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Marine Weather and Tides Fort Lee, NJ Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 5:57AM

Sunset 8:05PM

Friday August 7, 2020 8:36 AM EDT (12:36 UTC)

Moonrise 10:27PM

Moonset 9:43AM

Illumination 87%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fort Lee , NJ

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Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY

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FXUS61 KOKX 071146 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 746 AM EDT Fri Aug 7 2020

SYNOPSIS. A series of frontal waves will track along a stationary front just south of the area through early Saturday. High pressure will then build into the area for Sunday and Monday. A cold front approaches Tuesday, slowly tracking across the region through Thursday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. A batch of showers over New York City and portions of the Lower Hudson Valley will continue to push east across the area this morning. Made minor updates to PoPs to better capture this activity, and also to temperatures and dew points to better represent the latest trends.

A frontal wave tracking along a stationary boundary south of Long Island will bring the chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms to the region today. Given the convective nature of the precipitation, there is still a good deal of uncertainty in terms of exactly how this precipitation plays out today, with a wide variety of solutions among both the global and mesoscale models. Current thinking is that an initial round of rain this morning will give way to a continued chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon as the upper trough approaches.

With the wave passing to our south, the best chance of rain this morning will be across portions of northeast New Jersey, New York City, and Long Island, with lower chances farther north. Whatever precipitation does develop will do so in an environment with precipitable water values around 2 inches and tall skinny CAPE, indicative of heavy rain. While much of New York City and Long Island received an inch of rain or less with the tropical system earlier this week, the potential still exists for heavy downpours to result in minor flooding.

Temperatures will remain several degrees below normal under plenty of cloud cover, with highs only rising into the mid to upper 70s.

There is a moderate risk of rip currents at Atlantic Ocean beaches today.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/. Unsettled weather will continue tonight as another wave passes along the front south of the region. This will result in a continuing chance of showers, and maybe an isolated thunderstorm, through the overnight hours before most precipitation should exit the area to the east Saturday morning. Can't completely rule out an additional shower or storm during the day on Saturday as the upper trough may be slow to exit, but the majority of the region should be mostly dry through the afternoon.

After overnight lows in the mid 60s to around 70 tonight, temperatures on Saturday will rebound into the low to mid 80s with additional sunshine.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. By Saturday night, surface high pressure and upper ridging builds back into the region behind the departing shortwave, resulting in dry conditions into the day on Monday. A weak and low amplitude shortwave passes mainly to the north Sunday, however, there is little moisture or forcing in the area and the surface reflection comes through dry. A large trough and closed low will be moving into the northern tier of the plains, and this low will track slowly east into the mid week period. This will bring a cold front very slowly across the area Tuesday into Thursday as the ridge only gradually weakens. Heat and humidity will be building early to mid week as the ridge builds. Temperatures will be well above normal through the period, around 5 to 10 degrees. Cloud cover and the chance for precipitation, scattered thunderstorms, will affect both heat and humidity, and at this time there is the potential for heat indices to be in the lower to mid 90s Monday through Wednesday across the northeastern New Jersey, the lower Hudson Valley, and New York City.

AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. A series of frontal waves will travel along a stalled front south of Long Island today and tonight.

Mainly VFR conditions to start. MVFR conditions are expected to develop across most terminals around or after 15-16z. Rain showers can be expected through 16z. There should be a break in the precipitation this afternoon, then another round of showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 22-23z. Best chance of thunder will be at KEWR and KTEB, so will cover this with a PROB30 for now. Low confidence forecast with respect to exact timing of lower cigs and precip at any given terminal.

Light and variable winds increase a little today to around 6-8kt from the east.

AMD NOT SKED included for the KBDR TAF due to the ASOS outage.

. NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support .

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http://www.weather.gov/zny/n90

KJFK TAF Comments: Timing of MVFR cigs may be off by an hour or two. Low chance of a thunderstorm this evening.

The afternoon KJFK haze potential forecast is YELLOW . which implies slant range visibility 4-6SM outside of cloud.

KLGA TAF Comments: Timing of MVFR cigs may be off by an hour or two. Low chance of a thunderstorm this evening.

The afternoon KLGA haze potential forecast is YELLOW . which implies slant range visibility 4-6SM outside of cloud.

KEWR TAF Comments: Timing of MVFR cigs may be off by an hour or two.

