 min SSW 9.7 G 12 75°F 74°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 39 mi53 min S 8.9 G 13 83°F 79°F1014.5 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY7 mi80 minSSE 1310.00 miMostly Cloudy88°F70°F55%1014.8 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY11 mi80 minVar 610.00 mi85°F72°F65%1014.8 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY13 mi80 minS 105.00 miMostly Cloudy with Haze80°F73°F82%1015.9 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ14 mi80 minS 610.00 miPartly Cloudy88°F73°F61%1014.1 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY16 mi75 minSSE 1110.00 miPartly Cloudy86°F69°F57%1014.4 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY21 mi78 minSSW 1210.00 miMostly Cloudy82°F73°F74%1015.9 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ23 mi80 minSSE 7 G 1410.00 miMostly Cloudy87°F73°F63%1014.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLGA

Wind History from LGA (wind in knots)
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S16S14S9S10S9S8S8SW10SW11SW9S7S6SW6S5SW5SW4S7S83S7S9S13S10
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S9S8S8S8S8SW9SW8SW7SW7SW6SW6S6S4CalmNW6NW3CalmN45S10
2 days agoN4S7S9S9S10SE8S10S7S6SW4S6S6SW4S4S4SW4SW4SW5CalmSW6SW4SW7S9S8

Tide / Current Tables for City Island, New York
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City Island
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:58 AM EDT     6.52 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:57 AM EDT     1.43 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:47 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 01:37 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:16 PM EDT     7.06 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:41 PM EDT     1.54 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.62.13.34.96.26.56.4653.31.91.41.72.23.24.86.476.96.65.94.52.71.7

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:03 AM EDT     0.84 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 02:37 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:13 AM EDT     -0.53 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 08:41 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 12:27 PM EDT     0.77 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 12:47 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 01:37 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:45 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:35 PM EDT     -0.55 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 07:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:06 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.60.2-0.1-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.20.10.10.30.70.70.3-0.1-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.3-00.10.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.