Monday, July22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cove Neck, NY

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:39AMSunset 8:21PM Monday July 22, 2019 7:15 PM EDT (23:15 UTC) Moonrise 11:37PMMoonset 10:57AM Illumination 67% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 303 Pm Edt Mon Jul 22 2019
.severe Thunderstorm watch 538 in effect until 10 pm edt this evening...
Tonight..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw late this evening and overnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Patchy fog. Chance of tstms this evening. Showers. Slight chance of tstms after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers and chance of tstms in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue night..N winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the evening. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..N winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..NW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..N winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..N winds around 5 kt, becoming se around 5 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 303 Pm Edt Mon Jul 22 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A frontal boundary remains stalled over the area into Tuesday, with waves of low pressure developing along it. High pressure then builds from the west, allowing the boundary to move east of the area by Wednesday. High pressure remains over the area into the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cove Neck, NY
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location: 40.9, -73.49     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 221940
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
340 pm edt Mon jul 22 2019

Synopsis
A frontal boundary remains stalled over the area into Tuesday,
with waves of low pressure developing along it. High pressure
then builds from the west, allowing the boundary to move east of
the area by Wednesday. High pressure remains over the area into
the weekend.

Near term until 6 am Tuesday morning
An approaching cold front is triggering a few thunderstorms across
northwest parts of the area. These thunderstorms are forecast
to expand in intensity and coverage through the afternoon and
evening. With any thunderstorm development there is the
potential of strong gusty winds and frequent lighting and the
potential for urban flash flooding, especially across
northeastern new jersey, the lower hudson valley, nyc, nassau
county, ny and southeastern connecticut where storms may back
build and train across the same area. A flood watch remains in
effect and has been expanded into fairfield and new haven
counties in connecticut. The threat for severe weather is
expected to diminish overnight but expect rainfall to continue
through Tuesday morning. See the hydrology section for more
information.

Additionally, veering winds with height in the vicinity of the
frontal boundary may support weak rotation, and the potential
for a weak brief tornado.

Temperatures tonight will be in the mid to upper 60s to near 70.

There is a low rip current risk for atlantic ocean beaches today.

Short term 6 am Tuesday morning through Tuesday night
The frontal system will remain over the area, with the threat
for heavy rainfall and locally gusty winds continuing at least
into Tuesday morning, before building high pressure from the
west gradually allows the system to move offshore. With light
winds and recent moisture, fog may develop into Tuesday night.

Expect temperatures to be well below climatological normals on
Tuesday, then closer to normal overnight.

There is a moderate rip current risk for atlantic ocean beaches
on Tuesday morning, possibly becoming high in the afternoon.

Long term Wednesday through Monday
Strong polar upper low drops into hudson bay during the mid to late
week, gradually shearing the closed low currently over northern
quebec towards greenland. The associated deep eastern us troughing
will slowly weaken through the week as a result, with weak upper
ridging signaled for the weekend ahead of the next closed
shearing eastward just north of the great lakes.

At the surface, generally tranquil conditions expected, with weak
and elongated high pressure sprawled across the eastern us in wake
of the offshore cold front slowly drifting eastward. A gradual
moderation in temps expected through the period, starting a
seasonable levels with comfortable humidity mid week and rising to
above seasonal with increasing humidity late week into the
weekend.

Aviation 20z Monday through Saturday
A front will remain near the terminals today as a wave of low
pressure develops and moves along the front into tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms have developed across northern nj and
the lower hudson valley. As these storms approach, expect MVFR
conditions to develop. Some storms may become severe and
produce gusty winds and heavy rainfall, mainly in the 20-00z
time frame. The MVFR or lower conditions and the threat of
showers and isolated thunder will continue into the overnight
hours and Tuesday morning.VFR conditions will return during the
mid to late part of Tuesday.

Winds are generally light or out of the south-southeast, however
the forecast becomes tricky through the afternoon as a wave of low
pressure moves along the front. Winds should favor a se
direction before veering to the W NW later in the day and
tonight.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 6 mi86 min N 12 G 18 74°F 1 ft72°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 13 mi46 min N 12 G 19 76°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 16 mi46 min ENE 8 G 13 73°F 69°F1005.9 hPa
44069 25 mi61 min SSE 7.8 G 9.7 80°F 86°F77°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 25 mi46 min NE 5.1 G 12 72°F 72°F1005.5 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 31 mi46 min 75°F 76°F1005.3 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 35 mi46 min N 20 G 26 74°F 1006 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 38 mi36 min SSW 21 G 27 81°F 77°F1004 hPa76°F
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 39 mi46 min 74°F 79°F1005.7 hPa
MHRN6 40 mi46 min NNE 15 G 22
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 41 mi46 min NNW 25 G 32 79°F 85°F1004.8 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 48 mi86 min SSW 16 G 19 80°F 77°F3 ft1005.7 hPa (-2.5)

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY12 mi23 minNNE 10 G 2210.00 miThunderstorm74°F70°F88%1005.8 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY17 mi20 minN 80.75 miThunderstorm Light Rain Fog/Mist72°F71°F97%1006 hPa
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY22 mi20 minSSW 7 G 1510.00 miThunderstorm81°F78°F91%1004.9 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY22 mi25 minVar 41.00 miThunderstorm Heavy Rain Fog/Mist75°F72°F90%1006.7 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY23 mi25 minN 21 G 264.00 miThunderstorm Light Rain Fog/Mist and Breezy75°F75°F100%1005.3 hPa

Wind History from FRG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW5NW6NW7NW5NW6CalmW6NW3CalmCalmCalmNE4E5SE5SE4S9SE8S11SE12
G19
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1 day agoSW10SW4S5SW4SW4SW3SW4SW4W4W4W3SW6W8W7NW8NW8W8W8SW8SW12
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2 days agoS7SW8SW7SW5SW7SW7SW6W5W5W3CalmW3W6NW9W9W7NW7
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G18

Tide / Current Tables for Cold Spring Harbor, Oyster Bay, New York
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:49 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:23 AM EDT     -0.59 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:53 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:40 AM EDT     0.84 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 10:58 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 12:56 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:44 PM EDT     -0.61 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 07:13 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:05 PM EDT     0.89 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 11:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.3-0-0.2-0.4-0.6-0.5-0.300.20.30.70.80.4-0-0.2-0.4-0.6-0.6-0.4-0.10.10.30.60.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.