The afternoon KEWR haze potential forecast is YELLOW . which implies slant range visibility 4-6SM outside of cloud.

KTEB TAF Comments: Timing of MVFR cigs may be off by an hour or two.

KHPN TAF Comments: Timing of MVFR cigs may be off by an hour or two. low chance of a thunderstorm this evening.

KISP TAF Comments: Timing of MVFR cigs may be off by an hour or two.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. Saturday. Possible rain showers and isolated thunderstorms. MVFR possible. Saturday Night-Monday. Mainly VFR. Tuesday. Chance of MVFR with a chance of rain showers and isolated thunderstorms.

MARINE. Ocean seas will generally range from 2-3 ft through Tuesday night with wind gusts generally remaining 20 kt or less.

HYDROLOGY. Heavy downpours are possible in any showers and thunderstorms today, especially this morning, which could result in minor flooding of low lying locations. There is a low chance of localized flash flooding. No hydrologic impacts are expected for the remainder of the forecast period.

EQUIPMENT. KBDR ASOS is not reporting at this time due to a power outage.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . FEB/MET NEAR TERM . FEB SHORT TERM . FEB LONG TERM . FEB/MET AVIATION . BC MARINE . FEB/MET HYDROLOGY . FEB/MET EQUIPMENT .

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY	10 mi	49 min	E 4.1 G 5.1	69°F			1021.2 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY	11 mi	49 min		71°F	76°F		1020.8 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks	12 mi	52 min	NNE 5.8 G 9.7	70°F				70°F
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ	15 mi	49 min	NE 8 G 8.9	71°F			1020.5 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ	18 mi	49 min		71°F	78°F		1020.6 hPa
MHRN6	18 mi	49 min	NE 7 G 9.9
44040 - Western Long Island Sound	21 mi	67 min	N 5.8 G 7.8	70°F				66°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ	27 mi	49 min	NE 7 G 9.9	69°F	77°F		1020.9 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor	36 mi	37 min	NNE 7.8 G 9.7		71°F		1019.8 hPa (+1.4)
44069	47 mi	82 min	NNE 7.8 G 9.7	72°F				65°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT	47 mi	49 min	N 2.9 G 4.1	70°F	75°F		1020.7 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY

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NE8

E4

NE3

NE3

NE9

NE8 G12

E7 G10

NE6

NE6

SW9

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SW6

W3

SE2

S2

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SE2

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E3 G6

1 day ago

W2

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NW10 G13

NW10 G15

NW13 G16

NW11 G14

NW7

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E3

NE4 G8

2 days ago

S11 G14

S11 G17

S10 G18

S13 G19

S25 G41

S41 G55

SW22 G33

W22 G32

W27 G37

W23 G31

W16 G20

W12 G16

W8 G11

SW9

SW10

SW11 G14

SW6

SW5 G9

W7

W5

SW2

NW2

SW4

NW4

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
New York City, Central Park, NY	5 mi	48 min	Var 6	4.00 mi	Light Rain Fog/Mist	68°F	66°F	93%	1020.8 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ	5 mi	46 min	N 4	10.00 mi	Overcast	69°F	66°F	90%	1020.5 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY	6 mi	46 min	NE 6	10.00 mi	Overcast	71°F	64°F	79%	1020.5 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ	15 mi	46 min	N 9	6.00 mi	Light Rain Fog/Mist	69°F	66°F	90%	1020.7 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY	16 mi	46 min	NNE 8	7.00 mi	Light Rain	70°F	68°F	93%	1020.6 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ	18 mi	44 min	N 0	8.00 mi	Overcast	69°F	66°F	90%	1021.7 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY	20 mi	41 min	N 0	7.00 mi	Light Rain	68°F	64°F	90%	1020.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNYC

Wind History from NYC (wind in knots)

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4

NE4

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Calm

SE3

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4

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N5

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W3

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6 G15

Calm

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3

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Calm

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Calm

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Calm

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Calm

NW3

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NE4

2 days ago

6 G15

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E9 G17

E12 G26

SE18 G37

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3

W10 G27

SW14 G27

5 G23

W8 G17

SW5 G17

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4

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W8

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W3

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Tide / Current Tables for George Washington Bridge, Hudson River, New York (2)

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Tide / Current Tables for George Washington Bridge (Hudson River), New York Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (8,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY

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